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0I usually like to keep private emails private, but when it’s matters of the state or sleepers, all is fair. The first email was from Hank from Dearborn, Michigan. Hank writes, “Where’s Brennan Boesch? I’ve been long time reader of Razzball and I wish to know the answer to this question. Until I know said answer, I’m farting in your general direction.” Eddie Murphy from Los Angeles writes, “I can’t believe you didn’t write a sleeper post about Brennan Boesch. By the way, this is the last of my final thousand words I’m allowed to say before they stop letting me make crappy, family comedies.” Finally, in writes Larry King, “Anyone see where I put my suspenders?” Sorry, Hank, Eddie and Larry, Brennan Boesch has been on my radar, but I guess I just needed a little push from you guys. So what makes Brennan Boesch a 2012 fantasy baseball sleeper?
January Grey placed him in a tier called, “At least two of these guys will break out and shoot up the rankings for 2013.” Boesch could easily be that guy. He reminds me a lot of Mike Morse as he was headed into the 2011 season. All signs point to him about to break out. Last season, Boesch hit 16 homers, stole 5 bases and rang up a .283 average in only 115 games. There’s nothing there screaming out at me that is unlikely to happen again, so if you prorate all of those numbers up for 150+ games, Boesch looks like a legit third fantasy outfielder. Since he’s about to be 27 years old, there’s a chance for more as he hits his peak. Maybe peaking near 25 homers, getting lucky with runs and RBIs and hitting .280. Basically, Mike Morse. At the worst, he looks like a 1st half player. Last year, 12 homers pre-All-Star Break, 4 after. In 2010, 12 homers in the 1st half and 2 homers in the 2nd half. Some ‘perts have been saying that’s a negative about Boesch. I’d much rather draft a guy that I don’t have to wait on until June to start hitting. At least with Boesch, you see dividends, then trade or drop him in July. I predict by mid-April a common comment on the site will be “Boesch…and…bomb!”
9 team 5×5. My relief corps is piss poor: Guerra, Nathan, Jim Johnson. Drop any of the above for Clippard, Sean Marshall, Crain, Addison Reed, Broxton, Mike Adams?
Hold for now…
“Boesch … and … bomb”
never saw that coming .
of course , boesch was hurt last year ,
but have yet to hear one ‘pert’ mention that .
also ,
almost e-mailed you my sleeper .
ha !
now , you’re definitely waiting until midnight , monday ,
when my last draft has been completed .
p.s.
still not “double-o” (emilio)
nor jason bay .
Double I?
@chata, the Federalist – John Jay?
I don’t know how you wrote an entire Boesch sleeper post without one mention of hitting second in front on cabrera and Fielder but I am impressed. He is a lock for 100 runs BTW.
I omit the best for you to add…
Grey, thoughts on this trade in 14t 6×6 (obp, total bases) league with holds-
Braun/Minor/Niese/Qualls
for
CC/Morrison/Rasmus/Nathan
@Goose,
sorry, Glen Perkins not Qualls. so:
Braun/Minor/Niese/Perkins
for
CC/Morrison/Rasmus/Nathan
thanks!
Braun side…
hey Grey have you checked out hardcore sports analytics site numberfire? discovered them last night … they have full rankings and projections that cut across the grain. i can’t find any discussion of their validity or process. SI is using them now. Any thoughts? Some interesting breakouts forecasted.
I saw it… Looked like they stole our image and Rudy’s Point Shares… I didn’t join though so didn’t look that closely…
Ouch and double ouch…
http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=ap-yankees-chamberlain
Yeah, sounds painful….
Follow-up to my question in the previous post. If they were all available in round 2 (pick 18) of my 5×5 12 team roto draft, how would you rank these guys to pair with Braun:
Kinsler, Hanley, Reyes, Tex
Thanks dude.
The way I have them in my overall rankings…
toughest AB of the spring :
sawx prospect , Iglesias , gets drilled on the left hip by
bergesen on a 3-0 pitch , then gets drilled in the right ankle
off the bat of salty , 2 pitches later .
That’ll smart…
Yo Grey, Fuentes lost his job (hooray for my ratios), do I drop that chump for Stauffer/Vogelsong/Niese/Harrison (Hochevar)? Any of those guys you would pick up over Jon Sanchez or Volquez who are both on my bench?
Chris Heisey is also on the wire. Am I wrong to think he’s going to be better than colby rasmus this year (my worst starting OF)?
Hold off on Heisey for now… Grab Vogelsong for now…
Sounds like Crain’s bullpen went OK today, but he’s gotta be at pretty long odds to win the closer’s job though, right?
Thornton’s gonna be the closer to start the year…
Oh – and Rizzo sent down.
Makes sense…
Stanton/Hanson for Kendrick/Gallardo? Which side do you like best?
Depends on other factors… Stanton…
@Grey, do you mean depending on Stanton’s health? I need power and have a good staff (I’m the one giving up Kendrick and Gallardo). Espinosa is my other 2B.
Actually, just found out I have another trade on the table: Kendrick/Gallardo for Uggla/Morrow. Like that better than Stanton/Hanson?
My other starters are Bumgarner, Gio, Jimenez, Scherzer, Cahill, with guys like Jonathan Sanchez on the waiver wire (10 team H2H). Thanks for your help!
@Curse of the Breambino, Depends if you can lose a number one… I don’t like that better…
@Grey, fair enough.
So I guess if I asked you if a staff of Bumgarner, Gio, Hanson, Jimemez, Scherzer and Cahill was good enough to win a 10-team H2H, what would you say? Also have Madson, Motte, Jansen, Clippard and Greg Holland in the pen.
It could be… It’s about a 7…
Fister leaves the game today with right middle finger soreness. There’s a joke in there somewhere…
Ha!
Has anybody done the Yahoo online auction draft? How long does it take?
Over 3 hours…
Finally got a chance to listen to the new podcast on a flight to OAK. Though it started off a little rough (I don’t like being reminded about San Diego’s cultural deficiencies), it was hilarious, so nicely done. Rudy is right about Arcade Fire- I saw them in a venue a little smaller than the Troubadour and it was a blast. Saw them again a few years later, though, at the Hollywood Bowl, and it was not as fun- something was wrong with their sound engineer.
Thanks, man! Really enjoying the La Russa book so far… Weird to read about how they’re nervous to face Brad Penny and Dontrelle though… (Amongst other dated references…)
12-team mixed league. Looking to make an add:
-Bourjos
-Peavy
-Nolasco Kid
-Altuve
-Homer Bailey
-Cozart
Who you picking up? I have no needs. Just need trade value
Bourjos for now…
Hey Grey, I’m curious what side of this you would be on. I own Lee, Lincecum, Strasburg, D. Hudson, Romero, Ubaldo, and Wandy. A guy in my leaugue owns Adrian and Votto but needs pitching. He offered Votto for Lincecum, Pence, and Wandy. If I do it I would have Votto for up to 6 years, but I could have Lincecum this year, Pence till next year, and wandy can go. Is it worth it to do this now? Or do I see if Pence can maintain what he did after the trade?
I’d take Votto…
20-team, H2H-Points Auction Keeper League
Alex Presley or Allen Craig?
Presley
What are the odds that Aaron Crow replaces Soria as closer in KC?
10-1
@Grey,
careful , son .
you think that i’m not watching you ?
@Jimmy the (still dead) Greek, Ha!
Reed or Clippard?
Clippard for now…
Drop Thornton for Holland?
Not right now…
Drop V Wells for Marshall? Need a closer
Sure, if he’s a bench bat…
yo grey man,
cain suga or rios?
respeckt.
@#1contenda, Rios
On the lookout for pop and working on some offers.
Get: A-Gone, Kendrick,
for: Cain, Andrus, G Sanchez
Worth considering? OBP league, and got Hanley at short so could slot Kendrick in my MI spot instead of Andrus.
@TheNewGuy, Sounds good for you…
@Grey, Darnit he’s countered with:
Andrus, Gio, and Cain
FOR
A-Gonz
Garbage offer right?
@TheNewGuy, It’s sorta fair, I wouldn’t do it…
This should have gone on the Storen post, but you ended that, Grey.
So here is my current closer situation:
I have Storen, Santos, and FrankFrank…
League is pretty shallow, 10 teams. Assuming I need to drop a player to pick one up, who should I drop at this point and which one of these guys should I pick up, or should I stand pat?
Holland
Balfour
Clippard
@DasPeck, Hold for now…
With Yunel leading off, does he move up a bit in the rankings? Will he even sniff at a 100 R this year?
@Coach McGuirk, Nope
grey-
if you have Yunel at SS & Pablo Sandoval at 3B and it’s a 14 team yahoo h2h league 8×8…. would you feel comfortable dropping chris davis, alex presely, or jose tabata in order to pick up Alcides Escobar? Which one if yes or should I wait to see what Alcides does? that might be too late tho….
@Tony, Can lose Davis… but I’d wait to see what Alcides does…
Would you say 3 pitchers after 10 rounds is a good aim? (leave the first few round for hitters of course)
@Eng, Yup
Also, if picking at the turn would you maybe grab a closer in about the 8th before the run begins? Thanks.
@Eng, Sounds a little early…
What is a good innings limit in a league with weekly changes and 9 pitcher spots?
20
remember Boesch is batting second in front of Miggy and Fielder.He will get a lot of good pitches to hit and batting there will score a lot of runs
True
geez at all these closer issues –
how would you rank the potential fill-ins based on their likeness to take over the job all season:
pestano, marshall, holland, crow, broxton, adams, and whoever else im forgetting
@zimbabwe mon, Marshall, Holland, Broxton, Adams…
@ Grey :
more likely to happen :
a) i convince ozzie to bat emilio ahead of reyes via telepathy
b) dusty throws everyone a curve and anoints aroldis the interim closer
c)
C
Three OF league, was offered Greinke for Pence. My other two OF are Giancarlo and Kemp. Make the deal?
Yeah, it’s solid for Pence… If you need an SP…
Thoughts on Felipe Paulino if he makes KC’s rotation as expected?
Thanks dude.
High risk/high reward… Lots of Ks and lots of walks…
@Grey: Just had my first draft for one out of 3 leagues im in. (50$ h2h points league ) What do you think of my team:
Posey
Adrian Gonzalez
Dustin Pedroia
Pablo Sandoval
Dee Gordon
Hunter Pence
Lance Berkman
Nick Markakis
Jemile Weeks
Melky Cabrera
Adam Dunn
Brennan Boesch
Daniel Murphy
We are allowed 3 outfielders and 2 Util Spots. As far as outfielders go i was thinking pence, berkman, markakis, and util its up in the air? I like weeks there goes he gets on bases and gets me steals but im not sure……
My pitching:
Gallardo
Matt Latos
Anibal Sanchez
Ervin Santana
Wandy Rodriguez
Joel Hanrahan
Jim Johnson
Frank Francisco
Kyle Lohse
Phil Hughes
Thoughts on team overall? Thoughts on who my outfielders and 2 utils should be?? Pitching is a bit shaky i know.
I don’t know how many teams…
I think the pitching is shaky and you’re light on power for hitting… I think the team could have some issues…
Picked up Clippard recently but now with Storen sounding better than first thought would Holland be a better choice right now?
or Broxton…
Grab Holland…
That awolnation post was amazing. Sale would have been better bc instead of JV were more likely to own Sale. Sale or fail still my favorite post! I laughed all day about that one. Keep em comin!
Thanks!
Madson going back to Cincy to be checked out by team doctors. Should know more tomorrow. I think you were right…Madson’s arm fears the toothpick.
Ha! Yeah, news isn’t sounding good…
@Grey: 12 Teams, H2h Points LEague: Thoughts? Concerns? Strengths/Weaknesses???
@Grey: Out of my players who would you put as your 3 outfielders and which 2 for util? Also my pitching is shaky buuuuut im hoping to find this years cory luebke on waivers like i did last season.
I think my team may be light on power but it has plenty of speed and will have a steady high average and obp.
@Anthony, You want me to set your lineup?
Boesch is going pretty high (160-180) in the two leagues I am in this year.
@Aaron, 160-180′s not that high for Morse-type numbers…
12 team keeper mix league….My Lawrie/Weiters/K Morales for JUpton/Bumgardner/MMontero? I’m a believer in Lawrie so maybe that’s why I am over thinking it….do the deal, correct? No CI spot so I can slot Sandoval as my 3b.
@bfeels, Take Upton…
Any chance of Moobs gaining 1B eligability on ESPN this season? Not sure what the games requirement is, is it 10/15? Some news saying Butler should get 1B eligability sometime this season, though how late I dunno, could be some random shizz though. Got him in my keeper league, would be nice if I could eventually move him outta Util.
@TheNewGuy, Not until around July at the earliest…. 10 games…
Heya grey, did my draft in my 12man h2h 5×5 keeper league yesterday
C: Wilson Ramos (r23)
1b: Adrian Gonzalez (r1 – keeper)
2b: Dustin Ackley (r14)
3b: Mark Reynolds (r5)
SS: Emilio Bonifacio (r12)
OF: Matt Kemp (r2 – keeper)
OF: Andrew McCutchen (r3 – keeper)
OF: Jayson Werth (r8)
Util: Lance Berkman (r4)
Util: Paul konerko (r9 – keeper)
No offensive bench
SP: Mat Latos (r10 – keeper)
SP: Ian Kennedy (r18 – keeper)
RP: Joel Hanrahan (r7)
RP: Jason Motte (r11)
P: Shaun Marcum (r6)
P: Frank Francisco (r17)
P: Addison Reed (r19)
Bench: Jhoulys Chacin (r13)
Bench: Ted Lilly (r15)
Bench: Chris Sale (r16)
Bench: Jake Peavy (r20)
Bench: John Danks (r21)
Bench: Trevor Bauer (r22)
So two questions for you Grey:
1) General thoughts on my haul?
2) My SP seems weak. Should I try to trade offense (maybe Berkman?) for SP in the preseason?
@james d, I do agree that your pitching looks weaker than your hitting, but I’d hold tight for right now. Your league isn’t that deep, there will be pitchers to be had. Your hitting looks solid….
@Grey, It still amazes me that you respond to every comment.
Thanks for the good work man
@james d, No problem….
@Grey: In my 10 team roto league that has standard categories plus OBP and K/BB, I was offered Frank Frank for Delmon Young. My current closers are Papel, Santos, Capps and Thorton. Do I need Frank Frank?
Also, if the season started today, which three closers would you run out there for week 1?
@SwaggerJackers, You don’t need Frank. Papel, Santos, Thornton…
16 team dynasty h2h with 20 keepers (15 batting and 15 pitching categories): I got offered Hanley Ramirez for Ian Kennedy & Brandon Beachy (the other manager really needs pitching).
Q1: Is this something you would consider accepting? I don’t mind trading Kennedy as his value is really high atm…
Q2: Gio, D.Hudson, Beachy, Minor – How would you rank these guys in a dynasty league?
I think my pitching would still be solid for a deep league like this one…and I could then trade Dee Gordon for another pitcher (maybe even ARam if Miggy gets 3b eligibilty).
C – Buster Posey
1b – Miguel Cabrera
2b – Danny Espinosa
3b – Aramis Ramirez
SS – Dee Gordon
LF – Carlos Gonzalez
CF – Dexter Fowler
RF – Jason Heyward
Util- Paul Goldschmidt
Util- Justin Smoak
Util- Josh Reddick
Bench – Snider, D.Brown, Abreu, Profar
SP – Ian Kennedy
SP – Daniel Hudson
RP – Craig Kimbrel
RP – Jose Veras
P – Brandon Beachy
P – Gio Gonzalez
P – Wandy Rodriguez
P – Mike Minor
P – Jonathon Niese
P – Mike Leake
P – Jacob Turner
P – Homer Bailey
Bench – Cecil, Paulino, McDonald
@Buster, 2nd round bat for two arms? Yeah, I’d take Hanley…Hudson, Gio, Beachy…
@Buster, Try countering with Kennedy/Gordon instead?
It’d be rough on your pitching to give up both kennedy and beachy; also what would you do with gordon or aramis if you got hanley?
@james d, Kennedy/Gordon was actually my initial offer but he wants 2 pitchers in return (his pitching is really bad – Lilly, J.Santana, Lohse, Braden…)
I would try and trade Gordon for someone like Scherzer, Luebke, Chacin, Cahill or maybe a reliever (I lost Soria). Would probably target a pitcher with Aramis as well…
Grey I had my first draft last night it’s a 12 team h2h league what u think:
C Arencibia
1b Gonzalez
2b Jemile Weeks
ss Hanley
3b Zimmerman
ci youk
mi Hill
of bruce
of morse
of heyward
of gardner
of bourjos
util rasmus
be cain
be presley
p Zimmermann
p Darvish
p Anibal
p morrow
p j garcia
p chacin
p niese
p leake
p bailey
rp balfour
rp thornton
rp holland
@mikey boy324, You look a little high on speed and low on power… Pitching looks a bit shallow too…
@Grey, Overall do you think it’s competive?
@Grey: Not set just give me some advice. Not sure if I should start week 1 with Jemile Weeks and Melky as my utility guys. Adam dunn is supposively tearing up spring training and could be back? I also have brennan boesch, and dmurphy. Thoughts? What would u do
@Anthony, Are those your options? Start Boesch and Weeks…Drop Daniel Murphy, he’s useless…
Hmm alright – but i will hold off on dropping murphy because he can play all over! Wish i could of grabbed DUDA!!! people reach in drafts. sigh
@Anthony, Yeah, Duda’s a nice flyer… Trade Daniel Murphy for him — emoticon…
Just read that Storen won’t be starting a throwing program until Tuesday or Wednesday. I’d guess that he won’t be ready for the start of the season.
@Wilsonian, Seems doubtful…
Davey Johnson said that Brad Lidge or Henry Rodriguez would close in the event Storen can’t start the season.
I cannot STAND when manager’s can’t use logic.
@Eddy, Ha… Kinda crazy…
have the 6th pick in a 12 team roto league…
who do I really want out of:
braun, longoria and votto? – assuming kemp, cabrera, pujols, bautista, pujols will be gone.
batting cats: r, hr, rbi, sb, avg, obp, gidp, errors
if one of my assumptions is available, i will draft that player. if not, i am left with braun / longoria / votto to choose from. who’s the safest?
any thoughts would be appreciated. thanks.
@paulzone, Braun
***TAKE QUESTIONS FOR ME TO MY NEWEST POST***