Share on FacebookTweet about this on TwitterShare on Google+

Player A:

  • .301 / .353 / .455
  • 11 home runs
  • 16 stolen bases
  • 55 runs scored
  • 49 RBI
  • 2nd Half: .352, two home runs, 14 runs scored, 10 RBI, three stolen bases
  • PR15: 10.69 (4th in MLB)

Player B:

  • .273 / .353 / .471
  • 13 home runs
  • 12 stolen bases
  • 58 runs scored
  • 38 RBI
  • 2nd Half: .343, five home runs, 18 runs scored, 11 RBI, four stolen bases
  • PR15: 9.21 (7th in MLB)

Pretty scary how similar those numbers are, right? A is Andrelton Simmons and B is Alex Bregman. The only big difference when you dive a little deeper is that Simmons has been consistently producing for pretty much the entire season, while Bregman has been a bit more streaky and pretty much disappeared in June.

Now that both are off to scorching starts to the second half, though, they both belong in the realm of the 100. In terms of rising in the ranks and ROS value, they check off some necessary boxes. They are hot right now, are offering some cross-category production and have job stability. About a month ago, I was a little worried about Bregman and his playing time, especially with Marwin Gonzalez raking without a position. But with Correa hurt and Bregman hitting, he’s back, baby.

Despite their recent success, Bregman is owned in less than 75%, and Simmons is owned in less than 80% of ESPN leagues. Those ownership numbers are rising fast, though, especially on Bregman’s side since his July and second half are in such contrast to his June.

Alex Bregman – Hit .329 in July. Hitting .343 with five home runs, 18 runs scored, 11 RBIs, and four stolen bases so far in the second half. Now has SS eligibility in many formats. Does usually hit 7th or 8th in the lineup, but in Houston’s lineup that is sometimes like hitting 4th or 5th. Oh, and a .492 wOBA over the last two weeks that is good for fifth best in baseball. Adding him back to our beloved Top 100.

Andrelton Simmons – Simmons has been more consistent than Bregman throughout the season but has been especially hot since July, a month in which he hit .378. He has always been known for his elite glove but has been hitting all season, so August is not the time to question it. His Hard% is up to 30.9%, significantly above last season’s 23.4% and his career mark of 25.7%. And with an increase in Hard% and FB%, it should be no surprise that his HR/FB jumped from 3.8% in 2016 to 10.3% in 2017.

  • Chris Owings – News of his injury came out last week shortly after I submitted the Top 100 for the week. He was already dropping, but I liked him as a buy low in the second half, especially with an improved lineup around him. Now that he is injured, at least we can stop talking about him in the comments every week, right?
  • Salvador Perez – Landed on the disabled list with an intercostal strain. As someone who currently lives on the Intracoastal Waterway in Fort Lauderdale, FL, this injury was initially very confusing for me. No timetable for his return just yet so removing him from the list for now.
  • Yonder Alonso – Acquired by the Seattle Mariners for Boog Powell on Sunday, which should only increase his value. Goes to a better offense with guys like Segura, Cruz, Seager, et al. in the lineup and gets the heck out of Oakland. Gave him a slight bump.
  • Eduardo Nunez – Hitting .417 with three home runs, four doubles, 11 RBIs, five runs scored, and three stolen bases in his first eight games with the Red Sox. Yes, I think this change will be pretty, pretty good for his value ROS. God bless you if you spent some FAAB dollars in an AL-Only league to grab Nunez after the trade. A Yankees fan in one of my leagues said the other day that he refuses to believe that Nunez has turned into Babe Ruth overnight since going to Boston, to which I said, “You’re right. Nunez is much faster than Ruth.” Update: He just hit his fourth home run literally while I was typing this blurb.
  • Ian Desmond  – With the news that Desmond won’t return from the disabled list when he is first eligible, I removed him from the list. With only so much time left to make a serious run at things, we can’t justify counting on 1. Desmond to return soon and 2. To produce like he did in 2016 when he does. It feels like he never really got in a groove after missing so much time to begin the season and has battled an assortment of injuries ever since.
  • DJ LeMahieu – Hitting .375 with 21 runs scored already in the second half. Now slashing .319 / .383 / .406 with 68 runs scored and 49 RBI on the year. I would still love to see either some more power or speed from him, but the average and runs are enough to crack the list.
  • Justin Smoak – Already has eight home runs in the second half, which is second only to Giancarlo Stanton’s 10 (scratch that. Willson Contreras just hit his ninth while I was writing this). His previous career high for home runs in a season was 20, which he hit in 2013 for the Mariners while batting .238. He hit .217 with 14 home runs in 314 plate appearances in 2016. His ADP is going to be all over the place in 2018 unless of course, we have some kind of revelation about the juiced balls and some kind of change before then.
  • Willson Contreras – Just hit his ninth home run of the second half, and had a PR15 of 8.02 even before that. Eligible at C and OF in most formats (with an infuriating 24 OF starts in 2016 for those leagues that require 25 the previous season), which is always helpful for catcher playing time in the summer. Hit .321 in July and is already hitting .444 in August. Plus those nine home runs. He’s getting hot at the right time.

 

Note: These rankings are considered ROS Trade Value

Mike Maher’s Top 100 Hitters

(Rankings based on 12-team Roto. GREEN = player rising. RED = player dropping. BLUE = new to the Top 100 or Honorable Mentions.)

Rank Name Team Pos
1 Mike Trout LAA OF
2 Paul Goldschmidt ARI 1B
3 Bryce Harper WSH OF
4 Nolan Arenado COL 3B
5 Jose Altuve HOU 2B
6 Daniel Murphy WSH 1B/2B
7 Mookie Betts BOS OF
8 Charlie Blackmon COL OF
9 Anthony Rizzo CHC 1B
10 Giancarlo Stanton MIA OF
11 J.D. Martinez ARI OF
12 Joey Votto CIN 1B
13 Cody Bellinger LAD 1B
14 Freddie Freeman ATL 1B
15 Aaron Judge NYY OF
16 Kris Bryant CHC 3B/OF
17 George Springer HOU OF
18 Corey Seager LAD SS
19 Nelson Cruz SEA OF
20 Jose Ramirez CLE 3B/OF
21 Francisco Lindor CLE SS
22 Robinson Cano SEA 2B
23 Marcell Ozuna MIA OF
24 Jean Segura SEA 2B/SS
25 Dee Gordon MIA 2B
26 Manny Machado BAL 3B/SS
27 Anthony Rendon WSH 3B
28 Jake Lamb ARI 3B
29 Miguel Sano MIN 3B/OF
30 Edwin Encarnacion CLE 1B
31 Justin Turner LAD 3B
32 Billy Hamilton CIN OF
33 Kyle Seager SEA 3B
34 Khris Davis OAK OF
35 Brian Dozier MIN 2B
36 Jose Abreu CWS 1B
37 Justin Upton DET OF
38 Christian Yelich MIA OF
39 Travis Shaw MIL 1B/3B
40 Ryan Braun MIL OF
41 Wil Myers SD 1B/OF
42 Adam Duvall CIN OF
43 Josh Donaldson TOR 3B
44 Rougned Odor TEX 2B
45 Mike Moustakas KC 3B
46 Starling Marte PIT OF
47 Gary Sanchez NYY C
48 Eric Thames MIL 1B/OF
49 Ryan Zimmerman WAS 1B
50 Andrew Benintendi BOS OF
51 Lorenzo Cain KC OF
52 Eric Hosmer KC 1B
53 Elvis Andrus TEX SS
54 Jonathan Schoop BAL 2B
55 Justin Smoak TOR 1B
56 Tommy Pham STL OF
57 Jay Bruce NYM OF
58 A.J. Pollock ARI OF
59 Miguel Cabrera DET 1B
60 Xander Bogaerts BOS SS
61 Buster Posey SF C/1B
62 Andrew McCutchen PIT OF
63 Matt Carpenter STL 1B/2B/3B
64 Michael Conforto NYM OF
65 Adrian Beltre TEX 3B
66 Domingo Santana MIL OF
67 Corey Dickerson TB OF
68 Eduardo Nunez SF 3B/SS/OF
69 Ian Happ CHC 2B/OF
70 Mark Reynolds COL 1B
71 Adam Jones BAL OF
72 Yonder Alonso SEA 1B
73 Didi Gregorious NYY SS
74 Andrelton Simmons LAA SS
75 Michael Brantley CLE OF
76 Whit Merrifield KC 2B/OF
77 Brett Gardner NYY OF
78 Logan Morrison TB 1B
79 Chris Taylor LAD 3B/2B/OF
80 Rafael Devers BOS 3B
81 Avisail Garcia CHW OF
82 Willson Contreras CHC C/OF
83 Marwin Gonzalez HOU 1B/3B/OF
84 Paul DeJong STL 3B/SS/2B
85 Jedd Gyorko STL 2B/3B/SS
86 Yasiel Puig LAD OF
87 Steven Souza Jr. TB OF
88 Yoenis Cespedes NYM OF
89 Evan Longoria TB 3B
90 Mark Trumbo BAL OF
91 Ian Kinsler DET 2B
92 Carlos Gomez TEX OF
93 Hanley Ramirez BOS 1B
94 Matt Adams ATL 1B
95 Justin Bour MIA 1B
96 Alex Bregman ATL OF
97 Yoan Moncada CHW 3B
98 Josh Harrison PIT 2B/3B
99 Ender Inciarte ATL OF
100 Carlos Santana CLE 1B

The Honorable Mentions (Next Five In…)

Rank Name Team Pos
101 DJ LeMahieu COL 2B
102 Gerardo Parra COL 1B/OF
103 Joey Gallo TEX 3B
104 Gregory Polanco PIT OF
105 Eugenio Suarez CIN 3B

Dropped from the rankings: Chris Owings, Salvador Perez , Ian Desmond, Trevor Story, David Peralta

As always, disagree with anything here? Have any questions or comments? Want to tell Mike how great he is or how much you agree with him? Want relationship or investment advice?

DROP THOSE COMMENTS!

 

If you want to talk fantasy baseball or football or have players you want Mike to feature, hit him up on Twitter at @mikeMaher or post a comment below!

 

   
  1. Blah says:
    (link)

    Yo! Weekly lineup, have to win to make the playoffs so trying to grab an outfielder for the week. Reds and Brewers both have solid matchups. I’m in-between Jesse Winker and Hernan Perez. Thoughts? Thanks a ton in advance.

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
      (link)

      @Blah:

      Winker

  2. BSA70 says:
    (link)

    Love having five of your highlighted ten players on my team and in first place….
    Ride baby, ride.
    With Nunez hitting with Betts and Benini, the obp, speed, and avg are something to enjoy and the doubles off the wall or dingers around peksy’s pole will make for a fun August in Boston.

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
      (link)

      @BSA70:

      Here’s hoping. Looks like Benny is waking up after a long slump.

  3. Adam says:
    (link)

    But… where’s Bregman on the top 100?

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
      (link)

      @Adam:

      Yeah, that is my bad. Meant to drop injured Kemp and add Bregman.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Fixed

        • mikeMaher

          mikeMaher says:
          (link)

          @Grey:

          Woo hoo. Thanks, Grey!

          • Central Cal says:
            (link)

            @mikeMaher: Thank you too!!!
            Bregman was the only hitter I have that didn’t make the list.

  4. Kevin B says:
    (link)

    Did I misread in the article saying Bregman was being added to the top 100? I don’t seem to see him in the listing.

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
      (link)

      @Kevin B:

      You read correctly. I am a dummy. Meant to add him where Kemp is.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Fixed

  5. Chucky says:
    (link)

    I know it sounds crazy, probably foolish. I’m toying with the idea of sitting the 5 game Popi-less Mookie ( no one can convince me that he has performed to the level of being the 2nd pick in the 2017 fantasy draft) for Thames. Just hear me out, ok? Thames has 7 games, 6 v RHP, 5 at home and 3 v the Cincy staff, which he “has” owned in the past. It’s not like I’m sitting a red hot Mookie. Thoughts?

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
      (link)

      @Chucky:

      I can see your point if you’re ONLY chasing home runs and not other stats, since Mookie’s greatest value is his ability to contribute across the board.

    • Aj says:
      (link)

      @Chucky: I sat mookie in 2 of 3 weekly leagues where I had him. Thank God I faded him hard preseason w all his fluke numbers last year

      • Chucky says:
        (link)

        Thats not the same lineup w/o Popi. Ask Xander as well. Hard to swallow Mookie’s numbers as he was rated anywhere from the #2-5 guy off the draft boards. At this rate, he’s lucky if if goes in the first 2 rounds next year. I had the premonition he was gonna struggle w/o Popi’s presence. Probably should’ve explored options. Who would thunk we’d seen Mookie’s ceiling?

        • mikeMaher

          mikeMaher says:
          (link)

          @Chucky:

          Haha, I get being frustrated but don’t you think you’re being a little harsh? He’s still the 15th overall ranked player, even with the slump. He’s on pace for 20/20+ while scoring more than 100 runs and has an outside shot at driving in 100 despite hitting leadoff. 50 walks vs. 50 strikeouts, and he is still just 24. He’s still a first round pick next season for sure just because he can contribute in every category. I just don’t think he’ll be a perennial 30+ home run guy.

  6. Chris says:
    (link)

    Perfect timing on this comparison because this was going to be my exact question!! I’ve currently got Bregman at SS in a H2H points league going into our playoffs. Someone just dropped Simmons. I assume you would still prefer Simmons over Bregman in a points league? Thanks!

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
      (link)

      @Chris:

      Nice! Yeah, I still go Simmons at this point.

  7. Aj says:
    (link)

    Minor quip, but in what world is Rizzo better than Stanton?

    • Chucky says:
      (link)

      The living in the past world. People still like to bask in the magical year of 2016 for the Cubs. His cousin Bryant, isnt doing any better. Huge disappointments, both Cubs, as they were both top 10-12 guys going in. Bryant being a #2-5 guy as well, ouch.

      • mikeMaher

        mikeMaher says:
        (link)

        @Chucky:

        Banking on some summer in Wrigley numbers and a Cubs run. I seem to move Stanton up each week, and each week it somehow feels too low for him based on what he does that week. Dude is finally putting it all together, just has to stay off the disabled list.

  8. Curious George Springer says:
    (link)

    Surprising take on Alonso. Seems most people expect him to be in a strict platoon with Valencia. Valencia kills LHPs and Alonso has a sub-.200 AVG and a .684 OPS against LHPs.

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
      (link)

      @Curious George Springer:

      He’ll sit vs lefties a little but I think overall it is good for his value.

  9. Chris R says:
    (link)

    Ian Kinsler was dropped in my 12 team league two weeks ago. No one has even sniffed him. I even picked up Cesar Hernandez over him last week.Am I missing something with him?

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
      (link)

      @Chris R:

      Definitely trending down and has been for some time. I still like his potential upside over some others like Hernandez though.

  10. KingScooter says:
    (link)

    Who should I drop for S. Marte? Pham or Dickerson?

  11. Neil schulman says:
    (link)

    For a spare player in 12 team head to head league with 14 categories should i drop parra for moncada?

  12. jason batteiger says:
    (link)

    desmond’s thing likely isn’t a “groove” problem, notice his AVG is fine. it’s the power that’s F’d. this tends to happen when people attempt to come back from broken hands/fingers too early. i’d bet he’ll be fine once he, you know, actually gives the hand/finger some months off. i told a lot of writers around here back in april that there’s no WAY he’ll have USEFUL at bats (re: power) only giving a broken hand that little time off. freeman does appear to be a counterexample to this, albeit he’s not hitting nearly as well as before it either, just better than desmond. he’s also younger of course.

    • The Harrow says:
      (link)

      @jason batteiger: i myself, have (and have had) minor (not completely smashed/broken like being hit by a baseball) had thumb injuries that sometimes you don’t notice it distinctly getting better for like a year or so. of course i have zero medical teams helping me out or any medical attention at all.

      • mikeMaher

        mikeMaher says:
        (link)

        @The Harrow:

        Yeah, I broke all the metacarpals in my left hand and essentially shattered it when I was younger. It was a year before I felt like I had similar strength in it, and sometimes I still think it feels a little weaker than it should.

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
      (link)

      @jason batteiger:

      I agree, and that is pretty much what I meant. Maybe I just didn’t articulate it well enough. I know Grey is usually worried about the power for these guys that are coming back from hand injuries, too.

  13. Cam says:
    (link)

    Once again have enjoyed your columns all season Mike.. made a couple big trades today that left me with a couple open spots, which couple/few stand out ROS from the following? Most have been recent schmotatoes as they say in the biz. Thanks!!

    Margot, Pirela, Zimmer, Nick Williams, Cron, WFlores, Rosario, DPeralta

    14 team H2H (deep)

Comments are closed.