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Boston Red Sox 2010 Minor League Review
Overall farm rankings via Baseball America (2010)
2010 (6) | 2009 (13) | 2008 (2) | 2007 (9) | 2006 (8) | 2005 (21) | 2004 (23)

Record of Major and Minor League Teams
MLB: [89 – 73] AL East
AAA: [66 – 78] International League – Pawtucket
AA: [70 – 71 Eastern League – Portland
A+: [73 – 65] Carolina League – Salem
A: [77 – 62] South Atlantic League – Greenville
A(ss): [24 – 50] New York – Pennsylvania League – Lowell
R: [31 – 28] Gulf League

The Run Down
Not only did the Red Sox deplete their high end talent in acquiring Adrian Gonzalez (Casey Kelly, Anthony Rizzo, and Reymond Fuentes), their 2010 number one ranked prospect (Ryan Westmoreland) had a cavernous malformation (abnormal cluster of blood vessels) in his brain causing his future in baseball to be uncertain. Junichi Tazawa is returning from Tommy John Surgery but is still at least half a season away from returning. Michael Bowden has dropped from a top pitching prospect to an afterthought. Having held a top 10 farm system ranking by Baseball America in four of the past five years, Boston fell to their lowest position since 2005 – current 2011 overall ranking number 17. International signee Jose Iglesias looks poised to pull the next Starlin Castro. Lars Anderson rebounded slightly from a poor 2009. Stolmy Pimentel and Drake Britton are appealing young pitchers. With Ryan Kalish graduating from the prospect ranks, Josh Reddick and Lars Anderson appear the closest to helping in the majors if major injuries surface.

Graduating Prospects
#5 (OF) Ryan Kalish; (OF) Dan Nava

Arizona Fall League Players – Peoria Javelinas
Pitchers – (RHP) Seth Garrison; (RHP) Jason Rice; (RPH) Dan Turpen;
Hitters – (C) Ryan Lavarnway; #9 (SS) Jose Iglesias; (OF) Juan Carlos Linares

Players of Interest for 2010
Hitters
#4 Lars Anderson | 1B | D.o.B: 9-25-87 | Stats (AAA): .262/.340/.428 | 409 AB | 45 XBH | 10 Hr | .176 ISO | 2/2 SB/CS | 109:49 K:BB | .331 BABIP
Struggles hitting lefties, plays fringe-average defense, and is now blocked by Adrian Gonzalez. Nothing seems to be going right for Anderson. His breakout 2008 season was followed by a poor 2009 season and an uneventful, but still a rebound 2010 season. If Gonzalez struggles with his surgically repaired shoulder, Anderson should be given the first shot. Career ceiling would be 20 to 25 home runs and hitting .275 with adequate defense. Current BA ranking is number eight.

#9 Jose Iglesias | SS | D.o.B: 1-5-90 | Stats (AA): .285/.315/.357 | 221 AB | 13 XBH | 0 Hr | .072 ISO | 5/2 SB/CS | 49:8 K:BB | .360 BABIP
Plays stellar defense – Gold Glove caliber – has good bat speed, a line-drive stroke and is an aggressive hitter but doesn’t take many walks. Could be 2011′s Starlin Castro. His defense will get him to the majors but his hitting will keep him back. Could return to Double-A to continue developing his hitting approach. Current BA ranking is number one.

Ryan Lavarnway | C | D.o.B: 8-7-87 | Stats (A+/AA): .288/.393/.489 | 462 AB | 49 XBH | 22 Hr | .201 ISO | 1/0 SB/CS | 104:70 K:BB | .316 BABIP (A+); .336 BABIP (AA)
Lavarnway received a Honorable Mention last year and continued his success in 2010. His stats were even at both levels (304 AB at A+; 158 AB at AA) but it’s the difficult to quantify defensive stats that continue to be more of a concern – struggles throwing runners out and doesn’t have fluid mechanics behind the plate. He has power to all fields, a good hitting approach and could be in the majors by 2012 if his defense is adequate. Should return to Double-A to refine his game. Current BA ranking is number 16.

#3 Josh Reddick | OF | D.o.B: 2-19-87 | Stats (AAA): .266/.301/.466 | 451 AB | 50 XBH | 18 Hr | .200 ISO | 4/7 SB/CS | 73:25 K:BB | .279 BABIP
Reddick has hit .182 in 121 major league at-bats, but his talent indicates he has the skills to perform as an average major league player. He has solid power and speed, plays good defense but lacks a future in the Red Sox system. Ryan Kalish has moved above Reddick on the organizational depth chart. Reddick looks to be a third outfielder at best, with being a fourth outfielder more likely. Will return to Triple-A. Wouldn’t be surprised to see Reddick traded at some point during the season. Current BA ranking is number four.

Pitchers
#11 Stolmy Pimentel | RHP | D.o.B: 2-1-90 | Stats (A+): 7.1 K/9 | 2.9 BB/9 | 128 2/3 IP | 4.06 ERA | 3.82 FIP | 1.26 WHIP | .8 Hr/9 | 8.4 H/9 | .288 BABIP
Pimentel is another Honorable Mention success story. He throws a fastball between 90 and 95 MPH, a plus changeup and a solid curveball. He has good command of all three pitches and projects to be a solid number three starter. ETA should be 2012. Expect him to pitch primarily in Double-A in 2011. Current BA ranking is number six.

#26 Kyle Weiland | RHP | D.o.B: 9-12-86 | Stats (AA): 8.4 K/9 | 3.4 BB/9 | 128 1/3 IP | 4.42 ERA | 4.17 FIP | 1.23 WHIP | .9 Hr/9 | 7.9 H/9 | .287 BABIP
Has always started in the minors, but BA states he projects better as a bullpen arm with a 95 MPH fastball and a strong curve. Call out for all the MR. B’s. Current BA ranking is number 20.

Honorable Mentions
Hitters
#17 Yamaico Navarro | SS/2B | D.o.B: 10-31-87 | Stats (AA): .274/.358/.422 | 329 AB | 30 XBH | 9 Hr | .148 ISO | 16/5 SB/CS | 53:42 K:BB | .299 BABIP
Shows 15 to 20 home run potential from the MI. Plays average to slightly-above average defense at both short and second. Isn’t always dedicated to his craft. Ceiling is 20/20. Floor is flame-out at Triple-A. Speaking of Triple-A, he should start the season there. Current BA ranking is number 12.

Oscar Tejeda | 2B/3B | D.o.B: 12-26-89 | Stats (A+): .307/.344/.455 | 508 AB | 48 XBH | 11 Hr | .148 ISO | 17/7 SB/CS | 96:32 K:BB | .350 BABIP
Projects at 15 to 20 home run hitter like Navarro. Aggressive hitter who doesn’t take many walks and will need to refine approach to have success in the higher minors (read: Double-A and this year). Fringe-average speed won’t lead to many steals either. Still very young and has great upside. Should start at Double-A in 2011. Current BA ranking is number 10.

Pitchers
#15 Drake Britton | LHP | D.o.B: 5-22-89 | Stats (A): 9.3 K/9 | 2.7 BB/9 | 75 2/3 IP | 2.97 ERA | 2.92 FIP | 1.22 WHIP | .6 Hr/9 | 8.2 H/9 | .303 BABIP
Although he started 21 games, he he didn’t have very many long starts due to a limited pitch count during recovery from Tommy John surgery. Has a 95 MPH sinking fastball, a strong curveball and an improving changeup. Should start at High-A in 2011. Current BA ranking is number three.

#17 Stephen Fife | RHP | D.o.B: 10-4-86 | Stats (AA): 5.4 K/9 | 3.0 BB/9 | 136 1/3 IP | 4.75 ERA | 4.17 FIP | 1.39 WHIP | .7 Hr/9 | 9.5 H/9 | .297 BABIP
His 2010 season wasn’t very good after a strong 2009 season. He wasn’t unlucky (.297 BABIP) but struggled when men were on base (LOB% was 61.8% which is about 10% below average). He throws a low to mid 90s fastball, a slurve and an average circle changeup. This was the first year his strikeouts were below 7.0 k/9. Fife has the ability to be an adequate middle reliever, or long reliever. Should return to Double-A. Current BA ranking is unranked.

  1. wire says:
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    Logan Morrison or Tyler Colvin?

  2. Buddo Chezuski says:
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    If anyone is in a weekly league in yahoo, any idea when roster moves lock for week 1? Tonight?

  3. J!m Future says:
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    No mention of Juan Carlos Linares? Dude destroyed the Arizona Fall League.

  4. J!m Future says:
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    @J!m Future: Oh wait, there he is under Arizona Fall League players. I fail at reading.

  5. Dave says:
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    Any updates on Westmoreland?

  6. Jim says:
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    Sounds like Belt might just be the starting 1b, what projections would you give him if he got 550 at bats?

  7. JoeC says:
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    @wire: I guess Colvin, just because he’ll actually give you some counting stats, while Morrison will only give you empty average.

    Morrison will probably get more ABs though and could possibly take a step forward this year. But I would lean Colvin for now.

  8. ToddH says:
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    Grey/all I recently did a 10 team 5X5 H2H league. It’s the first H2H league I’ve been in. Any glaring weaknesses/problem areas? The format is a little pitching heavy.

    C-Posada NYY
    1B-Pujols STL
    2B-K. Johnson ARI
    SS-Desmond Was
    3B-Beltre TEX
    OF-Kemp LA
    OF-Pence Hou
    OF-Holliday STL
    Util-Tabata Pit

    SP Lee Phil
    SP Weaver Ana
    SP Oswalt Phil
    SP Lilly LAD
    SP Kuroda LAD
    RP Bell SD
    RP Kimbrel ATL
    P Volquez Cin
    P Nathan MIn
    P Zimmermann WAS

    Bench
    SP Zambrano
    SP J. Santana NYM
    SP Sanchez Fla
    SP Davis TB
    RP Capps Min
    1B/2B Kendrick

    Thanks.

  9. MouseRat says:
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    @grey/Rudy/Stephen

    I’m in a 16-team H2H league and we’re in the 23rd round of the draft. Do you have any suggestions for any really deep starting pitcher suggestions you think might be surprising or useful in 2011? Right now, I’m kind of looking at Charlie Morton, but I could use some other suggestions. Thanks!

  10. Mr2Bits says:
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    Stephen/Grey :

    Current team in 5×5 that uses OBP

    Víctor Martínez
    Kevin Youkilis
    Robinson Canó
    Aramis Ramírez
    Stephen Drew
    Josh Hamilton
    Chris Young
    Adam Lind
    José Bautista

    Just moved Sizemore and Hart to the DL and am stuck on who I should grab for the time being. Who do you like as a 2 good fillers?

    Ian Desmond
    Mark Trumbo
    Rajai Davis
    Andrés Torres
    Dexter Fowler
    Peter Bourjos
    Julio Borbón
    Logan Morrison

  11. Brandon says:
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    @Buddo Chezuski: They will lock in tonight around 12-2 am, for Thursday through Sunday. You can resubmit your lineup sunday night, again before midnight, for Mon-Sun.

    Makes for interesting SP streaming. Good Luck.

  12. Ozzie says:
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    Should I pick up Morse and drop Norris or Zambrano?

  13. poop says:
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    TUlo and Mitch moreland or Fielder and Desmond?

  14. Stephen

    Stephen says:
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    @Wire: Morrison
    @J!m Future: He didn’t have enough at-bats to make a note worthy blurb.
    @Dave: He was ranked #30 prospect in the Red Sox farm system. There is still a lot of uncertainty about his future.
    @Jim: in 550 AB? .280/70/18/75/5

  15. Buddo Chezuski says:
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    Thanks Brandon, thats what I suspected.

    What stinks is that it takes yahoo a day to designate someone on the DL. I think many players will become eligible tomorrow but the rosters will have already been locked.

  16. Kevin says:
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    Any reason why the Blue Jays have yet to put Brandon Morrow on the DL? I’d like to move him to the DL and add a bat for my lineup tomorrow without having to drop someone but that’s looking unlikely at this point.

  17. fitz says:
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    Sigh, season hasn’t even started and already the awful trade proposals have begun. Somebody just offered me Krispy and Lyon for my Ryan Braun and Javy Vazquez.

  18. elwood blues says:
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    Another Prospect Question.
    NL Keeper League Minor League draft.. for my 2nd pick, I am looking at
    J.Singleton 1b, of – phi
    or Robinson, OF – LA..

    how far away are they from the majors?? and what are you hearing on Robinson.. I have seen him anywhere from the Dodgers 2nd to 10th prospect?? Who does he compare to.. is he more similar to Andrew McCutchen.. or more like Tabata??

    ALso- would you take Brandon Allen over B.Jackson in the 1st round?

  19. Long Bawls says:
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    @fitz: Ugh. Someone just offered me Heath Bell for David Wright. He explained it by the “right of mancrush.”

    Anyone have an opinion on which of Venable, Burnett, and Pods (assuming his runfoot heals) you’d grab for R. Martin? I feel like I’m running a police lineup where the measurements top out at four feet, but still…

  20. Stephen says:
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    @elwood blues: Singleton has more upside but has only playing in Single-A ball last year. Robinson is closer to the majors as he has played in Double-A. I would say Robinson is more of a mix between McCutchen and Tabata. He has more power than Tabata but less overall skill that McCutchen.

  21. elwood blues says:
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    @Stephen:
    Thanks for the help.
    how would you go in 1st round between Minor, Brandon Allen, or Brett Jax

  22. Stephen says:
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    @elwood blues: Minor, B.Jackson, B. Allen

  23. fitz says:
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    @Long Bawls: I’d never talk to that guy again.

  24. elwood blues says:
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    @Stephen:
    Who would you take between Robinson, Singleton and Shelby Miller?
    I’m leaning towards Singleton.

  25. elwood blues says:
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    @elwood blues:
    well now trayvon is off the board..
    so now its singleton or a top pitcher like Miller maybe Taillon.. but I am hesitant on pitchers after Stras. last yr.. and Latos this yr.

  26. Stephen says:
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    @elwoodblue: sounds like you want Singleton. wouldn’t say no, but als know he hasn’t proven he can hit developed pitchers.

  27. elwood blues says:
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    @Stephen: well singleton was just grabbed so it looks like one of those pitchers or derek norris

  28. Stephen says:
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    @elwood blue: Norris.

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