Carlos Quentin returned to play yesterday after taking a two month sabbatical for a foot thingiemaboo-boo. So he DH’d right? Nuh-uh. Oh, Jim Thome? Nope, Ozzie Guillen in his infinitesimal wisdom DH’d Josh Fields in the nine hole. It’s almost like Ozzie’s daring Quentin to stay healthy. Why not give him a hot foot with an M-80? So what can we expect from Quentin for the rest of the season? Best case scenario, has him playing 5 games a week and hitting well (as he did in his rehab assignment). Maybe 15 homers, good RBIs and a .270 average. He’s not going to come without risk. At any point, I’m expecting word that he’ll be out for the year. How’s that for a ringing endorsement? So through one game, Quentin’s 1-for-4 and healthy. Now give us forty-five more games. Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:
Gavin Floyd – 7 IP, 3 ER, 5 baserunners, 7 Ks. Now has an sub-2.50 ERA at home. No one tell him his home is a hitter’s park. Please, blog, may I have some more?
Felipe Lopez was traded to the Brewers yesterday. This further cements Casey McGehee’s backup/utility/schmohawk MI behind door number 3 role. McGehee was a Sell on Friday and someone in the Milwaukee brass obviously read that. Felipe Lopez will prolly bat leadoff and primarily play 2nd base. He might get a few more Runs, but his value pretty much stays the same. Right now, Lopez has a 6/6 line on the year. This will put him in line for the middle infielder that everyone looks at late in next year’s drafts and thinks, “12/12 on the year? I’ll take that at my MI spot.” Then by June you’re thinking about how yawnstipating it is. I was as guilty as anyone in the preseason thinking Lopez had a 20/20 season in him and, at the age of 29, maybe he does, but it sure doesn’t seem like it’s coming this year. Going to the Diamondbacks were Cole Gillespie and Roque Mercedes, who were both featured prominently in Buena Vista Social Club. Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:
Cla Meredith – The groundball pitcher, Meredith, went from the Padres to the Orioles for Oscar Salazar, the groundball hitter. Let the trades begin! Meredith now becomes the go-to Cla in Baltimore replacing Senator Clay Davis. I have to get one guy out in the 8th inning? Please, blog, may I have some more?
Right now, Jason Bartlett has a 45/8/39/.347/19 line. At 29-years-old, he’s flying past his career numbers. Before this season, his career high for homers was 5. He’s already at 8. So let’s say the talk of his new jack swing is true; he can hit for more power now. He’s still not hitting more than 5 homers in the 2nd half (he hit 1 homer in June and July in 87 ABs). Recently, Maddon has batted him 7th or 8th in the order. So the runs won’t come easy unless he eats at Taco Bell. He’s a career .286 hitter with a .398 BABIP right now, so the average will come down. He’s never stolen more than 23 bases in a season, but let’s say he blows that away by ten. So let’s be optimistic and say a 2nd half line of 30/5/35/.300/14. I ran an ultraviolet light over my bedsheets and it read, “That sounds a lot like Clint Barmes’s 2nd half.” Thanks for confirming my suspicions, bed! So Bartlett is a Sell. Anyway, here’s some more players to buy or sell this week in fantasy baseball:
Josh Whitesell – Speaking of -sells, but this one’s a Buy… Kinda. Whitesell doesn’t have every day playing time right now, so grab him in NL-Only leagues, but everywhere else I’d hold tight. So, I guess, that’s a Whitehold. Please, blog, may I have some more?
On July 16th, Padres GM, Kevin Towers, said there’s a 50-50 chance that Jake Peavy would pitch again. Turned out there was a 50-50 chance that he was lying. On July 16th, Peavy’s boot came off and his ankle is healthy. Peavy now says he’ll pitch again this year. Oh, okay. Peavy is the Padres ace, i.e., they’re not going to mess with bringing him back to make sure they win 60 games instead of 58. Please, blog, may I have some more?
Yesterday, I went over some 2nd half hitters. The day before I went over the top 100 for fantasy baseball in the 2nd half. Today, it’s time for everyone’s favorite 2nd half fantasy baseball pitchers. Or maybe these won’t be your favorite pitchers. These are decisions you have to make on your own. I can walk you to the fantasy baseball water. I cannot drink it for you. Similarly to hitters, players get in grooves or slumps. So if a pitcher has been terrible for the last month, but showed flashes in the 2nd half of last year, he’s worth considering, but he’s not suddenly going to be great, i.e., recent history should be weighed. Anyway, here’s some 2nd half fantasy baseball pitchers for 2009:
CC Sabathia – 1.56 ERA in 2008′s 2nd half to lead the league for pitchers over 60 innings. He was ranked 7th for 2nd half ERA in 2007 with a 2.76. Though I’m not totally convinced that we won’t be looking back at 2009 and wondering why CC was a 3.75 ERA pitcher rather than a 2.75 one. Though, Part II: The Return of Though, he does have a 3.67 career ERA, not what we saw last year in Milwaukee. Though, Part III: Though Lives, he is usually better in the 2nd half. Though, Part IV: Though Part Three Confused Me. Though, Part V: Why Do They Keep Making Thoughs? Please, blog, may I have some more?
Yesterday, I went over the top 100 for fantasy baseball in the 2nd half. Today, I’ll look at some 2nd half hitters who should be better than they were in the first half. To come up with this list, I scoured the last three years of post-All-Star Break numbers, ran it through a supercomputer that’s bigger than your Peugeot, pasted the supercomputer-generated names to my shirt like dollar bills on a wedding dress then went to a palm reader to help me pick ten names out of the thousands. The palm reader’s name was Erica Karabell. Tomorrow, I’ll go over the fantasy baseball pitchers who have been notoriously stronger in the 2nd half. Anyway, here’s the best 2nd half fantasy baseball hitters for 2009:
Mike Napoli – Last year, he led the United States and Canada in OPS after the break for hitters with more than 100 ABs. Vlad the ’97 Impaler and Torii are both hurting, which will help Napoli see more time. Please, blog, may I have some more?
So it’s not really the 2nd half mark in the fantasy baseball season, but it’s the All-Star Break so what else are we going to talk about? The newest Real World? Why would you put them in Cancun and then say they can’t drink in public? Go put restrictions on the castmates of 16 and Pregnant and leave the Real Worlders alone. As with all of the other 2009 fantasy baseball rankings, take this list with a grain of salt. If you need a 2nd baseman, but an outfielder is above him that doesn’t mean you can’t trade the outfielder for the 2nd baseman. Also, things change in fantasy baseball. Daily. I could put Albert Pujols number one on the top 50 list for the second half of 2009 and he could get injured tomorrow. Then he wouldn’t be number one. See how that works. This list is a roadmap for where I think guys are valued. It’s not the Holy Grail in the Church of Grey, that would be my ‘stache. This list is NOT (Caps for emphasis, not aesthetics) where I see guys ending up if you were to take the first half and combine it with the 2nd half of their season. Please, blog, may I have some more?
Jay Bruce owners got their first bit of good news from him as he fractured his wrist. This is like when you’re in a terrible relationship that you can’t get out of because you’re scared to be alone, then the other person comes home and says they’re leaving you. In 12 teams or shallower and non-keeper leagues, I’d remove Jay Bruce from the salamander and chuck him. Even if he comes back, he wasn’t hitting when his wrist bone was connected to his forearm bone. As for keepers, I thought Bruce would be a good sleeper candidate for next year. Now with the nature of his injury, I’m not so sure. If he needs surgery, it’ll be a much longer process. Please, blog, may I have some more?
Taking his name from the Telemundo reruns of Kojak, Ubaldo Jimenez currently has a 3.86 ERA, a 3.33 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) and a 3.71 Away ERA. Chuck in a 7.63 K/9 and a schedule right after the break of either away games or easy matchups. In the 2nd half last year, Ubaldo had a 3.68 ERA and almost a K an inning. I’d grab him (and not start him at home vs. Please, blog, may I have some more?
Torii Swelling was almost the title, but with a groin injury… Well, you get the problem. So Torii Hunter got guillotined in the Sell post last week and now seems to be headed to the DL. Let them eat cake! So what to do with the blue state Hunter and his pesky groin? DL him when the Angels do. Can’t do much else now. You shouldn’t sell him for 3 pairs of socks and a Megadeth vinyl record. Hunter should return in a few weeks. Luckily, with the All-Star Break, he’ll get a few extra days to recover where he’s not missing any games. Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:
Geovany Soto – Should’ve mentioned this the other day, but I’m only half-cyborg so sometimes I miss things. Soto’s bothered by an oblique injury (vague!). Hill should get all the starts prior to the break, then Jake “I am the Fatman” Fox could get starts at catcher after the break, if Soto needs a DL stint. Right now, it sounds like that will be in order. (Speaking of which, whenever you see a broken vending machine, walk up to it and scream, “No, you’re out of order!” People love that.)
Pedro Martinez – Sounds like he’s going to the Phillies. In his last 48 starts, he has a 4.74 ERA and that was in a pitchers’ park. On the other hand, he has been solid for Ks even as his career winds down. On the third hand, he gave up 19 homers in 109 innings last year. Oy. I would grab him in an NL-Only league to see if there’s a spark left from the midget era, but I’d hold off in mixed leagues. Please, blog, may I have some more?