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The Twins are a fun system to look at. They have the elite guys like Buxton and Berrios, but now we have the breakout Max Kepler and the international signee Byung-ho Park. Outside of the Aaron Hicks trade to New York, the Park signing was the biggest news of the Minnesota offseason. The Twins had some surprising success in 2015, thanks in part to the arrival of their young slugger Miguel Sano. 2016 will see even more prospect talent surface in Minnesota though, and things could gel together quickly. It’s probably do or die time for Danny Santana and Oswaldo Arcia, but there’s a lot of young talent to work with this year at Target Field.

2015 Graduates
Miguel Sano | Eddie Rosario | Tyler Duffey

Tier 1: Specs On The Beach
Potential stars. Consensus T100 prospects with premium fantasy ceilings.

Byron Buxton, OF | Age: 22 | ETA: 2016 | 2015 Level: AA/AAA/MLB
2015 Stats:
327 PA, .305/.367/.500, 7 HR, 22 SB, 9% BB, 19% K

Buxton just slipped under the 130 at bats to stay eligible for prospect lists. He was kind of a tease last year – arguably MLB ready but not utilized by the Twins in such a way that maximized his fantasy value. Then of course he got hurt and didn’t really surface in the bigs again until late August. A healthy Buxton now has a clear path to the everyday center field gig and is pencilled in to lead off. To start, I think it’s safe to expect a solid average, steals, and runs. As he matures I think we’ll see more pop and batting average reliability. If it all comes to together he can contribute in all five categories and be an OF1.

Jose Berrios, RHP | Age: 21 | ETA: 2016 | 2015 Level: AA/AAA
2015 Stats:
166.1 IP, 2.87 ERA, 2.1 BB/9, 9.5 K/9

Berrios is the perfect storm for fantasy pitching prospects. He’s close to the majors with a bunch of innings under his belt, he’ll strike guys out, and his control has been good enough that you won’t have to bite your nails down to the bone every inning he pitches. After the big guns Giolito and Urias, I’m not sure there’s a better quality arm in the minors right now. The Twins decided not to promote him in 2015, but in 2016 he could be a good fantasy starter and should be on the radar in redraft formats. Grey dug deeper in his 2016 outlook.


Tier 2: Floorboreds
Lacking the “star” upside. They might have some warts, but their ETAs are on the horizon.

Max Kepler, OF | Age: 22 | ETA: 2016 | 2015 Level: A+/AA
2015 Stats:
508 PA, .318/.410/.520, 9 HR, 19 SB, 14% BB, 13% K

Take a look at his plate discipline. Mmmmm, yeah, that’s nice. Jay’s favorite non-Padre, Kepler never really struck out much. But in 2015, he bumped his walks, average, homers, and steals. He’s on the verge of getting a starting outfield gig in Minnesota and looks like a high-floor fantasy option. I’m thinking the end result might not be all that different from Jason Heyward – good AVG/OBP, 12-15 homers, and 20+ steals from a corner outfield slot.

Byung-ho Park, 1B | Age: 29 | ETA: 2016 | 2015 Level: KBO
2015 Stats:
622 PA, .343/.436/.714, 53 HR, 10 SB, 13% BB, 26% K

It’s hard to nail down a projection for guys like Park. They are basically coming over from a different country where they played in an environment even more hitterish than the Cal League. I mean Eric Thames hit .381 with 47 homers there last year. That said, even at 29 years old it’s hard to see Park lasting past the first round in dynasty drafts this year. He’s MLB ready, should get time at first and DH, and has enough pop to get to 20 dingers pretty easily. Jung-ho Kang faced similar question marks last year, and popped 15 homers in 467 plate appearances.

Jorge Polanco, SS | Age: 22 | ETA: 2016 | 2015 Level: AA/AAA
2015 Stats:
525 PA, .288/.339/.386, 6 HR, 19 SB, 7% BB, 14% K

Polanco is probably a better real life player than a fantasy one, but he’s a good enough defender to stick in the middle infield and has at least average hit and speed tools. He can switch-hit and might fit in the 2-hole if we’re lucky, but more likely he’s a bottom-of-the-order guy who plays every day with light contributions in runs and steals. In an environment like Minnesota I’m not sure he offers much more than the 2015 versions of Alcides Escobar or Eric Aybar.

Adam Walker, OF | Age: 24 | ETA: 2016 | 2015 Level: AA
2015 Stats:
560 PA, .239/.309/.498, 31 HR, 13 SB, 9% BB, 35% K

This cat reminds me of Steven Moya in Detroit. The power and speed combination is so enticing, but I’m sweating like Poe at a puppet show when I see that batting average and strikeout rate in Double-A as a 23-year-old. The big man’s plus power and 30+ homer potential will always make him attractive in fantasy, but he’ll need to hit enough to get an everyday gig and be a viable option in shallower leagues.

Kohl Stewart, RHP | Age: 21 | ETA: 2017 | 2015 Level: A+
2015 Stats:
129.1 IP, 3.20 ERA, 3.1 BB/9, 4.9 K/9

Stewart has been a top fiftiesh prospect for the past two or three years, but honestly his strikeout rates in each of the last two seasons aren’t anything to write home about for fantasy. He also has a shoulder issue on his resume, which only adds to the already risky proposition of investing in an arm. There’s likely a mid-rotation starter here and it’s not like he is hot garbage, but I’d be wary of paying for his name and status on traditional lists. If his K-rate returns to 2013 levels I’ll change my tune, and it certainly could if he’s been forced to be more conservative recently.

Daniel Palka, 1B/OF | Age: 24 | ETA: 2017 | 2015 Level: A+
2015 Stats:
576 PA, .280/.352/.532, 29 HR, 24 SB, 10% BB, 28% K

Palka came over to the Twins from the Diamondbacks, who drafted him in the third round back in 2013. He’s similar to Walker in that he has power, speed, and strikes out too much. He’s also the same age and hasn’t played above High-A yet. I’d look at him as interesting filler in deep leagues. There’s some fantasy upside, but a) the park change isn’t ideal b) the Twins have a bunch of options in the outfield and d) Park presumably splits the 1B/DH duty for the time being.

Stephen Gonsalves, LHP | Age: 21 | ETA: 2017 | 2015 Level: A/A+
2015 Stats:
134.1 IP, 2.01 ERA, 3.6 BB/9, 8.8 K/9

A tall lefty with three average or better offerings, Gonsalves looks like a BORP but with some upside for more. He’s still pretty young and doesn’t have any upper level experience, but there’s also some projection left and it’s a starter’s profile. The walk rate is less than stellar, but he struck out almost a batter per inning and does a great job of keeping the ball in the park.

Alex Meyer, RHP | Age: 25 | ETA: 2016 | 2015 Level: AAA
2015 Stats:
92 IP, 4.79 ERA, 4.7 BB/9, 9.8 K/9

Let’s get this out of the way right off the bat – I don’t think relievers are smart investments in dynasty leagues where you are hoping to get long-term fantasy value out of your players. That’s why the switch to the bullpen dings Meyer, even with the plus stuff and strikeout rates. It’s also why you don’t see me falling in love with players like fellow Twin Nick Burdi. Even if you are going to ignore me and go after relievers anyway, at least find somebody who walks less than four per nine.

Others: Nick Burdi, Taylor Rogers, Travis Harrison, Jason Wheeler, J.T. Chargois


Tier 3: Long Shot Lolitas
Sexy ceilings, but these youngsters also come with risks and distant ETAs.

Nick Gordon, SS | Age: 20 | ETA: 2018 | 2015 Level: A
2015 Stats:
535 PA, .277/.336/.360, 1 HR, 25 SB, 7% BB, 16% K

Gordon isn’t a burner like his older brother Dee, but he has enough speed to get to 20+ steals and has more pop than his sibling. With enough defense to stick at short, Gordon’s offensive ceiling of 15 homers/20 steals/.280 average should work fine at a position that’s thin on bats. My only concern is that Minnesota will put a damper on his already fringey power and he’ll be more of a gap hitter that struggles to get to double-digit homers. He should spend most of 2016 in High-A with a chance to get to Double-A by the end of the summer.

Tyler Jay, LHP | Age: 21 | ETA: 2017 | 2015 Level: A+
2015 Stats:
18.1 IP, 3.93 ERA, 3.9 BB/9, 10.8 K/9

Jay pitched mainly as a reliever in college. If he sticks there, the good news is he’ll move quickly. The bad news is he’d have more value in fantasy as a starter. The Twins could still transition him into that role, and the lefty has enough plus stuff to get the job done and pan out as a #3 starter. It’s hard to determine where to take Jay in dyno drafts. I don’t think he makes sense as high as he did in the real draft (6th overall). I’d be more comfortable taking him at the turn or in the early second round.

Jermaine Palacios, SS | Age: 19 | ETA: 2019 | 2015 Level: Rk
2015 Stats:
251 PA, .370/.398/.540, 3 HR, 9 SB, 5% BB, 12% K

Palacios hit like crazy at both rookie levels in 2015. Like Javier, he’s an under-the-radar player that you can probably scoop up relatively easily even in deeper formats. It’s hard to get excited about players when they haven’t even hit above A-ball, but Palacios straight raked and could move quickly if he continues to do so. They weren’t cheap singles, either. He smacked 18 extra-base hits (14 2B, 2 3B, 2 HR) in 145 plate appearances against older competition in the Appy league.

Wander Javier, SS | Age: 17 | ETA: 2020 | 2015 Level: –
2015 Stats: 
N/A

There’s a good chance Javier is not owned in your league, even if it’s a really deep one. He was a J2 signee in 2015, but was just outside the top tier of talent that you’ve likely already heard about (Vlad Jr, etc). He’s very young, and we’re looking at a long wait, but Javier has potentially above-average power and speed at shortstop. The Twins liked him enough to drop $4 million bucks. When you get to the later rounds of your dynasty draft and everybody else is taking garbage, sneak Javier onto your farm.

Trey Cabbage, 3B | Age: 18 | ETA: 2019 | 2015 Level: Rk
2015 Stats:
129 PA, .252/.302/269, 0 HR, 1 SB, 5% BB, 29% K

If you put enough cheese, salt, and hot sauce on cabbage I will eat it. If you put a left-handed hitter at third base and tell me he has a chance to hit for above-average power, I will look at him. There aren’t enough at bats to get a good read on him yet, but at 18 years old Cabbage has the time and the frame to grow into some power. I wouldn’t sweat him until the later rounds of a dynasty draft though, if at all.

Others: Lewis Thorpe, Engelb Vielma, Amaurys Minier, Travis Blankenhorn, Fernando Romero


2016 Minor League Preview Index

   
  1. Speedy McGreedy says:
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    NEW FANTRAX DYNASTY LEAGUE looking for managers. Would love to get a bunch of knowledgeable Razzball commenters in the league.

    -Free, no prizes
    -16 teams. Open to more if most of the league agrees after we fill.
    -rotisserie
    -6×6 scoring (AVG, OBP, SLG, R, RBI, NSB, QS, ERA, WHIP, K, NS, HLD)
    -30 MLB roster spots incl. C, 1B, 2B, SS, 3B, CI, MI, 5 OF, 12 P, 6 reserves
    -10 Minor League roster spots
    – willing to discuss draft format with league when it fills. Open to an online draft or a longer format, such as offline with 12 hour picks, or something.
    – STRICT enforcement of active managers. Very intolerant of inactive or MIA managers. Communication required. Don’t want this league to fail. Don’t bother applying if you have 100 teams, this would have to be one of your primary leagues if you sign up. Really looking for something long-term and special here. Good opportunity to get in on a great league on the ground floor.

    If you’re interested, email me at [email protected] and tell me a little bit about yourself and why you want to join this league. Also tell me who your top 2 favorite minor leaguers (1 offensive player and 1 pitcher) are right now and why.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      this man is serious. help him fill his league

  2. wetbandit says:
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    maybe eric thames just needs got better and should come back stateside?????

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      someone shaved with Occam’s razor this morning!

  3. Ralph Lifshitz

    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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    Your lack of love for Nick Burdi is an indictment of this whole process!!!!

    Max Kepler the J-Hey of Deutschland

    https://vimeo.com/48495190

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      d’oh!

      Mein Kepler!

      best video ever

  4. Yescheese says:
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    I’m torn on how to treat Byong-Ho Park. Top 10 in annual dynasty drafts? I mean he’s MLB ready, power potential. So many question marks! Would you take Park over, say, Benintedi/Happ/Randolph?

      • Ra'zbahl Al Ghul says:
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        @Mike: Songs in the key of Byong’s dongs

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          *giggles*

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Yescheese: I think it sort of depends what your squad is like and what you’re looking for. Benintendi and Happ both have higher upside than Park but are a couple of years away. Randolph may have the highest upside but is even further away. If you had good minor league depth and wanted to add a power CI bat that could contribute this year you’d add Park. I think approach comes down to goals and need.

      • Mike

        Mike says:
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        bingo

      • Mike

        Mike says:
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        Byungo

      • Mike

        Mike says:
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        Byung-ho

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Mike: ^The progression of a joke!

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: my main issue with Park is where does he play. This had to be one of the oddest signings of the off season because now they have to find somewhere for Sano to play or make a trade. Maybe if Sano sheds some pounds this can work but I just don’t get it. On the other hand I am interested in Park because he is an injury away to everyday at bats

        • Malicious Phenom says:
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          @J-FOH: Sano can play the corner OF spots, no?

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Malicious Phenom: he never has played there as a professional and they want him to lose some weight to handle it. That’s a lot of uncertainty

            • Malicious Phenom says:
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              @J-FOH: I just found this lil tid-bit on Rotoworld..

              Miguel Sano has left the Dominican Winter League in order to focus on his conditioning and outfield work, according to Twins general manager Terry Ryan.
              Sano played in 15 games with Estrellas de Oriente while splitting time between third base and designated hitter, but he’ll now turn his focus to his move to the outfield in 2016. “I appreciate him playing,” said Ryan. “I kind of like the fact he’s got some loyalty and got some at-bats. We have some things here we’ve got to accomplish for him making the transition from infield to outfield.

              • SwaggerJackers says:
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                @Malicious Phenom: Getting rid of Plouffe would answer a lot of questions.

                Or, you know, making that Mauer deal would have helped.

  5. Malicious Phenom says:
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    Morning Prospector Mike..

    Kepler or Margot or Mazara, who are the best 2 out of the 3.

    Also who is the best 3B prospect in all of the minors for the future..

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I still like Maz and Margot

      prolly Gallo or Devers

      • Malicious Phenom says:
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        @Mike: How about the Rockies McMahon for 3B?

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          solid, but I’d tier him behind Gallo and Devers

          • Malicious Phenom says:
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            @Mike: Gallo is gone and I try and NEVER to have Redsucks on my team.

            With that said I think I will grab Devers and try and trade him for another 3B..LOL

            • Mike

              Mike says:
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              If it’s a dyno then Devers needs to be owned. Go get em :)

              • Malicious Phenom says:
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                @Mike: Got em! thanks..

                Next up is Javier Baez, what to do with him? Where does in play in Chicago?

                • Mike

                  Mike says:
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                  hold for now. not sure. maybe he becomes the utility piece I always thought Alcantara would be. splits LF/2B/SS/3B?

                  • Malicious Phenom says:
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                    @Mike: I agree on holding, he cud be useful with all his pos eligbilty, maybe even hit his way into a starting gig. Plus Joe Madman loves versatile guys…lol

  6. Gary Matthews Senior says:
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    Michael Jack, what are your thoughts on Tyler Duffey? Happy New Year!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      thanks, you too!

      I like him. Good control, good Ks, not a ton of risk and a good park to pitch in. Looks like he’s on the outside looking in as far as the opening day rotation but I don’t think he’ll be with Rochester all that long.

  7. Ra'zbahl Al Ghul says:
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    I would add Luis Arraez to the Long Shot Lolitas, he’s a young jeezy, but great plate discipline thus far and promising hit thul

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      cool

      • Ra'zbahl Al Ghul says:
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        @Mike: any thoughts on him? Too long shotty?

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          nope, looks just fine for that group

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Mike: that career ISO of .072 has nowhere to go but up

            • Ra'zbahl Al Ghul says:
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              @J-FOH: Exactly!

  8. Hi Prospect Mike!

    I was wondering if I could get a non-prospect question answered…

    Can you rank these keepers? 5×5 Roto, $260, 14 team

    Hosmer 18
    Rendon 15
    Bogaerts 18
    Braun 22
    C.Allen 12
    AJ Ramos 1
    C.Mart 12

    Thanks! Happy New Year!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Rendon/Bogey, Braun/Hosmer, CMart, Allen/Ramos

      you too!

  9. Malicious Phenom says:
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    I am looking at stashing an SP or 2 with ETA, 2018 or 2019..Who would be some SP’s with front-line potential I should target?

    thanks Mike

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Kolby Allard and Grant Holmes come to mind…Anderson Espinoza maybe. There’s probably a bunch I’m leaving out but those were my gut reactions

      • Malicious Phenom says:
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        @Mike: Ok, what about these 2:
        Dillon Tate & Yadier Alvarez

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          sure

          • Malicious Phenom says:
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            @Mike: Holmes better than Alvarez?

            • Mike

              Mike says:
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              yeah

              • Malicious Phenom says:
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                @Mike: cool, thanks man

                • Mike

                  Mike says:
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                  no problem

  10. crash davis says:
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    I’m in the same boat. Very young roster: Bryant, Arenado, Machado, Soler, Schwarber to name a few. I’m looking to add a few more prospects on draft day with longer ETAs since we can only keep 15 MLBers.
    Looking at Andersn Espinoza, Victor Robles and possibly even Vlad Jr. he’s super young but man if he hits even half like his daddy I’ll be glad I sat on him.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      nice…all three are good gambles

  11. goodfold2 says:
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    draft started at 11 AM est. so far
    rodgers
    maeda
    benintendi
    bregman
    swanson
    tate
    fulmer
    park
    I go at 17th. i’m hearing guerrero is being moved to 3B. i badly need CI prospects with only kubitza/padlo/l.encarnacion (and drury already up); i’m looking likely to have the option of one of
    alvarez/diaz LAD, tucker, martinez (CUBS), clark, randolph, cameron, whitley, jay, guerrero, fox, allard, naylor. I’m guessing guerrero is higher than naylor due to being better overall hitter, less so from the power that naylor seems very high in? my roster is quite weak in power and CI prospects. most of those will be gone of course likely, since other than tate all of these guys taken so far are in your top 9, so it’s following closely so far (more than last year too)

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      yeah I’d go Vlad over Naylor

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Mike: MIN here is just filled with available long shot MI or CI guys, i see 6 of them.

  12. Malicious Phenom says:
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    Hey again,

    Do you have a 2014: New Blood: Top 25 Dynasty League Signees?

  13. Malicious Phenom says:
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    Thought I would show you my updates forever keeper team:

    STARTERS:
    C – Travis D’arnaud NYM – C
    1B – Miguel Cabrera DET – 1B
    2B – Starlin Castro NYY – 2B,SS
    3B- Todd Frazier CWS – 3B
    José Reyes COL – SS
    CI- Albert Pujols LAA – 1B (DL)
    MI – Ian Desmond WAS – SS
    OF – Justin Upton – OF
    OF – Yoenis Céspedes – OF
    OF – Billy Hamilton CIN– OF
    OF – Gregory Polanco PITT – OF
    Jay Bruce CIN – OF
    U – Miguel Sano MIN – 3B
    U – Alex Rodriquez NYY – 3B

    BENCH:
    Byung-ho Park MN – 1B
    Wil Myers SD – 1B/OF
    Jurickson Profar TX – 2B
    Addison Russell CHC – 2B,SS
    Javier Báez CHC – 2B,SS,3B
    Jorge Soler CHC- OF
    Blake Swihart BOS – C

    MINORS:
    Vlad Guerrero Jr TOR – 3B/OF
    Rafael Devers BOS – 3B
    Dansby Swanson ATL – SS
    Manuel Margot SD – OF
    Nomar Mazara TX – OF

    STARTERS:
    Félix Hernández SEA – SP
    Stephen Strasburg WAS – SP
    Johnny Cueto SF – SP
    Masahiro Tanaka NYY – SP
    Robert Ozuna TOR – CL
    Kenley Jansen LAD – CL
    David Robertson CWS – CL
    Michael Pineda NYY – SP
    Scott Kazmir – SP
    Ryu, Hyun-jin LA – SP
    Kenta Madea LA – SP
    Luis Severino NYY -SP

    BENCH:
    Trevor Bauer CLE – SP
    Carlos Rodon CWS – SP
    Taijaun Walker SEA – SP
    Lance McCullers HOU – SP

    MINORS:
    Dylan Bundy BAL – SP
    Julio Urias LA – SP
    Lucas Giolito WAS – SP
    Grant Holmes LA – SP

    thoughts?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      solid

      • Malicious Phenom says:
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        @Mike: thanks, now if I can just avoid messin with it too much..I like to trade, a LOT..lol

  14. Shill Team 6 says:
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    Do you think Danny Santana can get back in the lineup next season? Is he terrible? Or have the Twins just given up on him?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      tough one..maybe SS?

  15. goodfold2 says:
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    yesterday you said you had some interest in
    eudor garcia CI
    ivan wilson OF
    andres gimenez MI
    of NYM, but would you rank them ahead of desmond lindsay, reason i say so is all three sites mlb.com/minor league ball/baseball america have lindsay ranked 10th/7th/8th overall. clearly these three would be higher than all those others i listed yesterday.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      sounds right, haven’t looked into lindsey much yet though

  16. goodfold2 says:
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    here’s TEX (have only mlb.com to go off, no baseball america or minor league ball lists out yet)

    michael matuella SP (holy crap this guy rates high but super injury risk)
    leodys taveras OF (55/45/60, nice)
    evan van hoosier MI/OF (50/40/60 and likes to party with speed and other drugs)
    jacob lemoine SP (possible #2 at some point, but hurt now)
    eric jenkins OF (speed, hit and claim is he can get to 10 homers, and play center)
    josh morgan CI/MI (3B/SS with big hit tool 55, some speed 55, no power)
    frank lopez SP (back end GB guy)

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Taveras looks interesting

  17. goodfold2 says:
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    here’s NYY
    james kaprielian SP (supposedly safe #3 type)
    drew finley SP (could be mid rotation)
    brady lail SP (upside of #3, but likely #4)
    wilkerman garcia MI (know nothing about him as MLB.com doesn’t have him in top 30, but he’s 9th in Baseball America’s top 10, and was #7 international guy in 2014)
    or any of these RP (coshow, b.mitchell, pazos, rumbelow)

    wow, TEX spends money and NYY are all pretty much owned, power of NY media PR.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      definitely Wilkerman there. definitely. he should be high on your list

  18. Starwarts says:
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    I couldn’t come up with another Twin question. So I wanted to ask about the kinda speedy Jankowksi. Is he best CF option in SD for the start of 2016?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      it’s prolly between him and Melvin until Margot is ready, yeah

  19. goodfold2 says:
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    ok, so i got the choice of eddy martinez, randolph, alvarez, diaz, whitley, guerrero. from tools ratings whitley’s 55/55/60 is hard to pass up here. randolph has the hit/power matched (and at 2B maybe) but much less speed. vlad has 55/55 too but much less speed (but likely plays 3B, which i need), eddy martinez you are higher than than some (55/45/65) is great but i need power more than speed anyway and CUBS are pretty well blocked to make martinez’s earlier ETA probably not that useful really. diaz’s power rating doesn’t seem great (hit and speed are).

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I guess Vlad if you need da pop

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Mike: went whitley, seems better floor, and has same power grade (55) as vlad anyway. i’ll very likely target a CI in round 2. ok, since last update these picks
        9.tucker
        10. aiken
        11. happ
        12. clark
        13. cameron
        14. jay
        15. allard
        16. ashe russell KC
        17. whitley (me)
        18. jon harris SP TOR
        19. bickford SP SF
        20. randolph
        21. riley CI ATL
        22. guerrero (this guy also has aiken and cameron)
        23. alvarez LAD
        24. newman

        • goodfold2 says:
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          @goodfold2: 25. soroka SP ATL

  20. Starwarts says:
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    Is Sano a top 75-100 player in a new keeper draft?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      yeah I think so

      • Starwarts says:
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        @Mike: Thanks!!

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          no problem

  21. goodfold2 says:
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    here’s HOU.
    riley farrell RP (70/65 fastball/slider sounds like good closer)
    raymin guduan RP (80 fastball RP, guessing eventually at best set up man)
    jon arauz MI (i’m sure you’ve heard of him, part of giles deal, somewhat upside hitting MI)
    jason rodgers OF (55/55 on hit/speed but no power)
    patrick sandoval SP (all mid 50’s grades, i’m guessing mid rotation at best)
    david paulino SP (don’t know what his role ends up as)
    brady rodgers SP (control artist, i’m guessing back of rotation type up this year)
    tyler white CI (possibly a catcher later, which would be nice, 55/45 hit/power, 15 homers seems doable, great BB rate)
    matt duffy CI (45/50 hit/power)

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Arauz is interesting

  22. goodfold2 says:
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    almost done, here’s LAA, yr WAS will be here soon enough.

    N.Delgado OF (you had him top 10 last year)
    jahmai jones OF (50/45/60 guy)
    julio garcia MI (50/45/50 SS, seems solid all around)
    jake jewell SP/RP (unknown about starter or reliever)
    greg mahle RP (all 50’s, profiles as set up type)
    chad hinshaw OF (50/60 hit/speed sagnof)
    jeremy rhodes SP/RP (big build, great slider, not sure if he makes SP hard delivery, weak changeup)
    kyle mcgowin SP (back of rotation SP)
    grayson long SP (back of rotation SP)
    austin robichaux (3 effective pitches, might be RP)
    kyle survance jr OF (45/65 hit speed sagnof)
    caleb adams OF (45/40/50)

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      LAA is a wasteland

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Mike: still with delgado at the top, figuring so as he was ranked top 10 by you last year,esp in a garbage system like this. even jairo diaz made like 6th last year, as a known RP entity. with so many of these SP with the upside of mid-rotation lying around i’ll probably be grabbing 1 or 2 of them in rounds 3-5. i need the best power CI in round 2 coming up here. Noticing how many decent tooled OF there are all around (way more of those than decent CI’s) i feel bad having grabbed whitley, along with already having 6/3 ratio of OF/CI prospects.

        • goodfold2 says:
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          @goodfold2: oh yeah, and draft is going much different than your lists now, with
          1.26 kaprelian SP NYY
          1.27 t.stephenson
          1.28 harrison bader STL (wow, he was like 4th on my STL list of long shots)
          1.29 kim OF BAL
          1.30 nikorak SP COL
          1.31 stewart BAL
          1.32 willie calhoun LAD
          2.1 batman’s buddy (lucius fox)
          2.2 walker buehler SP LAD
          2.3 chris shaw SF (50/60 hit/power grades interesting but you’ve got at least 3 CI guys for power higher that i know of for sure)
          2.4 basabe OF BOS
          only 13 till me might be some of your top 30 newbies left over, most telling are eddy martinez, diaz LAD, still 7 of these out there.

          • goodfold2 says:
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            @goodfold2: wow, at 2.5 tyler goeddel, i’m sure you know who he is from PHI, but he’s not even on your PHI list, me likey, more guys ranked from me to choose from.
            at
            2.6, who the F is lazaro armentaros OF? unsigned, if he doesn’t sign by opening day this owner gets 2017 2.6a pick and nothing with this pick this year.

            • Mike

              Mike says:
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              16 yo Cuban stud…holding workouts and could sign in late Jan/early Feb. I believe MiLB.com did a writeup of him recently. Unfortch the Goeddel rule 5 thing happened after the Phils list came out. not a terrible guy to take a flyer on.

              • goodfold2 says:
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                @Mike: where would goeddel be listed in there if you had posted him?

                ok, for homers/hit tool CI is it go about naylor/denton/mountcastle (this guy you had ranked higher on BAL’s team page than stewart, but stewart higher in new signees page so it’s hard to tell where he goes compared to denton)/zangari, with all of palacios (i’m seeing he might end up 3B), g.lavalley behind those first 4?

                with only 8 picks to go i have no idea how all of those are currently out there, but i’m trying to talk one guy into an OF, so that would leave 7 picks unknown, but one guy has 2 picks of those and needs CI too.

                • goodfold2 says:
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                  @goodfold2: hayes out there too still, but he doesn’t seem to have power much.

  23. S.H says:
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    Mike would you do a deal in a 12 team dynasty for my Strasburg and Kolek for Archer and Berrios.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      yeah I think I would. I like Berrios over Kolek and you’re not losing much ground with Archer for Stras IMO

      • S.H says:
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        @Mike:

        Thanks Mike. But he now backs out of the Stras/Kolek for Archer/berrios.

        But is willing to deal me Archer for Kolek,Owens,Conforto and the 6 overall pick in the first year player draft. Would that be too much to give up.?

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          eh, I think I’d rather have the Conforto side

          • S.H says:
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            @Mike:

            Thanks again Mike. One more question . I have Mazara, Margot, Dahl, Tapia and Josh Bell, how would you rank those guys.

            • Mike

              Mike says:
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              no problem…Maz, Dahl, then a cluster Margot/Tapia/Bell

  24. MB says:
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    Mike, I know it is hard to answer this because of a specific team needs but in general, I was offered Gerrit Cole, Pineda, Pence, K Rod and Max Kepler for Kris Bryant.

    I have D Wright and J Turner for 3B. Need 2 SPs and a closer and actually an OF and have a weak farm.

    5×5 roto dynasty, 15 teams, 30 mlb/20 milb.

    Wondering if this is fair, however, maybe not the best package IF i am going to deal Bryant if that makes sense.

    Thanks man

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      you’re giving up the best piece. I’d hold there

  25. goodfold2 says:
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    here’s SF.
    -jalen miller MI (supposedly very similar to brandon phillips, likely to be 2B, 50/45/55 MI pretty good scouting numbers)
    -jarrett parker OF (49 at bats last year in MLB, hit well, 9th in baseball america’s list, not even top 30 in Mlb.com’s)
    -michael santos SP (due to projectability and feel could become a #3)
    -andrew suarez SP (4 pitches, all with at least 50’s, 55 control, no worse than back of rotation)
    -mac marshall SP (seems like a slightly lesser, lefty version of suarez)
    -hunter cole 2B/OF (seems to be either 2B/3B/LF eventually, 50/50/40, so really only has value if he sticks at 2B though)
    -cody hall RP (possible set up man)
    derek law RP (weird delivery but throws strikes, 11.6 K rate over 4 years, supposed late inning guy later, this sounds like kind of guy drafted by me in last round, would be over a boring safer starter, really good curve and control, decent slider and fastball)
    -jordan johnson (65 fastball, possibly mid-rotation)
    steve duggar OF (50/40/70 SAGNOF)

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Parker is interesting and prolly cheap

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Mike: and with that i’m at least semi-caught up, as your WAS i’m guessing is out in a few hours. I’m sure there will be deep sleeper types to be found that i haven’t listed yet (they’d have to not even be top 30 guys at mlb.com, of course wikerson was one of those). Late rounds will be mostly about picking 1 or 2 SP out of a massive pile of similar sounding (by scouting grades) guys.

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