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Pitcher Profiles are almost back baby!  Oh man, I haven’t been this excited for pitchers to return ever since all the crap I got for saying Ryan Dempster was a sleeper last year.  Of course, no one remembers Matt Harvey was my #1 sleeper (audio proof!), and then Grey even forgets which old bad pitcher I lumped in my sleepers saying it was Josh Beckett!  Ugh.  Being such a bully around the office.  Punk me for the rest of those picks!  Yikes.

So what’s the deal with Pitcher Profiles going to be this year you ask?  Well the oldies but goldies of pitch-by-pitch breakdowns with my personal Gamescore+ stat that I developed to better numerically represent a starter’s outing.  But brand new this year!  I’m going to incorporate a few GIFs of pitches throughout the start, and the big tamale – weekly top-100 SP ranks.  Needless to say, Pitcher Profiles are going to become your all-in-one SP hub throughout the season every Monday afternoon.  The first will come on April 7th, so if you have requests for pitchers starting over the first weekend of the season, I always welcome suggestions for who we break down!  Below are my SP ranks heading into the season, and we’ll see you here in a few Mondays!

Oh, and PS – to hopefully redeem myself from the travesty that was last year’s sleeper picks, my top-5 sleepers this year are Michael Wacha, Jeff Samardzija, Yordano Ventura, Rick Porcello, and Corey Kluber.

Razzball Baseball

JB’s Top 100 SP

(rankings based on 12-team Roto)

RANK SP, TEAM NOTE
1 Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers Really not much to say here.
2 Yu Darvish, Texas Rangers I think this one is a shoe-in as well. Probably leads the majors in Ks, was awesome last year, no reason to think that will change.
3 Stephen Strasburg, Washington Nationals So underrated for some reason this year. I know you can’t really count 2011 since it was only 5 starts, but check this out: LD rate 26.2%, 22.7%, 17.5% to GB rate 37.7%, 44.2%, 51.5%. Pretty schweet. He’s only 25, and if he had gone 220 innings, I don’t think this would be a questioned ranking. I think his injuries were a little fluky and he stays healthy this year for a monster season.
4 Adam Wainwright, St. Louis Cardinals Am I little worried about all the innings from last year + playoffs? Yeah, a little. But not worried enough to rank him any lower.
5 Felix Hernandez, Seattle Mariners Always a top-tier elite guy.
6 Cliff Lee, Philadelphia Phillies Like F-Her, the adverb is safe. Reliable. I would F-Her cliffly, if that was possible… The velocity was down a MPH from 12 to 13 on the fastball, but even at 90.7 is faster than his 2008 Indians breakout and his cutter is the same velocity. Which is his bread and butter anyway. Think he’ll be a rock for you again. Solid as A Rock!
7 Madison Bumgarner, San Francisco Giants I like it in my Bumgarner. Great park, coming into his own, I really think he contend for the NL Cy this year.
8 Chris Sale, Chicago White Sox Sale I’ll definitely reach for. “Oh my God! We’re having a fire! Sale.” Great division to pitch in when not against DET, who he’s actually solid against (1.83 ERA 1.04 WHIP in 5 starts last year). I think he’s extraordinarily safe, and if he can cut the HR rate down (12.5%), which may be tough in CHI, he could dominate.
9 Max Scherzer, Detroit Tigers “JB, you hate Scherzer!” Yup. Won’t end up on any of my teams. BABIP from .314, .333, to .259 from 11-13, and that BABIP includes terrible fielding from Miggy and Peralta. I think the BABIP normalizes somewhere in the middle there. His HR rate dropped over 4% from career average, and I just don’t buy a guy who didn’t make a big stride in BB rate to have his WHIP go from 1.27 to 0.97. Is he going to have another good year? Sure. But I don’t think top 5 at all. Nice Ks, but I think ERA over 3.20 and WHIP around 1.15 will lower him.
10 Jose Fernandez, Miami Marlins Huge rookie season, I see maybe a tiny bit of regression, but also a lot more innings and Ks. Love the park too.
11 Justin Verlander, Detroit Tigers I’m not as big into the principle of “tiers”, but man, for me, SP has a huge dropoff after Fernandez. If you’re a Verlander believer he’ll probably go with some of the elite guys, but I don’t think he’s 2012 – a little more 2013. The unlucky BABIP should go back down, but higher BB rate, a HR rate that actually went down last year (that I think goes back up a percent or two), but all that said he’s still going to deliver a lot of Ks and Ws and I have him with a solid rank.
12 Anibal Sanchez, Detroit Tigers I’ve never really been a huge Sanchez guy, shoulder issues are a big part of it (and wrote that before this recent flare up), but before his 182 IP last year was at 195+ the three years prior. All his numbers look fine, maybe the 5.8% HR/FB rate goes back up, but no reason he can’t repeat what he did last year and if he makes every start will be a top 10 pitcher.
13 Julio Teheran, Atlanta Braves Love Teheran this year, would maybe like to see a few more ground balls, but in that park it doesn’t matter too much.
14 Gio Gonzalez, Washington Nationals Dig the Ks, you’ll have to work around a slightly higher WHIP than most of the top-20 guys, but doable.
15 Zack Greinke, Los Angeles Dodgers I think the calf strain is making him a tad of a value, and while I’m not necessarily the biggest Greinke fan, had a huge year last year pre and post broken collarbone and excelled in that park.
16 Homer Bailey, Cincinnati Reds You know, I came into these ranks thinking I was gonna dog Homer Bailey because I hate his inconsistency. Turns out, he’s really only inconsistent game-to-game, but year-to-year has been fantastic. I know I’m not breaking any ground there, but there’s nothing in his numbers I can use to support having him any lower.
17 James Shields, Kansas City Royals Shields is kinda a boring pick, and not someone anyone will say much about, but I like him and he seems to be a littler underrated. Great park, the Ks went down a tad and the walks up, but the velocity is good, had one really bad game hurt his ERA/WHIP and I think can pitch with a smidge of contract year motivation.
18 Masahiro Tanaka, New York Yankees I’m buying in. Not going to reach too hard, but I like everything I’ve seen and think he’s a solid SP 2.
19 Michael Wacha, St. Louis Cardinals Man, I’m not even a Cardinals fan! Hate the Cards! But love their young pitchers and buying into Wacha. Reportedly not under an innings limit, great stuff last year – obviously the postseason was huge – like him a lot.
20 Jordan Zimmermann, Washington Nationals The story is the same every year: good stuff, good ERA and WHIP, bad Ks. May be a tad overrvalued with the 19 wins, but should be relatively close to that again.
21 Matt Cain, San Francisco Giants A terrible first half for Cain had people running to the hills as his career-long low HR/FB rate disappeared. Of the 23 HRs he gave up, 9 were in three games with three each @MIL, @COL and @ARI. Rough days at the small stadiums can do that. The rest of his numbers were fine with an unlucky LOB%. Looks great in Spring as well.
22 Shelby Miller, St. Louis Cardinals Vastly underrated heading into the season. I know he fell apart a bit late with a K rate that went way down, but it was a big innings hike and the 2nd half wasn’t all that bad. I see him being fine and a good draft day value.
23 Mat Latos, Cincinnati Reds Latos is interesting because I’ve never been a fan, but actually wanted to rank him higher. I am a little worried about two surgeries in the offseason, and while he may not really miss much time, I’m worried about him wearing down. The WHIPs are always a tad high, did have a great season given career high .299 BABIP, but 6.9% HR/FB rate? In Cincy? Nahhh, probably not drafting Latos in most leagues.
24 Mike Minor, Atlanta Braves I really, really wanted to have Minor in my top-20, but a little worried with these shoulder issues. Likely to miss a little time. He was a little hurt earlier in his career and player through it, to the detriment of his numbers. I won’t pass on him, but not reaching either.
25 David Price, Tampa Bay Rays Yeah, not a huge Price fan. I used to be! But injuries hurt his K rate last year and he became a control pitcher lowering his walks. Given how bad he started he turned in a really good season, but a guy I think I’m avoiding.
26 Jeff Samardzija, Chicago Cubs Whoa, wait what?! I think you meant 62 not 26… This is my first way off the reservation rank (at least I think….). So last year, Shark started awesome then fell apart late. Reason? Very poor managing from Dale Sveum (an offensive minded manager), who tried to extend Samardzija way too late in games to protect the awful bullpen. If you check out my pitcher profile on him last year, there was really no reason to keep him in after 100+ pitches. Shark has had huge innings hikes the last three seasons, and while he’s thrown a lot of innings from 2007-13, remember he was playing football and not racking up the innings on that arm until his professional career. So I think he’s still coming into his prime.  I see the Cubs correcting his usage as well as a guy now with the experience to better handle the big innings. 2013 BABIP was .314, LOB was 71.7% – both unluckyish – GB rate has gone up nearly 10% the past 3 seasons, really unlucky 13+% home run rate last year given he’s at Wrigley, the velocity wasn’t really down and I think the very marginal 0.5 MPH dip on the heater can be more attributed to slow pitches late in games since they extended him too much (you can just scroll to the 7th innings of the link to see what I’m talking about). He’s got everything to play for to get a huge contract, which I normally don’t buy too much in, but there’s a tad of bad blood given his harsh words when they traded Scott Feldman and didn’t get a deal done in the off-season. Everything pointing to a huge breakout and immense value. Wow, diatribe alert! Moving on.
27 Gerrit Cole, Pittsburgh Pirates Huge power stuff, I like that his K rate went up as the season went on, but like a few of the other young Cardinals guys better. I think he’s going to be really good, but not reaching yet this year.
28 Alex Cobb, Tampa Bay Rays As much as I want to be with Grey’s Cobb, and I’ve gone after his cobb numerous times, I just can’t rank him any higher. A lot of underlying numbers I don’t like from last year, a BABIP of .279 – lower than virtually any stint he’s had in his career – and a LOB% of an unreal 81.4%. He was a little unlucky with his HR rate given he pitches in the Trop, but his K/9 got a huge boost from that crazy 13 K game against the Padres in 4.2 innings. Take that out and he goes from 8.41 K/9 to 7.85. Of course they all count, but that was a fluky game against an atrocious offense and I don’t know if the Ks are really there. I’m cheering for the guy though!
29 Hisashi Iwakuma, Seattle Mariners The latest news on Hisashi my dashi is he’ll be back late April. And it’s only his finger that’s hurt, probably from flicking off Grey for that nickname! Was awesome last year, I think can be awesome again. And if he is, he’ll be a great value.
30 Tony Cingrani, Cincinnati Reds I’ve seen Cingrani put a lot higher, also a good amount lower… Grey and I are about even. I agree with Grey on the shallow innings, but buying Cingrani has made big strides on new pitches. Obviously no fan of the park, but huge upside.
31 Danny Salazar, Cleveland Indians I like Salazar’s park! And like Salazar! These last two are a coin flip, so I’ll go with the guy who has pitched a little more in the Majors. Both crushed the Minors, both look locked for nice seasons.
32 Cole Hamels, Philadelphia Phillies All of the bullpen sessions recovering from his shoulder tendinitis have gone well, but who knows how long he’ll be out. I don’t like to take pitchers with bad elbows or shoulders, but if he only misses a month and is his normal Cole Hamels self, this would be a pretty good value.
33 Clay Buchholz, Boston Red Sox I’m not really a big Buchholz fan, but even if he isn’t as good as he was last year, it’s worth the pick at this point. Was one of, if not the, best pitcher in baseball for a stretch there until an injury sustained from holding his baby. Solution – sign it up for adoption. “Whoa JB!” Worth the gamble.
34 Johnny Cueto, Cincinnati Reds And that’s why I have Cueto here too. Both guys can be awesome but can’t stay healthy. Buchholz was better last year, so he gets the nod.
35 Corey Kluber, Cleveland Indians Oh man, it’s 2013 all over again! If you read the profiles – or interacted with me in comments – you know Kluber is my boy. I just love his stuff. It’s nasty. Which is kinda weird since he’s such a late bloomer. But despite bad ERAs through the Minors he was always a Ks guy. The big change was bringing together the control and addition of the cutter. What’s crazy about his 3.85/1.26 last year was a .329 BABIP! Now, he’s always had a bad BABIP, but if it goes closer to .300 plus pitches the whole season, oh man, going to kill for this price.
36 Sonny Gray, Oakland Athletics Gray is lumped together with a lot of the other young guns, but he’s a tad lower for me. I am a little skeptical of a K rate that took a huge jump from AA in 2012 to AAA/Majors last year and the WHIP I think will be higher than most project. .276 BABIP last year is a little lucky and I dunno, fastball/curve only pitchers sometimes scare me. I’m willing to pass on draft day unless he’s down here.
37 Yordano Ventura, Kansas City Royals My bar none, #1 sleeper this year. What’s kinda annoying is he was the first baseball player I wanted to talk about months ago on my Spadora on Sports radio show spot, and now the hype is starting to catch up. I hyped him up to my league mates as well in my long-time dynasty league where I snagged him a while ago.  And then Grey’s lead article this morning just “happens” to come when my rankings come out.  And I started these last week!  Absolutely love this kid. Danny Duffy looked awful in Spring giving Ventura the 5th pitcher spot. They’ve come out and said he could get 200 innings, which would be prespoteroni and 200 Ks in my mind. We all know about his speed, can hit trip-digs often, but I love his breaking stuff. I watched all his starts last year, and kinda went gaga for gogo puffs. I watched him against the Rangers a couple days ago in Spring Training, and he was baffling. Both his cutter and curveball are absolutely nasty, and he also has a change. Great park to pitch in, and stuff is stuff, no matter how small he is. Draft Ventura in all leagues.
38 Andrew Cashner, San Diego Padres With Cashner, it all comes down to how much you believe the Ks will come back. Was racking em up heavy to end last year with exactly 7 in his last 5 starts as he dominated in August and September. I originally had him lower, but I’m buying the Ks coming up and he’s carried over the hot finish to 2013 with a nice Spring. Going to target him pretty hard in remaining drafts.
39 Rick Porcello, Detroit Tigers Wherever there’s a Kluber, there’s a Porcello! My two guys from last year I picked in comments all season. What’s crazy is I only have him one spot ahead of Grey! Who used to hate Porcello! So last year was a horrible start then a solid finish. K rate was an obvious big hop, BB rate stayed low, good starts there. GB% at a league leading 55.3% and on a team with a terrible SS and 3B now with a vastly improved defensive infield. His HR% last year was a crazy 14.1% given the park and was 9.9%, 9.9%, 11.5% the previous three seasons. Then the inclusion of the curveball last year that he used 16.5% helped vary up his arsenal to 4 big-use pitches, and when someone hops up a K rate, I love when you can see a big arsenal change. Still only 25, locked in a rotation for a really good team, and pitches in a great division with horrible opposing offenses.
40 Matt Moore, Tampa Bay Rays Not touching Moore this year. Sure the upside is there, but a BB rate that has gone up tremendously the past three years, K rate going down, a declining velocity, and last year he had a 1.30 WHIP with an absolutely crazy .259 BABIP. The 17 wins were so fluky that I think he could’ve won a game or two on the DL. Wait, that doesn’t make any sense. Off to a rough Spring start with 11 BB to 10 K, which yeah I don’t care much about, but isn’t helping.
41 Francisco Liriano, Pittsburgh Pirates I mean, I dunno, nothing in his stats suggests anything was that lucky/unlucky, but it’s Francisco effing Liriano. How often have we done this song and dance? Just barely didn’t crack my top-40, which I was actually surprised since I didn’t think he’d even make my top-50 coming in, but would have to take him here. Grey has him 20. In Grey I trust! Except here. Someone else can take the risk.
42 Hiroki Kuroda, New York Yankees Safe, boring, I think the 11 wins last year was fluky-bad.
43 Justin Masterson, Cleveland Indians Just so many Ks! And I thought he was older… Only 28, which isn’t a spring chicken but also isn’t a… fall chicken? Winter chicken?
44 Hyun-Jin Ryu, Los Angeles Dodgers I think Ryu is going to regress this year. But only a little. I like the rest of his stats, seeing the regression hit the ERA, but Wins, Ks, and WHIP look about right.
45 Zach Wheeler, New York Mets It’s all about the walks. So far this Spring, 8:2 K:BB. Plus to end last year, had 1 or fewer walks in five of his last eight starts. Of course he walked 6 in his last start, but whatever! Great K upside, great park, WHIP risk.
46 Ervin Santana, Atlanta Braves All signs are pointing to him being able to hop in the rotation right away, and in a great pitcher’s park, Santana can hopefully keep it in the park. He’s had some atrocious HR/FB rates, but I trust the Atlanta brass can keep him productive – he pitches a lot of innings, and gets decent enough Ks. I really like him there in Hotlanta.
47 Matt Garza, Milwaukee Brewers Homer alert! Wait, no, not Garza giving up another homer, but the fact I like him. Everyone seems to hate him. Close to a K per and always an ERA under 4. Health concerns will always be there, but this late, I’m taking him.
48 Chris Archer, Tamp Bay Rays I like Archer, but I’ve seen him go too high at times. Similar to Wheeler, the hesitation is with the WHIP. His WHIP in virtually all stints in the Minors was above the 1.13 we saw in 128.2 Major league innings last year. Had a really fortunate .253 BABIP and 78.8% LOB, but even with a little regression, lots of K upside on a team that knows how to build pitchers.
49 Drew Smyly, Detroit Tigers Really liking Smyly this year, but not going to explicitly reach to get him. When you see what he did out of the bullpen last year, it’s eye-popping numbers. But don’t forget he’s a lefty and was used in a lot of lefty-lefty situations, giving him 129 lefties faced last year to 174 righties. You’re not going to have that close a ratio as a starter. Compare it to 127 to 289 the previous season as predominately a starter. But still think he’s going to be pretty good.
50 Alex Wood, Atlanta Braves Owned through the Minors, owned last year, think he’s going to be very very good. Had an unlucky .333 BABIP in 77.2 ML innings, countered with a great 5.1 HR/FB%. No reason to think he can’t be solid for a good while.
51 Lance Lynn, St. Louis Cardinals I’ve just never been a big Lynn fan, but I’d have to take him if he fell this far down. Great K numbers that should stay strong, but he’s a WHIP killer. I’m hesitant with a BB rate that marginally went up, along with a very fortunate 7.4 HR/FB rate.
52 Archie Bradley, Arizona Diamondbacks I had uber-prospect Bradley higher, and still want him higher, but the question of when he’ll join the rotation knocked him out of my top-40 (I initially thought with Corbin knocked out, Bradley would have to start in the rotation, but looks like they’re not going that way). Regardless, I think he pitches most of the year with the big league squad given Corbin’s injury and Bronson Arroyo being so old and we all know the upside he has.
53 Scott Kazmir, Oakland Athletics He looked really good last year. Both in numbers, at the eye level, velocity readings, everything. A sore triceps right now is a tad scary, but I’m with the masses that I’m worried it could all just fall apart. Risk/reward pick.
54 Jered Weaver, Los Angeles Angels Weaver is one of my favorite pitchers. Since I’ve liked him so much through the years, I’ve watched a ton of his starts and from that, I know I’m not touching him. Listen, you don’t “need” velocity, but Dream Weaver needs a tad to be the fantasy pitcher he once was. The Ks just aren’t there, the breaking stuff isn’t as explosive, and since he’s not striking guys out with slower stuff, he’s going to get dink and dunked to all hell out there and have a 1.30ish WHIP. Let someone else overpay.
55 CC Sabathia, New York Yankees I don’t care about weight. It’s whatever. What I do care about is he had a jacked up elbow and barely was able to start the season in 2013, and is coming in elbow-healthier this year. That said, not going to reach. While he’s looking great this Spring, we all know the risks of taking old pitchers.
56 R.A. Dickey, Toronto Blue Jays More old pitchers! A lot of people have ranked Dickey much more favorably, but while he turned his 2nd half around last year, the disappearance of Ks is just too significant. Had 177 last year which looks good, but since in 224.2 IP, it dropped his K/9 from 8.86 to 7.09 from the Cy year to last. Someone else can ride the Dickey.
57 Tyson Ross, San Diego Padres I keep flip flopping on Ross.  The game is becoming more and more velocity based and Ross certainly has a ton of that. 94.2 average fastball velocity in 2013, but is pretty much a two-pitch guy with the slider. Love the ball park, I like the upside, given this rank will probably end up on a fair amount of my teams.
58 Chris Tillman, Baltimore Orioles I don’t know what it is about Tillman, but he always scares me. And the numbers actually support it. Ridiculous .221 BABIP in the 2012 breakout, and still fortunate .269 last year. The K rate jumped up last year which is nice, but 80.5% LOB is pretty lucky. Velocity down a tick, tough division and ballpark, not going any higher.
59 Jon Lester, Boston Red Sox Yeah Lester just isn’t interesting to me. Same high WHIP concerns and having an 8.3 HR/FB rate in Fenway like he had last year isn’t sustainable.
60 Josh Johnson, San Diego Padres So this is a big upside flyer option, and I’m a little interested. The velocity still looks good and now brings his upside to Petco. Really unlucky .356 BABIP and unreal 18.5 HR/FB rate in Toronto, a problem he’s never really had before. His xFIP was actually 3.58 to a 6.20 ERA! So the ball should stay in the park a bit better and overall he should have some better luck, but you can’t discount the injury history.
61 C.J. Wilson, Los Angeles Angels As I look at my rankings, I may have Wilson too low, but I’ve never been a big fan. Too high a WHIP and his GB% took a nose dive to 44.4% off a career 49.4%. Now, he does pitch in a pitcher’s park, but if his 7.2% HR/FB that we saw last year creeps back to 10, that’s a % hike to apply on a lot of fly balls.
62 Marco Estrada, Milwaukee Brewers A lot of people love Estrada this year, and I hope they’re right. Because I’m not quite as bullish. After a rough start, ended last year with great numbers. But .262 BABIP and he’s a a fly ball pitcher in homer friendly Miller Park. And that’s important because his home/road splits last year were glaring. 6.62 1.49 ERA WHIP at home to 2.09 0.81 on the road. 9 home starts to 12 away. Flip flop those to 12 starts at home and 9 on the road and no one is talking about Estrada. Maybe you can bench him at home here and there, but I wouldn’t want a bigger investment on a guy I have to do that with.
63 Dillon Gee, New York Mets Turned in an underrated 2013 and had some really strong stretches. Need to see a few more Ks, but barely walks anyone and love the park. Some sleeper potential.
64 Doug Fister, Washington Nationals Nope, nope, nope. Not getting Fister in any leagues at current prices. The elbow issues suck, and his numbers last year were ridiculous. Falling K rate, extremely fortunate HR/FB% and terrible WHIP. What’s crazy (and I know you can’t play revisionist history), is if you take out a crazy game vs. PIT where they were hacking awfully at everything and he struck out 12 in 7 innings, his K/9 falls from 6.86 to 6.56, which isn’t good at all. I know you can argue the move to the NL is going to magically make him awesome, but I watched a stretch of Fister starts last year and wasn’t impressed at all. I’m avoiding.
65 Jake Peavy, Boston Red Sox Has pitched well when healthy the past two years, but I dunno how healthy he can be. Got hurt with a cut finger and I think had a surgery this offseason, and I’m just not going to pay for it.
66 Taijuan Walker, Seattle Mariners The shoulder injury contributes to my hesitation to put Walker with the other high-upside younguns, but to be honest, when I watched one of his starts last year I just wasn’t blown away. Big velocity and nice park, but the bum shoulder and innings limit has me passing on him this year.
67 Carlos Martinez, St. Louis Cardinals Even if C-Mart doesn’t win the 5th spot in the Cards rotation, he can just cheer himself up with his Twitter favorites! Too much upside to rank much lower and if Joe Kelly wins the 5th spot, Martinez will quickly be the first up if he struggles or anyone gets hurt.
68 Ubaldo Jimenez, Baltimore Orioles A very tough guy to rank, and while I have little faith he can be very good, you can’t ignore what he did in the second half last year.
69 Tyler Skaggs, Los Angeles Angels Mixed reviews in Spring, and mixed reviews when up last year. Huge bender with a curveball, but it’s so slow and bendy it’s easy to identify. I don’t know if his heater is good enough to work with that, but he has potential for a good team with a good park.
70 Tim Lincecum, San Francisco Giants The Ks are nice and remain there, but man, fastball velocity keeps diving to 90.2 last year, while his bread and butter pitch the change-up is remaining in the 83-84 MPH range it has his whole career. He’s had lucky sub 70% LOBs the last two years, so I think high 4s ERA and 1.35 WHIP will hurt the Ks ya get.
71 Hector Santiago, Los Angeles Angels Has shown some great flashes in the games I’ve caught of his, but still can’t get his WHIP under control. Still, he’s a flyball pitcher who moves to a much better pitcher’s park. Very nice 19 Ks to 6 BBs in 16.1 Spring innings and he’s still only 26. Some interesting sleeper potential here.
72 Dan Straily, Oakland Athletics While I like the K upside, has had some really fortunate BABIPs in the Majors with .225 in 2012 and .266 last year. Also 7 BBs to 5 Ks in 9.1 Spring innings right now. I could see him hitting on some sleeper breakout potential, but I wouldn’t overly reach.
73 Wily Peralta, Milwaukee Brewers Peralta gets a lot of buzz, and as a Brewers fan I for sure hope he can turn in a big year, but not a big fan for fantasy. Great power stuff, but it’s inconsistent and nothing has big movement. I highly doubt big Ks will come any time soon.
74 John Lackey, Boston Red Sox Obviously if you buy anything Lackey did last year you’d have to rank him higher, but I’m such an anti-Lackey guy that I’ll let someone else take the risk.
75 Tim Hudson, San Francisco Giants Hey, he’s old but got hurt last year on a fluke ankle break and I think can give enough to be useful. Pitching in SF is always a nice locale for a swan song.
76 Yovani Gallardo, Milwaukee Brewers Declining velocity, declining off-speed effectiveness, I just want nothing to do with Yoga. Or real yoga.
77 Martin Perez, Texas Rangers I thought he looked good in a few starts I caught last year and has a little sleeper appeal. Won’t rack up Ks and tough park to pitch in, but I think he could be solid.
78 Ian Kennedy, San Diego Padres I’m falling into a trap. I had him higher, but don’t like the Spring. I rarely have it impact me much, but on top of it Kenndey is 29 and getting up there. And I just found out we share a birthday! Anyway, moves to a better park and I think the Ks will be there, but a lot of risk given 1.30 then 1.40 WHIP last two years.
79 Nathan Eovaldi, Miami Marlins It hasn’t translated to Ks, but Eovaldi has fantastic power stuff and pitches in that great park. Nice deep sleeper appeal.
80 Kyle Lohse, Milwaukee Brewers We all know what Lohse does, nice ERA and WHIP with no Ks.
81 Ricky Nolasco, Minnesota Twins Put it together somewhat last year, but it’s Nolasco. Stays in a good pitcher park with the move, but is a yawn.
82 Michael Pineda, New York Yankees If you believe, you’ll have to go much higher. Unreal Spring thus far giving up no runs in 9 innings with 14 Ks to 1 BB, but I dunno. Still tough to believe coming off such a bad shoulder injury and I’ll let someone else reach. Innings limit a definite concern as well.
83 Drew Hutchison, Toronto Blue Jays Having a ridiculous Spring with 16 Ks to 1 BB in 9.2 IP. Manager John Gibbons has said he’s got the inside track to win a spot in the rotation and he’s been a big K guy through the Minors before and after TJ. Interesante.
84 Mike Leake, Cincinnati Reds Had a great 2013 that came out of nowhere, but maybe Tony Cingrani bearing down on him gave him motivation. Well, Cingrani is now cemented in the rotation so Leake is gonna suck! Haha, you like that logic?
85 Ivan Nova, New York Yankees Maybe buried a bit too deep given he can be a decent source of Ks, but 8.4 HR/FB in NYC was a bit lucky last year. Stranded nearly 80% of runners and I think he regresses as do most.
86 Zach McAllister, Cleveland Indians The WHIP was no bueno, but otherwise two decent seasons in 2012 and 13. Unfortunately the BB rate went up last year with the K rate down, but I think there’s a tad of potential.
87 A.J. Burnett, Philadelphia Phillies Not touching Burnett as he moves to the bandbox in Philly.
88 Jake Odorizzi, Tampa Bay Rays He’s gotten a fair amount of buzz, but after watching him last year, I don’t think he really has that much upside fantasy-wise. He’s got a full arsenal of four good pitches, but no “great” pitch. Plus there’s the concern of what happens when Jeremy Hellickson gets back.
89 A.J. Griffin, Oakland Athletics I’ve never been a Griffin guy, but he was pretty huge last year. Even huger is a .242 BABIP, a ridiculously low 32.1 GB% and the lucky rabbit’s foot he kept in his pocket all 2013. Going to start the year on the DL helps me knock him down, but this low, sure he could be decent when back.
90 Wade Miley, Arizona Diamondbacks Will give you decent Ks, and will turn in a big profit if he can get the BB rate back to 2012’s 1.71 after 2.93 last year. Really increased his ground balls last year, so that’s a big step forward given the park.
91 Jon Niese, New York Mets I just don’t think he’s healthy enough to pitch enough of the year. Plus has WHIPs over 1.40 in three of the last four years with declining K rates. Passing most likely.
92 Travis Wood, Chicago Cubs Just a ridiculous year in 2013. But .248 BABIP, only 6.9 HR/FB and very pedestrian K rate. Uber regression coming.
93 Bartolo Colon, New York Mets Having a terrible Spring and doesn’t strike anyone out, but can eat up some innings for you late. See what I did there?
94 Scott Feldman, Houston Astros I mean, he was pretty good last year. I watched a couple starts and thought he looked solid, and while he had a low BABIP and I don’t see a sub-4 ERA again, I think can be decent. You will get virtually no Ws though…
95 Randall Delgado, Arizona Diamondbacks There’s some upside, but he just doesn’t K enough for me to go much higher.
96 Jarred Cosart, Houston Astros An iffy Spring and limited K upside. The ERA was a bit lucky last year at under 2 given a 1.35 WHIP.
97 Dan Haren, Los Angeles Dodgers I guess he has some bounceback upside, and indeed has stayed decent with Ks, but I’m not touching him.
98 James Paxton, Seattle Mariners Looks like he’ll get the last rotation spot and has some pretty good upside. Uncertain how many starts he’ll make, but worth a deep league upside pick.
99 Alexi Ogando, Texas Rangers Pitches well when healthy, but he’s never healthy. Well, strike that, not pitching well in Spring this year. But, you never know, could still be good this year and maybe can stay healthy, worth a late flyer.
100 Wei-Yin Chen, Baltimore Orioles Limited upside, but won’t kill you. Got a little lucky with the HR rate last year and I think regresses a tad.

From Around The Web

  1. Grey

    Grey says:
    (link)

    Now that’s how you return from an offseason…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sorry, I have to add a *slow clap*

    • Prez!! says:
      (link)

      @Grey: a fkin greed!

      Go JBobsled! You cant be touched!

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Grey: @Prez!!: Thanks guys! Let’s get some pitching going!

  2. Prez!! says:
    (link)

    Give it up on porcello tho… Haha its not happening!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Prez!!: NEVER!!!!!!! Haha

  3. Andrew D says:
    (link)

    Over/under guys on this list to have TJ surgery at some point during season? I will set at 6

    • Prez!! says:
      (link)

      @Andrew D: out of 100 pitchers? Ill go over… 2 that already had it, would have been on this list.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Andrew D: 6 sounds a little high, especially since 2 that would’ve been on it are out now. So if it was 4 I would say I’ll take the push

  4. Wake Up says:
    (link)

    Fe Fi Fo Fum
    Welcome back
    to the giant one…

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Wake Up: Thanks man! Glad to be back. My family distillery you told me about had to shut down one day…

  5. Clint says:
    (link)

    I’m not sure what to make of our Brew Crew’s Gallardo. I know you’re down on him but the outings haven’t been bad and the Brewers beat writers I follow on Twitter seem to indicate his velocity looks a lot better this year so far?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Clint: Even if it’s a tad better, his breaking stuff just at the eye level has gotten worse and worse every year. I unfortunately watch a lot of Gallardo starts given our fandom and think same K rate which was bad last year with a bigger WHIP. I of course hope he can prove me wrong though!

  6. Shake N Bacon says:
    (link)

    He’s baaaack.

    And you hate my pitching staff… at least I drafted Yordano in both of my leagues.

    You really do love the Shark. I should’ve taken a chance on him this year. He showed glimpses of strikeout greatness last year. But always seemed to have one bad inning ruin his outing.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Shake N Bacon: Hah if Yordano is on em both I love it! Yeah I know the Shark boldness is risky, but I’m more worried about a mid-season trade to a hitters park than anything. But seems unlikelyish. Hoping he stays in spacious Wrigley!

  7. Cram It says:
    (link)

    Hey man, good to see you back. Kind of a lot of material to just dump out there for your first FBB piece of the year though. Did you at least go through your spring training motions to shake the rust off?

    Less Porcello, more Kluber! Kluuuuuubes!!!!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Cram It: Thanks man! Well I had an offseason urinary tract infection, so when I started banging it out early on my fingers had some early soreness, but I’m back on track and avoiding the DL! I didn’t shave all winter just so I could have a ton of Klubes and rank him high :)

      • Cram It says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: I had a UTI once that I wasn’t aware of, and I gave it to a girl (which apparently is possible) and she thought I gave her some kind of disease VD. Imagine both of our relief when we found out it was UTI! Oh did we laugh! Well…I laughed…she did not. Oh UTI’s.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Cram It: Haha well you both returned swiftly from the DL and got those screwballs working again!

  8. Professor Chaos says:
    (link)

    How is Sale higher than Price? [pun police kick down door]

    Seriously though, this was a great read. Thanks.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Professor Chaos: Haha well done! Thanks man!

  9. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
    (link)

    Good stuff, JB. Way to come back with a vengeance.

    Love the Kluber and Shark rankings. I think they’re headed for breakout seasons as well.

    One ranking that I disagree with, and this goes for several rankings that I’ve seen here including Grey’s and Rudy’s, is that of Gerrit Cole. Elite arm talent, with high-end fastball velocity and three other pitches that grade out as above-average. Makes half of his starts in a pitcher’s paradise. Solid catcher and above-average defense that supports him, particularly in the outfield. No innings limit. Lots to like here. Easy top 15, and potential top 10 SP.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Big Magoo: Thanks man! Yeah I totally buy the potential, and easily see him getting there by next year’s ranks. Still a little worried by the low Ks he showed early on last year, if they come this year and stay all year, yeah I have him a good bit too low.

    • I like Cole’s future but am not convinced he’ll have a great K/BB in 2014. If he can match last year’s 2.15 BB/9 (which bested his minor league BB rates by more than 50%) and/or increase his K-rate, he has a chance at delivering top 10/15. If his control regresses and his K-rate stays the same, he’s an SP3. Same concern I have with Sonny Gray.

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        @Rudy Gamble: I like Sonny Gray too, but see Cole as a class above. Gray has that wipeout curveball, while pretty much everything that Cole throws is nasty.

        Cole really settled in as the season progressed. In the 2nd half, he had a 8.92 K/9 and a 2.26 BB/9 for a 3.95 K/BB ratio. I expect the strikeout rate to be similar to that, while the walk rate will probably regress slightly. Still looking at close to a strikeout per inning with a 3.0 K/BB ratio. That should be good enough for a top 15 SP season.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Rudy Gamble: Yeah I have @Big Magoo: Gray lower than a lot of spots too. Cole I think it closer to the next level with his Minors track record, but man, before last year Gray wasn’t looking good in the Minors at all. My hesitation is still that k rate I don’t know if Cole is quite at 8.92 for the season yet. Obviously if he is, you’ll be right!

          • Yup, that’s my concern on Gray. I like Cole more than him for short-term, mid-term, and long-term. I like them much better than Allen Char who many people like to put ahead of Cole and Gray.

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
              (link)

              @Rudy Gamble: Haha Allen Char?

              • you got a better first name for the fictional Mr. Char?

                • JB Gilpin

                  JB Gilpin says:
                  (link)

                  @Rudy Gamble: Charles Char!

                  • Charles Char has done nothing to be put ahead of Gerrit Cole and Sonny Gray!

                    • Big Magoo

                      Big Magoo says:
                      (link)

                      @JB Gilpin: @Rudy Gamble: Don’t get me started on the experts who have Mr. Char ranked ahead of Cole

  10. Hoog says:
    (link)

    I like your rankings. In a h2h keeper league with qs instead of wins I have a rotation of Wainwright, Lee, Bumgarner, Masterson, Gray, Archer, Buchholz, Porcello, Kazmir Lincecum with Holland on my DL. And still have Jones, tulo pedroia pujols marte zimmerman on offense.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Hoog: Thanks! Geez. Other than Gray and Archer, all your guys should be QS machines. And Gray and Archer should K a ton. Love it

  11. Shawn of the livid says:
    (link)

    Hey JB! Been awhile! Your pitcher profiles are my 2nd favorite part of this site (next to Grey’s stuff)!!! Compliment? I think so.

    Way to kick the door open to the season with this awesome list you put together, very nice. Good reasoning on Porcello too, I’ll be owning him in at least one league this year. Last year I was all over Cingrani before he got called up, this year I was on Ventura and I’m hoping for the same positive result. You know who is going o be the first pitcher profile yet? Man I CANNOT wait for the season to start!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Shawn of the livid: Thanks man! Means a ton, I’m really pumped for this year too, they’re going to be even better. I’m not sure who will be first, but Ventura or Michael Pineda are both good options. Both should be the 5th starter and pitch sometime around that first weekend. Me either man!

  12. joeg414 says:
    (link)

    Can I get some Input on my Pitching Staff, Thanks.
    13 Team Deep Mixed Daily Roto 6×6(W, SV,ERA, Whip,Total K and K’s per 9) League.

    P Hector Santiago, LAA SP, RP Draft
    P James Paxton, Sea SP Draft
    SP Adam Wainwright, StL SP Draft
    SP James Shields, KC SP Draft
    SP Jordan Zimmermann, Wsh SP Draft
    SP Sonny Gray, Oak SP Draft
    RP Jim Henderson, Mil RP Draft
    RP John Axford, Cle RP Draft
    RP Tommy Hunter, Bal RP Draft
    Bench Michael Pineda, NYY SP Draft
    Bench Erasmo Ramirez, Sea SP Draft
    Bench Mike Leake-SP
    Bench Francisco Rodriguez-RP

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @joeg414: Definitely like it. Love your rocks in Wainwright and Shields. I’m not an Erasmo fan at all, and you’ll need the big K upside from Gray/Santiago/Pineda to make it one of the league’s best but could happen!

      • joeg414 says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin:
        Thanks, i’m still a little worried about my Closers, thats why i just picked up FRod as a back-up for Henderson.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @joeg414: Yeah I could see that, but as soon as a hot commodity pops up, I think he’s droppable if Hendo starts pretty good.

  13. Longbeachyo says:
    (link)

    Damn right, Grey!
    I just had my Fantasy Razzball Writers draft and I took J.B. with the number 1 pick! Doode’s gonna kill it this year for all the Razzball readers!!! (Sorry grey, you didn’t get selected till the 5th round. But there’s upside in you that I see this year… Tehol is still on waivers) It’s a one team league, sooo I should be able to dominate!

    Anyway. Love the new stuff/ideas that are planned. Only thing for me is, you need to step iit up MORE. There should be posts twice a day, every day! Grey, you need to pay this man before you lose him to fangraphs or something.

    Ok jb, check out my pitching lineup and tell me what you think. My league is a 12 team 6×6 h2h with qs instead of wins and k/bb. There are 11 starting hitting positions and 7 pitching positions w/ 4 bench spots…

    A. Sanchez – 5th round
    G. Cole – 6th
    J. Teheran – 7th
    D. Salazar – 9th
    T. Rosenthal – 10th
    A. Cashner – 11th
    S. Grey – 13th
    J. Masterson – 16th
    R. Porcello – 18th
    M. Estrada – 19th
    I’m usually one of the fastest to the waiver wire, so I like to find my saves throughout the year (sagnof!) I guess I missed the opportunity to snatch up Ventura for Estrada when I had the chance, but Smyly, Carlos Martinez & Pineda are all still free agents. Do you recommend I drop Estrada for any of them?

    Thanks for all your hard work jb. Grey has his stache & uncanny ability to predict hitting, but you are the man when it comes to pitching. Keep it up!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Longbeachyo: Haha thanks man! Let’s hope I’m not a draft day bust :) Hahaha Tehol on waivers… love it!

      Man – pitcher profiles every day! That would be the life… Here’s to dreaming that can take over my full time job!

      Wow – love the values where you got everyone. Teheran in the 7th is nuts. Obviously love Porcello in the 18th. I have Smyly higher than Estrada so yeah I think I’d go ahead and make that swap to start the year.

      Looking forward to another big year!

  14. scottsteelers says:
    (link)

    Heyyy there he is! Been a while. That said, I disagree with your Mat Latos wearing down comment. Hes gotten better in the 2nd half every single year. Just sayin. Ha.

    • scottsteelers says:
      (link)

      @scottsteelers: also the surgery was to remove bone chips, which made him arm “feel better than it has in 4 years” not ligament or shoulder surgery. Also the knee was a fluke that may be a bit annoying. But I think he should have a great year actually

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @scottsteelers: Yo dude! Yeah I know, Latos starts colder than he finishes, and you’re right, not as worried about the arm but how his base feels coming off the knee surgery. He’s a big dude, needs that base! I don’t think I buried him too much, but we shall see

      • scottsteelers says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: yea I hear ya. No you didn’t bury him at all, I actually think you ranked him perfectly, the negative comments just threw me. I drafted him on both leagues so im like a papa bear protecting his babies. Dont be talkin shit!! Haha. Glad to have you back. Enjoyed the read buddy!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @scottsteelers: Thanks man, glad to be back!

  15. Ben. says:
    (link)

    Would you trade Sonny Gray for Nelson Cruz?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Ben.: Ummm, would depend on the construction of your team but yea probably would, I like Cruz

  16. whampwhamp says:
    (link)

    taking 2 starters for the same team means nothing right? Like i shouldnt be paranoid taking Latos and Bailey, thats just in my head.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @whampwhamp: Nah no concern at all. Go for it

  17. Garrsh says:
    (link)

    My draft draft just completed for my keeper pool and I thought my team was solid unitl it hit the TJ curse. ( Corbin ) ( Jarrod Parker)

    I got offered “Hisashi my dash” iwakurma for Matt Holliday. Contracts are not really a factor so it is pretty much a straight up trade.

    Any help with this would be appreciated!

    my current staff is :
    Cain , Shields, Cobb, Grey, Cole, Porcello, Erik Johnson

    Closers is : Nate Jones, Jim Johnson, David Robertson, Addison Reed

    Batting is:
    C : Salvador perez
    1 b: Freddie Freemna
    2b: Cano
    3b: Ashe
    SS: jose reyes
    MI : Jedd gyorko
    CI: Brandon Belt
    OF: Myers
    OF Upton
    OF Trout
    Of Bruce
    Util Holliday
    Util Brad Miller
    Util Ben revere

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Garrsh: Oh geez. Tough luck there! Brutal. Hmmm I think I’d rather Holiday. I think he’s being a little undervalued and I like the core of your staff right now

  18. Maestro says:
    (link)

    Great, great read. Question – Can anyone recommend the best site for getting current depth charts for all teams including projected batting order? Thanks to all that reply.

  19. sydeye says:
    (link)

    I’m in yahoo 12 team, h2h, keeper, al-only, c-1b-2b-ss-3b-of(3)-u-sp(2)-rp(2)-p(3)-bn(4)
    I have a. rios, b. moss, kinsler, jose abreu, choo, masterson, weaver

    Who should i pick I have 58th pick(10th overall) wont pick again til 82nd

    top bats
    aoki,bourn,h. kendrick,j. villar,wieters,bogaerts,j. lowrie,b. miller,fowler,reddick,swisher,de aza
    middlebrooks,lind,jeter,j. castro,e. aybar,k. johnson,c. hart, markakis, avisail,freese

    top pitchers
    lester,cj wilson,dickey,t. hunter,ubaldo,kazmir,peavy,j.soria,n.feliz,quintana,porcello,sraily,tillman,qualls,
    t.walker,p.hughes,y. ventura,h.santiago,mujica,n.cotts,o’day,gregerson

    • sydeye says:
      (link)

      @sydeye:
      by the by this is slow draft

      • Wallpaper Paterson says:
        (link)

        @sydeye: “By the by”- I see that from G. Albright from time to time. Never saw it from anyone else. What the heck does it mean?

        • Prez!! says:
          (link)

          @Wallpaper Paterson: its a ma-toor way of saying “by the way”…

          • Wallpaper Paterson says:
            (link)

            @Prez!!: I knew it was his way of saying “by the way”. I never saw it outside of this website. Thought it may have been a movie reference or something.

        • sydeye says:
          (link)

          @Wallpaper Paterson:
          When I was a kid my grandma said saying “by the way” was disrespectful to God..say “by the by” so God wont strike you down…

          Who wants to get struck down by God?… so “by the by” it is

          • Wallpaper Paterson says:
            (link)

            @sydeye: How could “by the way” be disrespectful to anyone? (No need to answer, just a rhetorical question.)

            Since we are discussing weird shit said by grandmothers, my grandmother called farts “smarts” because she thought farts was a word a woman should never utter.

            • de nachos says:
              (link)

              @Wallpaper Paterson: that was from “I know why the caged bird sings.” Maya got her arse beat for saying “by the way” because there’s a line in the Bible saying something like God is the way, the light, or something pardon my paraphrasing of holy words. Anyhoo (not “way” – blasphemy!) that’s what I know about it.

              • Wallpaper Paterson says:
                (link)

                @de nachos: Must have been an astronomical electric bill in that household. Couldn’t turn off the light.

                • goodfold2 says:
                  (link)

                  @Wallpaper Paterson: jesus, more religiouso thought police b.s. huh.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @sydeye: I think it’s too early for Ventura who I might try to get with 82nd. With two pitchers already I might go hitter, I know it’s a little risky this early, but Bogaerts might be my guy – shore up that infield.

  20. Sky

    Sky says:
    (link)

    So I see you’ve been working on your pitcher thesis, hence why you never return my calls. No worries, they were merely butt-dials. Glad to have ya around the baseball side, bro!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Sky: Haha, you can butt dial my any time you want! Glad to be here man, we need to Facetime soon

  21. Bobby says:
    (link)

    Scherzer’s walk rates was 3/9 coming into 2013. It was 2.35/9 in 2013. Seems like a big drop to me. BABIP will likely rise. Kershaw also had a career low .256 BABIP.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Bobby: Yeah the control was better but stark BABIP difference. I’m not saying he’s going to be completely 2012, but I have him lower than most will. Sure but Kershaw’s career BABIP is .270. So even though it was a career low, it was barely lower. Scherzer’s career BABIP is .302.

  22. Matty G says:
    (link)

    What do you think of my pitching staff in a 12 team keeper league?
    SP David Price
    SP Shields
    SP Matt Moore
    SP Liriano
    SP Andrew Cashner
    SP Taijaun Walker
    SP Josh Johnson
    RP- Parnell, Cishek, Axford and Hawkins
    Considering dropping Josh Johnson for Kluber or possibly Archie Bradley. What do you think?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Matty G: How many keepers? Yeah I like both Kluber and Bradley over JJ. I think Kluber is gonna be awesome now and Bradley soon, if you keep like 10ish a year, I’d grab Bradley now

      • Matty G says:
        (link)

        We have 6 keepers per year. I guess I could get rid of Latroy Hawkins too doubt he will be in the closer role too long

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Matty G: Ehhhh 6 keepers, I dunno if Bradley will cut into that without knowing your hitters. I’d be fine just grabbing Klubes for now

  23. SMLV1 says:
    (link)

    How do you feel about this Pictching staff in a standard H2H 12er league?

    Latos
    Moore
    Fister
    Ervin Santana
    Wheeler
    Porcello

    Judging by your ranks my staff is garbage but Grey didn’t seem to mind it…..Whats your take and How should I improve? Ventura and Gee still out there for me.

    • SMLV1 says:
      (link)

      @SMLV1: Also, My closers are Rosenthal, Papelbon and Tommy Hunter.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @SMLV1: Yeah I don’t love it. The bottom three are fine, Latos is fine, I’m just very anti-Moore and Fister. I honestly would drop Fister for Ventura in a heartbeat

  24. Big W says:
    (link)

    Hey JB! Good to see ya back at it!!!

    Hey man, if your final keeper spot came down to K Davis and the legendary Klubes, you’d probably take Davis right? Initially I had Klubes over Davis cause I love him like you love him, but then I figured I’d have an easier time drafting Klubes, as it seems there is more hype around Davis as a sleeper. Would you agree to keep Davis over Kluber?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Big W: Thanks man, glad to be here! Hmmmm that’s a very tough one. I agree Davis has more hype but I think Kluber was already going higher in most ADPs. Since you’re obviously keeping a fair amount of guys, I think there’d be more of a push for Davis n your draft so yeah I’d keep him

  25. KV says:
    (link)

    How much do you bid for Dee Gordon in a 10-team NL only $260 league now that may have won the 2B job? Thank you

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @KV: Hmm I would think he would go for upper single digits but I wouldn’t pay more than that.

  26. Doubleheaders says:
    (link)

    Anibal does indeed make one want to fire up the nearest oven to “kiln” and insert noggin……freaking matt moore does likewise

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Doubleheaders: Haha well definitely more Moore than Anibal to me!

  27. Chris says:
    (link)

    Hello
    In a 12 keeper league, im keeping Yu, Stanton, and Edwin Encarnacion. I pick 11th. When or what tier pitcher should be my next SP? Im think taking a batter (4th round) and another sp (5th) round, and then concentrating on offense… Is it too much investment on Sp early on? Thanks

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Chris: I don’t think so at all especially since I like your hitters. Would depend on who’s there but I wouldn’t mind it at all

  28. The Thumb says:
    (link)

    Hola JB!
    10 team Y! roto 5×5 with sv+hld. Loving my staff so far:

    Sale
    Cobb
    Teheran
    Salazar
    Gray
    Masterson

    Balfour
    Siegrist
    Feliz
    Joel Peralta
    Scheppers
    Cody Allen

    What say you?

    • Big W says:
      (link)

      @The Thumb: I know Grey would like your starters, but JB doesn’t seem to be nearly as high on Cobb and Gray… With those arms, your hitting must be real nice considering it’s a shallow league!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @The Thumb: Yeah Big W is on, not as high on Cobb and Gray as most. But I do love Sale and Teheran to balance that out. Plus I’m just barely down on Gray and Cobb, not hating them like say, Fister. Other than that I like everyone else!

  29. jared says:
    (link)

    my draft is tonight would these be the rankings i should use to draft ???

    • The Thumb says:
      (link)

      @jared: JB and Grey’s yeah

    • Big W says:
      (link)

      @jared: depends who you trust more… JB or Grey… two different people with different brains = different rankings

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @jared: I of course would say I used mine, and I’d be sure to get Ventura

  30. Scooterboy says:
    (link)

    I drafted this team last night in a private ESPN H2H league. There are only 8 teams in the league, so all the teams are loaded, but I think I should be able to compete with this team. I was pretty happy. I could tell by the pitchers that were available to me, that these guys I was drafting against, had never visited Razzball before.

    C Matt Wieters
    1B Paul Goldschmidt
    2B Jedd Gyorko
    3B Evan Longoria
    SS Jean Segura
    MI Howie Kendrick
    CI Albert Pujols
    OF Ryan Braun
    OF Bryce Harper
    OF Will Myers
    OF Alex Gordon
    OF Brandon Moss
    U Anthony Rizzo
    Bench: Billy Hamilton, Nolan Arenado, Jimmy Rollins

    SP Jose Fernandez
    SP Madison Bumgarner
    SP Alex Cobb
    SP Julio Teheran
    SP Sonny Gray
    SP Francisco Liriano
    RP Trevor Rosenthal
    RP Jason Grilli
    RP Houston Street

    Bench: Justin Masterson, Yordano Ventura

    • Big W says:
      (link)

      @Scooterboy: nice squad man… On your bench, you should drop rollins and add Baez if he’s available. Even if Baez doesn’t crack the opening day roster, he should be up by June and then have trout/puig like impact upon call up, as per the one and only prospect scott. Nice bench arms to man!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Scooterboy: Yeah that’s a pretty sick team. Love you have Ventura who I am pushing to everyone, OF of Braun Harper on top of Goldschmidt is nasty. And I like Pujols to bounce back

  31. aleitel says:
    (link)

    JB, job well done as usual. Razzball is a must read for anyone that cares about fantasy baseball.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @aleitel: Thanks so much man!

  32. Greyismyhero says:
    (link)

    Great read JB. Awesome stuff and welcome back. Looking forward to your stuff this year!! Peace.

    • Greyismyhero says:
      (link)

      @Greyismyhero: and that ^^^ posted at 4:20…smoke up!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Greyismyhero: Awesome man! If I respond to this comment at 4:20 can I still pretend it’s 420?

  33. AJA says:
    (link)

    Nice work on these rankings. I think you are too down on ubaldo though. His upside is number 1 starter if he can carryover his second half into this season. He was clearly a different pitcher the last few months of the season and I see no reason why he couldn’t keep up whatever adjustments he made since he was working with diminished velocity during his hot stretch. At worst he belongs in the gray, Ventura kluber group.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @AJA: Well one thing I don’t like is last 5 starts KC @CWS HOU CWS @MIN. Doesn’t have the big ballpark, won’t face the bottom of the barrel as much, I’m just not a fan

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @JB Gilpin: he got really lucky and had like 9 or 10 of his last 13 starts against hitting team bums.

  34. Los locos says:
    (link)

    Your guT feeling ? Who has more upside this year that I can pick up as my last pitcher?
    5 cats our league QS, K/9, WHIP ERa SV

    Hutchinson
    Gee
    Santiago
    Skaggs
    Strailey
    Gausman
    Miley
    Brett Anderson

    MY CURRENT STAFF
    Kershaw
    Verlander
    Strausburg
    Wheeler
    Fister
    TillmAn
    Porcello

    Henderson
    Cisak

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Los locos: Gut feeling is Gee, I think he’ll pitch deeper/more innings for the QS

  35. Bump Bailey's Ghost says:
    (link)

    The best rankings article I have ever read (no offense, ‘Stache). I was thrilled that I didn’t pick a SP until I had all my bats and still ended up with guys like Ventura, Porcello, Wood, Tillman, and Santana. I’m very pleased to see them ranked so highly on this list!
    One question: I’m in a league where we can stash a prospect in an N/A slot and I currently have Oscar Taveras there. With an OF of Zobrist, Bruce, and Myers, do I need Taveras or should I drop him and scoop Archie Bradley instead? I don’t wanna miss out on the next Puig..
    Great article, again! And I love the Panthers jersey.
    BBG

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Bump Bailey’s Ghost: Wow thanks man! Yeah love all those guys save a little iffy on Tillman, but can definitely be a value. Hmmm, how injruy prone do you feel about your infield? Because Zobrist could easily have to move there for ya at some point. Giving some emphasis on OF. BUt that said, I think Bradley is up sooner given Corbin’s injury, Delgado’s inconsistency, and Arroyo’s bad back

      • Bump Bailey's Ghost says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Yeah I’m not huge on Tillman either. Sad story, actually, I was all set to draft Kluber and MY PHONE GLITCHED AND SELECTED JAKE PEAVY. I know this hurts you on a very personal level. It hurts me too, buddy.
        As far as my IF is concerned (and I honestly, sincerely appreciate you asking [one I the reasons I love this site{well, that and the fact that people will appreciate this insane usage of parenthetical brackets}]), I have Fielder, Beltre, Altuve, Desmond, and C. Santana so I feel pretty safe about that especially given that Santana has 1B and soon to be 3B eligibility while I have Lucroy at UTIL. Depth shouldn’t be an issue!
        One concern I have is that my other UTIL is manned by Carl Crawford. Is it crazy that I’ve started having inappropriate thoughts about Grady Sizemore?
        Last question: I have Tillman, Wood, Santana, Ventura, Nolasco, Porcello, Peavy and Nova plus 5 Closers. There are a few WW names I like such as: Santiago, Quintana, Straily, Hudson, Leake, and Hutchison (on whom I have a considerable man-crush of almost Sizemoric proportions). Anybody from my rotation that I should swap out for one (or three) of these guys?
        Thanks again man. You guys are awesome and I REALLY hope the Panthers sign a WR soon. And a LT. And a CB. Did I say WR already? I did? Ok, then a WR.
        BBG

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Bump Bailey’s Ghost: Haha yeah rough one to miss there. Wow triple brackets! You’re in bracketology mode I can see… Not crazy at all to daydream of Sizemore. I actually like him but dont think he’ll play every day. Right now I’d do Santiago and drop Nolasco, I hate Nolasco. Other than that I’m standing pat with a hawk eye on Hutchison. Quintana with an epic fail of no outs and 9 runs the other day. Knocked him out completely for me. Dude me too, we need some wideouts! Hope we hit on some good rooks in the draft

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Bump Bailey’s Ghost: PS, haha on the jersey, pumped to wear it and live draft when Razzball radio gets to NC

  36. Yaomiiiing says:
    (link)

    Great write up!

    Who are some SPs that would be affected by innings limits? What about your boy Yordano?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Yaomiiiing: Maybe a little on Yordano, but they said very early in Spring they might give him 200. Others will prob be Gray, Salazar, Wheeler Paxton/Taijuan Walker. Drew Smyly possibly. If Carlos Martinez starts in the rotation or gets into it pretty quickly, I think he would too.

      • Yaomiiiing says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin:

        Thanks. That’s helpful info…didn’t think Smyly would get hit w innings limit…good to know.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Yaomiiiing: Yeah since he’s so young I could see it. Any time!

  37. Alky Sobrera says:
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    JB!!! I haven’t even read this yet. Just had to get the excitegasm out

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Alky Sobrera: Yesssssssssssss yesssssssssssssss! Regroup and show me those reserves haha

      • Alky Sobrera says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin:
        I’m not that kind of girl JB. Well, I’m not any kind of girl…but you still have to give me at least 3 columns first

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Alky Sobrera: What if I turned one post and made it into three columns? that give me the fast pass?

  38. Al koholic says:
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    awesome job,glad to have you back,you all here at razzball are the best

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Al koholic: Thanks man! I strive for quality starts only. Don’t have to be no-hitters

  39. Fredly Guy says:
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    JB- great piece: the further I got, the more sold I was. Sweet.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Fredly Guy: Thanks man! Really appreciate it!

  40. Sportsguy says:
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    Did I miss Derek Holland on the list? I know he’s hurt but where would he be if he wasn’t? Or maybe better, yet, where should he be in a keeper league?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Sportsguy: Nope didn’t rank him with the injury. I’m not a big Holland guy, probably in the 60s if he was 100% healthy. Probably be in the late 50s as a keeper as well, you know over Dickey and a few guys around there, but not too much higher

  41. Ulysses says:
    (link)

    Looking to pick up ventura. Here are my two leagues

    Cobb, Teheran, cingrani,liriano, Salazar, wheeler

    Cobb, Teheran, gray, cingrani,liriano, Salazar, minor

    Would you make any moves? Also in one league I accidentally drafted starlin Castro with no MI spot. So now I have andrus and Castro. So I could potentially drop Castro for ventura as well.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Ulysses: Man, I like those two staffs a lot. Tough to cut any of those guys, but I do stand by my ranks. So Wheeler in one and Liriano in 2 and indeed would drop Castro instead of either of those pitchers, I’m all out on Castro and you can’t play him anyway so makes a good cut

      • Beardcrabs says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: so we’re not concerned at all about being too upside…

        • Beardcrabs says:
          (link)

          @Beardcrabs: upsidey*

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
            (link)

            @Beardcrabs: I’m not, I was going to have Ventura in the 40s after watching him last year. Moves up a good bit with the rotation spot given to him

  42. MPC says:
    (link)

    Hello, I was just offered the 11th pick in the 1st round for my 3rd pick in the first round. In exchange for me moving down 8 spots in the first round, the other owner offered me his 4th round pick.

    Would you do this deal? 14 team keeper head to head. roughly 8-10 ‘first rounders’ are being kept already. Thanks for the input!

    • Longbeachyo says:
      (link)

      @MPC:Depends on your league setup, but I could see taking a fourth rounder for moving down in the 1st round. Miggy & Trout are the only sure things in my mind, but if you’re high on Goldy, then I wouldn’t do it, cause he will most likely be there…

      • MPC says:
        (link)

        @Longbeachyo: Based on the players that I know are being kept, my choices at 3 overall would be McCooch, Prince, or Cano. Goldy is being kept as are several other top players

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @MPC: In a keeper league, the premium on the higher picks is higher. So I personally wouldn’t do that deal, do you know who the player pool is yet? If the top 5ish all aren’t too intriguing, then I would do it, but I think you’re gonna get a much better guy with that 3rd pick

      • Longbeachyo says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: oops, didn’t see the 2nd paragraph. Good call jb.

      • MPC says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: My thoughts exactly. But with Goldy, Cargo, miggyCab, Trout, Chris Davis, Edwin, Adam Jones, Beltre, hanram all being kept, I was thinking I could snag somebody like Votto or Longoria at the 11 overall and then snag the 4th round pick…..

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @MPC: If you were guaranteed to get Votto 11th I would do it, but doubt he would last that long given those keepers. I’d hold the higher spot

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @JDW: Yeah that looked pretty nasty. Curve looked great and that change-up to Harper was nasty. I will comment that did you notice the shadows? Were spilling between the mound and home plate and had some sun in the hitters eyes early one. Just to throw a little cold water on there, but def encouraging.

      • JDW says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Ahhhh…good call! I didn’t even notice the shadows.

  43. Longbeachyo says:
    (link)

    Hey jb, anyway we can get Grey to put your list somewhere in the tabs on the main Razzball page? I would like to be able to refer to this list and writeup in the future without having to search for this post…

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Longbeachyo: Ummm I will certainly ask! And every week I’ll have updated ranks, but for these originals, yeah it would have to be searched for as we carry on through the year.

  44. Ron says:
    (link)

    Sent to Gray and looking for your thoughts as well. Drafted tonight in a 10-Team H2H Points League with some weird categories and need your help analyzing this team. Here are the categories and roster.

    Batters: Runs, Total Bases, HR, RBI, SB, Walks, K
    Pitchers: Wins, Saves, Blown Saves, QS, Earned Runs, K, Holds

    C: Perez
    1B: Freeman
    2B: Gyorko
    3B: Longoria
    SS: Everth Cabrera
    OF: Trout, J. Upton, Werth
    UTIL: Pujols, A-Gon
    BN: R. Zimmerman, B. Moss, B. Miller, K. Johnson

    SP: Cobb, Shields, Liriano, Gray, Masterson, Porcello
    RP: Balfour, Frieri, Parnell

    3 Questions:
    1) Do you see any glaring needs that standout with this team that you think I should address to improve it?
    2) Can you list top 5 non-closers to get Holds this season?
    3) Who should I drop to pickup one or two of these non-closers?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Ron: 1 – maybe not glaring, but your pitching looks a tad weak. Not huge on Cobb or Liriano, but I think you have K upside. Your offense looks good. You def should look for holds though. 2 – I’ve never played in a league like this, but with blown saves a cat, I would think that helps the Holds guys. Sure they can get blown saves too, but there’s an extra inning to make up for it if they jack it up. Unfortunately, I’ve done no research on Holds guys since I’m in no Holds leagues… Smokey does most of the bullpen stuff, so he’d be the best to ask: http://razzball.com/author/smokey/ 3) Your first cuts are Brad Miller and K Jo to me, I don’t think you need backup IF.

  45. Fletch says:
    (link)

    Whattup need some pitching advice
    10 team h2h, 6×6 with QS
    I own,
    King Felix
    Julio Teheran
    Alex Cobb
    CJ Wilson
    Casey Jansson
    Steve Cishek
    Neftali Feliz
    Joakim Soria (gonna wait and see what happens with the last two, should get good value outta 1 of them right?)

    Heres my problem, was about to drop Wilson for Kluber but then I saw Ventura was available. What do I do? My bench hitters are Khris Davis, Desmond Jennings, and Kole Calhoun

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Fletch: I think I’d drop both Calhoun and Wilson for Kluber and Ventura. I like Calhoun a lot, but as a bench guy who isn’t helpin ya, I think he’s cuttable. By the time the Texas closer situation is played out, you can prob pickup Calhoun again.

  46. Ditka says:
    (link)

    Got a keeper question for you all. In a 12 team NL only 2C league and I can keep up to 6 players, and I am having trouble deciding who to keep for my 6th keeper. Who would you guys keep of the following players:

    Eric Young – $5
    Homer Bailey – $13
    Wiley Peralta – $2
    Freddie Freeman – $26

    Appreciate the help

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Ditka: Good one, for me Freeman and Bailey are locks. So its one of those two. Probably going to be Bailey unless you’re keeping 3 pitchers already or something.

  47. Tehol Beddict says:
    (link)

    Jeff Samardzija,!!!!!THANK GOD SOMEONE FINALLY SAID IT!!! this guy is a beast. great call

    • OneI'dWilly says:
      (link)

      @Tehol Beddict: I’m on board, but heard an interesting take, that his velocity not producing the expected results might be due to poor movement on his fastball. They were essentially saying we can keep hoping all he finally breaks out, but maybe we’ve seen who he is. I can’t see I’ve seen a lot of his footage. Thoughts?

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Tehol Beddict: Tehol and I are onto something! @OneI’dWilly: well if it has less movement it could move faster, but I’m no physicist I dunno if that’s the case… My argument in my note on him is he only lost 0.5 MPH on it because he threw a fair amount of pitches too late in games when he was worn down. In the Pitcher Profile I did of him last year, he was mid 90s all game, then came out in the 7th at over 100 pitches and was 89-90. So those lowered the velocity, not an overall factor on all his pitches.

  48. Jjb says:
    (link)

    2 question. In a 14 team 4×4 auction league. How much do your rankings change without ks in the equation. And how much do you reserve for your pitching in an auction. Looks like you can get by spending a littl less if you take on most of your sleepers

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Jjb: They’d change a decent bit. Jordan Zimmemann would go way up, Kuroda up, wouldn’t be as nuts for Ventura. Bartolo Colon would probably need to be owned and be a good value. Yeah definitely spend less on pitching, and even less than leagues with Ks since you can build nice ERAs and WHIPs by streaming since you won’t need the premium guys for Ks

  49. JDW says:
    (link)

    I love Yu. But even when he was getting me 13 strikeouts a game last year you had to worry about his pitch count. Just waiting for the big man’s arm to fall off. This spring the Rangers have been talking about the pitch count and working on Yu throwing more of his fast balls to contact – to put the ball in play, let his fielders help him, and keep the count down. If they follow through with this it’d be a wise move. Could probably save 15 or so pitches a game and/or allow him to work deeper into his starts. For fantasy it might sting a bit. Also, it would be hard to believe Nolan Ryan would advocate such a move. We’ll see.

    He’s got 8Ks (and four walks) in 14.2 IPs this spring.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @JDW: I think that’s a little easier said than done, but if indeed works, maybe a few less Ks, but less walks too to help the whip. Lead the league by 37 Ks in only 32 starts, so even if it goes down a tad he could still lead MLB. But indeed would suck for fantasy!

  50. OneI'dWilly says:
    (link)

    In an auction league where guys are signed to 3 year contracts, how much of your $260 budget would you be willing to spend on Matt Harvey, knowing he’ll get you nothing this year, but have him the following 2 years. We do have 2DL spots.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @OneI’dWilly: Willy! Team name idea – One I’d Wily Peralta? Anyway, probably $10ish, I wouldn’t break the bank.

  51. Patrick says:
    (link)

    I’m in a league full of Royals fans and wondering how early I am going to have to draft Ace Ventura…..ugh.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Patrick: Oh man… Yeah he’s gonna go ridiculously early. 8th round? Just do it whenever nature calls!

  52. JFK says:
    (link)

    NIce job, and welcome back!

    Rotation’s a mess and the wire’s pretty thin, with (3) SP, (3) RP & (3) P slots in a 12-team, 7×7 keeper that counts L, SV, K, HLD, ERA, WHIP, QS.
    SPs: Salazar, Cueto, Kluber, Smyly, Gee, Leake, Perez, Hamels*, Beachy*, Holland*
    RPs: Kenley, Rosenthal, Henderson, Crain, Santos

    A) Waiver-wise, which two of the following SPs do you like: Josh Johnson, Matt Harrison, Zach McAllister, Jameson Taillon, Morrow, Peralta
    B) How would you rank the following RPs for holds/spec saves: Qualls, Herrera, Strop, Hanrahan, Daniel Webb
    C) There is no C.
    D) Considering offering this trade to open up some roster spots to pick up arms: his Votto/Archie Bradley for DomBrown/Chris Johnson/Jim Henderson/Leake/Martin Perez. He needs OF upgrades, has no closers and only five SPs. It’s ugly on paper, but is it close?

    Thanks!

    • JFK says:
      (link)

      @JFK: D1) Secondary option is to swap Votto for Cano.
      D2) Tertiary option is an offer for Myers/Chapman/Taijuan for DomBrown/Johnson/Henderson/Leake/Perez.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @JFK: Thanks man! A – Johnson for sure, and prob Peralta, think I have those two ranked highest. B – Still not too researched in RP, Qualls first for sure. Smokey just has an article up, he knows so much more than mw. C – NEVER D – Ummm, yeah I don’t like it, I don’t think Leake or Perez will ever be anything that special, Chris Johnson to regress and Dom to lose some power. D1 – I like getting Cano for Votto, if it helps your IF D2 – I like this one a lot more than the original one. Chapman hurt, Walker I think is a tad overrated, and fills out lots of positions for ya

  53. In a 14team 6×6 league Pitching(W,Sv,K,WHIP,ERA, Hold)
    My pitching staff:
    Greinke
    Cobb
    Liriano
    Cingrani
    Kluber
    Straily
    Nova
    Nathan
    Street
    Veras
    Storen
    Burton

    These guys are on the FA list would you pick up any and who would you drop?
    Hoover, Broxton, Delgado, Skaggs, Odorizzi, Griffin or Miley??
    The 2 I would think of dropping for any would be either Straily or Nova

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Ken Jablonsky: Hmmm all about in the same range, Straily I think is droppable but I might hold Nova for now since he has a little better K upside. Probably grabbing Broxton or Skaggs, might lean Broxton and hope he gets the first save or two then maybe trade.

  54. Padre says:
    (link)

    Hey awesome list, in 7th round of 14 team slow draft. I have 6 hitters to date. Top option rankings wise look like

    David Ortiz
    Kenley Jansen
    Homer Bailey
    Cobb
    Cain
    Latos

    Shoud I fill my util with Ortiz, grab a top closer or nab one of the sps?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Padre: Thanks man! I think I’d grab Bailey

  55. Papajeansegura says:
    (link)

    Hay JB, TT Conundrum from basketball. I didn’t know you dabbled in the Baseball realm! Anyway, you’re telling me if Latos is there and Matt Cain is there you’re going Cain? Did you just ignore last year? haha I guess I’m ignoring everything he did before last year.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Papajeansegura: Yo dude! Yup still acting as the SP czar. Yeah I would go Cain. Post ASB 2.36 ERA 1.12 WHIP, whip was fine all last year, still held batters to a great .228 against, just really unlucky 71% LOB and unfortunate HR/FB as I noted. Latos a 6.9 HR/FB in Cincy? Plus worried about injuries. I feel pretty good about it.

  56. Archi CIanfrocco says:
    (link)

    I’m not getting the Burnett hate due to the move to Philly. He led the NL last year in groundballs, finished 5th in Ks and only gave up 11 HRs all season.

    Yes the Philly infield defence may be worse than Pittsburgh, but I don’t think the ballpark itself will have a significant impact on him.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Archi CIanfrocco: Yeah the GB rate was nice, but HR/FB at 9.6% once then 10.6% or higher in 6 seasons in TOR and NYY. Down to 9.1 last year. Sure the GBs help minimize the impact of the stat, but he’s old and don’t like a guy with 2,300 innings with a previously horrible HR rate.

  57. los locos says:
    (link)

    you hearing anything about kevin gausman being a closer for Baltimore?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @los locos: Nothing but speculation, he def is a long term starter so I doubt they would

  58. Ron says:
    (link)

    JBG…getting your opinion on this too. Please rank for 2014 only…Baez, Taveras and Springer.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Ron: I’d go Springer Taveras Baez

  59. The show says:
    (link)

    I disagree with your Price comment. I think his ability to adjust as the season goes along shows me that he’s a pitcher and not a thrower.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @The show: well that’s great for real life, but if he’s not striking guys out then he becomes a less valuable fantasy pitcher hence the ranking.

  60. goodfold2 says:
    (link)

    STL is a pitcher’s park, not hitters.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @goodfold2: Hmm I always thought it was with fewer HRs given up because they always have pitchers but I dont have any research on it. A quick google search and you seem right, I always thought it was a hitters park

      • goodfold2 says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: BP does good work on this. Trust me, it’s a pitcher’s park, even more than old Busch.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @goodfold2: Yeah I looked at a few things you’re right. A lot is probably because their offense has always been so good I kinda just unconsciously thought it was. Thanks for the catch!

  61. JB says:
    (link)

    I’ve got cj Wilson and both Ervin Santana and garza are available on waiver wire according to your rankings do I swap one of those guys out with him? Peavy is also available after that it’s pretty light. 4×4 league no ks 14 teams 10 P spots min 3 RP

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @JB: Yeah I would, I’d grab Santana. Especially with no Ks, a lot of value to me with Garza is pretty good K upside, I think Santana is pretty safe in ERA with that great park/move to NL

  62. Swfcdan says:
    (link)

    Late to the party but you killed it with your opening post JB!

    See you on mondays (on here, virtually that is…)!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Swfcdan: Thanks man! Really pumped, just two mondays away!

      • Swfcdan says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: And you even respond a few days after your posts…other perts take note!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Swfcdan: Well hopefully since I’m turning these into all-in-one SP hubs we get some good discussion all through the week! So I’ll be here!

  63. Greyismyhero says:
    (link)

    JB… I traded M. Moore for Tanaka based solely off your rankings…good deal? Thanks.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Greyismyhero: Yessir! Love it. Moore is very scary to me, I think Tanaka is going to be solid. Moore could end up with a better K/9, but I think Tanaka gets more overall Ks and safer for more innings.

  64. longbeachyo says:
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    Yo JB! I just read this article yesterday on fangraphs… http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/taylor-jordan-sleeper-deluxe/
    Doing a little investigation myself, and I think I’m in love with this kid and he doesn’t even have a starting spot in the rotation yet! Am I crazy? I’m not gonna do anything insane, but 20/2 k/bb ratio in the spring has fueled my passion even more. Provided he gets the fifth spot in the Nationals rotation, what do you think about doing a pitcher profile on him?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @longbeachyo: Hmmm, a little interesting, but his K rate in the minors was still really bad. But guys can always amp up the Ks as they get older, we see it a lot. Yeah man, he’ll be on a short list of guys to do first if he gets that 5th starters job! I personally think it will be Roark, but whenever Jordan does start I’ll be on it!

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