Kick this post off with a little side note copulation. Big Stein had it all wrong when he called Dave Winfield, Mr. May. Jason Bay is Mr. May. From 2005 to 2009, he’s hit 9, 12, 4, 7 and 10 homers, respectively. Each May has been his biggest home run production month. Even in 2007 when he hit 4 homers, it was still his biggest homer month for that year and easily his best average month at .336. Like a drunk middle-aged man at Fantasy Fest, Bay is streaky. But side note, um, aside, what does it mean for Jason Bay’s fantasy value now that he’s on the Mets? We call The Mets Answer To The Stadium Adjacent To The House That Ruth Built, Metco. In jest, partly. Let’s face it, it’s not Petco. Petco’s like those old-timey stadiums that had the monuments in center field. That isn’t Kyle Blanks, that’s a Nate Colbert statue. Metco isn’t that bad. It’s still no cup of chamomile. It’ll hurt Bay’s value a tad bit to go from Fenway to Metco, but his splits weren’t terrible. He only had a few Fenway-aided homers. Fenway did more to help his average, Runs and RBIs. 315 foot doubles can do that. But these are quibbles. His value isn’t going down the drain in Flushing. Is he a 36 homer hitter? I doubt it. But I didn’t think he was even in Fenway. He’s a 27-32 homer guy who has 10+ steal speed. His average is always the iffy category. He’s not much more than a .275 hitter without some luck. So you’re looking at 95/30/110/.275/12 in 2010. Anyway, here’s some more trades, signings, whatever-you-want-to-call-its and what they mean for 2010 fantasy baseball:
Mark DeRosa – Just when you think the Giants have turned the corner from giving out contracts to aging vets, along comes DeRosa. Maybe Rich Aurilla can teach him how to go from productive to albatross. DeRosa has flexibility with his position eligibility but other than for your 5th outfielder spot, you can do better.
Kelly Johnson – Love him on the Diamondbacks. No, too much. Intrigued by him on the Diamondbacks. Yeah, intrigued, cause I talk like Comic Book Guy. In certain circumstances, I’m excited to draft Kelly Johnson late as my middle infielder. Yeah, that’ll work. Last year, Bobby Cox never gave Johnson a fair shake. He benched him against lefties, sat him when he slumped, told him he’d never be Marcus Giles… It was a trying time for a guy with a girl’s first name. An every day job could easily translate to a 15/10 season. Sounds yawnstipating, but at MI and where he’ll be drafted he’ll be a steal late in 2010 drafts.
Marlon Byrd – Another former Ranger heads to Chicago. Next year, the Cubs can grab Nelson Cruz. Wrigley won’t kill Byrd’s value, but his value was marginal at best. He’s really only worth owning in 12 team leagues when he’s hot.
Miguel Olivo – To the Rockies. I already wrote a flippin’ Chris Iannetta sleeper post that I planned on posting in January. Olivo’s signing kinda screws the pooch a little on that. I’ll probably post it anyway because I do like Iannetta a lot for 2010 and I already wrote the stupid post. As for Olivo, if your Iannetta’s half full, then Olivo’s a backup that can hit 15 homers in part-time duty. If your Iannetta’s half empty, then Olivo’s starting three to four times a week and hitting 20 homers.