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Chris Carpenter went five innings giving up no runs, allowing 4 baserunners, adding in 6 Ks, driving in 6 runs and five golden… rings.  12 runs for the Cards, but everyone was a ticker tease, except for Carpenter who pitchslapped Kip Wells.  LaRussa’s mind must be swimming with ideas….Do I hit him 8th?  7th?  Do I platoon him with Ankiel in the OF and have Ankiel come in for intentional walks?  Do I go with a Singapore Sling or an Old Fashioned?  Why is Dave Duncan looking at me?  Is my fly open?  How come no one read my book, Tonyball?  If I’m facing East, my hair should be facing West!  Why is it going South?!  If homeless people have no homes, why do they lug around so much junk?  Homeless people shouldn’t be pack rats!… Wow, there’s a lot swimming in Tony’s mind.  Interesting to peek into the mind of a genius, ain’t it?  Surprised he didn’t mention this is the last roundup of the year.  Ho-hum, so sad.  There will still be a new post every week day through the fall and winter, so check your separation anxiety at the door.  I’m still here.  Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:

Scott Baker – 5 IP, 0 ER.  His FIP last year was 3.79.  This year it was near 4.  So he was .20 off of last year.  He throws around 7 Ks per 9 innings.  So he’s good for about 155 Ks.  His Post-All-Star Break ERA was 3.39.  Guess what I’m saying is I’m going to predict next year he’ll pitch around a 3.75 ERA, good WHIP and solid Ks and he’ll be someone to look at as a third fantasy starter with number two upside and number four downside.  And in three months, I’ll quote that.

Orlando Cabrera – 2-for-5, 3 RBIs.  Behind the scenes of Razzball, I’m busy doing the top 20 recaps that will be coming your way over the next few weeks.  So O-Cab made it pretty high on the top 20 list for SSs.  I’m like, “Cool, he had a good 2nd half.”  He hit 4 homers and stole 6 bases while batting .296.  Okay, so he had a good two months?  Nope.  The shortstops are so shallow that a good five weeks is all it took.  Anyway, I’m jumping the gun, those recaps will be coming next week.

Delmon Young – 3-for-4 yesterday.  He’s batting .309 with one homer in September.  This is considered a good month for him.  Would I pickup Young off waivers next year?  Sure.  I wouldn’t draft him.  I’m not going to write someone off who’s only 24, but I’m at the point where I want to see something from Young before I take the gamble on him in 2010.  I mean, Ryan Raburn and Garrett Anderson are above Delmon Young on ESPN’s Player Rater.  Young’s the new blech.

Aaron Cook – 8 IP, 1 ER, 2 Ks.  It’s Rocktober.

Tim Lincecum – 7 IP, 2 ER.  I’m giving him the Cy Young.  He threw more innings than Carpenter, way more Ks and he’s dazzling.  I know, it’s tough to judge dazzling, but if you’ve ever watched Lincecum pitch you know what I mean.  It’s kinda like a choice between the crazy hot girl that would cheat on you and the sweet girl that would make a nice mother.  I’m taking the crazy hot girl.  For what it’s worth, I think the voters go with Carpenter.  What’s a shame in all of this is Wainwright’s getting totally ignored.  Maybe I just have a special kinship to Wainwright because I own him on a few teams and I pushed many people to draft him this year.

Mark Reynolds – 1-for-4, up to 215 Ks.  This last month (4 homers, 2 steals, .187) is why I’m going to probably take a pass on Reynolds if people are grabbing him in the top 50.  I saw value in him when people were drafting him around 200.  I see very little value for next year.  What do you want, I’m frugal.  It’s a recession after all.

Dan Haren – 6 IP, 5 ER, 7 Ks.  Ends the season with a 3.14 ERA and a 4.44 ERA in the 2nd half.  The good news is his next start is scheduled for the 1st half.

Derrek Lee – Scratched for personal reasons.  Maybe he has crabs.

John Lackey – 2 IP, 2 ER and 40 pitches.  This is about what you can expect from starters who are headed to the playoffs. I wouldn’t expect more than 5 innings from any of them.  This is a shout out to you Hamels owners.

Kevin Millwood – 9 IP, 2 ER, 10 Ks.  And this is what to expect from pitchers facing teams headed to the playoffs.

Chris Davis – 3-for-5, and hit his 21st homer of the year.  I can’t wait to see what Bill James predicts for Chris Davis for 2010.  No sarcasm there, really interested.

Cliff Lee – 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 Ks.  The Adverb finishes with a 3.39 ERA for Philly.

Kendry Morales – Hit his 34th homer yesterday.   The best case scenario would be the Angels are eliminated quickly from the playoffs.  Worst case scenario is, in late-October, Joe Buck saying something like, “America’s getting a firsthand look at what Kendry Morales has been doing all year.”  Then Tim McCarver says, “Good thing there weren’t more men on base when Mt. Everest erupted cause then there would be more runs.”

  1. big o says:
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    cy young ?
    does he or doesn’t he ??
    only his hair-dresser knows for sure

  2. big o says:
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    derek lowe , jair jurrjens , & , tim hudson .
    are these guys really going to give up two home runs to adam dunn ?
    or will fantasy baseball , as we know it , cease to exist ??

    the answer is :
    c ) no , to both .

  3. winnawinnachickendinna says:
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    Mark Reynolds will be next years biggest bust…. he’ll go late second round to early 3rd, some donkeys that owned him this year will take him earlier (you guys all know that guy that drafted Pedroia last year then this year they took him in the second round), and he’ll K about 220 times, bat .220, hit 25 HRs and steal 8 bases….

    it could get ugly….

  4. Antrim Warriors says:
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    I need 2 solid pitcher off the waivers for the weekend…looking for solid Ks and no losses. suggestions?

  5. Antrim Warriors says:
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    wondering now if i should pick up opposing pitchers to minimize the chance of taking 2 losses…thinking out loud here…

  6. Tony says:
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    wainy and ubaldo go tonight, i’m gonna throw them only to keep up with the owner i’m playing against who is streaming like crazy to try and take whatever pitching cats he can since i’ve got him pinned…. should i drop those guys and others to snag up the best “probables for sat” off the waiver wire to block him from getting them? then drop them again and snag up sundays best prospects? i think i have him no matter what but in a freak world he has an outside chance at pulling off a miracle…

    THANKS

  7. Big Mike says:
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    @winnawinnachickendinna: Yeah, for where I’d have to draft him … well, he’s going to hard to breakeven on.

  8. Tony says:
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    @Big Mike: yup, he won’t give value back for the spot you have to draft him with high risk of him not performing a la 2009

  9. nmdunkel says:
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    *sighs*

    Last roundup of the year. It’s been good, man. Hard to believe I’ve read this site twice a day (at least) for the last 6 (six!) months (parenthetical remarks are distracting, so they say. Whatevs).

    Thanks for all the regular season help, entertainment, and info, Grey. Until that day…

  10. Antrim Warriors says:
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    I think he should have a special season ending “borderline SPs” for the weekend!!!

  11. Jareth Cutestory says:
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    Joe Buck – I chortled. I am a chortler.

  12. EJ says:
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    Going for the championship this week. Currently have CC, Jimenez, Wolf, Correia and E-Jax on my roster for tonight’s slate of games. Anyone you’d recommend benching for their start?? Trailing in Ks and Wins, leading in ERA and WHIP.

  13. Tony says:
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    Go to ESPN and read the top 100 hitter keepers for a good laugh. Some of its just common sense (hanley 1, pujols 2, etc) but my favorites:

    Tulo #27 and Jeter at #20???

    Ellsbury before Big Tex, Kinsler, Crawford, Howard, etc.

    Markakis at 28, adam jones at 43, choo at 57?

    JOSE REYES at 32? I wouldn’t take him in the first 5 rounds of my draft.

    THIS MIGHT BE MY FAVORITE QUOTE ON THE PAGE:

    No. 92: Drew Stubbs. Drew Stubbs? What the …? I admit I really like this guy, and so does his manager. He so looks to me like a right-handed version of Grady Sizemore.

    hahahahhahahahahhahahaahahahhahaha….

    REALLY ESPN? You did not say a right handed grady sizemore!?

    In 1500 minor league AB’s stubbs has hit for 28 HRS! Seriously? GRADY? Then a person in the comment section posts, what about garret jones? LOL they put stubbs on, leave off guys like jones, carlos gonzalez, etc….

    OH ESPN, please keep misinforming my leaguemates and i’ll just hope they never find this site….

  14. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @EJ: I’d bench Jackson, unless you really need to take the risk.

    @Tony: I saw that, especially the Stubbs thing. Right-handed version of Grady Sizemore is a guy that hit 28 homers in 1500 minor league ABs. That was baffling.

  15. Tony says:
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    @Grey: YUP i was dying, we just talked on this yesterday, do they read razzball then try to say the opposite to throw people off?

    That info is just sad…. he’s looked like grady sizemore for two weeks? awesome… lets be real tho espn!

    Jeter is always consistent, but this year was a bit of a resurgence ya know? I wouldn’t go ranking him over TULO next year…. especially when the title of the article is “KEEPER HITTERS”

    oh espn….

  16. Antrim Warriors says:
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    DLR @ LAD tomorrow vs Kershaw?

  17. EJ says:
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    @Tony: I really enjoyed seeing Butler at 89, with Chris Davis like 6 spots ahead of him. Really?? I get the HR potential of Davis, but come on. From someone who owned both of those guys this year, I think Butler is on a different planet than Davis. Maybe I’m just overly high on Butler… I wouldn’t be surprised if I own him in all my leagues next year.

  18. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Antrim Warriors: Either are decent starts, but my bet is neither will go longer than 5 innings.

  19. Tony says:
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    @EJ: yep, i see the value and potential in DAVIS and what they’re saying there tho…. butler doesn’t look like he’s going to hit for a ton of power, if he could hit 30 that would be HUGE…. but a 20-100 guy that bats .300 is not too shabby.

    The fact that davis could seriously hit 40? maybe more… that does give him the upside over butler, its debateable…. Davis could also break Mark Reynolds K record and get sent back to the minors again haha….

    Those minor flip flops aren’t as big as drew stubbs being the right handed grady…. I’M SOLD, stubbs will be on all my teams next year! HA! ROFL!!!!

  20. Tony says:
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    @EJ: I’m really hoping chris davis slides next year into the 10th rounds, but i’m sure people will give him another chance and the hype will begin again in the spring… he’ll probably be a mid rounder 7-9th rounds…. i doubt i take him there.

  21. GTS says:
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    Please rank these pitchers: Masterson, Freddy Garcia, Narveson, Richmond, and Mujica. I don’t care much for K’s, but want decent ERA/WHIP and most likely to win.

    Thanks Grey!

  22. Ceasar says:
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    I’ve got an innings target to hit and these beauties to choose from:

    Hendrickson vs. Blue Jays
    Detwiller at Braves
    Figaro vs. White Sox
    Garcia at Tigers

    Or maybe I don’t need to hit that innings target?

    Thanks.

  23. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @GTS: Mujica, Narveson, Garcia, Richmond…

  24. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Ceasar: I wouldn’t start any of them.

  25. Antrim Warriors says:
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    Is Mujica starting SUN? mlb.com is showing Ramos.

  26. big o says:
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    @Tony:
    agree with most of your opinion re: espn .
    but , i’m taking ellsbury before crawford .
    cust kayin’

  27. Tony says:
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    @big o: ya i see crawford getting back to overrated again next year… I like Ellsbury, but at the 12th or 13th best hitter? IDK about that… he’s hard for me to take, I play H2H and i really dont like taking a guy to dominate a category. I like getting more balanced, 5 cat type guys, 20/20 type players…. I just know if a guy goes down i dont want it being the guy i bank on for steals or whatever…

  28. EJ says:
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    Since it’s slim pickens on adding pitchers for tomorrow’s games, is there anyone you wouldn’t start out of this group for Sunday…?

    Feldman @ Sea
    Sanchez @ SD
    Hudson vs. Was
    Duensing vs. KC

    Also, do you like LeBlanc to ‘bamboozle’ the Giants tomorrow?

  29. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @EJ: I wouldn’t start Duensing in most circumstances. I do like LeBlanc.

  30. Bailey says:
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    So what your saying, is that I should not keep Carpenter or any of my pitchers IE: Peavy, Gallardo
    In my league K’s count both ways

    Keepers: Mauer, Utley, Kemp

    Potential: El Panda, Howard

  31. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Bailey: I wouldn’t keep Carpenter over Kung Fu or Howard.

  32. Tony says:
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    @Bailey: how many can you keep? you have to keep HOWARD, RYAN? or are you looking at not keeping him bc of the K’s?

  33. Antrim Warriors says:
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    OK, so i have 2 moves left, H2H, my main objective is to preserve my K lead and secondly not take a loss. I think my era and whip is safe.
    I’ve narrowed it down to:

    DLR @ LAD(Kershaw)
    Wade Davis vs NYY(AJ)
    Narveson @ STL (Piniero)
    LeBlanc vs SF(Cain)

    best 2?

  34. Bob says:
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    @Grey: Why is it best case scenario for Kendry for the Angels to get eliminated early? I hate Joe Buck, too, but as an Angels’ fan, I’m willing to put up with a little of his stupidity for a repeat of ’02.

  35. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:
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    There’s a new post on “Keeperanos….” Provides quick reference of September stats if you are interested.

  36. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Antrim Warriors: dlR and Davis.

    @Bob: So no one finds out about Kendry. He’s liable to get “found out” by casual fantasy baseball players.

  37. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:
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    @Tony: You and Grey convinced me to give Bruce another chance. September stats too juicy not to.

  38. Bailey says:
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    @Tony: The K’s are killing me but he was the best 1B when i had our draft couldn’t pass you right

  39. Antrim Warriors says:
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    thanks Grey. good luck to everyone still alive in their respective leagues. should be a fun weekend!

  40. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Antrim Warriors: No problem.

    ********THERE’S A NEW POST FOR FOLLOWUPS.********

  41. Tony says:
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    @Bob: yeah a la BJ UPTON, yet he didn’t do anything after his hot postseason…. but the same effect.

    @Simply Fred: I think Bruce is worth a look, just gotta fall to you in the right spot as with any player. If you can get him 9th round next year on? I think thats good.

  42. Bob says:
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    In a league where first and second place are separated by 1/2 point and tied in WHIP, I’ve got a choice of Jered Weaver and Randy Wolf today or Jurrgens and Petitte tomorrow. Who would you go with.

    Or I could hold Weaver out tonight, and maybe have a few innings left tomorrow to go with Jurrgens and Pettitte (it’s Yahoo). Any thoughts. I’m totally conflicted and irrational.

  43. Bob says:
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    ESPN is counting the Minn/Det game on Tuesday as part of the regular season stats for purposes of their game.

    Does anybody know what Yahoo is planning to do?

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