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I just spent thirty minutes looking up what Jere Burns has been up to.  Ah, the offseason.  You are a soothing mistress that touches my naughty bits with idle hands.  A quick preamble about the 2014 fantasy baseball rookie series that is coming from me over the next few weeks.  Rookies are picked through MLB eligibility requirements, less than 130 ABs or 50 IP.  That means no Avisail Garcia, no Michael Wacha and no Danny Salazar.  In 2012, the first batter I highlighted was Mike Trout.  That wasn’t an accident.  I said in the Mike Trout post that “he’s ranked number one for me.  Numero uno.  The Big Mahoff.  He’s the big Statue of Liberty in New York, not that girly one in Paris!”  Last year, the first batter I highlighted was Wil Myers.  You see a pattern?  Eh, slow your juices on the thinking.  I’ll tell you.  The first rookie I highlight will be a top rookie for fantasy.  This prospect isn’t no ordinary man, this is the prospect I be seeing in my sleep.  Billy Hamilton will be your number one fantasy rookie for next year.  With Dusty’s toothpick out of Cincy, how will playing time shake out for Hamilton?  What if the toothpick stays, but Dusty goes?  How will food shake out of Dusty’s teeth?  Will Dusty be relegated to coaching Little League games, which will mean there will be no new major league pitchers in ten years because he’ll ruin them at twelve years old?  So many questions and so little time to look up Jere Burns info!  Anyway, what can we expect of Billy Hamilton for 2014 fantasy baseball?

A crapload of steals.  A shizzstorm of speed.  Stealing on the low.  Running on the low.  Sliding on the low, as Drake would say.  I really don’t want to like Drake, but his songs are damn catchy.  You know what’s not catchy?  Hamilton when he’s running.  I was a tad skeptical when I heard he broke the all-time steals record in the minor leagues.  I like to see a guy with my own eyes.  Well, I’m convinced.  I haven’t see anyone steal like him since Rickey Henderson.  Vince Coleman had this kind of speed too.  A young Jose ReyesKenny Lofton.  A guy that is on 2nd base as soon as he’s on first.  Then on third.  I have goose pimples.  Hamilton had 13 steals in 13 games and 22 plate appearances.  When everyone in the stadium knows a guy is stealing and there’s still nothing that can be done, a guy can steal 75 bases with ease.  That’s probably with a plus or minus 25 steals.  Everything else besides runs will be pedestrian.  I don’t think he hits .260.  Doubt he hits more than 2 homers.  Could have less than 25 RBIs.  The big question that I mentioned above between Jere Burns mentions is the playing time.  How many ABs will he get?  I think he’ll see 330-350 ABs.  The Reds have a great thing with Hamilton.  It jazzes up the fans like a mix CD from Crate & Barrel.  Like they’re piping in oxygen laced with Red Bull.  If guys had boobs and they flashed them at baseball games, they’d be flashing Billy Hamilton.  That’ll work to get Hamilton playing time.  It’s like John C. Riley in the sound booth in Boogie Nights.  The magic that is on Hamilton’s feet is his and it can’t be taken away.  He still won’t be an everyday guy, and you probably don’t want him to be because he can’t handle all pitchers yet.  In 350 ABs, I’ll give him the line of 73/2/28/.250/67.

From Around The Web

  1. gareth says:
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    Walk up music for b-ham In 2014?

    Life In The fast lane – eagles.

    Suggestions please…..

    • Wheeler in the sky says:
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      @gareth:
      I don’t think there’s a chance in hell he uses it, but Springsteen’s Born to Run seems like a solid fit to me. But I’ll vote for the theme song to Flash Gordon. That would be fun for a month or so.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @gareth: Run Around by Blues Traveler

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
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        @gareth: @Grey: 100 Miles and Runnin’

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: runnin’ by the pharcyde

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Chariots of Fire theme song

          • Nate says:
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            @Grey: She Got Legs – Z Z Top

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Hehe… Nice

              • UncleLarryWalker says:
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                @Grey: I ran (so far away) – flock of seagulls

    • OaktownSteve says:
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      @gareth:

      Pink Floyd…Run Like Hell

    • Long Bawls says:
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      @gareth: Anything by the band Diarrhea Planet.

    • Yeshcheese says:
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      @gareth: well I would walk 500 miles!

    • Allan Gustafson says:
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      Crosstown Traffic by JIMI

    • Do You Even Lift? says:
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      @gareth: Since Grey seems to be somewhat of a Hiphop Head, I’m going with Slim Thug – “I Run”

    • G Penny says:
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      @gareth: I second Runnin by Pharcyde, but Fast Life by Kool G Rap & Nas also came to mind.

    • birrrdy! says:
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      @gareth: Run Like Hell – Pink Floyd

  2. J-Dub says:
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    Running with the devil

  3. Milo says:
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    It sounds like Hamilton is going to be like Juan Pierre when he was in his prime.

    • chunk says:
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      @Milo: Juan Pierre had a prime?

      • Ra'zball Al Ghul says:
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        @chunk: LoL!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Milo: Pierre was 55 steals to 65 steals in his prime, so Hamilton should be better…

  4. Jay

    Jay says:
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    Billy Hamilton was taken in the 7th round in that experts mock we’re doing with other sites.

    GREY RESCUE ME

    • David Reynolds says:
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      @Jay,
      The writers over at Baseballprof.com seem to be the only ones to like the selection. They have two writers that have voted it for a good pick. Plus the person who drafted him is from Baseballprof.com Outside of those three it has been viewed a bad pick by the other drafters and people viewing from the outside.

      • Jay

        Jay says:
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        @David Reynolds: just to be clear, things like this are subjective. I normally don’t use a scale of good/bad, moreso expected/surprised.

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
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          @Jay: I expected you to select Gyorko in the 10th and surprised that you took Hardy instead.

          • Jay

            Jay says:
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            @Big Magoo: Hardy seemed like good value, and mocked are the only place I don’t utilize blatent homerism. Which I might be doing in reverse.

            • Big Magoo

              Big Magoo says:
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              @Jay: You can redeem yourself by going Gyorko (if he lasts)/Venable back to back at the next turn. Make the Friars proud.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Jay: Jump on top of my brain and I’ll carry you out of this cave… Though Wilin Rosario in the 6th round worries me a bit more than Hamilton…

      • Jay

        Jay says:
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        @Grey: I liked him there for some reason though.

        I might have trust issues with all the other top tier C’s.

        I might have been drinking.

        What this post presupposes is, why not both?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          How about ‘I trust you’ve been drinking?’ You say that to every girl who sits next to you at the bar and you will score eventually… Though the woman will want to go outside to smoke and she’ll be wearing jorts…

  5. Boomer19 says:
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    I tilted a few at the bar last night and bet $100 that Hamilton will steal 80 bags this year. What do you think my odds are?

    • PB&J with a baseball bat says:
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      @Boomer19: It’s not beyond his ability but it becomes extra risky with his playing time up in the air. Hope you got 2:1 odds…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Boomer19: Depends on playing time… I can’t imagine anyone projecting him for more than 75 bases, so you’re past reasonable possibility or likely… Maybe 7 to 1….

  6. Big Deal says:
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    1st time poster – 1st year joining keeper/dynasty leagues. Just came across this site during off-season and been browsing a lot.

    I am intrigued by this selection because Hamilton seems to be a different type of player than Trout or Myers, he lacks the homers and RBIs and his BA will be quite lower. Are his steals that valuable? I imagine there are limited rookies to choose from and Bogaerts isn’t guaranteed an everyday starting spot. When you look at counting stats in a 5X5 Roto league, how do you evaluate the importance of each one? I tend to add up HR+RBI+Run+SB to find how valuable a player is and then adjust a little based on BA. Am I thinking this wrong?

    How does Billy Hamilton compare to Asdrubal Cabrera and Elvis Andrus for next season? I have Cabrera ($3/1 year) and am debating trading for Hamilton ($3/3 years) or Andrus ($10/1 year). Who is the better option? What do you think about trading Kyle Crick for Hamilton? Is Hamilton worth trading for long-term as in 3-6 years?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Big Deal: 70 steals is very valuable… It wins you a category… Homers are more valuable because they give you a run and RBI too… I’d take Hamilton over Crick… He’s about equal with Andrus, maybe a tad above Asdrubal now that Asdrubal is declining… Hamilton’s not a shortstop though…

      • Big Deal says:
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        @Grey:

        Thanks for the help. Great tips like always. I play in Yahoo, which had him listed at SS this past season. So I’m hoping he retains the SS eligibility.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          He didn’t play SS this past season, so unless he does this upcoming year he will lose eligibility…

          • Big Deal says:
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            @Grey:

            Oh, so that’s how the system works. I always wondered how/why some players lost eligibility and others kept it. Thanks for the heads up.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              No problem

  7. PB&J with a baseball bat says:
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    Is Hamilton gonna be SS eligible next year? I wouldn’t draft him as just an outfielder…

  8. J-FOH says:
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    Why do I always see hot women a the airport. Its 9 am in ontario…wtf

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Send them to Vegas…VEGAS!

      • Pops says:
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        @Grey: Send them all to Vegas. I’m waiting.

  9. Sniff Test says:
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    Hopefully people will over pay for him in redraft leagues and I can get an Eric Young type player for practically free.

    • Swagger Jackers says:
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      @Sniff Test: I was thinking the same thing. There will be guys like EYJ, Maybin, and Revere sitting there much later in the draft.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, could see that argument…

  10. way too *#^% for this says:
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    10 team standard roto 7 keepers

    Goldshmidt
    Carlos Gonzalez
    Longoria
    Segura
    Myers
    Rizzo
    Ortiz

    Moore
    Shelby
    Anibal
    Kuroda
    Iwakuma

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Seven hitters

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Grey: that was easy, huh.

  11. FMFBL says:
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    great stuff as usual.
    always curious when guys predict into the future. how do you land on 67 as opposed to 65 or 70? i imagine it’s a formula of AB*contact rate/put-out percentage{4xtoothpick}?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Lots of toothpick modification…

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Grey: is that a I Ching reference?

  12. OaktownSteve says:
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    Hamilton will be an interesting case in RCL and other shallow leagues, especially those with deeper benches, where he can be streamed and lack of playing time could actually be a benefit. Could be a nice pairing with say a Marco Scutaro type that will bump the counters up a little and raise the net slot average.

    • OaktownSteve says:
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      @OaktownSteve:

      Actually seeing as how he won’t be SS eligible, you can pair him with an OF platooner with a little pop and avg. and get a real nice Frankenplayer, maybe get 10-12 HRs and 50+ steals out of the slot without killing other categories.

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
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        @OaktownSteve: Hamilton + Hunter/Nava/Markakis could give you .275/90/12/60/50. Very nice looking Frankenplayer.

        • OaktownSteve says:
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          @Big Magoo:

          Basically Ellsbury’s line from this year minus 25 points in BA. Ells was the 17th ranked hitter in Razz for 2013. So basically if you can get Hamilton in the 4th round or later and platoon him with a replacement level late rounder you have a chance to get more than you paid if everything works out. Only downside is using the extra roster spot all year.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Yeah, just seeing this follow up now

        • OaktownSteve says:
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          @Grey:

          I think the only problem is Hamilton is bound to be overdrafted by somebody with visions of 120 steals dancing in their head.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Yeah, likely…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, could totally see a case for that, but without SS eligibility so not sure about Scutaro, say…

  13. SteveNZ says:
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    Be careful out there, Albright.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks, Steve… Being careful isn’t for bachelor parties though…

  14. OaktownSteve says:
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    Is this the big Vegas bachelor party weekend? Not sure if you have gambling on the mind, probably not, but I know we’ve talked about shooting craps before. Casino Royale right next to Harrah’s has craps tables with 100x odds and one dollar flat bet minimum and they bring the drinks fastly and furiously (and bustily). Best place for the pure craps gambler on the strip.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @OaktownSteve: I remember the Royale. It’s a bit of a hole in the wall compared to the other places on the strip. Space is at a premium. Only a handful of craps tables if I remember correctly. Can’t beat the 100x odds though. And the drink/hooter factor.

      • OaktownSteve says:
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        @Big Magoo:

        Total dive. I think they generally have two tables running. There might be 4 in there. Can’t remember. Old Vegas vibe in there. No glam. Just gambling and smoking.

        • goodfold2 says:
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          @OaktownSteve: royale in st. louis is like the best martini bar in the whole city. 2 for 1 deals on certain middle weekdays.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’m in Vegas right now… I’ll go check that out, me love craps…

  15. J-FOH says:
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    Yo grey. I threw you a bachelor party shout out today in my article. And imo a great bachelor party clip to remind yoy what’s important this weekend.

    Have a blast and blackout

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks, JFoH! I’m doing my best to get this donkey out of my hotel room…

  16. costaricanchata says:
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    gotta pick 6 keepers from this list :
    rosario
    davis
    cabrera
    ellsbury
    hamilton
    cespedes
    harper
    darvish

    thinking about throwing back rosario and cespedes .

    having both ellsbury and hamilton allows me to draft
    all fat tub-o-lard type guys who can hit the ball over the fence .
    even middle infielders like hardy , utley , & , howie kendrick … who prolly
    won’t get 15 sb’s between them .
    and trumbo* ….who loses 3rd base eligibility this year .

    of course , putting all of my sb eggs in the ellsbury/hamilton basket
    could get dicey if injuries and playing time takes a cruel turn .

    BUT , those odds can’t be much worse than your chances of not
    losing a couple of hundred bucks at the dice tables in vegas .
    (dice can be cruel . they don’t give a shizz that it’s your special day .
    the way they look at it , at least you have a chance of getting laid .)

    * curious to see your ranking , now that he loses that eligibility .

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Cabrera? Asdrubal?

      • costaricanchata says:
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        @Grey:

        miggy

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @costaricanchata: Assuming Billy Hamilton too and not Josh… Throw back Rosario and Cespedes, yup…

  17. goodfold2 says:
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    kershaw and puig look terrible tonight.

  18. SteveNZ says:
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    He’s made a Puig’s ear out of every ball that’s come his way.

    • goodfold2 says:
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      @SteveNZ: shame he doesn’t get a double and do his little dance tonight. That’d show us up. Whole team should wear those mickey mouse ears they like so much.

  19. AJ says:
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    OH well Dodgers are Cooked and Boston Strong will beat these redbirds….its all good Dodgers are a work in progress and if they get David Price and Cano next year Watch out!!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yup, agreed

      • costaricanchata says:
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        @Grey:

        am disagreeing with you guys .
        st loo may win the next 3 or 4 world series .
        dynasty .

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @costaricanchata: I don’t disagree with you totally… Young pitching is good place to be building from…

          • costaricanchata says:
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            @Grey:

            we probably should be hearing from hippo .
            isn’t he from the heel ?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yup, he is…

  20. AJ says:
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    Why do they keep pitching to Beltran?? Havent they learned?? smh

    • goodfold2 says:
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      @AJ: nah, only best OPS in postseason history. nothing to see here.

      • AJ says:
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        @goodfold2: Beltran the soon to be Yankee is on that old man juice…lmao

  21. AJ says:
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    Joe Kelly the real MVP for the Cardinals…took out Hanley with a 95 mph fastball….not as sweet

  22. Slim

    Buddah Lovaz says:
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    The postseason is ruining my chances of drafting Wacha next year. Sigh… why do they even play games in October?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      HA… Great question!

  23. SteveNZ says:
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    For all he’s been through and the way he’s dealt with it, it’s hard not to get behind Max.

    • TheNewGuy says:
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      @SteveNZ: He seems a really good guy and an amazing competitor. Don’t think many even know what happened to his brother (suicide due to depression), for him to pitch on and actually improve so much after being so close to his bro is just incredible. I could never have done that.

      So wanted him to win last night and take it to 7, he’s probably been the 2nd best pitcher all year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @SteveNZ: Tough break for the Tigers… Go Cards!

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Grey: scherzer’s bro never left st.louis county. I mean he still lived there. although they are from the more upscale section of it.

  24. SteveNZ says:
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    Pedroia really is an objectionable little prick.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @SteveNZ: And he looks like he’s about 45 years old now… All the Sawx look so old with those beards…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @costaricanchata: Didn’t he also get caught with PEDs? Peguro’s shady…

  25. Marti says:
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    67 steals?…would that make him a top 75 guy because he wins you a category. He really does change how you approach the draft if you have him as a keeper.

    You buying this choo to Astros with springer about to explode on the scene.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Marti: Choo to the Astros would make sense, Astros need to do something… Yeah, Hamilton’s a top 75 guy with 67 steals…

  26. TheNewGuy says:
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    Hope you’re hitting the blackjack and poker hard!

    What a bum Fielder was all postseason. 0 RBIs throughout despite being supposedly health (well as healthy as is possible for him. He hasn’t been the same hitter since he left Milwaukee, that monster power to CF we used to see has totally gone, or is he just scared off by the CF graveyard in Comerica.

    Either way im staying well away from him next year, his numbers could go down further next year (this year he was saved by the RBIs). Is January Grey down on him too (not in the sexual way I hope to god!)?

    • costaricanchata says:
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      @TheNewGuy:

      am hoping guys in my leagues feel the same as you .
      am looking for fielder to have a strong performance in 2014 .

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @TheNewGuy: Came home up $15, I consider that a big win for Vegas… re: Fielder… The big-bellied don’t age well (see Ryan Howard), so there is reason for concern, not because of RBIs though…

  27. TheNewGuy says:
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    Wow, when Grey disappears so does everyone else. Talk about sheep (kidding)

  28. Chicken Dinner says:
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    Run like an antelope. ~ Phish

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha

  29. Chris P says:
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    Yo Grey, good stuff as always. I have Hamilton in my 16-team dynasty league and after taking 1st last year, I’m right in the middle of a run where my team could be pretty good, so I’d rather trade him them keep him. What do you think he’s worth in this format? Top 15-20 (for 2014) hitter/pitcher? Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, I’d take a top 20 hitter or SP for him right now… You can take followups to my newest post…

  30. Lines says:
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    H2H, 12-team, 10-keeper, 6×6 (OPS & QS, no wins). Rosters may expand for next year.-HITTERS-Lock: Trout, AJ10, Pedroia, Longoria, A-GonMaybe: Wieters, Hosmer, Mauer, Billy “The Lovechild of Wally West and Hermes” Hamilton-PITCHERS-Lock: Kershaw, PriceMaybe: Lester, MinorProlly not, yo: Beachy, RobertsonSensible fantasy-manager me says keep Hosmer, Hamilton, Minor.FANtasy manager me says keep Hosmer, Wieters, LesterCurious manager me asks whether Hosmer might be worth more than A-Gon this year, if he starts hitting in April instead of June. Also wondering if Mauer’s value is significantly boosted by his eligibility at C and 1B…. or his trade value as a BIG NAME.Your thoughts, Mr. Mustachioed Lothario?

    • Lines says:
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      @Lines: Oh jeezy creezy, sorry about the formatting on that comment. I’ll try again (sober) later.

      Maybe even in the current post. Maybe.

  31. Yo Bro says:
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    3 Keepers, all can be kept @ $5 for one year…well 2;

    1. Myers

    The rest to chose from are Hamilton, Shelby, Anibal, Gyorko, Springer or Adams.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Anibal, Hamilton

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