Fangraphs, a great site to get lost in for a few hours, has this stat called O-Swing %. I don’t know if they invented it, but they probably did because they’re smarter than us. The O-Swing % is not the amount of times you can fail to satisfy a woman prior to her swinging her arm and knocking you to the floor. Repeat, it is not that. Though, if someone can come up with that stat, let me know. No, the O-Swing % is, “The percentage of pitches a batter swings at outside the strike zone.” Yes, they may as well call this the AlfonsO-Swing %. Hackers score high, methodical, patient hitters score low. Doesn’t mean high is bad and low is good. Some guys hack and have always hacked. B. Giles never swings, but he never swings because, when he does, the ball trickles to 2nd base. I was more concerned with the hitters swinging more often at balls outside the strike zone than their career norm. How do you apply this list to fantasy baseball? Don’t consider these guys prime candidates for bounce backs. They’re not battling simply bad luck, they’re pressing. Anyway, here’s some fantasy baseball hitters that have lost the strike zone:
Bengie Molina – At 49%, he also happens to be number one for the major leagues for swinging at balls. As you can imagine 49% is a terrible rate. His career is 32.5%. He’s pressing. Why? Brian Sabean has already said that Posey’s time is coming soon and Molina’s time on the Giants is winding down. Tick-tock, veteran catcher, tick-tock.
Adrian Beltre – Career 29.9%, so far in 2009 he’s at a 38.3%. This is what happens when you can’t turn to steriods in your contract year. Is that Ice Ice Baby playing? Nope, it’s Under Pressure.
Placido Polanco – 28.3%. I’m no fan of Crapolanco and he’s proven my point thus far. His BABIP is low for him so he might be swinging out of the strike zone to compensate for his bad luck. Either way, blech.
Hideki Matsui – 20% with a career rate of 15.2. In his abbreviated season last year, he had a hard time finding the right pitches to swing at and this has carried over. Don’t feel bad for Matsui, when this whole baseball thing stops, he’ll have more time for his porn collection.
David Ortiz – 24.8% on the O-Swing rate and 68.9% of Sawx fans wondering if they can get anything for their Ortiz jersey on eBay. Did he start pressing or are his eyes all moogly-boogly? Whatever the case, he’s pretty far from his career rate of 18.4%.