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Avisail Garcia has been great the past few weeks, hasn’t he? At this point in the season, I’m here to tell you that it’s time to throw projections out the window (defenestration, yo!). This isn’t to say that you should expect something completely unrealistic from a player, but it is ok to minimize any worry about regression. For example, can Avisail maintain the .800 OPS he’s produced over the past month? Why not? And, am I allowed to answer a question with another question? This is my long way of saying that if a player is on a hot streak, it could absolutely continue for the rest of the season and doesn’t “have to” regress. With that out of the way, I’ll admit that I’m still deciding how I’ll feel about Garcia for next year, but I believe he can be productive for the rest of 2013. Anyway, here are some players who can be better than expected in OPS leagues going forward:

Will Middlebrooks – This might just be a case of a player who was producing so much less than he was capable of and now has finally turned things around. With a relatively low walk rate and high strikeout rate, streakiness comes with the territory, but I could see him hitting well over an .800 OPS in the final weeks.

Salvador Perez – After tormenting Grey with embarrassingly little production, he too has turned things around in a significant way. As with Middlebrooks, I think the real talent lies somewhere in between his slow start and recent hot streak. It will be interesting to see where these guys end up being drafted next year. I’m thinking that, even if they continue producing, people will only remember their devastating starts and they will end up being available at a discount.

Josh Rutledge – Yet again, here’s a guy with great expectations coming into this season who completely flopped and is trying to regain some dignity. Before this season, I was very reluctant about believing in Rutledge, but there’s still hope, especially considering his age. I’d definitely pick him up if you need help at middle infield. And really, who doesn’t need help at middle infield?

Josh DonaldsonI touted Mr. Donaldson early and often this year. For some reason, I’m pulling for the guy. Maybe it’s because I saw the Moneyball movie. Or maybe it’s because I want there to be better options at third base. Regardless, his .297/.372/.496 line this year is spectacular. I could see him being a bit undervalued next year with people being skeptical of his ability to repeat his 2013 numbers. I’ll likely be projecting him to approach those numbers next year.

Andrelton Simmons – I never thought Andrelton would get 15 homers in a season. But just because his power has been greater than expected, doesn’t mean that he’ll have -10 homers the rest of the way. Player’s stats can’t be manipulated like that. Unless you’re Bud Selig…

Tom Jacks is sporadically on Twitter @votetomjacks

  1. Juice_0321 says:
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    I have two moves left for this playoff week. I already burned 3 of the 5 allotted for the week on Petit, Cingrani and Andrus. My team is as follows:

    Lucroy
    Goldy
    Dat Dude BP
    Andrus
    Longo
    Victorino (who I’ve been riding out the Hitter-Tron on)
    Holliday
    JHam
    Chris Davis
    BN Venable

    P
    Scherzer
    Petit
    Miller
    Cobb
    Cigranni
    Teheran
    Moore
    Chapman
    Melancon
    Mujica
    Paps

    I was thinking of dropping Paps and picking up someone that could catapult me into the championship round. I am the top seed coming off a bye.

    Middlebrooks, Leonys, Garcia? Plenty on the wire in this league. Do you see any glaring weakness in my roster that I could upgrade? This is an avg, OPS, QS league.

    Thanks as always!

    • Juice_0321 says:
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      @Juice_0321: FYI every player on the thread is available except Donaldson.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Juice_0321: I would say Middlebrooks, but you should be set with Longoria, so I’d instead go with Leonys since the Rangers are at home all week. You could play him when Hamilton is facing a lefty or Victorino has a tough matchup.

      • Juice_0321 says:
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        @Tom Jacks: Dropping Paps?

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @Juice_0321: How badly do you need another closer?

          • Tom Jacks

            Tom Jacks says:
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            @Tom Jacks: I’m not sure who else to drop, so if you do need him, then I’d be ok with holding with what you’ve got. I don’t see any glaring weaknesses.

          • Juice_0321 says:
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            @Tom Jacks: I dont think I need another closer do you? I have Melancon, Mujica and Chapman. I will be going against Perkins, Balfour, Cishek, and Gregg. I am not too worried based on the matchups. Thoughts?

            • Tom Jacks

              Tom Jacks says:
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              @Juice_0321: I’m not too worried about that matchup either. I’d swap Leonys for Paps.

  2. Joey B. says:
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    I need one 1B and one OF/util. The following players are all available: Middlebrooks (3B), Frazier (1B, 3B, OF), Colabello (1B, OF), Lind (1B), Matt Adams (1B), and Yelich (OF). Can you pick the two you think would be most likely to push me over the edge this playoff week and, hopefully, beyond?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Joey B.: I’d go with Middlebrooks and Adams, assuming you’re not desperate for steals.

  3. RotoChickand says:
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    I need a 1B or C, for roto league. categories are OBP, R, TB, Steals, RBI.
    K. Calhoun, Ruf, Adams, Gattis or Colabello?
    Which do you pick and in what order?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @RotoChickand: I’ll rank them: Adams, Calhoun, Gattis, Ruf, Colabello

  4. Chicken Dinner says:
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    Should I bench Harper this week? I have Garcia (who’s missing time also), Morse (who has good matchups but may not play) with Duda also available.

    Also, pick two if you will? ARam, Adams, Frazier.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Chicken Dinner: I feel awkward saying it, but I’d bench Harper for Duda since he should be playing. I’d pick ARam and Adams.

      • Chicken Dinner says:
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        @Tom Jacks: Thanks. Not a decision I wanted to make first week of the playoffs. Good thing I have 6 two starters.

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @Chicken Dinner: Yeah, that’s a tough loss for the week.

  5. 10 team, 8 SP max. Can go over 8, then done w/pitching. Looking to add a SP for Sunday to go from 7 to 10 SP’s. Leaning Dillon Gee vs MIA (Koehler) but could also go with Gallardo vs CIN (Arroyo). Others available are Erasmo @ STL (Miller), Perez vs OAK (Parker), Nova @ BOS (Buchholz). Do you like the Gee match-up best too? Thanks Tom!

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @madden_curser: No problem – yeah, I like the Gee matchup best, especially since Stanton could still be out.

  6. Blue says:
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    Garcia or Middlebrooks Need HR/RBI SB.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Blue: I’d go with Middlebrooks.

      • Blue says:
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        @Tom Jacks:

        Thanks

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @Blue: No problem

  7. papajeansegura says:
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    Should I drop Bourn for Yellich? Is this a no-brainer?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @papajeansegura: Not a no-brainer, but yeah I’d do it.

  8. Chris says:
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    Thinking of streaming Taijuan Walker tonight vs the Astros. Do you think he comes up big tonight or blows up my week before it starts. H2H points league.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Chris: My initial thought was that he should do well and the stream-o-nator agrees, so hopefully he validates our confidence…

  9. Gabriel says:
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    Couple of dilemmas – I’m in final of playoffs this week. I’m struggling about who to put in between Sandoval and Middlebrooks. – I could put one of them at flex, but sandoval is DTD. I have Ethier and Eaton on the bench.

    Pitching – I have M Perez (2 start (i think)), Zimmerman (2 start), Bumgarner, U Jimenez (2 start), Sonny Gray, J Lackey and Buchholz (2 start) – at the moment I have dropped Lackey and Buchholz – do you agree?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Gabriel: I’d go with Middlebrooks over Sandoval this week. I agree with your pitching decisions.

      • Gabriel says:
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        @Tom Jacks:
        Sorry didn’t explain it that well. then at utility should I put Sandoval, or Ethier or Eaton?

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @Gabriel: No worries – I’d go with Eaton next.

  10. Wil Myers did not play Sunday, but went 2-for-4 in Saturday’s game and has 9 hits over the last 5 games. Myers or Eaton? Also, have Yelich at 1B. He went 2-for-4 and scored a run Saturday. Batting 3rd good for his stats. Still iffy vs leftys, but fairly solid. Hold or drop for Brandon Moss, who doesn’t hit leftys well either… Thanks again!

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @madden_curser: I’d go with Myers over Eaton, and Moss over Yelich. Good luck!

  11. RudyCorrales says:
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    Brett lawrie or Emilio bonancigiofuofiogio for the rest of the season?

    Carlos Gomez or Coco Crisp Rest of season?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @RudyCorrales: I’ll go with Emilio and Coco ROS.

  12. Matt says:
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    Any predictions on Rutledge’s 2014 batting line?

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