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By my calculations, Anthony Rizzo is the top rookie 1st baseman heading into the 2012 fantasy baseball season.  (For all of you screaming Paul Goldschmidt, he has too many ABs to be considered a rookie and too many Christmas presents to be considered a Jew.  Sorry to all you, Zimmermaniacs.  Though since we’re talking about Goy-schmidt, I like his home park better so he gets the edge over Rizzo if rookie eligibility doesn’t matter, which, in the big picture, it shouldn’t.)  Rizzo put up big numbers in Triple-A last year with 26 homers and a .331 average.  Unfortunately, those numbers were in the PCL which is like hitting with an aluminum bat on the moon.  He also contributed 7 steals, which again reminds me of Goldschmidt or Au-shit as his name translates to in German.  It’s nice when a big man can knock the cover off the ball and chuck in some steals.  Reminds me of a young Adam Dunn.  Rizzo, I will call you Donkey Kong Jr.  So what can we expect of Anthony Rizzo for 2012 fantasy baseball?

His eye isn’t terrible, but his strikeouts aren’t pretty.  If he hits .250 or lower, it wouldn’t surprise me at all.  The power is there, definitely.  If anyone can hit 25 homers in Petco, it’s Rizzo, but that’s taking his ceiling and knocking a hole through it to make a sunlight.  It just seems absurd to give anyone a 25 homer prediction in Petco until they’ve actually done it once.  So let’s say 20 homers.  Then you look at his surrounding offense and you figure no runs or RBIs. Finally, he may not have the first base job, which would severely cramp his production.  Funny thing happened on the way to Rizzo’s rookie year, some has-been prospect who wasn’t supposed to do anything, Jesus Guzman, did something.  I think Guzman will fizzle and Rizzo will get the job, but it’s no guarantee.  For 2012, let’s say Rizzo’s line is 60/20/75/.255/5 in 500 ABs.  It’s not bad because of the potential upside, but at first base you want a guy you can rely on in mixed leagues.  In NL-Only leagues, you take the gamble.  No relation to Rudy or Oscar.

  1. Giant JJ says:
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    Help

  2. Giant JJ says:
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    Knocked off line

  3. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:
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    Ed Wade fired… no world on his toupee’s employment status. It may have actually been his toupee that fired him!

    Did you watch that Survivor recap episode last week?

  4. Tony says:
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    @grey: got the check, thanks man…. i know most dont care but the NBA finally is settling, thank god, i dont do the lazy mans fantasy sport (Football) so i’ve been very bored waiting for spring….

  5. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Giant JJ: Huh?

    @Awesomus Maximus: I think his toupee had a hand in the firing, but cowardly didn’t actually fire him itself. Yeah, I watched Survivor. So was Coach playing stupid two other times just so he could come back and surprise the world? Were the first two runs on Survivor just set up for this? Didn’t think he had any of this, how do I say it, intelligence in him.

    @Tony: No problem. Still going to play a decent amount of the season, huh? Is the NBA pushing their season further into the summer?

  6. Tony says:
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    @Grey: i dont think so just shortening it a few games and condensing it…. im happy tho, just hoping lebron fails again…. Im from Ohio what can i say.

  7. Racehorse says:
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    Grey,

    Did you see that the 2012 Zips projections are out for the Mariners?

    They’re showing Mike Carp .252/.317/.414, 21 HR in 563 AB and Justin Smoak .231/.326/.376, 14 HR in 441 AB.

    Advice? Thoughts? Prayers?

  8. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Tony: I hope Lebron tips over the fail boat too, but at least if he doesn’t people might put an asterisk on this season.

    @Racehorse: As with most ZIPs projections, those seem conservative if they get those ABs.

  9. steve b says:
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    survivor?Is that show still on?I think my gramma used to watch it on the same night as “Gunsmoke”..

  10. FANTHEAD says:
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    Hey there, Grey. Would you mind rubbing the crystal ball with this question: Who will be better in 2012, R. Nolasco or Wandy Rodriguez?

    Thanks!

  11. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Racehorse: But I will say not conservative with the amount of ABs they’re supposed to get.

  12. Tony says:
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    @Grey: haha ya, i hate lebron, i understand what he did, he wants to win, cleveland or south beach? i choose south beach too, i live in ohio! i know how it is, but i just wanted him to do the RIGHT thing, he has the money he can go to south beach any weekend he wants, have 3 houses there for the offseason, i just wanted a title, and all the teaming up of the superstars? i hate it. Its gross. I really hope this new CBA stops/slows it down, its not fair to the smaller markets, its bad enough you’re trying to lure guys to cleveland let alone they can get paid more and live somewhere nicer!

  13. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:
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    @Grey: Right? Doode has seriously learned from his previous seasons. Keeping that “honor” facade is working great, too… I’d give him credit for that, but I don’t think he’s aware that he does dishonorable stuff all the time in the game, or that it gives the appearance of the same old, non-threat Coach.

    Was a little surprised to see that people were actually bumpin’ uglies on Survivor. I still think of it as an experience that makes you filthy, bug bitten, hairy, and stanky within days. But I think players are provided much more amenities now than in the past… most likely so they can remain attractive (to both viewers and other players).

  14. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Tony: Yeah, I hear ya.

    @Awesomus Maximus: The fact that people have better amenities now than the past was my gripe from around season 5 to 10 but I’ve since abandoned that because I don’t think it’s ever going back to how it was. I used to love the fact they would have nothing at all to eat. Member that time the tribe’s only food floated off down a river? That was awesome. We’ll never see that again. I don’t think we’ll even see people eating rats again. Another shame.

  15. chata says:
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    rizzo … nba … survivor

    my wife likes survivor .

  16. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:
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    @Grey: Yeah, I think that was Outback (season 2), and all their stuff had floated away while they were at a challenge (or tribal?). Good stuff.

    Remember the chunks of skin the bugs took out of Colleen Haskell’s (how cute was she?) legs? Now the complaints about bugs are fleeting and minor. Pssh… kids nowadays!

  17. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @chata: Me too.

    @Awesomus Maximus: Yeah, that was the season. I think that was the point where they stopped giving them nothing. She was cute, as opposed to just hot as the girls have been since then. I’m a fan of just cute though too.

  18. royce! says:
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    So wrong about Rizzo! Dude’s gonna go 95/32/110/.295/10. I swear to God. Plus the two aces of Latos and Luebke! I gotta start saving up for playoff tickets now! YEAH!!!

  19. Steve says:
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    @Grey: ‘Cute’ is a much more target-rich environment.

    At least for us non-Hollywood types.

    And assuming we weren’t married.

  20. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @royce!: I’m trying to think who would throw out the first pitches for the Padres in the World Series. Gwynn, Randy Jones, Jim Croce’s wife… If a team can’t come up with four people, they should fold that team into another team.

  21. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: Yeah, gotta find your level.

  22. Steve says:
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    @Grey: Chicks need to find MY level.

  23. Steve says:
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    @Grey: I wish.

    Anyway, just Wiki’d prominent San Diegans. More than you’d think. Jenna Presley, Kendra from the Playboy Mansion, and that’s just from the crew that take their clothes off.

    Ted Danson! He’d be perfect. I’m sure Sam Malone can still bring it.

  24. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: I’m sure Big Dave Winfield would have something to say about not being included too. Ted Danson’s Toupee could bring it.

  25. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: BTW, when I looked up Dave Winfield HOF, Google offered Dave Winfield herpes. I wonder if Steinbrenner had anything to do with that rumor.

  26. black_toshiba says:
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    Do you see Wandy as a okay number three? Or do you like him more as a number four for 2012?

  27. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @black_toshiba: Depends on the size of the league. Three in 12 team mixed…

  28. royce! says:
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    @Grey: Ted Williams could be cryogenically thawed.

    Just looked up the 98 WS- I had forgotten that Sammy Sosa threw out the first pitch for Game 1 in NY. You’d think the Yankees would be able to come up with someone with some sort of connection to their team.

  29. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @royce!: That was during a black time in baseball. I guess, a bleached whitish-black time.

  30. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: She really knew how to handle that ball.

  31. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @royce!: The Hanshin logo obviously is all roar and no bite, where the Bay Stars is mischievous. You don’t mess with mischievous.

  32. Steve says:
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    @royce!: Considerably.

    Though research suggests the logos of a lot of the teams are pretty lame.

  33. royce! says:
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    @Steve: No kidding. I’m amazed that those are logos from the same league.

    I dig the “BS” logo, though they may want to make the “s” a little smaller in order to avoid the association with a certain English phrase.

    @Grey: I’m not sure where you are getting “mischievious.” Does this one count?: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Softbank_hawks_logo.png

  34. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @royce!: Ha… Yes, that logo just put a whoopie cushion under its opponent’s ass.

  35. chata says:
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    pilfered this from lasorda’s blog :

    “Bill Buckner, who was leading the league in hitting, hated Lloyd Allen. They must have had problems in high school because Buckner hated this guy, and he hated Buckner.

    The visiting team’s bullpen was right behind our bench on first base. Buckner, who played first base, would tell our infielders to throw the ball really high with the hopes that he couldn’t catch it and it would hit Lloyd Allen sitting in the bullpen.

    Now we graduate from the rookie league and we are in triple-A. Allen is set to pitch the game. I am on the line for the National Anthem with Bobby Valentine as the leadoff hitter and Buckner hitting second. Valentine was on my left and Buckner was on my right, and Allen was on the mound.

    Buckner looked at me and said, “I’m going to hit him the head and kill him.”

    I thought he was goofy.

    God be my judge when I tell you this. Allen threw him a fastball and where do you think Buckner hit it? He hit a line drive that hit Allen right on the top of his head.

    Allen was down on the ground, and as Buckner was running down to first base I could hear him hollering at Allen, “Die, die, die.”

    That’s Buckner. That’s how he played the game.”

  36. Wake Up says:
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    @chata: That’s awesome. I’m so sick of this Buckner – Mookie lovefest nowadays. Can’t we all go back to hating Buckner and his eyebrows/eyebrow? But, of course, respecting his ability to hit and to grow a mustache…

  37. Confused . . . Again says:
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    The rule says “130 at bats,” not official at bats. Rizzo had 128 official at bats (dumb term anyway), 21 walks and 4 HBPs, giving him 153 at bats and no rookie status any longer — unless they changed the rule.

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