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One of the constant questions I get is ‘Where did you get your nick from?’ The other ones, if you were wondering, are ‘Who is that in your avatar and what is he holding?’. Obviously you’ve never seen Worf hold a tribble. But if you have, then you would know those things are not what is in my avatar. It is none other than Montgomery Scott, from old school Trek. And what is he holding in his hands? The answer to that, like all things in life, is whiskey. And don’t worry, I’m already advocating to Rudy for a Star Trek character page for all of us to link to. Thank me later. Anyhow, where were we? Ah, yes, the origination of my Razzy call-sign. Its really not that hard to decipher. Let’s just say that it was given a long time ago, in a state far, far away. And it was given because when I do things, in all aspects, I do them very, very wrong. And the reason all of this got brought up is Jay Bruce seems to be on pace to strikeout 209 times and only hit 18 homeruns. You certainly wouldn’t call that Jay Right, so let’s find out if we should start calling him Jay Wrong after the jump.

Did you jump? Did you like my internet jargon to describe clicking on the link to continue reading this post? Did you like me using the word ‘jargon’? I enjoyed all of these things quite well, so really, I can’t tell you how much I don’t care about what you think. Your expectations are quite low on my list of things to take notice of, and you know what? Jay Bruce seems to share that same trait. The only difference here is that I am joking and Bruce, apparently, is not. The reason he most likely does not care for your expectations is that he’s never lived up to them. Just to give you an example, after his age-21 rookie campaign of going 254/314/453 with 21 homeruns, there was certain ‘expectation’ to improve on that. In fact, there were some who compared Jay Bruce to the next Barry Bonds. I’m serious. Now, don’t get me wrong, hitting 21 homeruns in just 452 PA’s is not something to scoff at. In fact, that’s quite good, especially when you factor in his age. But fast-forward five years, and nothing much has really changed.

So now, after continually drinking the tears of all of us who thought a 280/350/520 with 40+ homeruns player was a coming around the mountain, we just kind of settled for who Bruce became. And that is a source of good power and good power only. You certainly are not drafting him for his 7 stolen bases or his .250 batting average. (Well, you might be, but then I would say you’re doing it wrong.) And of course, there is nothing wrong with targeting an automatic 30-homerun guy, especially in the current run-environment. In fact, wouldn’t you like to see GIFs of said power? And wouldn’t you like to see GIFs of said power, as reenacted from a scene in Breaking Bad? Of course you would, cause that’s what I do.

Note: Our protagonist, Jay Bruce, will play the part of Walter White. Cliff Lee and Hiram Burgos will play the part of Bogdan.

Bogdan: “Um, Walter, I’m short-handed, I’m going to need you to do some wipe downs.”

Bogdan: “Are you here to work or to stare at the skies?”

 Walt: “Ef you Bogdan! And your eyebrows!”

Walt: “Wipe down this!”

After all that GIFness and Walterness and eyebrowness, one should ask, and if one does not ask, I will, ‘When does it become wrong to draft a power-only guy?’. Well, when he stops hitting for power, that’s when. Cool story bro. Yes, I will admit that statement does seem quite simpleton in nature and form, but it does illustrate an important point. That all things end. And while we may not be at the end, we *might* be near a period where Bruce is transitioning out of his peak power years. Are the strikeouts the cause? Is he just unlucky? Is this all nothing? Let’s explore those possibilities.

The first issue I’ve noticed with Jay Bruce is that I don’t trust people with two first names. Why? Kevin James. Just saying that name conjures up images of multiple fat-falling/tripping, and uncontested groin shots from all kinds of different angles and objects. Secondly, and more importantly, the data this season is not meshing really well with what Bruce has done in his career. So far, we have his BB% at 6.1, which has dropped 3.7% from last season. And it’s also important to note that we now have a three-season trend of his BB% getting worse, dropping a total of 4.6% since 2011. Naturally, on the flip side, his K% has risen to 29.6, up from 24.5% previously, and rising a total 5.8% from 2011. When you explore his plate discipline a bit deeper, you’ll notice that he’s lost some contact ability. True, sitting at a Contact% of 71.7 when your career number is 73.8% isn’t some crazy outlier. But when you notice that the change comes mainly from Bruce’s Z-Contact% dropping a 6.3 off his career norms, well then, that raises an eyebrow. Making contact in the zone is a good thing. Bruce is doing the opposite right now.

You know what else is a good thing? That when making contact, doing it with power. So far this year, on all homeruns and flyballs, Jay Bruce, on average, has hit them for 288.19 feet. For context, that is 86th best in the league. What was it last year? 292.42 feet, good for 52nd. If you are telling me that is a negligible difference, this is me agreeing with you. In fact, the six homeruns he’s hit so far this year have an average distance of 407.8 feet and average speed off the bat of 106.3 MPH. Last year, Bruce hit them out at an average of 402 feet with an average speed of 103.9 MPH. So don’t worry, don’t do what you were thinking you were gonna do, which is, you know, FLIP OUT! The power is still there. And I bring this all up because even though the power is still there, there is some kind of stifling going on that has nothing to do with falling out of his peak power years.

So far, we have Bruce’s contact and plate discipline spoiling a bit, but his power is still, I don’t know, fresh? Cooked well-done? Deep-fried? I got in trouble like eight words into that metaphor. But what is holding him back, I mean, really changing the dynamic here? Well, his batted ball profile is kind of screwy. More line drives and less flyballs shows that the hits he elevates are being caught and not caught, but not going out of the ballpark. And the ground balls and increase of line drives that are being hit is fueling the luck-dragon called BABIP. Right now, his BABIP is sitting at .380, roughly 130% higher than his career number of .296. So obviously, the .280 batting average will come down.

Add the fact that Bruce generally is a very streaky player to begin with, its difficult to come to some sort of rock hard conclusion on what his stat page is telling me at this moment. The most worrisome aspect, losing some of his power, is not from injury nor age, but from issues with contact and discipline. These things still have time to change somewhat, more on the discipline side of things, so you could actually come to the conclusion that Jay Bruce is a player who is both lucky and unlucky at the same time, which makes my head want to explode.

Moreso than any other player I’ve discussed, I’m going to have to depend on my gut a bit more here than usual. His profile has some problems, but, at the same time, not unsolvable ones. And being a streaky player also plays a part here. After all, we are talking about a guy who has hit .375 with 5 homeruns in the last two weeks. So, with all this knowledge, I’m still somewhat a believer. I think a player can, in this case, both improve (power) and get worse (batting average), and still end up close to what we expected (250/30), but with somewhat deflated production (more K’s and less BB’s). I know, my head is still wanting to explode.

Suffice to say, the whole kitten kaboodle will regress, and ROS, I would expect Bruce’s AVG and BABIP to go down, but while the BABIP is lowering, line drives will start turning into flyballs, towards his career norm, which will then turn into homeruns. Did you get all of that? I certainly didn’t. So I’m going to say he produces 55/22/63/240/5 on top of the stats he has now, which actually puts him on course for a somewhat normal year. I’d still hold in redraft leagues, but if there’s a need, trade him during the current hot streak. Otherwise, expect what you did when you drafted him at the beginning of the year, but just a little bit less in all areas.

For keeper leagues, it gets a bit sketchy, especially when power is the first thing that will go in his skillset. But he’s not 36, nor is he 29. I’m guessing for the next couple of years, this 26-year-old will be okay. But the plate discipline and contact trends are something to keep an eye on, and could be his eventual downfall. You could say I’m sort of in a holding pattern, and would still expect 75/25/85/250/5 as a good starting point, with an equal chance of a possible outlier above or below, depending on the luck dragon. But there is risk here, I have to mention that.

Jay Bruce will never be the guy we thought he would be, but chances are pretty good that he’ll end up being the guy he already is, for this year and beyond. And in more important news, the nick stays mine. There can only be one!

Final Verdict:

 

From Around The Web

  1. bb says:
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    in an OPS league who do you like more – bruce or alex gordon?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @bb: Gordon by a hair.

      • Andrew says:
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        @jaywrong: Gordon because of his hair

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
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          @Andrew: that too.

  2. Shake N Bacon says:
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    Nice article JayWrong. I have Bruce and have been comtemplating trading him. I have Giancarlo, so once he comes back, I’d like to move Bruce for help in other areas. I could use a speed bump or an upgrade at catcher.

    For 1-1 deals, would you do any of these three trades?

    Bruce for Cespedes

    or

    Bruce for Granderson

    or

    Bruce for Carlos Santana

    • Shake N Bacon says:
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      Or Bruce for Posey

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Shake N Bacon: the only one I’m iffy on is the one for grandy.

      • Shake N Bacon says:
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        @jaywrong: Gracias

      • Andrew says:
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        @jaywrong:

        whats your final stat line looking like for Santana? Right now he’s a 290/30 guy but with his BABIP and history, is he closer to 260/20-25 ?

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
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          @Andrew: since his start is already banked, yeah, I think somewhere in the middle is a good assumption. Like a 275/25 year.

          • Andrew says:
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            @jaywrong:

            I guess, where do you see Pierzynski at the end? 270/15? (4 HR already). could he push 20 HR? or do you see him closer to 255/12? torn between sticking with Pierzynski, Doumit, both, or getting Santana.

            • Jay

              jaywrong says:
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              @Andrew: More like 240/15. I like Doumit though.

  3. Joe says:
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    Bruce or Ellsbury in a keeper league? I need steals more than power.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Joe: then Ells.

  4. Andrew says:
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    do I trade Pierzynski and Matt Carpenter for Carlos Santana? 10 team 6×6 roto
    my other catcher is M. Montero and I also have Doumit for now.
    My MI is pretty good, I have Altuve-Segura-Kendrick occupying my 2B-ss-MI and I also have E. Cabrera too (and Rutledge)

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Andrew: I’m fine with that, but I like Carp this year.

  5. T Moore says:
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    Mr Jay Wrong: Think Mr. Gray has stopped to talking to me for awhile after I accused him of being a Yuppie-mobile Backer-Upper into the parking stalls type, today… O well… The honeymoon had to end sooner or later… That’s what relationships are about – real life…

    Not being a TV watcher I had to Google “Breaking Bad.” to see what it was…

    Walt seems to be a palm wrangler of the first order… Am I right???

    Speaking of wranglers, you are a bona fide euro-cattleman wrangler – I can tell, laddie… Of the Highland Scot species, of course..

    Those kyloes/Bò Ghàidhealach are useful and hardy beasties… Great suete for quality white pudd’ns, good meat, the coats make great gala Highland winter evening-out attire and the horns – either tableware or adult aids.or both depending on the company.. They are bilingual too – as they understand both Doric Scots and Scottish Gaelic – not many can…

    How in the world do the Scots communicate anyway??? Have you ever thought about that one???…

    Never rated Jay Bruce, meself… Bonds and Bruce in the same sentence – never would thunk that one up, either…

    Keep it up Mr. Jay Wrong… You are En Fuego!!!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @T Moore: and you hold the extinguisher. I cannot speak to Grey, but I felt that Yuppie was his middle name. It only makes sense.

      I have yet to find a cattle of my liking, that’s for sure.

  6. T Moore says:
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    My dearest Mr. Jay Wrong: Must admit the title of today’s thread had me frightened for a sec… As there is, absolutely nothing, I would change about you… You are FBB perfection…

    And I am really enjoying your multi-media approach of late… Adds that something extra that others lack on here…

    And you can always just look at the pictures … Which will certainly attract plenty of none reading FBB devotees to your page… A good thing, if they count hits at RazzBall and your paycheck is commiserate with the count…

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @T Moore: as always, your kind words take my breath away. And my paycheck will always remain below anything but the count of zero.

  7. Mitch says:
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    Pujols was just made available in our league for trade. Dude wants a top pitcher for him. I have Latos, Greinke, Price, Scherzer, Medlan and Beachy on DL. Can use a bat. I love Sherzer and he dont want Price. Think Greinke or Latos is fair for Pujols? If so, who should I try to keep and who should I offer?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Mitch: I think that guy is insane, and I wouldn’t trade any of your top guys for him. Pujols is no longer an elite bat, and no longer will be. No reason to pay at that price.

      • Mitch says:
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        @jaywrong: @jaywrong: Yeah, I realize you’re buying the name. And I still think Pujols is capable of 25hr and 280+ avg. Maybe I’m wrong though. I have Reyes and Stanton DLd so my O has been a little slow lately, but I’ll just stay put, welcome back Reyes and Stanton next month (hopefully) and keep my arms. Thanks bro.

    • stumanji says:
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      @Mitch: You have plenty of pitching. I would give Latos or Medlen for him for sure, although I doubt the other guy would go for them straight up. Depending on your need for a 1B, I’d consider the others too. Pujols hasn’t been vintage Pujols but he hasn’t completely fallen off a cliff (yet) either, although his knee and foot injuries are a little scary.

  8. clint says:
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    So, baring all of the above in mind, do you share Grey’s appreciation for this trade I just made since I’m currently Han-Ram and Corey Hart-less?

    I dealt Shelby Miller and Starling Marte
    for
    Max Scherzer and Jay Bruce

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @clint: seems fine. Not sure its lopsided or anything, but I’d rather have the Bruce side.

  9. Splendid Sphincter says:
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    Odorizzi or Gausman?

  10. Ron says:
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    Bruce, Holliday, Gordon, Stanton, Cespedes, Fowler

    I know this is close for some of them but how would you rank em ROS in 12-team H2H?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Ron: yeah, flip of the coin on this group. They are really close.

      Stanton, Holliday, Gordon, Cespedes, Bruce, Fowler.

  11. Coach Gonzo says:
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    Hey Jay, could you rank these 3 for me in order for the present and potentially r.o.s
    aybar, simmons, gregorious. I currently rock with simmons…wbc had me thinking this kid could hit for a good average, he got it up to the 270s then back to crap. Aybar has a great situation and steals bases but I worry about his lack of pop, and Didi I want to own but I’m fearing a dropoff or regression from where he is now. Help Please..and thanks

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Coach Gonzo: I have them at aybar, greg, simmons.

    • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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      @Coach Gonzo: what bases has aybar stolen, exactly?

  12. J Money says:
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    What are your thoughts on Espinosa and Ike Davis right now, worth holding onto still on my bench in a 12 team league after they killed my average for the first month.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @J Money: I’m ready to move away from both, if there’s a better option sitting there, but I think Espinosa has a better case to improve.

  13. Juan Lleno de Odio says:
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    Am I the only to guess Mr. Scott?

    It must be hard to figure that one out for a lot of the readers, I relate the Trek and FBB to liking boobs and a schlong, just not a lot into both

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Juan Lleno de Odio: Sometimes, its not obvious. I might be the only Razzballer that brings a Trek/Padres tilt here. Which I’m sure Grey is absolutely not proud of.

  14. Wake Up says:
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    Wouldn’t it be Scotch or Scotch Whisky?

    Fun Fact: Whisky without the “e” usually denotes made in Scotland. With the “e” and from Kentucky is called Bourbon. And if you are a fan of Bourbon…the best quality for the cheapest price (which is my wheelhouse) IMO is Eagle Rare.

    • Juan Lleno de Odio says:
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      @Wake Up: ever have Angel Wings?

      • Wake Up says:
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        @Juan Lleno de Odio: Angel’s Envy? No haven’t tried it yet. Good?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Wake Up: Does it matter? All types are welcome in my house. I’m a Bourbon guy myself, but will down any of those options, and in fact, do so on a regular basis.

      • Wake Up says:
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        @jaywrong: Does anything matter? If you truly are a bourbon guy, I thought you would appreciate the recommendation. And if you truly are a Star Trek fan, I thought you would appreciate the knowledge. It was just a fun fact…that’s why I said “Fun Fact.”

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
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          @Wake Up: My comment had no intention of malice or to escalate.

  15. Chris says:
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    JDub, would you give up Harvey/Joe Nathan for Kemp/Morrow? 12-team roto, other pitchers are Hamels, Darvish, Medlen, Hammels, Holland, Santana.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Chris: No, I don’t trust Kemp or Morrow at all right now.

  16. Tom Jacks

    Tom Jacks says:
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    You should never trust people with two first names.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Tom Jacks: You are also a prime example.

    • Fister Furbush says:
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      @Tom Jacks:

      HA!

      • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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        @Fister Furbush: someone’s heard of a “jacks” first name?

  17. One Man Crusade says:
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    Moving forward bench spot goes to Gardner or Leonys Martin.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @One Man Crusade: Gardner, its not that close for me right now.

  18. Pope says:
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    Hey jaywrong,
    Thanks for the great post, love the stats on Bruce, and as an owner, I am looking to sell for the right price during his hot streak. I’m in need of saves, but I don’t want to pay for them (of course). I’m targeting a guy who owns Nathan, Henderson, Mujica, and Frieri, 12 team H2H. He offered D. Murphy and Henderson for my Ian Desmond, but I rejected. Any thoughts on this? I’m strong at MI with Cano, Castro, Desmond, but I’m not real high on Murphy.
    Thank you

    • Pope says:
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      @Pope: My “closers” are Parnell, K. Jansen

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Pope: I’m assuming Daniel Murphy, of whom I’m actually pretty high on. The trade seems fair enough. I think Henderson sticks.

      I’d check in on those Nathan and Frieri owners, though Madson might complicate things there. Just get a sense of the market.

      • Pope says:
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        @jaywrong: Yes, Daniel Murphy, sorry for not clarifying. And to further clarify, this one (same) guy owns all four of those closers, so I could offer Desmond for Murphy and any of them to see how he feels. What do you think?

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
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          @Pope: I think Nathan and Henderson are the best of that group then. I like Desmond in non-OBP leagues, but if you need saves, I think either will do fine for you.

          Having Cano gives you a lot of leeway at the MI.

          • Pope says:
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            @jaywrong: Thank you sir. And thanks for getting back to me so quickly!

  19. Luis says:
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    Im still waiting for the next Bruce hot streak. I have him in a keeper league.

    Just traded H. Kendrick and B. McCarthy for H. Bailey. Think I did well with that one? I then dropped Moustakas and for B. Belt. I got tired of Moose killing me. I have Arenado at third now. And I have Lowrie backing me up at both SS and 2B. I need to shake things up a little. Im currently in 5th place and I need pitching, which is why I made the move for Bailey. That and I need to keep my K/9 ratio up.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Luis: Yeah, maybe enjoy this hot streak all to yourself.

      Trade looks good to me.

  20. TheNewGuy says:
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    Cant even load Greys page (my computers fucked yo!), so you get the pleasure of reading my post instead.

    Eric Hosmer has 3 extra-base hits all year. THREE.

    That is unfathomably bad. He’s turned into a singles hitter who only recently has actually started hitting singles. Or at least thats what it says on ESPN…not sure i can believe it myself.

    SO glad I didnt laden myself with him on a 2 year deal in the offseason like some (*cough* Grey) said…hey even they Greyt ones get it Jaywrong sometimes I guess!

    All this effort and it wasnt even a question oh well….oh yeah might aswell make it one, am I free to cut his ass loose? Have EE, Freese (no better), Morales manning my 1B/CI….yeah im looking to trade for C Davis right now unsuprisingly!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @TheNewGuy: Hah. Yeah, I’d drop him in Redrafts. He’s bizzaro Hosmer, who is from a universe where you can hit homeruns be hitting the ball on the ground as hard as you can.

  21. Kim Jong Un says:
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    Loved seein ya on Reddit yesterday, Jay

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Kim Jong Un: much praise to the great leader!

  22. J-Lef says:
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    Mr. Wrong,

    Unbelievably enough, I picked Jay Bruce up with the #1 waiver claim a few weeks back and have enjoyed his renaissance. However, I now have Heyward ready to return to an outfield with C.Davis and Aoki. Meanwhile, I’m a little hamstrung at 3B because of Frazier’s cold spell. Would you advocate offering Bruce for Pablo Sandoval (he has Headley on the bench)?

    Cheers!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @J-Lef: seems good to me. I’m curious why Headley is just sitting on the bench, and how Votto ended up on waivers.

      • Jay

        jaywrong says:
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        @jaywrong: *Bruce.

        • J-Lef says:
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          @jaywrong: if i could guess….a)frustration with Bruce’s icy start and b) insurance against another panda hand injury/rape charge. but who knows? going to float the offer out there. thanks.

  23. Donald says:
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    Would you drop Dempster in a 12 man after his last 3 awful starts? he was so good before that though

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Donald: there are prolly better options in a 12 teamer at this point.

  24. OkieDokie Aoki says:
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    I just got offered Cole Hamels and Alex Gordon
    For
    Hisashi Iwakuma and Mark Trumbo

    What should I Do?! Haha cole Hamels still has the big name and has 7quality starts in 10 starts.

    Gordon’s batting .350 but Trumbo hits bombs.

    Thanks for your help I appreciate it.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @OkieDokie Aoki: Yeah, I know this sounds strange, but I’m okay holding.

  25. Alex says:
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    grandy, romo and freeman for mccann and kemp fair? keeper

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Alex: Its fair, but I’m not buying Kemp or McCann this year.

  26. Frank White says:
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    Morning Man… I’m trying to grab an extra pitcher to pickup for the rest of the week and I’m having trouble between the two in a 10 team h2h points league.. Here’s some stats on the stream o nator too.. Shaun Marcum NYM vs Teheran ATL $12.9, QS .58, ER 2.4,K 5.3 or M Fiers MIL vs JLocke PIT $9.6, QS .58, ER 2.6, K 5.3??? Oh if I grab Marcum for Sunday then I’ll have 6 pitchers going so I would have to bench one of my RP’s so that’s one down side but might be worth it, idk. Thanks buddy!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Frank White: I’ll stick with the streamonator on this one.

      • Frank White says:
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        Yeah I did but they’re close. Who would you have starting for you this week out of them two??

          • Frank White says:
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            thanks!!! Do u know much about prospects?

            • Jay

              jaywrong says:
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              @Frank White: yes, I dabble. Though I would be remiss by not mentioning that Scott Evans is our local prospector.

              • Frank White says:
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                Yeah I know I’m just waiting for his comment but I figured I can use another opinion. How do you feel about Zack Wheeler? Is he worth stashing in a 10 team?

              • Frank White says:
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                Yeah I know I’m just waiting for his comment but I figured I can use another opinion. How do you feel about Zack Wheeler? Is he worth stashing in a 10 team?

              • Frank White says:
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                Yeah I know I’m just waiting for his comment but I figured I can use another opinion. How do you feel about Zack Wheeler? Is he worth stashing in a 10 team?

              • Frank White says:
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                Yeah I know I’m just waiting for his comment but I figured I can use another opinion. How do you feel about Zack Wheeler? Is he worth stashing in a 10 team?

                • Frank White says:
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                  OMG I’m so sorry… I hit post comment a bunch of times cause it wasn’t working..

                • Jay

                  jaywrong says:
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                  @Frank White: Wow, haha, there’s like 80 of these.

                  I think 10 team might be too shallow. If you have a spot to take a gander, its okay though.

                  • Frank White says:
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                    Cool awesome!!

  27. Jay says:
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    Why no mention of his LD%? It sits at an amazingly high 31% which is about 10% higher then his career average. And currently sits at the second highest in the league (just behind Loney and just ahead of Votto) Yes his BABIP is high but its no so crazy when you look at how many line drives he is hitting. I’m not worried about the decrease in fly balls considering his ground ball percentage is virtually the same as his career average. The dip in fly balls is coming in the form of line drives which i hope helps him become more consistent/less streaky.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Jay: its mentioned.

  28. Frank White says:
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    Also, Do you think it’s time to let go of Dempster?? I got my eye on Leake but don’t know much about him. Either or, time to go?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Frank White: I’m fine with that. Dempster lives dangerously, though he will have more k’s than leake.

  29. James says:
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    Hello Jay. 10 team H2H league… A trade went down of starling Marte for Carlos Gomez straight up… Is it fair and which side wins?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @James: In a non-keeper, looks wildly lateral to me. I’m not sure what the point was.

      I’ll lean slightly toward Marte, but really, its a flip of the coin.

  30. Colin says:
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    Great article. I’ve always been a Bruce supporter for the last 4 years. Hoping he could mirror his minor league numbers (high average with power). 6 years in the league he doesn’t seem like he can hit for average or get away from the strikeouts. If you can compliment him with players that hit for average he is what he is…30+ homers and 90+ rbis guaranteed. What’s scary is just a couple weeks ago before his hot streak, he was hitting .388 BABIP…about 100 points higher than his career norm. He wasn’t hitting and his BABIP was that high…when that normalizes that could get seriously bad. It looks like he’s starting his next slump as he’s 0 for his last 9.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Colin: I completely agree. A streaky player, but the end results don’t vary much.

  31. Alex says:
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    I was offered Miggy, J Up, Cahill and Masterson for Bautista, Braun, Cano and Sale. I gotta go public to embarrass this guy right?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Alex: the cahill, masterson part make it pretty sketch, yeh.

      I usually just get even in a counter offer.

  32. Ron says:
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    This trade is on the table:
    Give Holliday
    Get Stanton

    My Other OF: Bautista, Bruce, Gordon, Cespedes, Fowler

    Do I take this deal?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Ron: I would, but patience is probably needed here as well.

      • Ron says:
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        @jaywrong: What do you mean? Patience with Stanton?

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
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          @Ron: Yeh, I think it’ll take a bit of time before he takes off.

          • Ron says:
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            @jaywrong: I’m a bit scared of his horrific lineup and his re-injury risk.

            You think I have enough quality OF to hold me until he is back to his old self again jacking bombs?

            • Jay

              jaywrong says:
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              @Ron: yeah, you should be fine.

              I’m not concerned about the lineup, it wasn’t that good last year too.

  33. jjj says:
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    who wins trade:
    Wainright, grilli, stubbs and swisher for cashner, guerra, marte and braun

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @jjj: I’m leaning to the Braun side.

  34. BostonJon says:
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    That was one of the most entertaining articles I have read in awhile. I have a question and I would very much appreciate your opinion: Would you trade Jay Bruce for Oscar Tavares? This is a keeper league, Ks count against and OPS. Thank you !!!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @BostonJon: thanks. I would do that if I was out of it this year.

  35. BostonJon says:
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    awesome thats what i needed to know… would moore and bruce be too much for this heralded prospect you think ?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @BostonJon: in a keep? Yeah, too much.

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