Don't be shellfish...Share on FacebookTweet about this on TwitterShare on Google+

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America
2013 (28) | 2012 (21) | 2011 (24) | 2010 (29) | 2009 (8)

2012 Affiliate Records
MLB: [76-86] NL West
AAA: [68-75] Pacific Coast League – Fresno
AA: [70-72] Eastern League – Richmond
A+: [83-57] California League – San Jose
A: [82-55] South Atlantic League – Augusta
A(ss):  [47-29] Northwest League — Salem-Keiser

Arizona Fall League PlayersScottsdale Scorpions
Kyle Crick (RHP); Cody Hall (RHP); Derek Law (RHP); Alberto Mejia (LHP); Andrew Susac (C); Angel Villalona (1B); Jarrett Parker (OF)

Graduated Prospect
Jean Machi (RHP)

The Run Down
When considering the San Francisco farm system from a fantasy perspective, one must always keep in mind the ballpark in which these prospects will eventually spend their days playing.  In most places you look, AT&T Park grades out as the most pitcher-friendly venue in the game.  That means that if you’re building your dynasty roster, it’s never a bad idea to take some chances with Giants pitching prospects.  Conversely, it’s extremely risky to take on any of their offensive prospects (not that there are any).  Overall, this is a rather thin system, featuring high-impact potential only in Kyle Crick and Clayton Blackburn.  Crick, in particular, is quite awesome.

Top Ten Fantasy Prospects
1.  Kyle Crick, RHP:
  A little more than a month ago I wrote an entire Kyle Crick fantasy.  Do read it if you’re into elite-level pitching prospects.  ETA:  2015

2.  Clayton Blackburn, RHP:  The Giants feature a slew of arms that should be reaching the upper levels in 2014 — Crick, included — and it’ll be interesting to see how they sort out the MiLB rotations to begin the season.  After spending a full-season at High-A San Jose, though, Blackburn is pretty much a sure-thing to step up to Double-A next spring.  The 20-year-old features a three-pitch arsenal (FB, CH, CB), all of which have plus potential at the highest level.  Expect bigger production from him in 2014, as he segues out of the notoriously hitter-friendly California League, where he still managed a pretty damn good line:  3.65 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 9.3 K/9.  ETA:  2015

3.  Chris Stratton, RHP:  The 20th overall pick in 2012 spent his first year of full-season baseball at Low-A Augusta where he made 22 starts, posting solid numbers along the way:  3.27 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 8.4 K/9.  A plus fastball and a plus slider are Stratton’s best weapons, but he mixes in a change and curve effectively.  At 23 years old, he’s already a bit long in the tooth for the low minors, and I expect San Francisco is start him at Double-A in 2014.  ETA:  2015

4.  Mac Williamson, OF:  The top hitter in this San Fran system is coming off an enormous year in the Calli League:  .292/.375/.504, with 58 XBH (25 HR) in 597 PA.  At this point, it’s tough to gauge whether or not that line is a legitimate product of Williamson’s considerable tools, or if it’s simply a California League mirage.  Somewhere in-between is the most likely scenario, of course.  In any case, we’ll get a better feel for the the 23-year-old’s outlook when he steps up to Double-A next spring.  ETA:  2015

5.  Martin Agosta, RHP:  A second round pick in 2012, Agosta made is full-season debut in 2013, and was quite good.  The 22-year-old posted a 2.06 ERA, a 1.09 WHIP, and a K/9 at 10.7 in 18 starts at Low-A Augusta.  As is the case with most of the remaining arms on this list, Agosta doesn’t feature overpowering stuff.  Rather, he relies on sequencing and plus command to keep hitters off balance and draw whiffs.  Like Stratton, it’s possible that the Giants will skip him over the dangerous California league in favor of starting him at Double-A next spring.  ETA:  2015

6.  Edwin Escobar, LHP:  Escobar posted a breakout year in 2013, finishing with a sub-3 ERA and a K/9 north of 10 in 24 starts between High-A and Double-A.  The 21-year-old features a superb fastball/changeup combo, mixing in a curve to round out his repertoire.  Command and pitchability are by far his best assets, and if he can bring his breaking ball a step forward in 2014, he’ll be MLB-ready by year’s end.  ETA:  Late 2014

7.  Ty Blach, LHP:  In his first year of pro ball, Blach posted a 2.90 ERA, a 1.09 WHIP, and a K/9 at 8.1 in the hitter-friendly environment of the California League.  The 23-year-old features advanced command, and a fastball/changeup combo that should suffice to carry him to the bigs as a starter.  He’ll begin 2014 at Double-A Richmond.  ETA:  2015

8.  Gary Brown, OF:  There was a stretch back in June during which Gary Brown was pounding baseballs, and it looked very much as if he’d be the replacement in center for an injured Angel Pagan.  It didn’t go that way.  No, the Giants decided Brown wasn’t ready, and boy were they right.  The 25-year-old finished a full year at Triple-A with 13 homers, 17 stolen bases, and a .231/.286/.375 slash line.  There was once legit 20-20 potential here — Brown hit 14 homers and stole 53 bases in 2011.  Alas, those days are long behind us.  This prospect business is volatile.  ETA:  2014

9.  Andrew Susac, C:  Above average receiving skills will allow Susac to push through to the majors where he’ll eventually settle in as a regular.  The 23-year-old isn’t quite a high-impact offensive talent — he’s a sub-.250 hitter over two years in the minors — but he brings enough power potential to hit 15-20 HR over a full season.  Pair that with good on-base skills, and there’s enough here to be fantasy relevant.  ETA:  2015

10.  Heath Hembree, RHP:  Hembree logged some big league innings in 2013, making 9 scoreless appearances after being called-up in September.  A big fastball and a wipeout slider give him significant upside in the whiff department, but the 21-year-old is firmly entrenched in the San Francisco ‘pen at this point, so the fantasy value is limited unless he earns a late-innings gig.  ETA:  2014

  1. bossmanjunior says:
    (link)

    What’s up Scott!

    Over at Draysbay, we have been doing a lot of speculating as to where David Price will be traded. In our minds, its a foregone conclusion. We are thinking the James Shields will set the bar for what to expect as a return. While Price is making more money than Shields in his final two years, he is a better pitcher and the free agent market for starting pitching this offseason is dearth. So as an unbiased observer, where are the best landing spots for Price and a reasonable return? Much like the Shields trade, we are thinking something along the lines of 2 top 50 prospects and 2 B level prospects, or something of that equivalent. Ideally, one of the players would be a MLB ready SP or OF/1B/DH/2B. Thanks for your insight. Im not sure if you’re into this trade speculation stuff haha.

    Here are the 10 teams I think should/could be most interested and some possible returns:

    Cardinals: Martinez, Adams, Wong
    Indians: Lindor, Salazar, Lee, Wolters
    Seattle: Paxton, Zunino, Franklin
    Texas: Profar, Alfaro, Jackson
    Dbacks: Bradley, Trahan, Owings
    Cubs: Baez, Edwards, Vogelbach
    Reds: Mesoraco, Stephenson, Winker
    Pirates: Tallion, Glasnow, Bell
    Dodgers: Seager, Pederson, Lee, Uriaz
    Braves: Teheran, Sims, Bethancourt

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
      (link)

      @bossmanjunior: I’ve always thought the Cubs would be the best fit… they’re loaded with hitting prospects, but they’re pretty lousy on the pitching side of things. Lately I’ve been wondering if the Rays would take on Starlin Castro’s contract… with Alcontara & Baez coming up, it seems doable from the Cubs perspective…

      • bossmanjunior says:
        (link)

        @Scott Evans:

        I really hope not. Rays have Escobar under contract for the next two years with 5 million dollar team options and no buy outs. Not to mention they have Hak-Ju Lee coming back this year and the Rays have invested a lot in him. Unless the Cubs sign Price, I don’t see the point. They aren’t going to compete in the next couple years but maybe they aren’t just trying to pump up fan interest and ticket sales.

        Its a little outside the box, but my dream scenerio is a three way trade with the Indians sending Lindor to STL for either Tavarez or Adams/Martinez and Wong with the Rays receiving that return plus Salazar and the Indians getting Price. A boy can dream.

        • Scott Evans

          Scott Evans says:
          (link)

          @bossmanjunior: Ha, that’d be some convoluted swap right there… I think you’re undershooting how quickly the Cubs will be competitive, though… and I imagine they’d lock Price up long-term immediately.

        • goodfold2 says:
          (link)

          @bossmanjunior: so the cardinals are gonna dump either a great hitting prospect or a good 2b defender AND a good hitting prospect or a good pitching prospect for a no bat superstar defender at SS? This is the team generally revered as a model organization? Stick to the baseball version of madden to hope to see those type of trades. Cardinals weren’t willing to give up Carmart alone to get Aybar, an above average defender who has a decent bat during this season.

    • me says:
      (link)

      @bossmanjunior: I don’t get why the Cards would make that deal. Wainwright, Miller, Wacha — they’re pretty well set at 1-3. Price is maybe an upgrade at #2 over Wacha (maybe not), maybe an upgrade at #3 over Miller (maybe not), but we’re really talking about STL trading Price so that Miller can be the #4 starter instead of the Martinez/Kelly group. Is it really worth giving up so much to, in effect, upgrade at #4 starter?

      • bossmanjunior says:
        (link)

        @me:

        This trade would be a luxury for the Cardinals. They would also be dealing from surplus as Adams, Wong, and Martinez are all blocked. I think you are also severely underrating Price and overeating the Cardinals pitchers. Wacha has been amazing of late but its still a small sample size. His numbers in AAA and his first few starts were not incredibly impressive. Miller tired down the stretch and lacks development on a change up. Lynn and Kelly are back of the rotation pitchers with their own flaws. So no, I do not think Wacha or Miller are strong #2 starters behind Wainwright. They “could” be, but could also have their own growing pains. If im trying to win a championship, I want a stronger #2. Guys like Lynn and Kelly should not be starting World Series games. All that said, im actually rooting for the Cardinals and hope they win it all.

        • Scott Evans

          Scott Evans says:
          (link)

          @bossmanjunior: I just don’t see the Cardinals breaking from the build-from-within philosophy they’ve worked so hard to perfect. They have a seemingly endless stream of talent pouring through — why forfeit so much cost-controlled talent for such an expensive #2 starter? Also, Wong isn’t blocked next year unless they retain Freese & Martinez is valuable regardless of whether or not he’s starting.

          • bossmanjunior says:
            (link)

            @Scott Evans:

            Yeah I agree. Im jealous of the way the Cardinals develop their players. If the Cardinals lose the World Series due to the likes of Lynn and Kelly starting, I could see them trying to improve the rotation. Obviously if Freeze is moved, Wong will not be blocked anymore. I don’t think they feel comfortable playing Craig in the outfielder every day, so Adams is definitely expendable. I could see a bidding war in the NL central with so many teams (CIN, PIT, CHC, STL) possibly being interested with teams like ATL, LAD, and ARI also interested.

            • Scott Evans

              Scott Evans says:
              (link)

              @bossmanjunior: Yeah, I can’t rule it out… And I do agree that if Lynn or Kelly hurt them in the Series, they might look to bolster rotation with a move like this…

              • goodfold2 says:
                (link)

                @Scott Evans: Miller only isn’t starting due to innings concerns. that problem starts to creep away next year. wacha gets more innings next year. garcia still will be back at some point. carmart could be used as starter. they simply aren’t giving away the future for some overpriced guy. craig needs days off whether or not they know it to keep him healthy and adams is garbage vs lefties.

        • bossmanjunior says:
          (link)

          @bossmanjunior:

          If Im another team, im buying stock on David Price right now. First and foremost, he has shown the ability to adapt. While he has lost a couple mph on his fastball, unlike so many other young pitchers, he has adapted and improved his command and secondary offerings. In the second half of the year he looked like a young Cliff Lee, often going 3-4 games without a walk. He’s only 28 and has never had any major injury.

  2. Sniff Test says:
    (link)

    Where does Petit factor into the Giants future? He made some noise towards the end of the season.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
      (link)

      @Sniff Test: He’s the odds-on #5 starter to begin the season… it’s his job to lose, at this point… tough to gauge his role beyond the coming season, as his skill set isn’t quite elite & he’ll have Crick & Blackburn breathing down his neck before long…

      • me says:
        (link)

        @Scott Evans: My impression is that they’ll bring back Gaudin and he’ll get a chance to compete for that job, though they prefer him in the ‘pen. Isn’t it also likely that Vogelsong comes back on a minor league contract and competes for the #5 job, too?

        • Scott Evans

          Scott Evans says:
          (link)

          @me: Bringing back Gaudin would likely complicate the #5 spot, I agree…

  3. Gregorius Chant says:
    (link)

    Scott, great stuff as always. You mentioned Castro for Price, as a cub fan I would be aight with that. Who else do you think the cubs could include to make that deal.

    • bossmanjunior says:
      (link)

      @Gregorius Chant:

      As I referenced above, I highly doubt the Rays would be interested in Castro. Escobar was one of the best SS in theAL last season and the Rays have him cheap for the next two years. Not to mention a top SS prospect at AAA in Lee.

      I think it starts with Baez, no questions asked. Next, I think the Rays will push hard to include one of Almora or Soler. One of Edwards/Johnson and possibly Vogelbach.

      • Scott Evans

        Scott Evans says:
        (link)

        @bossmanjunior: I hear ya on all this… keep in mind, though, that Castro could play either MI spot without much trouble & Rays could move Zob…

        • bossmanjunior says:
          (link)

          @Scott Evans:

          My impression is they value Zobrist too much defensively to move him back to the OF. Plus its easier to find offense in the outfield than 2B. Still have Escobar for 2 more years and guys like Lee, Beckham and Brett on the way.

          • Scott Evans

            Scott Evans says:
            (link)

            @bossmanjunior: Beckham? Yeesh… don’t count on him. And I’m a big fan of Hak-Ju, but he’s rehabbing from a nasty, nasty injury…

            • bossmanjunior says:
              (link)

              @Scott Evans:

              haha I still have a little faith in Beckham but see him as more of a utility guy. He’s actually improved his strike zone discipline a bit recently and showed some good bad speed in the majors. Im a big fan of Lee and Brett. I think Brett could be another Altuve-esque player.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
      (link)

      @Gregorius Chant: It makes great sense from the Cubs perspective, but as bossman points out, it’s not a perfect fit for the Ray. Still, I wouldn’t rule it out completely… and I’m thinking they might have to include a guy like Vogelbach to get it done…

      • Gregorius Chant says:
        (link)

        @Scott Evans: I would be fine with them including Vogelbach, He would be a first baseman only in the NL and clearly the cubs have Rizzo there for the long hall. Castro and Vogelbach for Price, I could live with that, especially with the depth we have at short in the lower/mid levels. Thanks again for the minor reports! LOVE THEM!!!

  4. Snarf says:
    (link)

    Didn’t Angel kill someone? Or….er….allegedly pay off the family of the dead man. Is he toast? I know the Giants paid big bucks for him at one time.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
      (link)

      @Snarf: Charges were dropped, but Giants still tried to cut him loose… at which point, he sued for breach of contract, so they reinstated him back in 2012… he’s been playing ever since. He hit 22 HR between A+ & AA this past season… playing AFL now.

  5. TheNewGuy says:
    (link)

    Wow what a game last night…great stuff.

    Right decision you reckon? I say it was, Craig was gonna score on that ball had he not been tripped- think its the infielders job to get out of the basepaths isnt it after all.

    What Boston did wrong though, I felt firstly they should’ve walked Jay to set up the DP on Kozma. Secondly what was Salty doing making that throw? Pedroia made a good play and Salty to get the first out at home, then Salty gets a rush of blood and tries to be the hero. Only should make that throw if you know you should get the guy at 3rd, far too risky in that game situation otherwise. He essentially lost it for them imo, shoulda taken their chances with a runner on 3rd and 2 outs, it was only Kozma coming up!

    Great series, loving it even as a neutral. You must be loving it more, or are you like a nervous wreck right now!

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
      (link)

      @TheNewGuy: Right call, IMO, but unfortunate way to end a great ballgame. Poor decision to throw by Salty, but even worse was WMB’s attempt to make the stop — he needs to make that play.

      Been a great WS so far, and yeah, it’s getting to me… these are nervous nights.

      • TheNewGuy says:
        (link)

        @Scott Evans: Tough road ahead now! Papi’s been on fire and your Cards just haven’t been able to live with him. Suprised in STL, not last night but the night before in not being able to get to Buchholtz, you havent been able to get those big hits when you need them.

        With the young arms like Wacha to come though, im not ruling STL out! Especially as Lester’s done now, and you’re never sure what to get from Lackey or Buchholtz, and that offense can get hot in a hurry. Think we might see some higher scoring games to finish, if the Sox can touch Wacha that is.

        Not been able to enter much trade discussions yet as we haven’t all paid up for next season in my keeper league. Once we start, I’ll ask for your advice on trading Bradley for the likes of Adams, Wacha, T Walker etc.

        • Scott Evans

          Scott Evans says:
          (link)

          @TheNewGuy: Yes, Buchholz wasn’t bringing it & Cards should’ve gotten more than 1… I’m also holding out some hope!

Comments are closed.