On each Sunday we’re going to try and answer your 2008 fantasy baseball questions. Is this every fantasy baseball question we receive? No, but it’s a few of the better ones that were emailed directly to us at info[at]razzball.com. So if you want some fantasy baseball advice that can’t get answered in the comments section, then there you go. Please ask the minor questions i.e. Should I drop Chad Cordero for Santiago Casilla? (yes, you should) in the comment section. It’ll be a quicker answer there from Grey or I (or even a regular commenter). Thanks, we really do appreciate your support and feedback. (But if you try to hug me, it might get weird.)
Now, I am not going to say which side of the deal I am on but here is a trade that went down in my league yesterday:
Team A agreed to deal Yovani Gallardo to Team B for Nick Markakis yesterday morning. Unfortunately, we play in a league that votes on trades (I know…whole other topic there). The commissioner announced the deal prior to the Brewers game. Four votes trickled in before the news broke today regarding Gallardo being out for the year.
My question is this:
Should league owners be voting on this trade based on when the deal was agreed upon or based on circumstances that have occurred since then.
Your league owners SHOULD be reviewing this trade without factoring in the injury news as that was the status of Gallardo when the trade was made. Same as if Gallardo went out there and threw a no-hitter or gave up 8 runs in the first.
Whether they will or not is another matter.
I think there’s a fair argument that Markakis is worth more than Gallardo in any case. Not enough that I would veto (Razzball is anti-veto) but the case could be made by a veto-friendly owner. (The tough part is knowing whether the injury pushes them over the edge.)
Let us know how it turns out.
In the 9-team 8×8 roto league with L, CG, K/BB, H, TB, and XBH added to basic Yahoo! 5×5. I’m trying to become more independent of experts and pundits and such with my analyses and player projections, and I think I’m getting the hang of it. What I would like to know is how you get your BAO, briefly, and what your BAO lines are for 2008. I think I found your batting lines of
C – 47 / 13 / 57 / 2 / 0.273 (Paul Lo Duca, Johnny Estrada, AJ Pierzynski)
1B – 63 / 18 / 68 / 1 / 0.279 (Matt Stairs, Conor Jackson, Aubrey Huff)
2B – 79 / 11 / 61 / 9 / 0.288 (Orlando Hudson, Brendan Harris, Mark DeRosa)
SS – 72 / 11/ 60 / 11 / 0.279 (Brendan Harris, Jack Wilson)
3B – 70 / 18 / 72 / 4 / 0.279 (Kevin Kouzmanoff, Mark Reynolds, Aubrey Huff)
OF – 67 / 14 / 65 / 6 / 0.273 (Luis Gonzalez, Austin Kearns, JD Drew)
but I do not have anything for pitchers except a reference to Carlos Silva and 3.96 / 1.32. What are the expectations for SP and RP BAO this year?
As for my team, I’ve done tons of trades since the beginning of the season and it’s changed quite a bit. My current roster:
C – Geovany Soto
1B – Garrett Atkins
2B – Chase Utley
3B – Aramis Ramirez
SS – Ryan Theriot
OF – Matt Holliday
OF – Alex Ríos
OF – Carl Crawford
Util – Josh Hamilton
BN – Justin Upton
BN – Conor Jackson
BN – Evan Longoria
DL – Troy Tulowitzki
SP – Cole Hamels
SP – James Shields
RP – J. J. Putz
RP – Joe Nathan
P – Matt Capps
P – Javier Vázquez
P – Santiago Casilla
BN – Max Scherzer
BN – Garrett Olson
DL – Rafael Soriano
DL – John Lackey
Now for a few specific questions about my team, if you’d be so kind. Is Putz something to worry about? He pitched 94 and 95 mph consistently during that blown save, just never in the strike zone. I already made an offer of Geovany Soto for Bobby Jenks today (Dioner Navarro and Jeff Clement are FA) just in case. Next, I kicked Brett Myers to the curb the day before Gallardo blew his ACL. Is the long toss really his answer, or is he trash this year? I’m personally beginning to think he punched his wife on a ‘roid rage. My other available options besides him are Jonathan Broxton, Wandy Rodríguez, John Danks, and Shawn Hill. With Soriano likely losing his job to Smoltz I have also had an eye on Rich Harden, who may come back for 10 to 20 minutes in the near future. What do you think?
Also if you see any glaring weaknesses in my team (besides CG, I don’t have one yet and am one of only 3 teams with none) let me know.
Here’s the 2007 BAO for pitchers:
Starters – 11 W, 4.15 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 191 IP, 132 Ks
Relievers – 4 W, 6 SV, 3.31 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 68 IP, 61 K
(The 3.96/1.32 is the composite of the two)
The BAO methodology is laid out HERE.
I can’t provide it for 2008 as it requires having a full year of stats and then determining the replacement level totals for each stat for each position. I could’ve done this based on 2008 projections but I moved to the Point Shares methodology (explanation and methodology HERE. It’s an improvement in our eyes as it ties back to Roto points.
If you’re trying to do something based on BAO, I’d just work off the same totals as last year. It’s too early to assume any major shifts between the two years.
I don’t see why you’d trade Soto for Jenks as you seem set on closers. Too early to bail on Putz. Nathan and Capps are solid. I’d think Smoltz would close if he relieves, so Soriano would be out. If you can get anything for him, go ahead. Otherwise, he’s probably useless in your league. Hamels, Shields, and Vazquez are a solid starting three. Lackey is due back on May 14th. Nice you got Scherzer. Not sure why you have Olson – is he a friend of the family? I don’t see any FA out there that would replace your pitching lineup so it’s not a big deal.
Tough break with Tulo. Theriot is your weakest link but he’s been hot. Assuming no one is stashing SS on their bench, you should be able to rotate SS for a while.