Don't be shellfish...Share on FacebookTweet about this on TwitterShare on Google+

If you were to tell me that you knew the type of year Chris Davis was going to have, I would have laughed at your face and then, immediately after, with a stern demeanor, called shenanigans sir. As of this writing, he has hit 33 homeruns, tying his previous career high. To put that into context, this is second week of July ladies and gentlemen. Probably more gentlemen in this case, much to my chagrin. We always knew the power was there, no question. In fact, that was the only skill we thought he possessed, and more specifically, that is the only skill that we continued to dream upon drafting him all these years, always wishing, hoping for more. You see, the story of Chris Davis was once quite different, just as recent as last season, and even as far back as 2009. Once a highly touted prospect in the Rangers system, he possessed that one skill everyone loves — raw power. He didn’t quite live up to expectations, but still offered 20 homeruns with lousy rate stats. That was who he was. That was who he was going to be. So say you. So say me. So say the stat page. So say we all.

Boy, did we miss the mark… by that much. I’m holding my arms as far apart from each other as I can. Hurry up and look, I’m getting tired. How did a player with a career triple slash of 258/310/466, and a BB% of 6.5 and K% of 31.0% turn into a player that is now hitting 324/399/721 with a BB% of 10.0 and K% of 27.1? Let us begin to explore, discover and so forth.

This Bear/Bull series has met it’s poster child. We are now reaching the halfway point of the season where teams have an average to an above-average sense of how their team is faring, what their weaknesses are, if they should compete or tear it all down, etc. And of those teams, there are two groups. Teams that own Chris Davis and teams that don’t. And from that brilliant deduction, it is brilliant, so shut up, but from that deduction, we can further deduce, my dear Watson, that there are those who want to trade him away with the mindset that this is as good as it gets, that no player, especially Chris Davis, can sustain this elite talent level, so sell-sell-sell. What this post presupposes is, what if you don’t?

To reach any conclusion of what to do with Chris Davis, we must first examine the indicators for his epic production, and whether or not we are, in fact, watching a new sustainable skill level… or not. But, before we get to that, let’s actually watch Crush Davis in action, because GIFs bro.

That ball was crushed.

This, too, was also crushed.

Good advice for the pitchers kitty. Good advice indeed.

So now that the fun is over, let’s get to the dirty work. In terms of distance of his flyballs and homeruns hit, so far in 2013, Davis’ average sits at 311.49 feet. In 2012, he hit the ball in the air at an average of 297.01 feet. Not a drastic difference, but one nonetheless. While this one data point tells us that while Davis is hitting the ball harder, he isn’t hitting the ball drastically harder, the first sign that there might not be a large regression in store. Staying on the topic of his batted balls profile, heh, balls, looking over his LD%, GB%, and FB% paints an interesting picture. Let me set the table for you to look at. FORKS ON THE RIGHT OF THE PLATE ALWAYS! OR IS JUST IN EGYPT? YELLING MORE!

LD% GB% FB%
2012 23.2% 39.3% 37.5%
2013 24.1% 31.7% 44.2%
Career 23.4% 36.4% 40.2%

Here, we see a couple different things going on. First, I’m sure we all notice that his line drive rate (LD%) has stayed somewhat stable. What has not stayed stable, though, is the rate at which Davis hits the ball on the ground (GB%) and hits the ball into the air (FB%). They have basically flipped. It doesn’t take a genius to realize the that more balls you hit in the air, the greater chance of those balls going over the wall is. The easy conclusion here is that Davis is not matching his normal profile, and therefore, will regress into who he was previously. Except, there is actually evidence that supports the contrary. In this past off-season, Chris Davis tweaked his approach by working to eliminate his uppercut tendencies during his swinging motion. By focusing on a level swing, he’s allowing his bat speed to work with his raw strength, and that’s allowing him to pretty much crush the ball wherever its pitched, and also acting as a natural mechanism to avoid chasing outside of his zone. You’ve heard the term ‘hitting to all fields’. That’s exactly what Davis is doing, and don’t just take it from me. Davis explained the process himself here. Let’s take a look at his two different swings, because again, GIFs bro.

Old swing, 2011.

New swing, 2013.

If you look carefully, you’ll notice the uppercut in the first GIF compared to the second. His front shoulder lowers and dips at the ball, while his follow through ends at a lower point, with the bat going through the zone at a higher plane. And just to hammer the point of a changed swing a bit more, check out the results so far from these nifty heat maps. They’re so hot, it’s like a fire sale. The fire! It burns!

If you notice, his hitting profile is generally the same, except for three spots. You’ll notice those changes located in the boxes at the upper left and lower right and left of the zone. These are not just the locations where an uppercut swing could hurt you the most, they also the three hardest locations for a left handed hitter to execute contact. His new mechanics have helped him focus on his wheelhouse, thus also affecting his entire plate discipline profile, swing at less ‘junk’. Now, Chris Davis is still striking out in large amounts, but there are other reasons, besides his new approach, that are fueling a career high BB%. See for yourself.

Swing% Contact% F.Strike% SwStr%
2012 54.9% 71.0% 62.6% 15.5%
2013 52.0% 71.3% 57.8% 14.4%
Career 53.8% 68.9% 61.7% 16.2%

The only number that’s really changed by a large margin is his F-Strike%. (First pitch strike percentage.) Sure, over time, his plate discipline has been improving steadily in small amounts based on his career SwStr% changes and the fact that Davis is swinging at pitches nearly three percent less overall, but the leading indicator this year isn’t just coming from better zone selection. Rather, he’s hitting the ball so hard and so often, that pitchers are throwing outside the zone more often. Add in the fact that he’s already drawn three more intentional walks (nine) than all of last year (six), you have the ingredients of a career high walk rate.

We knew the power was legit, but at this pace? Nope. Didn’t see it coming. That doesn’t necessarily mean it’s going to stop. We’ve seen that the process is real and there is no BABIP dragon either. His .361 number this year is not that far off from his career .340 average. The walk rate does seem a bit inflated, but if he keeps hitting, the regression is marginal. So, while I don’t think we are seeing the next Barry Bonds, I think we could be seeing the next Jose Bautista. Now, Davis clearly has worse plate discipline tendencies than Joeybats, but I think a 40+ homerun projection should be the norm from here on out, health permitting of course.

So we now have a good enough idea that the power spike is legitimate, and isn’t being fueled by luck or some other random thing. Like ninja’s or sewer alligators. For what it’s worth, it’s always at least partly due to ninja’s, so we’ll just have to take that into account. Rather, these numbers are being fueled by real changes in his approach, and there is tangible evidence to support that. If you are in a redraft and have enough power to spare, you could use him as a chip to fill other holes, no doubt. But I’m not so sure you could get the value that he’s earned here. The output is so out of this world, what exactly is equal value? Yeah, I’m not quite sure either. It should be astronomical, but the idea that it can only get worse from here on out is baked into every rational owner. The better play is to focus on selling players that have established skill sets and continuing to rely on Davis. I’m taking the same approach in dynasty’s as well. Power is gold, a premium fantasy resource, so hold onto it when you got it.  I’m holding for dear life, both in redrafts and dynasties.

“That ball wouldn’t have been out of a lot of parks.”

“Name one.”

“Yellowstone?”

-Jake Taylor and Rick Vaughn, Major League (1989)

Yeah. Pretty much Chris Davis in a nutshell.

Final Verdict:

 

Jaywrong is a 30-year old Korish writer who finds solace using Makers Mark as a vehicle to impress average-looking women, and also has an affinity for making Jennifer Lawrence GIFs. You can follow him @jaywrong, read his blog Desultory Thoughts of a Longfellow, or, you can find his GIFs at his tumblr, named Siuijeonseo.

  1. k-dizzle says:
    (link)

    AHEM, sir please quote Major League 2 correctly. That would be Vaughn and his then ex-gf, Nikki Reese. Though completely valid comparison.

      • k-dizzle says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong: eeehhhh, in the trailer but not the movie.
        [from trailer; cut from final film; line reincarnated in Major League II]
        Jake Taylor: [Vaughn is lamenting the long home run he gave up] That ball wouldn’t have been out of a lot of parks.
        Rick Vaughn: Name one.
        Jake Taylor: Yellowstone?

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
          (link)

          @k-dizzle: I’ll agree to disagree. Ron Burgundy was onto something there.

        • malamoney says:
          (link)

          @k-dizzle: this was indeed in the trailer but never made the movie…

          • Jay

            jaywrong says:
            (link)

            @malamoney: The quote I used was based off that specific scene.

  2. Grey

    Grey says:
    (link)

    FYI, Cougar loved your gif. I’m hoping that’s not a euphemism for something.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Grey: deal with it.

  3. T Moore says:
    (link)

    O MY GOD YOU’RE BACK!!!!!…

    I HAVE BEEN BESIDE MYSELF WITH WORRY – EVER SINCE THAT NASTY LITTLE EVIL MAN, MR. GRAY, FLIPPANTLY TOLD ME YOU WERE INJURED AND MAYBE IN THE HOSPITAL.. THEN REFUSED TO ELABORATE…

    Sorry, about the shouting … I’m just carried away and so ecstatic about your return to RazzBall..

    Let me catch my breath here…

    Tell us all what happened to you??? 1000s of your avid fans have been worried sick about you… And Razzball has been worse than mum to our pleas for information about your condition – as expected – (They at the RB HQ are really so jealous of your clearly superior talents, Mr Wrong)

    Personally, I’ve been so worried, I have had to even put my knitting away – as I was slipping so many stitches, it wasn’t worth the effort and certainly wasn’t relaxing me the way it usually does.. I just couldn’t keep my mind from worrying about you …

    I even stopped using my finest china for afternoon tea as well, due to breakage, as I’ve been a nervous wreck since getting the news about you I was dropping things…

    Hey, I’ve just noticed, the sun has come out and the birds are singing again all of a sudden ..
    You’re back..That is why!!!

    Look, I have to go now to get more yarn … I’ll read your tale of woe later..

    But, know this… You are the “Crush” Wrong of my FFB life, Mr Jay Wrong…

    Signed: Happy again..

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @T Moore: I’m renovating my building, so sometimes I get careless and decide to hammer my right hand until its blue.

      But really, it was because I was thinking of you.

      What can I say? Love hurts.

  4. Paul says:
    (link)

    Hey I need some help with a trade. I am sorry to post this here because as a lurker I notice that people do it all the time and it must get annoying. But I would love some insight on this, so here I go.

    Team A receives: Ryan Zimmerman, Michael Bourn, Cole Hamels, Anthony Rendon
    Team B receives: Edwin Encarnacion, Everth Cabrera, James Shields

    Team A really needs some ERA/WHIP help and would be banking on a Cole Hamels resurgence.
    The categories are: literally every category you can think of excluding W for pitchers.
    Does anybody else not buy into Cabrera’s performace this year? . If Hamels bounces back to form during the second half, it is probably a steal for Team A but Encarnacion is playing so well this year. I will gladly help in return, I appreciate the assistance.
    Basically it comes down to: Hamels or Shields ROS? Cabrera or Bourn ROS? and Zimmerman or Encarnacion ROS? I personally love Rendon, have followed him for the past couple years and am a believer but does he make it worth it?
    Oh and keeper league. Thanks!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Paul: I think its an even deal. Hamels will be in my 2nd half buy post coming soon, so I like him. That being said, I’m leaning slightly to the E5 side.

      I love Rendon, but i dont like the keystone and ankle issues mixing.

      • Paul says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong:

        What are your feelings on Cabrera? I think he was hitting way over his head and with Rollins as my backup SS, I can afford to trade him.

        As for Encarnacion/Zimmerman, I am hoping that we see a second-half resurgence like last year from Zimm but the injuries always concern me.

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
          (link)

          @Paul: yeah, he’s hitting over his head, but the speed is still there. I’d rather have him over Rollins. Zimm’s injuries always concern me, e5 is the safer bet.

  5. Jb6464 says:
    (link)

    Completely off topic, and loved the analysis, but I’m stuck on what to do with asdrubel, who is 1 for his last 23 and don’t know if I should hang on to him at this point. I’m in a standard 5×5 12 teamer and can pick up some serious points in the RBI category…any recommendations?
    Thank you

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Jb6464: I’d hold unless there’s something better out there.

      • Mike says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong: golly! razzball profundity! are you posting from a Tibet mountaintop?

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
          (link)

          @Mike: You can use mind powers to figure out his free agent pool? I have a need for someone like you.

          • Mike says:
            (link)

            @jaywrong: :) Easy, [whateverthedude'snamewasinStripesthatican'trememberrightnowbutwanttocallspencereventhoughiknowthatsnotitsoi'lljustkeepwritingtillitcomestome....okigiveup]

            but does his FA pool matter? Isn’t that the advice you’d give under any circumstance? Example: Should I drop Miggy? Answer: Sure, if you can replace him with someone better.

            • Jay

              jaywrong says:
              (link)

              @Mike: Context matters for players that aren’t Miggy. My response for all the comments of all my posts, I work with what’s given.

              You’re spacebar is broken.

              • Mike says:
                (link)

                @jaywrong: FRANCIS!!!!!!!!!!!!

  6. Paul says:
    (link)

    Hey I need some help with a trade. I am sorry to post this here, as a longtime lurker I have noticed the absurd amount of “help me with my trade” comments and I am sure it is annoying so I apologize to be another one.
    (I would be receiving the players on the left)
    Ryan Zimmerman, Michael Bourn, Cole Hamels, Anthony Rendon v. Edwin Encarnacion, Everth Cabrera, James Shields

    The categories are: R/2B/3B/RBI/HR/SB/FPCT/BB/AVG/OPS, ERA/ER/WHIP/BB/SV/IP/HLD/K/K9/BB9/QS.
    I am trying to make a playoff push this year and I don’t necessarily buy into Cabrera’s performance and think that honestly Bourn=Cabrera ROS. If Hamels bounces back to form during the second half, it is probably a steal for me but Encarnacion is playing so well this year. I will gladly help in return, I appreciate the assistance.
    So it looks like: Encarnacion or Zimmerman? Hamels or Shields? Bourn or Cabrera? And I’m a huge believer in Rendon and think he is going to be a stud (keeper league too) but does he make up for the potential drop off? I really appreciate the help guys!!!

  7. Rodney says:
    (link)

    Traded Ike Davis for him in a keeper league after the first 2 weeks of the season. Bought “high” but was convinced it was a good gamble. Lol.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Rodney: I feel that worked out for you. Just taking a shot in the dark though.

  8. Paul says:
    (link)

    Sorry for the double post guys. Thought it didn’t post the first time, my browser is not-so user friendly.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Paul: no worries, it happens a lot.

  9. Mike

    Mike says:
    (link)

    Awesome article Jay. Best one I’ve seen on Davis. For us keeper leaguers, how high can you see him going in next year’s drafts? 2nd-3rd round? Still only 27 I think…

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Mike: you honor me with your comment. Sometimes I wish you were really Mike Schmidt, so I could touch that stache.

      He’s top 10 now. At least from where I’m sitting.

  10. AL KOHOLIC says:
    (link)

    awesome post thanks

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @AL KOHOLIC: let’s go drinking.

  11. Paul says:
    (link)

    Eric Young or Jarred Dyson for the forseeable future? SB-wise.
    And does anybody else think that Ryan Doumit is droppable for someone like Ellis or Ruiz? Getting tired of Doumit’s “meh” numbers.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Paul: Leaning Young.

      I think Ellis and Ruiz are pretty meh. Doumit is stable enough.

  12. Paul says:
    (link)

    And is Mark Reynolds droppable at this point? I am starved for power but over the past month he’s OPSing .515, and even worse in recent weeks. I know he’s streaky but it’s killing me. Too deep a league I think :(

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Paul: Well, if you are desperate for power, just gotta ride it through.

  13. MackeySasser says:
    (link)

    Keeper league, 14 teams, H2H.

    2nd place, should I trade Puig and M. Moore for CarGo and Fister? CarGo would be one year rental while Puig would be 3 year keeper.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @MackeySasser: Looks like you’re going for it. I think I would do that. Moore is not going to do well in the 2nd half.

  14. Jaelen Rosen says:
    (link)

    Should I do this trade? Giving up Ryan Zimmerman, for Matt Holliday, or Manny Machado for Holiday? I’m questionable about Matt’s health. Any input is greatly appreciated.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Jaelen Rosen: I’m fine holding. Seems like a lateral move.

  15. Ryan says:
    (link)

    10-team 5×5 mixed keeper (add $5 to keep)

    Just traded Altuve, Austin Jackson (can keep for $12), Rendon (can keep for $5), and Mike Minor (can keep for $16) for Edwin Encarnacion (can keep for $11) and Pedroia. I win, right?

    I need HRs, RBI, and AVG and have SBs and Rs to spare. I plan on streaming in Minor’s spot (anticipating that JoFer, Cole, and Cingrani will mess up my innings limit estimation towards the end of the season). My 3B slot was also a mess with Juan Francisco filling in for Aramis.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Ryan: Yeah, I like that deal for you.

  16. T bone says:
    (link)

    For bleep sake…Cain rocking yet again.

    I hate to even ask because I share this site’s thoughts on Weaver…but Weaver or Cain ROS in a weekly 6×6 with L? Been offered Wright and Weaver for Cain and Arenado (keeper in 21, 19, 17 next 3 years).

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @T bone: Cain. Though both are rocky waters.

  17. Steady says:
    (link)

    Great article… At what point am I allowed to give up on Matt Cain… This guy literally kills my era and whip 4/5 starts

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Steady: Thanks. Yeah, its rough, I know, but I don’t think he’s dropable. I think there are better days ahead.

  18. ryanjoe13 says:
    (link)

    Do you have any faith in BJ Upton going forward? Kemp has been on my DL, so Upton has been filling in the 3rd OF/Util spot along with Wil Myers. Should I look at waivers for a better option? Eaton is available, along with Crisp, Ichiro, M Young, LoMo. I really could pick from any postion since I could move Myers to OF and open up a UTIL spot.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @ryanjoe13: Out of that group, I’m fine sticking with Bossman.

  19. The Jabronis says:
    (link)

    I was offered a trade Gallardo for Wheeler. I have Wheeler. Good trade for me?

    • Peter Nincompoop says:
      (link)

      @The Jabronis: I personally think Gallardo sucks as do the Brewers. If it’s a yearly league, no. If it’s a keeper league, absolutely not.

      • The Jabronis says:
        (link)

        @Peter Nincompoop:

        Yea I already accepted the trade. I figured Yovanni can’t suck this much and might have a better 2nd half. I’m also banking on him being traded to be better team. Wheeler is still a crap shoot and might possibly be on a innings cap. I’m watching wheeler right now and he looks good. lol

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @The Jabronis: Yeah, though it’s goofy that I would say Gallardo is the stable one of the group.

      • Jay

        jaywrong says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong: And to clarify, this is a redraft only recommendation.

  20. Peter Nincompoop says:
    (link)

    “If religiously following your posts is jaywrong, then I don’t want to be right.” That phrase has to have been used before, right? Anyway, good to hear that you are back and your right hand is fully recovered. Quick question for you. Which side would you rather have for the rest of the season and going forward where Team A (1st place and looking to shore up SS) trades Andrus, Cespedes and Weaver to Team B (fighting for a playoff spot and needs ANYTHING to keep at SP) for Han-Ram and Marte?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Peter Nincompoop: I think Jack full of Hate has used that a couple of times. But the more the merrier, so I say.

      Its a flip of the coin. I’m leaning Han-Ram side, but only slightly. I think Andrus and Cespedes will have a better 2nd-half.

  21. Juice_0321 says:
    (link)

    Rizzo over Bourn today?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Juice_0321: I’m going with Bourn today.

      • Juice_0321 says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong: Headley or Rizzo?

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
          (link)

          @Juice_0321: Today? Headley.

  22. B. Bonghuetz says:
    (link)

    Can we drop the whole Crush Davis nickname? It sounds like some B squad wrestler with a fluorescent green banana hammock who would fight the Brooklyn Brawler on Saturday mornings on WWF Mania in the 90′s. I’m more partial to his nickname used throughout the Balmo area – The Meat Stick.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @B. Bonghuetz: I see no issues with Meat Stick. Then again, I love sexual innuendos.

      You should have seen that coming.

  23. Bay of Puigs says:
    (link)

    In a standard 5X5 Yahoo H2H…ROS, Jason Castro or Salvador Perez? Thanks!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Bay of Puigs: Castro right now. That’s weird to me.

      • Bay of Puigs says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong: It is an odd season all around…thanks!

  24. ryanjoe13 says:
    (link)

    JB said he’s biased so I’ll ask you:

    Drop Lester for Kluber? Or is it too early to give up on Lester?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @ryanjoe13: Kluber hasn’t looked that good lately. I’m leaning Lester slightly.

  25. Great article. Well written, sarcastic, illustrative gifs, heat-maps and legit analysis. As the ever annoying, Ralph Lawler would say, “Oh me, Oh my!”…

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7EooMPT0n9o

    In sum, this shizel is on point. Double Mazels. You’re rapidly becoming one of my favorite reads here. Keep up the good work and thanks for this – I know how much work goes into this type of post.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @EL BURRO: High praise from the Burro is high praise indeed. Thanks!

  26. RJ says:
    (link)

    Need help with 3B, standard 5×5 H2H league..I have michal Young and Martin Prado for now but both are not producing like corner infielders should. I see Lawrie is coming back soon and is available. Should I drop one of them for Lawrie going forward?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @RJ: I’d stick with Prado, he’s underlying stats are still okay.

  27. Bryan says:
    (link)

    Pick one for today…

    Harper against Cliff Lee
    Or
    Cespedes against Liriano.

    Thanks

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Bryan: It’s close. I’m leaning Harper.

  28. Sorryano Northsiders says:
    (link)

    Jay wrong, great analysis, wish I had davis! Anyway I have a bit of a conundrum I was hoping you could offer some suggestion. I have a stacked offense (thanks to Grey’s pre-season rankings) and a pretty decent pitching staff. Here is my team:
    Lineup SP’s Closers
    C – Pierzynski/Arencibia Shelby Miller Chapman
    1b – Goldy Shields Freiri
    2B – Phillips Garza Balfour
    SS – JRoll/Alexei Ramirez Shark Wilhemsen
    3B Miggy Erasmo Romo
    OF – Adam Jones
    OF – J Up
    OF – Marte
    DH – Ortiz
    Bench
    Machado
    AGonz

    I also have 3 middle relievers

    I have a 37 save lead over 2nd place in that category and could easily afford to move 2 of them (thinking bartender and romo). I would most likely trade AGONZ and Machado on offense. By biggest need on offense are SB’s and maybe average. My biggest need for pitching is W’s (thus trying to stream middle relievers for K’s, ratio help and vulture W’s)

    Of the two people I usually sit, I would most prefer to move Machado and Agonz. I’m having trouble setting up a trade partner. How low would you go in trading away Machado and/or AGonz (with a closer or two thrown in).

    Thanks and great work!

    • Sorryano Northsiders says:
      (link)

      @Sorryano Northsiders: sorry, I was trying to do that in columns to shorten the question, It didn’t work out!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Sorryano Northsiders: I’d target some guys you want and send out some feelers. Generally, I don’t like to show my hand in dealings. Rather, I look at the standings and figure out which team matches with what I don’t need, and then just ask them if specific players are available.

      If yes, then write something like– I noticed that you might need some saves, how about these two guys for your something something.

      Each of hose guys could get you anywhere from a Latos to a Fister depending on who you match up with. With a closer to a save needy team, a top-25 arm is a good bet.

  29. TheNewGuy says:
    (link)

    Great stuff wrong, Chris Davis owner at $4 in a keeper, traded Hendo and Shark for him early on and loving it. Seemed that ‘hot streak’ the dude thought had ended has turned out to be a season long one!

    Done some crappy trades this year but at least I can be proud of getting Davis in this one. Long contract acoming for my boy.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @TheNewGuy: I love that price. Though I like the Shark, I think the trade worked out well.

  30. Brooks Jacoby says:
    (link)

    Craig or Longoria ROS ? Terrified of Longo’s plantar facitis. Could probably get Cain or Hamels with Craig in the trade.

    • Brooks Jacoby says:
      (link)

      Or Joe Nathan along with Craig

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Brooks Jacoby: Longoria. Craig has his own injury history. I’d lean Hamels, I think he has the better chance to rebound.

  31. bojangles mcgee says:
    (link)

    what do you think about edwin/choo for crush

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @bojangles mcgee: I would hold, not knowing who would replace Choo.

  32. Mike says:
    (link)

    I’ll take a bow for reaching for Davis in both my Razzball leagues (round 8 in both leagues). It’s his 27 season, and he had 30 HR last year, finishing strong… 1B/OF eligibility… What’s not to like?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Mike: I am bowing at your bow!

  33. Brooks Jacoby says:
    (link)

    One more:, which side

    Longoria, Puljos, Bruce, Cishek for Prince Fielder and Carlos Gonzalez

  34. c0wfunk says:
    (link)

    Was just offered Braun for Stanton.. Do I take it? Tempting; GC has been frustrating.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @c0wfunk: I’d hold. I have no idea what the MLB is going to do, but I know it won’t be good. If they have a smoking gun, who knows what the appeals process is going to look like.

      • c0wfunk says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong: maybe I’ll offer cespedes ;)

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
          (link)

          @c0wfunk: Hah, sure thing. I wonder if that owner has the fear like I do about Braun.

  35. Beastman says:
    (link)

    Appreciate the level of detail you provide here. Been trying to trade for Davis, but it’s not easy.

    Now that I’ve buttered you up, can I get thoughts on potential trades? I have Beckham and Profar at 2B, trying to upgrade by offering up SPs. What do you think of Anibal for Phillips or Homer Bailey for Utley? Buysellatops is inconclusive, and I’m leaning to the Phillips offer.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Beastman: Thanks. I think you are overpaying the most for Utley, so I’m leaning for Phillips. Though, I don’t quite like that price either. Carpenter or Kendrick might be better targets.

      • Beastman says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong: I just offered up Lynn and Beckham for Kendrick, hoping he’ll go for it.

  36. JoeMorgan'sMustache says:
    (link)

    Was just offered Prado for Samardzjia in 16 team h2h league. One kicker is we use LF, CF, RF…also .OPS added cat. Prado has been better lately, and the underlying stats tell me he has just been unlucky this year. Not sure what to make of Samardzjia at this point or how to gauge his value, but I am frustrated with him. Could use the solid bat and Prado’s crazy eligibility doesn’t hurt, but would this be a good move? Thanks.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @JoeMorgan’sMustache: While I agree that Prado will regress (he’s on my 2nd-half buy post coming soon), I think you are selling low on the Shark. If you are looking at the underlying stats on Prado, take the same look on Samardzija, I think you’ll be pleased.

      • JoeMorgan'sMustache says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong: Will take a look under the hood. I guess I should stop watching Shark pitch…lately I come away scratching my head, feeling somewhat sick, and then anger ensues when I see my ERA and WHIP blow up. Thanks for the response.

  37. TKilla says:
    (link)

    I just traded Longo and Greinke for Cliff Lee and Trumbo in my H2H pts league. Which side would you rather have?

    - Hah, has anybody else noticed Luke Scott’s retro 80′s braided rat tail?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @TKilla: With the way Greinke has been pitching, I think its a coin flip.

  38. LongoTulo says:
    (link)

    razzball friends…12 team h2h. Nolasco, Cashner, Wheeler, or Stults moving forward?

    Thanks!

    • LongoTulo says:
      (link)

      @LongoTulo: ACTUALLY, pick 2, please.

      • Jay

        jaywrong says:
        (link)

        @LongoTulo: Nolasco, Cashner.

  39. Mateo says:
    (link)

    Trade A-Gon and Jeter for Jose Reyes?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Mateo: If you are desperate for steals, its okay. Not crazy about it otherwise.

  40. hmmm says:
    (link)

    eaton or EYJ?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @hmmm: Eaton.

  41. Robby D says:
    (link)

    Couldn’t help but notice in the uppercut analysis section with Gifs it seems like the two comparisons aren’t good because in the old swing is on a pitch at his shoulders almost so of course it’s going to be more uppercut than the one in on his hands at waste level. It would probably be stronger if you showed the same result on a pitch waste high on the old swing.

Comments are closed.