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Alex Presley

We’re nearing the end of hitters in the 2016 fantasy baseball rankings, but there’s still a few buzzer-beating gems left.  Ranked this late last year was David Peralta….and he’s ranked again this late.  Also, Alex Presley was ranked this late last year.  Where did he go?  I know he left the building, but I didn’t hear where he was headed.  Anyone?  Well, I guess it doesn’t matter.  What matters is we have each other.  Now let’s sit on opposite sides of the couch and watch TV in silence.  Hey, it’s like we’re married!  As with the other rankings, my projections are included and where I see tiers starting and stopping.  Anyway, here’s the top 80 outfielders for 2016 fantasy baseball:

Please, blog, may I have some more?

You do it every day in your regular fantasy leagues when you stream hitters or pitchers and yet something holds you back at times in the DFS world. You see a matchup that is exploitable for fantasy goodness and you use it if you’re in your roto league. Then you go about setting your lineups over on DraftKings, pay for Matt Harvey and Max Scherzer and move on. Where’s your sense of daring there? Of all places to get a little bolder, it should be in your DFS world. Ya only got one day to be Wright or Wong and as Jigsaw would say, ‘make your choice’. So with that in mind and with the obvious names already named so I don’t have to talk about them later, let’s move on to a good GPP play for today in Roenis Elias. First off, for those who aren’t plugged in to the MLB world, this isn’t a random call up for the Mariners. Roenis pitched 163 innings for the Mariners last year, finishing the year with a 3.85 ERA and a 7.86 K/9. All this to say, we’re not dealing with a random spot call up. The kid has major league ability and against an Astros team that Ks 24.2% of the time against LHP, you could have a cheap 7 to 8 Ks today. Wanna spend up for the big two instead? Be my guest but on a slate featuring 28 pitchers, I’m looking for the arms that’ll give me room to get bats that’ll put me over the top. And with a lede out of the way, lets turn to other hot takes for the May 1st DK slate…

New to DraftKings? Scared of feeling like a small fish in a big pond? Well try out this 25 teamer of Razzball writers and friends to wet your DK whistle. Just remember to sign up through us before you do. It’s how we know you care! If you still feel helpless and lonely, be sure to subscribe to the DFSBot for your daily baseball plays.

Please, blog, may I have some more?

Wanna know how dedicated I am to you? I have your name tattooed on my tramp stamp area. Yeah, your name. Wanna know how else I’m dedicated to you? I flipped guys in and out of this post, moved a few to the top 80 outfielders for 2015 fantasy baseball, moved some more to the top 60 outfielders for 2015 fantasy baseball, didn’t move any into the top 40 outfielders for 2015 fantasy baseball, but considered it and made sure everyone was ranked to the best of my ability in this post. You’re thinking, “I’d hope you’re making sure your rankings in this post are correct, these are you rankings after all.” True, You. But, honestly, most of the guys in the second half of this post are irrelevant outside of deeper leagues. It’s simple math. If you’re in a 12-team league with five outfielders, 60 outfielders are drafted, then twenty more guys are drafted that have multi-position eligibility, another ten for utility slots or for some schmohawks that draft a bench outfielder and, add up all of that, and it equals Frank Ocean. Okay, the math is off there. It should’ve equaled, “About 90 outfielders drafted.” And everyone knows the fifth outfielder drafted doesn’t last long on your team. Sure, maybe Josh Hamilton bounces back (doubtful), or maybe Carl Crawford becomes the latest Zombino (more doubtful), but in most mixed leagues these guys aren’t even being drafted. In one mock draft I did for a magazine (they still make these? Where do you buy them?), Josh Reddick wasn’t even drafted and he’s ranked higher than all the guys here. Never the hoo! All the 2015 fantasy baseball rankings are under that linkie-ma-whosie. Anyway, here’s the top 100 outfielders for 2015 fantasy baseball:

Please, blog, may I have some more?

A.J. Achter
A.J. Cole
A.J. Ellis
A.J. Griffin
A.J. Pierzynski
A.J. Pollock
A.J. Ramos
A.J. Reed
Aaron Altherr
Aaron Barrett
Aaron Brooks
Aaron Harang
Aaron Hicks
Aaron Hill
Aaron Judge
Aaron Loup
Aaron Nola
Aaron Sanchez
Aaron Thompson
Abel De Los Santos
Abraham Almonte
Adalberto Mejia
Adam Conley
Adam Duvall
Adam Eaton
Adam Frazier
Adam Jones
Adam LaRoche
Adam Liberatore
Adam Lind
Adam Loewen
Adam Morgan
Adam Ottavino
Adam Rosales
Adam Wainwright
Adam Walker
Adam Warren
Addison Reed
Addison Russell
Adeiny Hechavarria
Adonis Garcia
Adrian Beltre
Adrian Gonzalez
Adrian Houser
AJ Morris
Akeel Morris
Al Alburquerque
Albert Almora
Albert Pujols
Alberto Callaspo
Alcides Escobar
Alec Asher
Aledmys Diaz
Alejandro De Aza
Alen Hanson
Alex Avila
Alex Blandino
Alex Claudio
Alex Cobb
Alex Colome
Alex Dickerson
Alex Gordon
Alex Guerrero
Alex Meyer
Alex Presley
Alex Reyes
Alex Rios
Alex Rodriguez
Alex Torres
Alex Wilson
Alex Wood
Alexei Ramirez
Alexi Amarista
Alexi Ogando
Alfredo Gonzalez
Alfredo Simon
Allen Webster
Amir Garrett
Andre Ethier
Andre Rienzo
Andrelton Simmons
Andres Blanco
Andrew Aplin
Andrew Bailey
Andrew Bellatti
Andrew Burns
Andrew Cashner
Andrew Chafin
Andrew Faulkner
Andrew Heaney
Andrew Knapp
Andrew Lambo
Andrew McCutchen
Andrew McKirahan
Andrew Miller
Andrew Romine
Andrew Schugel
Andrew Susac
Andrew Triggs
Andury Acevedo
Andy Dirks
Andy Wilkins
Angel Castro
Angel Nesbitt
Angel Pagan
Angelys Nina
Anibal Sanchez
Anthony Barnette
Anthony Bass
Anthony DeSclafani
Anthony Garcia
Anthony Gose
Anthony Joseph Alford
Anthony Kemp
Anthony Ranaudo
Anthony Recker
Anthony Rendon
Anthony Rizzo
Anthony Swarzak
Anthony Varvaro
Antoan Richardson
Antonio Bastardo
Antonio Jimenez
Antonio Senzatela
Archie Bradley
Ariel Pena
Arismendy Alcantara
Arnold Leon
Arodys Vizcaino
Aroldis Chapman
Arquimedes Caminero
Asdrubal Cabrera
Asher Wojciechowski
Austin Adams
Austin Barnes
Austin Hedges
Austin Jackson
Austin Romine
Avisail Garcia
Bartolo Colon
Ben Paulsen
Ben Revere
Ben Rowen
Ben Zobrist
Benjamin Gamel
Billy Burns
Billy Butler
Billy Hamilton
Billy McKinney
Blaine Boyer
Blaine Hardy
Blake McFarland
Blake Parker
Blake Smith
Blake Snell
Blake Swihart
Blake Treinen
Blake Wood
Bo Schultz
Bobby LaFromboise
Bobby Parnell
Bobby Wilson
Boog Powell
Boone Logan
Brad Boxberger
Brad Brach
Brad Hand
Brad Miller
Brad Mills
Brad Peacock
Brad Ziegler
Brad Zimmer
Brady John Dragmire
Brady Rodgers
Braeden Schlehuber
Branden Pinder
Brandon Barnes
Brandon Beachy
Brandon Belt
Brandon Crawford
Brandon Cumpton
Brandon Cunniff
Brandon Drury
Brandon Finnegan
Brandon Gomes
Brandon Guyer
Brandon Kintzler
Brandon Maurer
Brandon McCarthy
Brandon Morrow
Brandon Moss
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Phillips
Brandon Workman
Braxton Cain Thomas Davidson
Brayan Pena
Brendan McCurry
Brendan Ryan
Brett Anderson
Brett Cecil
Brett Eibner
Brett Gardner
Brett Lawrie
Brett Oberholtzer
Brett Phillips
Brett Wallace
Brian Dozier
Brian Duensing
Brian Ellington
Brian Goodwin
Brian Johnson
Brian Matusz
Brian McCann
Brian Schlitter
Brock Holt
Brock Stassi
Brooks Brown
Bruce Chen
Bruce Rondon
Bryan Holaday
Bryan Mitchell
Bryan Morris
Bryan Shaw
Bryce Brentz
Bryce Harper
Bubba Starling
Buck Farmer
Bud Norris
Buddy Boshers
Buddy Carlyle
Burke Badenhop
Buster Posey
Byron Buxton
Byung-ho Park
C.J. Please, blog, may I have some more?

Please, blog, may I have some more?

Wasn’t even planning it but my title is quite the send off to my turns at the Fantasy Baseball DraftKings posts this year. I’ve had some highs – Hot Carrasco Sauce! – and some lows (J.A. did NOT, in fact, make me Happ-y) but in the end, I’m happy with how the season went. We learned together, we played in a few 10 team leagues together. we sucked together…of course, the key thing in all of this is the word ‘together’. So without getting all sappy, let me just say thanks and move on to my final DK roundup, shall we? Yes, let’s. I always do my best to not only find value but to find breakout value. I highlighted my Carrasco call because if you’re gonna aim low, you gotta aim high…that made more sense in my head before I typed it. My point is, if you’re not spending beaucoup bucks on an arm, they better offer you the chance to pay up for upside elsewhere or to offer major upside themselves. It’s why Bauer at home was a scary proposition every time but also a 40 point outing possibility that you just couldn’t ignore. Well, maybe it was just I that couldn’t ignore. Speaking of pitching at home, Henderson Alvarez has some pretty drastic splits on the year in terms of DK points. There’s almost a 7 point swing for Henderson pitching away vs pitching at home and he’s also thrown 3 complete game shut outs in the house of the Unicorn vomit. Clearly he’s a home schooler and with that, he gets a prime matchup against a Phillies team that’s not even treading water right now. There just haven’t been many bright days for the Phils of late as they have the 4th worst K%, and the second worst wOBA/wRC+ over the last 14 days. This is not a team out there looking to conquer. They’re looking to be vanquished and Henderson is in a prime sitch to do just that. Given his price tag of $7,200, he makes it easy to roster a pitcher priced over 10K today if you’re so inclined. And for Henderson, that’s really Alvarez to it so let’s move on. Here’s some more hot takes for the Tuesday DK slate…but before you go! Yeah, I’ll still be doing some off-season baseball stuff but if you’re a DraftKings nut and wanna play the football side of this crazy world, keep up with us over on the Football side, would ya? I’ll be your DK guide most weeks so come hang. Ok, now on with the show…

New to DraftKings? Scared of feeling like a small fish in a big pond? Well try out this 10 teamer of Razzball writers and friends to wet your DK whistle. Just remember to sign up through us before you do. It’s how we know you care! If you still feel helpless and lonely, be sure to check the DFSBot for your daily baseball plays.

Please, blog, may I have some more?

Yesterday was the first day of autumn; this demands a poem. I call this, “Naked Prince Fielder Has The Definition Of Melted Tootsie Rolls.” The passing of summer; it’s a total bummer. Word, word, word; man, I’ve gotten dumber. Michael Brantley was da bomb; Napoli’s mom has got it going on. Jose Abreu would’ve been a sweet draft pick; Frank Thomas sued him for copyright infringement. Kershaw’s FIP is 1.87 on all hitters; Sonny Gray’s got selective dyslexia, using my teams for his personal shitter. Everything will be okay in this final week; Avisail Garcia is on a streak! Garcia went deep twice yesterday for his 6th and 7th homers. If he’s out there, of course you grab him. I’d prefer to talk about Avisail Garcia for 2015 fantasy baseball. He was a preseason sleeper this year, and he will be again in fifteen-after-twenty because he missed five months this year with an injury. Yes, he looks like Miggy, but he doesn’t act like Miggy. He’s a 20/20 type guy without killing you on average. In this injury-plagued year, his stats don’t look exactly as he has in the past, but that’s probably due to shutting it down in April and starting it up in August. I wouldn’t be surprised if in a few years we look back at this year and see how it didn’t portend anything. Unless he really did learn how to take a walk, as he’s shown this year. Though, I kinda doubt it. I expect he’s a line drive machine, 17-20 homer and 15-steal guy with a solid-enough average. Think what you were expecting from Brantley, rather than what you ended up with. Now smoke a spliff! Oh, wait, I stopped rhyming about ten lines ago. Anyway, here’s what else I saw this weekend in fantasy baseball:

Please, blog, may I have some more?

I don’t know about you, and let me preface this by saying most if not all of my league mates at least know I contribute fantasy baseball (OPS) content, but I keep getting the old “But, he’s a Catcher/Shortstop so he’s worth more” and from a position scarcity perspective, that’s obviously true. However, I am A) going for the win-now so all I want is to take the lead in certain (all) categories and B) position scarcity-schmarcity: give me the best available.

So it’s time for your 5×5 (HR,SB,R,RBI,OPS) rankings for both position scarcity and position schmarcity.

FYI, I use the FVAR (fantasy value above replacement) approach to fantasy valuation vs. SGP (standard gains points) approach since I don’t have all of your leagues’ current and historical information. Feel free to look this up or ask below.

For reference, here are the positional replacement 5×5 values and associated players (the 5 z-scores for each category are summed up; the sum is adjusted in each position by this positional replacement value i.e. each Catcher gets .73 added to their z-sum while each First Baseman only gets .01 added to their z-sum i.e. all catchers values are inflated more because of the lower replacement-value):

Please, blog, may I have some more?

I don’t know about you, but even I get hung up on the individual site rankings for my leagues’ player pages, even though they have little to do with the categories that we use. For example, in my CBS dynasty league, we use Runs Produced (RBI+R-HR), net Stolen Bases (SB-CS), Slugging, On-base Percentage, and Plate Appearances [Jay’s Note: We use OBP, TB, W+QS, 2*Sv+H in a couple of my dynasty’s], yet I am still at times impulsive to pick-up whomever sits at top of the sites’ rankings, which is based off standard 5×5 formats. Well, you’re welcome– This post is to help you distinguish the value differential for OBP and OPS leagues relative to the ESPN player rater rankings. It should give you targets to trade for or trade away.

Please, blog, may I have some more?

As I mentioned in my first/intro OPS post, we’re looking at OPS differential by using expected (x)Homerun and expected (x)BABIP differentials. If you like Captain Planet or laser beams, or want to understand my general approach, then I recommend a gander. If you provide your email below, I can furnish the full list that you can sort. Wordpress doesn’t allow me to copy and paste it all pretty for you.

Let’s start with my xHR formula (PA*Ct%*OFFB%*HR/OFFB%). Here are the top 10 guys likely to drop off from a HR perspective: Albert Pujols, Adam Jones, Justin Morneau, Alexei Ramirez, Mark Reynolds, Charlie Blackmon, Ian Desmond, Brett Lawrie, Hunter Pence and Salvador Perez.

Here are the top 35 guys likely to drop off from a BABIP perspective that you actually might own (meaning I’m excluding the Martin Maldonados of the world): Josh Rutledge, Justin Ruggiano, A.J. Pollock, Josh Hamilton, Stephen Vogt, J.D. Martinez, J.J. Hardy, Eugenio Suarez, Hunter Pence and Matt Adams.

Looking at both xHR and xBABIP differentials, here are guys you might own that I would consider selling in OPS leagues based on their expected vs. actual OPS (the differential is in parenthesis just like this statement. See what I did here?):

Please, blog, may I have some more?

Manny Machado‘s epitaph: He always found more success throwing a bat at a ball. Better than Salvador Perez’s: Together again! Machado wasn’t just struggling, he was like that friend of yours that not only is having a rotten time at a party, but also sucks the prettiest girls in the room into his sad funk of despair and before long, the girls are like, “I don’t want to go out and get drunk and party and potentially hook up with you. Your friend Manny Machado is too depressed.” The buzz kill friend. Yesterday, Machado went 5-for-6, 2 runs, 2 RBIs with his 8th homer, and fourth homer in his last seven games (skipping the suspension games). About time he listened to your advice, did a body shot off the tummy of the girl that wants to be a physical therapist and cheered up! I don’t own Machado anywhere this year, due to the knee issue coming into the season, but he just turned 22 years old (almost literally; his birthday was Sunday) and I’ll be all over Machado again next year. Of course, if you can acquire him in a trade this year, by all means, which sounds like it was said by Malcolm X’s less militant brother, Bobby X. Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:

Please, blog, may I have some more?
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