Let’s just assume Joe Mauer hits 25 HRs, though no one south of the Arctic Circle has him projected for more than 18. And even some less optimistic Eskimos have him down for only 20. Let’s also assume after curing the swine (<–which is prosciutto, I believe), he hits .330. Let’s also chuck in 80 Runs and 80 RBIs, which seems Brobdingnagian (Word of the Day!) considering time already missed. I think these are all preposterous numbers considering his back problems, but let’s suspend disbelief. So Mauer still has 17 more homers, a great average and 60 some-odd Runs/RBIs in him. In the first half of last year, Doumit hit 11 homers with 42 Runs and 29 RBIs, while batting .329. Those numbers are in 207 ABs. He can easily replicate those numbers when he returns. So if you trade Mauer for, say, an outfielder who still has 30 HRs in his bat (Quentin) or a pitcher (Hamels) or a corner guy (Youkilis) and grab a random schmohawk catcher of waivers, you’re walking out of the trade in good shape.Please, blog, may I have some more?
With about a month and a half in, I figured I’d go over where my (Rudy and my? Rudy and I? Rudy and me? Did I miss this day?) fantasy baseball teams are in their respective leagues. I know most of youse only care about your teams and how they’re faring, so I’ll keep this brief. I won’t bore you with all the tremendous moves I’ve made — Oh, there’s been some doozies. I also won’t bore you with all the lousy pick-ups I’ve made — Thanks, Hochevar! I’ll touch on a few key transactions and where I currently am in the standings. Anyway, here’s my fantasy baseball team updates:
15 Team, mixed league, roto; host: Tim of RotoRob, Currently in 4th place, 9.5 points out of first.Please, blog, may I have some more?
The walks weren’t really an issue when Francisco Liriano was striking out twenty-seven guys a game. He walked to the mound and you knew you were getting 10 Ks. Maybe nothing else. But you got ten Ks. Even if he faced only nine batters. The scorer would give him an extra one just because he was Francisco Liriano. His numbers since Frank Jobe surgery are disturbing. Disturbing like one of those Discovery Channel shows where they show plastic surgery gone wrong. Liriano’s throwing his slider less (his old strikeout pitch) and chucking up salamis, pitch after pitch. Could he be laying off the slider because of the surgery? My guess is yes. *pointing my index finger at you* That is my guess. He looked like he turned a corner when we hit May and K’d nine Tigers. Could it be the old Liriano, you pondered while nestled in your woobie. Alas, it was not. The old Liriano’s in a medical waste bin outside Dr.Please, blog, may I have some more?
Last week in a barrage of me making sense, I looked at fantasy starters whose ERAs will get worst. Well, do onto others or turnabout is fair play or some other cliché leads me to this post — the inverse of last week’s or fantasy baseball starters who will get better. If you weren’t around last week, I mentioned what FIP is; don’t really feel like going into it again and regular readers will tire anyway, so go back and read last week’s. Anyway, here’s a list of pitchers with the biggest difference between their actual ERAs and their FIPs.Please, blog, may I have some more?
Lemonade was a popular drink and it still is, the Rangers could only get one hit against Willis. That’s right, Dwyck. Dontrelle Willis went six and one-third, allowing only three baserunners and K’ing five. The Rangers came into the game hitting lefties extremely well (.291) with Kinsler at .460 and Michael Young at .372. So let’s all get jazzamatazzed, right? Well, I don’t hold the same excitement. His story definitely has the Lubitsch touch, but his last start was four earned in four and two-thirds against the Twins. Dontrelle’s opponents will be tough, his recent history has been extremely poor and a 5/4 K/BB is poor. There’s got to be at least a half dozen guys better on your waivers to take a chance on. Let someone else buy a ticket for the D-Train. Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:
James Shields – 8 1/3 IP, 0 ER, zero run support. If only they batted Sonnanstine third…
Josh Outman – 6 IP, 4 baserunners, 0 ER, 6 Ks. His Ks are solid, but he walks too many guys and right now he’s getting a bit lucky with how many guys he’s leaving on base. Then throw in the fact that he pitches for the A’s and their A’nemic offense. Outman shouldn’t be in, man, outside of AL-Only leagues.Please, blog, may I have some more?
Let’s see, winner of the All-Star game gets home field advantage… The WBC… Open the season in another country… Steroids testing after letting the world believe Bret Boone was good… Finally, interleague play. Selig, hang your legacy right next to the monkey carcass that helped spread the AIDS virus. Well, interleague is here whether we like it or not. I don’t, but this is only partially about me. So what can we do about interleague play for fantasy baseball?Please, blog, may I have some more?
Well, that didn’t take long. Rickie Weeks has swine flu in the wrist. Anything negative health-wise wouldn’t surprise me with Rickie Weeks. “Coach, Weeks got the black plague.” “Wasn’t that only spread by rats 600 years ago?” “Don’t know, Coach. After Friday’s game, he was with some old broad who had snaggle teeth. Might’ve been that.” I wouldn’t be surprised to see this force Weeks to the DL then miss two months of the season because that’s what Weeks do. It would be too convenient for Bill Hall to go to 2nd and Gamel to fill-in at third. But offensively it would make more sense than the blahtoon of Counsell and Iribarren. Anyway, here’s what I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:
Chris Carpenter – Returning on Wednesday. I don’t think he gets to the All-Star Break healthy. If you have Carpenter, you might think about hammering out a deal. (<–Pun!)
Koji Uehara – 5 IP, 4 ER. I still believe he’ll be better going forward than most doodes that are on waivers.Please, blog, may I have some more?
Ohmigod, Grey’s totally going against Rudy’s risky pitcher post? They are so fighting. I hope Rudy rips off Grey’s stache. $5 says it’s not real. Uh-hum. I can hear you, random italicized voice. I’m actually typing you! My bad. So, yes, Jon Lester is a risky pitcher. But at this point, he’s also a buy. His ERA’s 6.31. That’s ridunkiculous from where it should be. He’s pitching well (minus some ill-timed long balls), tremendous K-rate, solid walk rate. A pitcher who is pitching well and has a 6.31 ERA is such a crazy buy, that I wouldn’t be surprised if his owners weren’t even selling. But, on the other hand, they’re smarting from his earned runs. They may see LaTroy Hawkins or Jason Bartlett and be like, “Hey, Lester’s killing me, why not take a guy that at least has been good?” That’s why you prey on those suckas. This is why you have brass balls and you just chucked one at your mean lady neighbor who keeps bugging you when you turn the Dropkick Murphys to eleven and put it on repeat. I’m a sailor peg!!! And I lost my leg!!! I love that song. Wait, what was I saying? Oh, yeah. Lester — get him, within reason. Anyway, here’s some more players to Buy and Sell this week in fantasy baseball:
Justin Duchscherer – If he’s on waivers and you can stash him on your DL, stash away.Please, blog, may I have some more?
Josh Johnson injured? That would be precedented. He came out of the game with a weak right shoulder. Yeah, and I have a weak pitching staff without you. Afterwards, Johnson said, “I just don’t feel great.” That makes two of us. Pitchers are always more prone to injuries than hitters and Johnson embodies that. Or maybe he disembodies it. Either way, this is bad news. Hopefully, he caught the problem soon enough and won’t miss too much time. I have a sinking feeling he’s headed for further bad news. Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:
Chris Davis – Hit the game winning homer. After the game, here’s what CJ Wilson said on Twitter, “Rangers are crazy powerful in the late innings.Please, blog, may I have some more?
Okay, take off your aluminum foil cap you use to get better TV reception and put on your thinking cap because we’re going into The Land of Sabermetrics with your host, me. Today we’re going to look at FIP. Stands for Fielding Independent Pitching. It’s basically ERA without those pesky fielders helping or hurting you. It’s a pure ERA. It’s like when you go to the Supercuts and then you don’t want to shower because you’ll never get your hair styled again like Jeffrey does it. It’s your hair right after Jeffrey styles it and before you wash it. That’s FIP. Okay, so let’s take a Exhibit A pitcher who has an ERA of 2.75 but his FIP is a 6.75. A -4.00 difference. That means he’s been very lucky and there’s a good chance his ERA is going to go way up. So here’s a list of pitchers with the biggest difference between their actual ERAs and their FIPs.Please, blog, may I have some more?