Player Page Matches
Alex Presley

You do it every day in your regular fantasy leagues when you stream hitters or pitchers and yet something holds you back at times in the DFS world. You see a matchup that is exploitable for fantasy goodness and you use it if you’re in your roto league. Then you go about setting your lineups over on DraftKings, pay for Matt Harvey and Max Scherzer and move on. Where’s your sense of daring there? Of all places to get a little bolder, it should be in your DFS world. Ya only got one day to be Wright or Wong and as Jigsaw would say, ‘make your choice’. So with that in mind and with the obvious names already named so I don’t have to talk about them later, let’s move on to a good GPP play for today in Roenis Elias. First off, for those who aren’t plugged in to the MLB world, this isn’t a random call up for the Mariners. Roenis pitched 163 innings for the Mariners last year, finishing the year with a 3.85 ERA and a 7.86 K/9. All this to say, we’re not dealing with a random spot call up. The kid has major league ability and against an Astros team that Ks 24.2% of the time against LHP, you could have a cheap 7 to 8 Ks today. Wanna spend up for the big two instead? Be my guest but on a slate featuring 28 pitchers, I’m looking for the arms that’ll give me room to get bats that’ll put me over the top. And with a lede out of the way, lets turn to other hot takes for the May 1st DK slate…

New to DraftKings? Scared of feeling like a small fish in a big pond? Well try out this 25 teamer of Razzball writers and friends to wet your DK whistle. Just remember to sign up through us before you do. It’s how we know you care! If you still feel helpless and lonely, be sure to subscribe to the DFSBot for your daily baseball plays.

Please, blog, may I have some more?

Wanna know how dedicated I am to you? I have your name tattooed on my tramp stamp area. Yeah, your name. Wanna know how else I’m dedicated to you? I flipped guys in and out of this post, moved a few to the top 80 outfielders for 2015 fantasy baseball, moved some more to the top 60 outfielders for 2015 fantasy baseball, didn’t move any into the top 40 outfielders for 2015 fantasy baseball, but considered it and made sure everyone was ranked to the best of my ability in this post. You’re thinking, “I’d hope you’re making sure your rankings in this post are correct, these are you rankings after all.” True, You. But, honestly, most of the guys in the second half of this post are irrelevant outside of deeper leagues. It’s simple math. If you’re in a 12-team league with five outfielders, 60 outfielders are drafted, then twenty more guys are drafted that have multi-position eligibility, another ten for utility slots or for some schmohawks that draft a bench outfielder and, add up all of that, and it equals Frank Ocean. Okay, the math is off there. It should’ve equaled, “About 90 outfielders drafted.” And everyone knows the fifth outfielder drafted doesn’t last long on your team. Sure, maybe Josh Hamilton bounces back (doubtful), or maybe Carl Crawford becomes the latest Zombino (more doubtful), but in most mixed leagues these guys aren’t even being drafted. In one mock draft I did for a magazine (they still make these? Where do you buy them?), Josh Reddick wasn’t even drafted and he’s ranked higher than all the guys here. Never the hoo! All the 2015 fantasy baseball rankings are under that linkie-ma-whosie. Anyway, here’s the top 100 outfielders for 2015 fantasy baseball:

Please, blog, may I have some more?

A.J. Achter
A.J. Burnett
A.J. Cole
A.J. Ellis
A.J. Griffin
A.J. Murray
A.J. Pierzynski
A.J. Pollock
A.J. Ramos
Aaron Altherr
Aaron Barrett
Aaron Bates
Aaron Blair
Aaron Boone
Aaron Brooks
Aaron Cook
Aaron Crow
Aaron Cunningham
Aaron Dudley
Aaron Harang
Aaron Heilman
Aaron Hicks
Aaron Hill
Aaron Judge
Aaron Laffey
Aaron Loup
Aaron Luna
Aaron Mathews
Aaron Miles
Aaron Northcraft
Aaron Poreda
Aaron Rowand
Aaron Sanchez
Aaron Sele
Aaron Thompson
Aaron Westlake
Abel Nieves
Abraham Almonte
Abraham Nunez
Adalberto Mejia
Adalberto Mendez
Adalberto Santos
Adam Bostick II
Adam Calderone
Adam Carr
Adam Conley
Adam Donachie
Adam Dunn
Adam Duvall
Adam Eaton
Adam Eaton
Adam Everett
Adam Greenberg
Adam Heether
Adam Jones
Adam Kennedy
Adam Kolarek
Adam LaRoche
Adam Liberatore
Adam Lind
Adam Loewen
Adam Melhuse
Adam Melker
Adam Miller
Adam Milligan
Adam Mills
Adam Moore
Adam Morgan
Adam Ottavino
Adam Pettyjohn
Adam Reifer
Adam Rosales
Adam Russell
Adam Stern
Adam Wainwright
Adam Warren
Adam Weisenburger
Adam Wilk
Addison Maruszak
Addison Reed
Addison Russell
Adeiny Hechavarria
Aderlin Rodriguez
Adonis Garcia
Adrian Beltre
Adrian Cardenas
Adrian Gonzalez
Adrian Nieto
Adrian Rosario
Adrian Salcedo
Adrian Sampson
Adron Chambers
Adys Portillo
Akinori Iwamura
Akinori Otsuka
Al Alburquerque
Al Quintana
Al Reyes
Alan Embree
Alan Farina
Alan Johnson
Albert Almora
Albert Cartwright
Albert Pujols
Albert Suarez
Alberto Arias
Alberto Cabrera
Alberto Callaspo
Alberto Castillo
Alberto Gonzalez
Alberto Rosario
Alcides Escobar
Alden Carrithers
Alec Asher
Aledmys Diaz
Alejandro De Aza
Alejandro Machado
Alen Hanson
Alex Avila
Alex Burnett
Alex Castellanos
Alex Cintron
Alex Claudio
Alex Cobb
Alex Colome
Alex Cora
Alex Dickerson
Alex Gonzalez
Alex Gonzalez
Alex Gonzalez
Alex Gordon
Alex Guerrero
Alex Hassan
Alex Hinshaw
Alex Liddi
Alex Meyer
Alex Periard
Alex Presley
Alex Rios
Alex Rodriguez
Alex Romero
Alex Sanabia
Alex Serrano
Alex Torres
Alex White
Alex Wilson
Alex Wood
Alex Yarbrough
Alexander Concepcion
Alexander Smit
Alexei Ramirez
Alexi Amarista
Alexi Casilla
Alexi Ogando
Alfonso Soriano
Alfredo Aceves
Alfredo Amezaga
Alfredo Figaro
Alfredo Lopez
Alfredo Marte
Alfredo Silverio
Alfredo Simon
Ali Solis
Allan de San Miguel
Allan Dykstra
Allen Craig
Allen Webster
Alvin Colina
Amauri Sanit
Amaury Cazana
Amaury Rivas
Anderson Delarosa
Anderson Hernandez
Andre Ethier
Andre Rienzo
Andrelton Simmons
Andres Blanco
Andres Torres
Andrew Albers
Andrew Aplin
Andrew Bailey
Andrew Baldwin
Andrew Bellatti
Andrew Bouchie
Andrew Brackman
Andrew Brown
Andrew Brown
Andrew Burns
Andrew Carignan
Andrew Carpenter
Andrew Carraway
Andrew Cashner
Andrew Chafin
Andrew Dobies
Andrew Dominguez
Andrew Graham
Andrew Gribbin
Andrew Heaney
Andrew Johnston
Andrew Kown
Andrew Lambo
Andrew Locke
Andrew Maggi
Andrew McCutchen
Andrew McKirahan
Andrew Miller
Andrew Oliver
Andrew Romine
Andrew Schugel
Andrew Susac
Andrew Taylor
Andrew Thompson
Andrew Werner
Andruw Jones
Andy Cannizaro
Andy Dirks
Andy Gonzalez
Andy Green
Andy LaRoche
Andy Marte
Andy Mitchell
Andy Parrino
Andy Pettitte
Andy Phillips
Andy Sisco
Andy Sonnanstine
Andy Tracy
Andy Van Hekken
Andy Vasquez
Andy Wilkins
Anel De Los Santos
Aneury Rodriguez
Angel Berroa
Angel Castillo
Angel Castro
Angel Chavez
Angel Guzman
Angel Nesbitt
Angel Pagan
Angel Salome
Angel Sanchez
Angel Sanchez
Angel Villalona
Angelo Songco
Angelys Nina
Anibal Sanchez
Anthony Bass
Anthony Carter
Anthony Claggett
Anthony DeSclafani
Anthony Fernandez
Anthony Gose
Anthony Hewitt
Anthony Huttenlocker
Anthony Lerew
Anthony Norman
Anthony Ortega
Anthony Phillips
Anthony Ranaudo
Anthony Recker
Anthony Rendon
Anthony Reyes
Anthony Rizzo
Anthony Seratelli
Anthony Shawler
Anthony Slama
Anthony Swarzak
Anthony Thomas
Anthony Varvaro
Anthony Vasquez
Antoan Richardson
Antonio Alfonseca
Antonio Bastardo
Antonio DeJesus
Antonio Jimenez
Aquilino Lopez
Aramis Ramirez
Arcenio Leon
Archie Bradley
Argenis Diaz
Argenis Reyes
Ariel Pena
Arismendy Alcantara
Armando Benitez
Armando David Zerpa
Armando Gabino
Armando Galarraga
Armando Reynoso
Armando Rivero
Armando Rodriguez
Arnold Leon
Arodys Vizcaino
Aroldis Chapman
Arquimedes Caminero
Arthur Rhodes
Arturo Lopez
Arturo Reyes
Asdrubal Cabrera
Asher Wojciechowski
Atahualpa Severino
Aubrey Huff
Audry Perez
Audy Ciriaco
Augie Ojeda
Austin Adams
Austin Barnes
Austin Bibens-Dirkx
Austin Fleet
Austin Green
Austin Hedges
Austin Hubbard
Austin Hyatt
Austin Jackson
Austin Kearns
Austin Krum
Austin Nola
Austin Romine
Austin Wates
Austin Wood
Avery Barnes
Avisail Garcia
B.J. Please, blog, may I have some more?

Please, blog, may I have some more?

Wasn’t even planning it but my title is quite the send off to my turns at the Fantasy Baseball DraftKings posts this year. I’ve had some highs – Hot Carrasco Sauce! – and some lows (J.A. did NOT, in fact, make me Happ-y) but in the end, I’m happy with how the season went. We learned together, we played in a few 10 team leagues together. we sucked together…of course, the key thing in all of this is the word ‘together’. So without getting all sappy, let me just say thanks and move on to my final DK roundup, shall we? Yes, let’s. I always do my best to not only find value but to find breakout value. I highlighted my Carrasco call because if you’re gonna aim low, you gotta aim high…that made more sense in my head before I typed it. My point is, if you’re not spending beaucoup bucks on an arm, they better offer you the chance to pay up for upside elsewhere or to offer major upside themselves. It’s why Bauer at home was a scary proposition every time but also a 40 point outing possibility that you just couldn’t ignore. Well, maybe it was just I that couldn’t ignore. Speaking of pitching at home, Henderson Alvarez has some pretty drastic splits on the year in terms of DK points. There’s almost a 7 point swing for Henderson pitching away vs pitching at home and he’s also thrown 3 complete game shut outs in the house of the Unicorn vomit. Clearly he’s a home schooler and with that, he gets a prime matchup against a Phillies team that’s not even treading water right now. There just haven’t been many bright days for the Phils of late as they have the 4th worst K%, and the second worst wOBA/wRC+ over the last 14 days. This is not a team out there looking to conquer. They’re looking to be vanquished and Henderson is in a prime sitch to do just that. Given his price tag of $7,200, he makes it easy to roster a pitcher priced over 10K today if you’re so inclined. And for Henderson, that’s really Alvarez to it so let’s move on. Here’s some more hot takes for the Tuesday DK slate…but before you go! Yeah, I’ll still be doing some off-season baseball stuff but if you’re a DraftKings nut and wanna play the football side of this crazy world, keep up with us over on the Football side, would ya? I’ll be your DK guide most weeks so come hang. Ok, now on with the show…

New to DraftKings? Scared of feeling like a small fish in a big pond? Well try out this 10 teamer of Razzball writers and friends to wet your DK whistle. Just remember to sign up through us before you do. It’s how we know you care! If you still feel helpless and lonely, be sure to check the DFSBot for your daily baseball plays.

Please, blog, may I have some more?

Yesterday was the first day of autumn; this demands a poem. I call this, “Naked Prince Fielder Has The Definition Of Melted Tootsie Rolls.” The passing of summer; it’s a total bummer. Word, word, word; man, I’ve gotten dumber. Michael Brantley was da bomb; Napoli’s mom has got it going on. Jose Abreu would’ve been a sweet draft pick; Frank Thomas sued him for copyright infringement. Kershaw’s FIP is 1.87 on all hitters; Sonny Gray’s got selective dyslexia, using my teams for his personal shitter. Everything will be okay in this final week; Avisail Garcia is on a streak! Garcia went deep twice yesterday for his 6th and 7th homers. If he’s out there, of course you grab him. I’d prefer to talk about Avisail Garcia for 2015 fantasy baseball. He was a preseason sleeper this year, and he will be again in fifteen-after-twenty because he missed five months this year with an injury. Yes, he looks like Miggy, but he doesn’t act like Miggy. He’s a 20/20 type guy without killing you on average. In this injury-plagued year, his stats don’t look exactly as he has in the past, but that’s probably due to shutting it down in April and starting it up in August. I wouldn’t be surprised if in a few years we look back at this year and see how it didn’t portend anything. Unless he really did learn how to take a walk, as he’s shown this year. Though, I kinda doubt it. I expect he’s a line drive machine, 17-20 homer and 15-steal guy with a solid-enough average. Think what you were expecting from Brantley, rather than what you ended up with. Now smoke a spliff! Oh, wait, I stopped rhyming about ten lines ago. Anyway, here’s what else I saw this weekend in fantasy baseball:

Please, blog, may I have some more?

I don’t know about you, and let me preface this by saying most if not all of my league mates at least know I contribute fantasy baseball (OPS) content, but I keep getting the old “But, he’s a Catcher/Shortstop so he’s worth more” and from a position scarcity perspective, that’s obviously true. However, I am A) going for the win-now so all I want is to take the lead in certain (all) categories and B) position scarcity-schmarcity: give me the best available.

So it’s time for your 5×5 (HR,SB,R,RBI,OPS) rankings for both position scarcity and position schmarcity.

FYI, I use the FVAR (fantasy value above replacement) approach to fantasy valuation vs. SGP (standard gains points) approach since I don’t have all of your leagues’ current and historical information. Feel free to look this up or ask below.

For reference, here are the positional replacement 5×5 values and associated players (the 5 z-scores for each category are summed up; the sum is adjusted in each position by this positional replacement value i.e. each Catcher gets .73 added to their z-sum while each First Baseman only gets .01 added to their z-sum i.e. all catchers values are inflated more because of the lower replacement-value):

Please, blog, may I have some more?

I don’t know about you, but even I get hung up on the individual site rankings for my leagues’ player pages, even though they have little to do with the categories that we use. For example, in my CBS dynasty league, we use Runs Produced (RBI+R-HR), net Stolen Bases (SB-CS), Slugging, On-base Percentage, and Plate Appearances [Jay’s Note: We use OBP, TB, W+QS, 2*Sv+H in a couple of my dynasty’s], yet I am still at times impulsive to pick-up whomever sits at top of the sites’ rankings, which is based off standard 5×5 formats. Well, you’re welcome– This post is to help you distinguish the value differential for OBP and OPS leagues relative to the ESPN player rater rankings. It should give you targets to trade for or trade away.

Please, blog, may I have some more?

As I mentioned in my first/intro OPS post, we’re looking at OPS differential by using expected (x)Homerun and expected (x)BABIP differentials. If you like Captain Planet or laser beams, or want to understand my general approach, then I recommend a gander. If you provide your email below, I can furnish the full list that you can sort. Wordpress doesn’t allow me to copy and paste it all pretty for you.

Let’s start with my xHR formula (PA*Ct%*OFFB%*HR/OFFB%). Here are the top 10 guys likely to drop off from a HR perspective: Albert Pujols, Adam Jones, Justin Morneau, Alexei Ramirez, Mark Reynolds, Charlie Blackmon, Ian Desmond, Brett Lawrie, Hunter Pence and Salvador Perez.

Here are the top 35 guys likely to drop off from a BABIP perspective that you actually might own (meaning I’m excluding the Martin Maldonados of the world): Josh Rutledge, Justin Ruggiano, A.J. Pollock, Josh Hamilton, Stephen Vogt, J.D. Martinez, J.J. Hardy, Eugenio Suarez, Hunter Pence and Matt Adams.

Looking at both xHR and xBABIP differentials, here are guys you might own that I would consider selling in OPS leagues based on their expected vs. actual OPS (the differential is in parenthesis just like this statement. See what I did here?):

Please, blog, may I have some more?

Manny Machado‘s epitaph: He always found more success throwing a bat at a ball. Better than Salvador Perez’s: Together again! Machado wasn’t just struggling, he was like that friend of yours that not only is having a rotten time at a party, but also sucks the prettiest girls in the room into his sad funk of despair and before long, the girls are like, “I don’t want to go out and get drunk and party and potentially hook up with you. Your friend Manny Machado is too depressed.” The buzz kill friend. Yesterday, Machado went 5-for-6, 2 runs, 2 RBIs with his 8th homer, and fourth homer in his last seven games (skipping the suspension games). About time he listened to your advice, did a body shot off the tummy of the girl that wants to be a physical therapist and cheered up! I don’t own Machado anywhere this year, due to the knee issue coming into the season, but he just turned 22 years old (almost literally; his birthday was Sunday) and I’ll be all over Machado again next year. Of course, if you can acquire him in a trade this year, by all means, which sounds like it was said by Malcolm X’s less militant brother, Bobby X. Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:

Please, blog, may I have some more?

Sometimes, you wanna feel like the smartest guy/gal/thing in the room. Of course, that would have to make the title ‘Summa Iwakuma Laude’ but I didn’t like the flow of ‘Summa Iwakuma’. My titles are ridiculous enough anyways, I don’t need unintentional rhyme muddying the waters along with it. So we chose ‘with great honor’ rather than ‘with highest honor’. We just replaced ‘cum’ with Hisashi Iwakuma…you better read that word in latin, perv! Not Hisashi, of course, since his name is in his native language of Japanese. So did I just create a new language? Jatin? Lapanese? Eh, I’ll leave the Bennifers to Hollywood at this point. But really, Hisashi should make you feel like you graduated with honors from Sports Tech Fantasy University (GO STFU!) as his price of $9,100 on DraftKings puts him behind the big three 10K+ pitchers on the day but the Stream-o-nator says his start is the tops of his class on the day. I do think because of the bigger names on the slate, Iwakuma will have a slightly lower ownership than normal despite the fact his start is at home and against a whiff-happy team. Much like my pick up skills will be on the Razzball Radio Tour, the Twins strike out rates are at the bottom of the league already but when they step out on the road, they’re even worse as they own the second worst K% while out Jack Kerouac’ing. So let’s swing our tassel from one side to the other and walk down that aisle…ahem, I meant graduation tassels and the hat. Seriously! Well, whatever, you’ve graduated to the rest of the picks. Now get out of this lead and take your dirty mind with you! Here’s the rest of the Razzball picks for July 7th contests…

Please, blog, may I have some more?