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If the last week of the baseball season is the final leg, we’re in the toe portion of the fantasy baseball season.  In roto, you’re throwing everyone you need to if you’re behind in your starts/innings limit.  For instance, yesterday I started eight guys in one league.  Were they all gems?  Aw, heck no.  If you have starts/innings to spare and you need the Ks/Wins, you have to throw people you wouldn’t normally throw.  Last week’s borderline starters post netted a 3.50 ERA, 46 Ks, 6 Wins in 72 innings.  Yeah, that’s pretty good.  Maybe I won’t draft any starters next year and just stream.  Anyway, here’s some borderline starters I might gamble on depending on your situation this week in fantasy baseball:

Monday, September 28th

Rick Porcello – There’s no one I really like on Monday.  Porcello’s the only one I can even think I’d take a chance on and it would have to be a very deep league.

Tuesday, September 29th

Brian Duensing – In 14 2/3 innings, he has a .61 vs. the Tigers.  Coincidentally, that’s who he’s facing on Tuesday.

Trevor Cahill – Has been very strong vs. the West and, in particular, the Mariners.

Jonathan Sanchez – Last week I pointed that he was going to face the Diamondbacks and he’d strike out a lot of them.  He did both.  This week, more of the same.

Wednesday, September 30th

Bronson Arroyo – I probably should’ve mentioned this three weeks ago, but I’ve been judging “borderline” by ESPN ownership numbers.  30% owned and under gets the pitcher listed.  Bronson Arroyo really shouldn’t be owned in only 28.7% of leagues.

Vicente Padilla – Last week I said I’d never recommend him again.  Well, he’s in Petco and I lied.

Thursday, October 1st

Tom Gorzelanny – He falls into the Porcello category of guys I wouldn’t start outside of very deep leagues.  Really is only listed because it’s a short schedule day.

Paul Maholm – He’s also in the Gorzelanny and Porcello category.  Deep leagues only.

Brett Anderson – Also in the Gorzelanny/Porcello/Maholm category.

Friday, October 2nd

Randy Wells – He’s been real iffy lately, but this is a decent start to take a risk on him.

Clayton Richard – HodgePadre.

Saturday, October 3rd

Ryan Rowland-Smith – His last start vs. the Blue Jays wasn’t a thing of beauty but two of those runs he gave up were courtesy of The Pitcher Laureate, Miguel Batista.  (BTW, in that article, Batista compares himself to Brian Benben from Dream On.  And not because he often finds himself in comedic situations that also provide their fair share of T & A.)

Kevin Correia – He actually has been very solid even away from Petco, but enough of that now, he’s home vs. the Giants.

Sunday, October 4th

Homer Bailey – Nothing like ending the season and relying on Homer Bailey.

Chris Narveson – This is an iffy recommendation.  If the Cardinals bench their A lineup (Holliday and Pujols) on the final day, I’d start Narveson.  So, game time decision.

Edward Mujica – If the Padres are home, I’m more than likely buying.

Jonathan Sanchez – Only thing better than pitching at Petco is getting to face the Padres.

From Around The Web

  1. dodgerdog says:
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    would you go with wade davis over duensing? i need Ks and don’t fear BAL as much as i did a month ago

  2. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @dodgerdog: Sure, I could see that if you need Ks.

  3. GTS says:
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    Thanks Grey!

    I would have added Wade Davis vs BAL, John Lannan vs NYM (he’s done well against them in most of his starts this year – including his last 3 starts against them), and Wade LeBlanc vs SF (at PETCO plus he did well against them last time out).

  4. kwak says:
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    If think there needs to be a Razzball term for when a relief pitcher is brought into a game during a non-save situation, proceeds to give up runs thereby creating a save situation, then gets the save. A la Matt Thornton last night. Keep in mind the sure ERA and WHIP bump while getting the Save.

    Thoughts?

  5. GTS says:
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    @kwak: He came into the game during the 8th when it was a save situation. There is no such thing as creating a save situation for yourself.

  6. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @GTS: In the right situation, I’d add those guys too. Depends how much risk you want to take.

    @kwak: He was brought into a game that was a save situation in the 8th then gave up runs in the ninth.

  7. Razzin says:
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    Can someone call the Dodgers and remind them they have a game tomorrow? They forgot to show up today. Got spanked by LaRoche and the Dread Pirate (and the 15 bucks fans in attendance) 11-1.

  8. Colotov Mocktease says:
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    Per mlb.com, Torre announced that Padilla will not start this week.

  9. Jay says:
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    I got burnt today by the Pirates Dodgers game, however I am winning almost all pitching catagories in the h2h finals. not counting todays stats:

    My pitching: 6-4 5 saves, 67 K 1 hold, 4.43 era 1.34 whip
    opponents: 3-5 4 saves, 54 K 0 hold, 8.58 era 1.85 whip

    I have Annibal Sanchez going later today. My only relievers going today are Jepsen and Valverde.I’m just wondering with 6 days to go what would be the safer strategy for me as far as pitching catagories (going into today im winning 17-5).

    Should I be starting my starters, or sit them and ride my rp to the finish line? Is there an optimal strategy in this situation?

    My rotation looks like this, and this is a holds league:

    SP:Kuroda,Sanchez,Duensing,Hanson,Zito,Haren,Vazquez,Arroyo,Rowland-Smith

    RP:Jepsen,Valverde,Affeldt,Hawksworth,Reyes

    What should i be doing in regards to sit/start in regards sp vs rp? Or is my sp rotation strong enough that i should be starting them all no matter what this week?

  10. Big Mike says:
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    @grey: Rank these iffy SP’s: D.Davis @ SF, Pelfrey @ WAS, Lannan VS NYM, Cl.Richard vs LAD, Gorzelanny vs PIT, Correia vs. SF, and Pedro vs HOU.

    I say Lannan, Correia, Gorz, Pedro, Richard, Davis, Pelfrey, but my co-owner disagrees.

  11. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Jay: I’d just pick and choose starters. I’d bench Zito and Kuroda’s next start, unless you start to need to take the risk because of an iffy start or two from your other guys.

    @Big Mike: Correia, Richard, Pedro, Lannan, Gorz, Pelfrey….

  12. Jay says:
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    Is it early enough in the week that I should be able to recover from Kuroda’s meltdown today with who I have? Or should I be using the Kuroda and Zito spots to spot start people for the rest of the week just incase or would another RP and a spot starting spot be better?

  13. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Jay: No, they’re okay to risk a start on if you need it. Just sit on them unless you need them.

  14. Big Mike says:
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    @Grey: Kuroda will get another start. Will Tim Hudson (at home vs. Marlins Tuesday)? And streamables in Wed starts (and thereafter) are done for the year … right?

  15. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Big Mike: Streamables from Wednesday on are done. Hudson will get a start if it matters for the playoffs.

  16. Steve says:
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    Ah – so many options and only one start left.

    Only have Sanchez and the Wolfman (sounds like a great name for a TV show – Grey, over to you) left on my roster as starters.

    Sanchez @ Petco is the most appealing, no?

    Not that it’s going to make a damn bit of difference.

  17. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: Sanchez it is. I like that show. It’s Teen Wolf meets Chico and the Man.

  18. Steve says:
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    @Grey: Ah, Chico and the Man. I still remember that one.

    Declines don’t come much sadder than Freddie Prinze’s.

    You can tell that we’re getting close to the off-season ;-)

  19. Rory says:
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    I have 3 guys tonight, 2 of whom are facing each other (Blackburn vs. Porcello) in addition to Niemann.

    Of the 3 which should I start? I’m hesitant to start the two against each other, and am pretty set on starting Niemann @ Baltimore.

    Does Porcello or Blackburn have a better chance of picking up a Win?

  20. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: I respect his senior’s decline more than junior’s.

    @Rory: I like Porcello better than Blackburn, hence the above, but none are highly recommended. Niemann probably will be fine vs. Baltimore, but I wouldn’t start him.

  21. Steve says:
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    @Grey: Quite so.

    I hadn’t even factored Jr into my observation.

  22. Furtah says:
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    Hi Grey, I still have an outside chance in my league, but need Wins badly. Which starter(or starters) should I pick up for tommorow 9/29 start;

    Pelfrey (NYM) @ WAS (Martin)
    Duensing (MIN) @ DET (Verlander)
    Marquis (Col) @ MIL (Parra)

    and which for Wednesday 9/30;…

    Lannan (WAS) vs. NYM (Redding)
    Penny (SF) vs. ARI (Mulvey)
    Richard (SD) vs. LAD (Garland)

    thanks!

  23. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Furtah: Pelfrey and Richard

  24. penpen says:
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    I mean I know you labeled him a keeper, but seems he risks some over-valuation for next year

  25. winnawinnachickendinna says:
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    Josh Beckett was slated to start tonight according to YAHOO, and didn’t? whats up with that, anyone know… i dont wanna sift around…. thanks

  26. winnawinnachickendinna says:
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    nvmind…. i see it says he had back spasms now! nice timing beckett! take some damn meds!

  27. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @penpen: Eh, I’ve seen that before. I’m not going to say he’ll hit 35 again, but you’d take 25 homers and like it (maybe not like it quite as much).

  28. Billy says:
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    Where is the razzpuck?

  29. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Billy: If I had some dedicated friends/Razzball readers that wanted to handle then I’d consider it, but I don’t know hockey.

  30. struggler says:
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    I only have 5 moves left! Need to make the most of them.
    Can you rank these starts (standard cats w/ QS):
    Duensing vs Det
    Davis @ SF
    Correia vs SF
    LeBlanc vs Pit
    Bailey vs PIT
    Cahill vs LAA

    And can you rank these for the rest of the week (standard cats w/ OBP – Don’t need steals):
    Carlos Guillen, Michael Young, Jay Bruce, Franklin Gutiérrez

    Thanks!!!

  31. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @struggler: Correia, Bailey, Duensing, LeBlanc, Cahill…

    Guillen, The Big FraGu, Young…

  32. Steve says:
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    Aubrey? More like Audrey today.

    And he’s stranded more men than a budget airline.

  33. Neil says:
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    Re: Asdrubal Cabrera having a “decent” year, he currently ranks as the #8 SS on ESPN’s Player Rater…and that is with missing three or four weeks with a dislocated shoulder.

    Asdrubal was sent to AAA in mid-2008 because he stunk. When he came back, he hit .320/.398/.464 and he is hitting .308/.361/.439 in 2009.

    So for the last 1.5 years, he’s been “OPSing” .830 or so with a .300+ AVG. The 17 steals this season are a big jump over the 6 he posted in 2008, but he stole 25 bases in 2007, so the speed is there.

    He turns 24 in November and has already given us AVG, speed and the ability to score runs and drive them in.

    With a full season of at bats, I can see him going .290, 6 HR, 90 runs, 70 RBI, 15-20 SB. Not breathtaking, but not too shabby from your SS.

  34. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: Ha!

    @Neil: Yeah, not bad, not great. Thanks for expanding on decent.

  35. struggler says:
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    Last ? for the night: Andrus, Stubbs, Young? I dont like Andrus batting 9th. I do like Young hitting a double in his first AB back and hitting 2nd…
    I lied – What do you do in the off season?

  36. big o says:
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    rust never sleeps

  37. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @struggler: Andrus has four steals in the last week, Young may get RBIs, Runs and average, Stubbs has speed, but could be awful on average.

  38. Steve says:
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    @Grey: Still liking Patterson over Andrus?

  39. spencer says:
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    wanna congratulate ian kinsler? i never got the chance to say it:

    30/30 WOOO

  40. DrEasy says:
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    Does anyone know what happened to Edwin? According to Yahoo, he was replaced by Kevin Millar of all people to play 3B.

  41. DrEasy says:
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    Looks like Michael Brantley is losing PT to Crowe. Who should I dump him for (it’s for my UTIL spot, and I need good stats in every category):

    Delmon Young, MLP, Daric Barton

  42. Jackie says:
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    What do you think about Joba vs. the Royals on weds? SHould be a no pressure outing having clinched and all…

  43. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: Patetrson has three steals in the last four days, seems fine either way.

    @DrEasy: Think it was an injury, not sure how bad though.

    @DrEasy: Go with Young.

    @Jackie: A no pressure outing when they might not play their stars. I wouldn’t start him, but he might be fine.

  44. Steve says:
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    @Grey: Hanging in til the bitter end. Don’t want to disrespect the game ;-)

  45. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: Definitely. Any word in New Zealand what happened to Edwin Encarnacion? BTW, what’s up with WordPress underlining Zealand as if it’s spelled wrong? Actually, it underlines WordPress too so I guess there’s that.

  46. DrEasy says:
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    Here’s an interesting one: I am in holds league, and here’s my situation in the saves and the holds categories:

    I have the following relievers:

    – Hughes, Mike Gonzalez, Dan Meyer, Franklin Morales, to help me with the holds. I hate Morales right now, but his SP eligibility is precious to me, and besides: HAGNOF!

    – Hoffman, Jim Johnson, Juan Gutierrez, MacDougal to help with the saves.

    I can’t catch the guy ahead of me in saves. The guy behind me has only three fewer saves, but only two closers: Fuentes and Soria. So I feel pretty safe there.

    I can’t be caught in holds, but the two guys ahead of me have only 2 and 4 more holds than me respectively.

    I want to drop MacDougal or Jim Johnson and pick up Bruney. Girardi wants to play Bruney at least three times before the end of the season. MacDougal or Johnson don’t get that many saves anyway, and they’re hurting my ratios too. And I can’t drop anybody else.

    Does this make any sense? If so, which one should I let go: MacDougal or Johnson (sounds like a case of Tomato- Tomahto to me)? I’m tending toward dropping MacDougal.

  47. Steve says:
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    @Grey: No word on EE. The underlining is there to emphasise our global importance.

  48. big o says:
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    @Grey:
    did you fix abreu for me ?? !

  49. cake_eater says:
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    For tomorrow, who do you like for some rbi and/or hr potential? Suzuki, Byrd, Davis? I’m thinking Byrd since I don’t like the Oak matchup against F-Her.

    Oh and for some reason, my opponent dropped Mini Donkey. Don’t really know why, but would you consider him a must pickup at the moment? He can help me in the rbi/hr cats, but my opponent and I are close in avg, with my leading. Worth it? Thanks Grey.

  50. DrEasy says:
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    @DrEasy: Well, I decided to go for it, (so no worries if you skipped that uber-long post of mine!), hopefully Bruney will give me the holds I need.

  51. big o says:
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    @Grey:
    2nd week of h2h playoffs for the title (7×7) .
    tomorrow i sit upton @ utility and replace him with butler , because i’m trying to make a move on the obp category . …and butler vs burnett is only less sucky than upton vs jonathon o .
    worse yet , i sit reynolds and replace him with NOBODY .

    this is where fantasy vs reality is most distinct .
    and it feels pretty shitty .

    truth be told , tommorow morning i may wake up and sit butler , as well ….. since i have fairly comfortable margins in all other offensive categories , except sb , (where my lead is only 4-2) and he is only 2 for 7 lifetime vs a.j.

    thoughts ??

  52. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @DrEasy: That’s cool, should work for you.

    @cake_eater: Pick up Reynolds and Byrd.

    @big o: Sounds fine to play Butler.

  53. Jay says:
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    Who do I pick up for wednesday from the wire?

    Robinson Tejada,Ricky Nolasco,Pedro Martinez,Jon Garland,Carl Pavano,Tim Wakefield,Jason Hammel,John Smoltz,Brad Penny,Tim Redding,Clayton Richards

    of my current SP who do I need to sit and start for the rest of the week?

    SP:Vazquez,Arroyo,Brian Duensing,Kuroda,Anibal Sanchez,Tommy Hanson,Barry Zito,Dan Haren,Ryan Rowland-Smith

  54. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Jay: I’m not sure what you need or don’t need. In some instances, I’d pick everyone there but Redding, Hammel and Wakefield.

  55. Jay says:
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    not counting today the h2h stats for the week pitching wise are:

    me: 6-6 (5 saves) 74 K’s 1 hold, 4.58 era, 1.43 whip
    them: 3-5 (4 saves) 54 K’s 0 hold, 8.58 era, 1.85 whip

    I have Duensing going today and they have no sp.

  56. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Jay: Seems like you’re going to win without grabbing random starters. I’d hold tight for now. Maybe press with the starters on Thursday or Friday, depending on where you stand at that point.

  57. Jay says:
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    Well i’m more than likely about to pick up a loss today which ties us, and my whip obviously will go up.Of course thats not counting my rp’s today. So its going to be close right now since this is a h2h league.

  58. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Jay: Then I’d grab Richard and lose Sanchez.

  59. Jay says:
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    I mean the loss ties us in the losses catagory not over all im winning 15 – 6 but most of my team has been struggling in all catagories so far week 26.

  60. Jay says:
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    What sp should I pick up for thursday?

    I have Hanson vs Was and Haren @ SF

    on the wire – Manny Parra,Aaron Cook,Brett Anderson,Doug Fister,Kip Wells,Chris Waters

  61. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Jay: I’d go with just Haren and Hanson.

  62. Dingo says:
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    I’m trying to blow my wad tomorrow and bust through the innings cap. I’ve got Ubaldo @ LA and Blanton v. Florida. At this point, I’m very unlikely to gain or lose any points in ERA, WHIP, or K/BB, so it’s just about picking up as many Ws, Ks, and QSs as possible. If I’ve got three spots available, which of the following look the best?

    Lowe v. WAS
    Snell @ TEX
    McCarthy @ SEA
    Gonzalez v. LAA
    Gorzelanny v. ARI
    Buckner @ CHC

    I’m leaning towards Lowe and Gonzalez, but then I can’t decide among the rest.

  63. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Dingo: McCarthy, Lowe, Gorze…

  64. Furtah says:
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    I’ll try to make this simple.

    I can either start any 2 of these pitchers on Fri/Sat (Saunders @ Oak, Gorzelany vs. Ari, LeBlanc @ SF or Rowland Smith vs. Tex) – then pitch any combination of Felix, Verlander (probably wont start), Marquis, Martin, Figueroa on my final day Sunday… Or I can pitch both Gorzelany and Saunders on Friday and LeBlanc and Rowland Smith (and maybe Richmond, Laffey, etc.) on Saturday as my last day. I don’t want to miss out on Felixs’ start, but none of the other Sunday options are better than LeBlanc, Rowland, Gorz or Saunders).

    Please help! I need Wins and WHIP.

  65. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Furtah: I’d go with the pitching LeBlanc and R-Smith on Friday option.

  66. Jay says:
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    My team has gone from having a 17-4 lead on Monday, to an 11-11 tie today.Large part to my normally lights out pitching being anything but decent, and my batters not being used everyday and not hitting for anything when they do.

    Who do I pick up as spot starters for Friday ,because thanks to my teams inconsistancies my guarantee win is now slipping away?

    Dice-K,David Price,John Maine,Joe Saunders,Ian Snell,Joe Blanton,Kevin Correia,Brandon McCarthy,Tom Gorzelanny

  67. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Jay: Correia

  68. Jay says:
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    Saturday spot starters? Or since I have a decent chance at wins do i need to be sitting my starters in hopes of my opponent having losses?

    me: 7-9 (5 saves) 112 K’s 1 hold 4.49 era 1.39 whip
    them: 4-9 (5 saves) 77 K’s 0 holds 7.56 era 1.73 whip

    I have: Rowland-Smith@Texas
    They have: Jorge De La Rosa@LAD

    on the wire: Cueto,Pettite,Tommy Hunter,Zach Duke,Nick Blackburn,Kyle Lohse,Freddy Garcia,Wade LeBlanc,Scott Richmond

    who do i need to go to on the wire for saves this weekend? Nunez,Morales,Madson,Wood,Balfour,Lyon,Donnley,Jim Johnson,Capps

  69. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Jay: Madson, Capps and Johnson for saves. For starters, I’d own Cueto and LeBlanc. And hope the Dodgers clinch so dlR isn’t pushed. Rowland-Smith is home, not at Texas and is a decent spot start.

  70. Jay says:
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    What rp do I need to drop? i got my 1 hold, and doesn’t look like he will get one, so I don’t necessarly need some of the rp any more since holds may be locked.

    Valverde,Frasor,Affeldt,Hawksworth,Calero,Gutierrez,Reyes,Donnelly

  71. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Jay: I’d drop Hawksworth, Calero and Reyes.

  72. Jay says:
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    I have 3 roster spots open now is that alright since its the final weekend and I plan on using my sp spots for the spot starters on sunday, or should i get people off the wire just incase?

    Also as far as the RP goes who do i sit – Valverde,Frasor,Gutierrez,Capps,Johnson,Donelly,Madson

  73. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Jay: Yeah, I’d get them off the wire before someone gets them before you. I’d sit Donnelly, but I have no idea how many you have to sit.

  74. Jay says:
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    I already picked up all of them, had starters that were done so i used those spots. I still some how have 3 extra roster spots after.

    i have 2 SP spots, 2 RP spots, and 4 p spots then bench. So if i have 3 starters like I do for tomorrow I have 5 spost to use for RP.

  75. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Jay: I’d sit Frasor and Donnelly then.

  76. Jay says:
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    since yet again for the 6th straight day, everyone on my team has failed to get the job done. do i need to be considering sitting my sp and hoping my opponents rosey shining week slows down?

    right now its

    Me: 7-10 (5 saves) 119 K’s 1 Hold 4.40 era, 1.35 whip
    Other: 5-9 (5 saves) 87 K’s 0 holds 7.15 era, 1.68 whip

    Today I have Rowland-Smith vs Texas, and Cueto vs Pit do I sit either? They have De La Rosa vs the Dodgers.With the situation what it is do I sit either and hope La Rosa gets lit up by the dodgers like Jimmenez should have last night?

    My bats are underperforming and not getting at bats on top of that, and my pitchers couldnt win if their life depended on it this week, which is how my 17-4 lead turned into 11-11.

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