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We at Razzball realize that exporting our views across the country has damaging consequences on the blogosphere. To help make amends, we are reaching out to leading team blogs and featuring their locally blogged answers to pressing 2013 fantasy baseball questions regarding their team. We feel this approach will be fresher, more sustainable, and require less energy consumption (for us anyway). The 2013 Pirates Fantasy Baseball Preview comes courtesy Pat Lackey from Where Have You Gone Andy Van Slyke.

1) Andrew McCutchen is slowly inching up the fantasy draft boards.  Grey has gone so far as to put him as a top 3 pick this year in his top 10 for 2013 fantasy baseball.  Is that a tad too high or is McCutchen going to have a break out year in 2013?

Allow me to play the indignant Pirate fan here for a moment and ask how a player that hit 30 homers and drove in 96 runs and scored 107 times and stole 20 bases and hit .327/.400/.557 in a season in which he spent 100 games as the NL’s leading MVP candidate would still be waiting on his breakout season.

(breathe)
OK, I feel better now. Sorry about that, guys. The real question about McCutchen is whether he’s a .330/30 homer guy or whether he’s going to come back to earth a little bit and be more of a .290/25 homer guy. In short, is he a really good player, or is he one of the best players in baseball? So what do we know about the numbers behind McCutchen’s breakout last year? One thing that jumps out is that his BABIP leapt from .291 to .375. McCutchen’s a fast guy and his line drives also went up last year (20% to 21.9%), so a high BABIP can be expected, but .375 is pretty ridiculous and given that he strikes out nearly 20% of the time, it’s hard to see him contending for a batting title every year. That being said, I think his power surge is something that’s going to have some staying power. Look at his home run chart from last year. That’s crazy. If we want to finish the fantasy picture, I don’t think he’s ever going to be a 30 steal guy again, though, because he’s not quite as fast as he used to be and that’s exposed his terrible base stealing instincts.
To actually go ahead and answer your question, I’d say that McCutchen is probably a safe bet in the second half of the top ten, with his value increasing if you separate center fielders form corner guys. I think having him in the top three might be a little excessive with guys like Trout, Braun, and Cabrera existing and playing baseball. It’s not that it’s impossible that he’ll be that good, just that it’s I’m not exactly sure I’d be counting on it.

2) Starling Marte’s start to his career was solid but a bit alarming in terms of his strikeout rate: 50 K’s in 167 AB.  Do you see a breakout year coming from Marte in 2013 or are we concerned with a sophomore slump?

The strikeouts are definitely a concern. It’s worth noting that Marte is very raw for a player of his age because his  debut in America didn’t come until 2009, when he was already 20. Thanks to an injury in 2010, he didn’t play a full minor league season until Double-A in 2011. He’s made some strides in plate discipline in his time in the US, though, with his walk rate going from 3.8% in Double-A in 2011 to 6.5% in Triple-A last year. His strikeout rate also settled to closer to 20% in Double-A and Triple-A after being at 23.3% in High-A in 2010. That being said, I think his adjustment period at the big league level could take a while, which means that there’s a chance that he’s going to be a low batting average/low OBP player for a while. Really, a lot of his value to the Pirates comes from his defense in PNC Park’s vast left field, which isn’t much help to fantasy players. He is incredibly fast, though, and his power is developing quickly: he only hit eight home runs total in 122 games in Single-A and High-A, but he hit 12 in 129 games in Double-A and 12 last year in 99 Triple-A games to go with his five big league homers. He won’t play at all in center field this year unless McCutchen gets hurt, though, so you won’t find any hidden position value from him. All of this is to say that Marte’s got tons of raw talent and he’s worth keeping an eye on, but for now, he seems like he could be awfully slump-prone in 2013 and the potential range of outcomes for him is all over the map.

3) Well, Pedro Alvarez had a breakout of sorts last year with 30 HRs, but also struck out 180 times while hitting .244.  What are your expectations from Pedro this year?  Do you think he can make improvements on his 2012 season or is this what we should come to expect if we draft him in 2013?

One of the meanest things you can do to a Pirate fan is to point out that Pedro Alvarez’s strikeout and walk rates were virtually unchanged from 2011 (.191/.272/.289, four homers in 74 games) to 2012 (.244/.317/.467, 30 homers in 149 games). That makes Alvarez the million dollar question for the Pirates. At each stop in the minor leagues he struggled at first, then adjusted, dominated, and was promoted. In general his strikeout rates in at each level were around 25% (he’s a tick over 30% in the big leagues) and his walk rate was 12-13% (he’s at a tick under 10% in the big leagues). His power is absolutely real, and if he can get his strikeouts and walks to move towards his minor league levels he could be a monster batting behind Andrew McCutchen, but I honestly have no idea if he’s capable of doing that and will tell you that it’s equally as likely that his career ends up looking like Mark Reynolds.

4) So I want to draft James McDonald in 2013… but which James am I going to get?  The first half McDonald (2.57 ERA with a 0.97 WHIP) or the second half one (7.52 ERA and a 1.79 WHIP).

If you put James McDonald in a sealed chamber with a baseball and left him there for any significant amount of time, the psi function of the system would say that McDonald has both finally figured out how to harness his talent and that he’s given up seven home runs since you’ve closed the door.

In all seriousness, it looked like McDonald’s first half numbers were legitimate last year because he added a really sharp slider to complement his fastball and his curveball, and for his entire time in Pittsburgh it’s been pretty well-accepted that he was going to need a third pitch to be an effective starting pitcher. With absolutely no warning, it all fell apart in the second half of the season. Some people thought he was tired, but his velocity didn’t dip all that dramatically. He still made occasional good starts and on more than a few nights, things would start out well for him and then just completely fall apart as the game wore on. His control decreased dramatically (before the break he walked 31 hitters in 110 innings and after it he walked 38 hitters in 61 innings) and his homers allowed spiked through the roof (seven before the break, 14 after). Why did this happen? Certainly it could be a function of burnout, or maybe his slider wasn’t so much a good pitch but a new pitch or maybe he was tipping his pitches or maybe there is a god and he exists solely to mess with Pittsburgh Pirate fans.
Seriously, I don’t know what to expect from McDonald. He’s talented enough to be a good starting pitcher, but he’s 28 and he hasn’t done it for any significant amount of time yet.
5) I’m a young college kid with my eyes set on attending the University of Pittsburgh in the fall of 2013.  What’s most likely to adorn my dorm room wall this year?
A) A hot poster of Gaby Sanchez in a bikini (Gaby’s a girl, right?)
B) A ‘Francisco Liriano: Cy Young Award Winner’ poster
C) Havinig followed (read: stalked) Russell Martin from LA to NY and finally to PA, we get to see a reality show no one saw coming with this poster: Alyssa Milano – Amish Girls Gone Wild
D) A ‘Pittsburgh Pirates: NL Wildcard’ poster
E) A calendar called ‘Pirate Booty’ in which each month features a different backside of one of the players.

F) A page a day calendar entitled “Piratical Acts by Pittsburgh Pirates” including but not limited to:
– AJ Burnett bunts a ball off of his eye socket and wears an eyepatch.
Barry Bonds wears this earring.
Jason Kendall fakes his death and moves to the Barbary Coast.

- Branch Rickey steals Roberto Clemente from the Dodgers in the Rule 5 draft.
- Neil Walker’s hard drive full of dubiously acquired HBO series that he’s totally gonna watch all of some day.
- Dave Littlfield drafts Danny Moskos over Matt Wieters and claiming Moskos is the spirit of Blackbeard reincarnated.
- Clint Barmes misses a game because he was playing Sid Meier’s Pirates! on his iPad for 17 straight hours.
- Garrett Jones becomes weirdly obsessed with Watchmen’s comic within a comic and determined to piece together the entire story of “Tales of the Black Freighter,” covers the entire clubhouse wall with comic book panels and frantically scribbled notes.
- In 2006, Jim Tracy installs an actual plank in the clubhouse so that he can push players off of it, rather than accepting blame himself.
- Instead of accepting a diminishing role with the Pirates, Derek Bell quits in the middle of spring training and literally sails away on a boat prompting Mark Madden to write, “Derek Bell becomes the ultimate Pirate: lives on a boat and steals money.”

 

From Around The Web

  1. Jimbo says:
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    Would you take Ryan Braun or McCutchen 12 team redraft

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Jimbo: Still Braun for me. Unless the MLB does something highly unethical just to get back at him, there’s no way a piece of paper takes Braun down. And if he goes down, Cano and those other guys would follow. Hard to see that happening.

  2. Kangaroo Hops says:
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    Was there an answer to your last question? I feel left hanging…

    • VinWins

      VinWins says:
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      @Kangaroo Hops: There were 5 possible answers, but he chose ‘F’

  3. Robby D says:
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    Thinking about offering a trade in my league but don’t know if it’s fair enough to even attempt: I give up Beltran and some one of the Bailey/Parker/Lester/Morrow for Middlebrooks (no one seems to value him in my league as much as I do) and Bumgarner. I feel I’m getting the better of the deal. I feel like he may try to ask for Bruce or Cespedes, and although my OF is deep, I don’t like trading someone of that much value even for a top flight pitcher like BumG just because my pitching is a little shallow.

    Thoughts or recommendations?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Robby D: Bumgarner is valued near the top 50 if not in the top 50. Can’t throw an SP3/4 and an OF3/4 out for an SP1 and expect it to work out, IMHO. If you want Bumgarner, you’ll have to pay for him. Can’t really make any recomendations without knowing what your staff actually looks like/what needs you’re actually trying to fill.

  4. Robby D says:
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    Is anyone bothered by the fact that McCutchen has a horrible SB%? He stole 20 last year, yay, but was caught 12 times, boo! He’s been caught 10+ times each of the last three years. Is it reasonable to project him stealing more bases when his rate is less than 70%. Isn’t it more likely he becomes more of a traditional 3 hole hitter and drops to 15 SB and becomes more choosy or gets the red light?

    Also given his ridiculous .375 BABIP after averaging around .320-.330 for his career, should we really expect his RBI’s and runs to go up? Shouldn’t we expect an avg more in the .290 range at best given he’s never sniffed .300 until the aforementioned BABIP, and at most 100, 100 if he’s lucky with baserunners actually being on in front of him? Also give the dramatic jump in HR/FB% (9.2 to 13.2) is it even likely he gets 30 homers? I’m thinking a reasonable line would be more like 95/27/90/.290/.370

    Prime or not, that’s probably more realistic than 102/30/107/.295/27 especially if he’s CS 15 times to get to 27. I’m thinking a manager would shut it down way before he allowed him to get 20+ if he’s so bad at stealing.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Robby D: Depends on your belief in him and what he can do. Braun broke into the league with a .361 BABIP. Could’ve been called unsustainable but he has settled into a .340 career BABIP at this point and had a .346 and .350 BABIP over the last two seasons. So it’s a decision you have to make in terms of your belief in a player growing or retreating.

      His career SB rate is 72% and last year was his lowest SB total for his career in a season. Don’t think I wanna hinge a drop in SB on that stats you mentioned.

      • Robby D says:
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        @Sky: At some point doesn’t that low 70% SB rate mean it’s time to give him the red light, and not in the Sting shameful kind of way, but still shameful enough. I love McCutchen the player, McCutchen the man, and McCutchen the action figure with 25% more dreads, but unless he gets crazy luckier on steals, I wouldn’t be surprised if 20 is his ceiling.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Can’t call 20 SB his upside if he sole 33 just 2 years ago. I’m not sayin he’s a 30/30 candidate but I don’t see a huge drop off in steals there.

          • Robby D says:
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            @Sky: Sorry, upside isn’t the right word, but if he’s still stealing at a less than 70% clip like last year, it’s very likely he gets shut down on stealing. It’s tough playing in a division with decent defensive catchers also.

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              I hear ya. Not arguing your logic, I can see the downside. I just don’t think it’s likely.

  5. Mike says:
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    In a 14 team league with Saves and Holds with 5 bench players I have 3 starters on my bench for a total of 6 and two hitters. Should I have more bench starters. There is no hitters of any value to be had.

  6. HomeRunfromBehindtheMeatballs says:
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    Love my buccos and Pat from WHYGAVS. Good stuff all. 2k13… Let’s end this streak!!!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I’ll wish you luck. As a Mariners fan, we all need to believe!

      • JoeC says:
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        @Sky: The Mariners will be a wild card playoff team in 2013. You heard it here first!

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          I heard we were gonna win the AL West when we signed Chone Figgins. Let’s just say I’ll believe it when I see it :)

          • JoeC says:
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            @Sky: Well, this is not a “we” thing, because I’m an Oakland A’s fan and I’ve never predicted the Mariners to win anything for a long time. Their team has sucked, period.

            But the additions of Morse, Kendry(s), Ibanez, Montero last year, and the maturation of Michael Saunders and Seager makes me think that they’re gonna surprise the Western division this year, just like the A’s did last year.

            Predicting a wild card win is my cheap way of gettin’ in on the buzz. If I had any balls, I’d predict that they’d outright win the division, but it’s hard to see the Angels not playing to their talent level and taking the crown.

            So yeah, I’m not a Mariners fan at all. So I think my prediction counts for more than your average homer. You heard it here first!!

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              Yeah, I think they have decent pieces – I don’t include Ibanez in that mix – but the reality is only if other teams pull back enough is this team an AL West contender or even a Wild card contender. Seager/Saunders/Ackley all need to step up. Montero has to play bigger than he did last year and Morse/Kendry(s) need to stay healthy to contribute their 50+ total HRs. In my opinion, there’s nothing standout about any of the 3 viable teams (Tex/Oak/LAA) so I’d be surprised to see the M’s really pushing much in there. The pitching is there for the Mariners over the course of the year when you include the talent in AA/AAA but I need to see the hitting gel before I ever get sold on a playoff run.

              But if they take it I really did hear it here first! Right now, I’m seeing the AL East being won by TB and possibly the Jays with a wild card. The central should still be the Tigers but I could see the White Sox competing for the wild card if their arms (Sale & Peavy especially) stay healthy. NL should go Nats/Braves in the East, NL central should be the Reds/Cards (second wild card for Cards), and the NL West should still fall to the Giants. No make sure to write this down so neither of us forget!

              • JoeC says:
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                @Sky: Aw, why you gotta hate on Ibanez? The man is a poster boy for 40-year-olds who will NOT be put out to pasture. Nobody puts Baby Ibanez in the corner! Go Ibeza!

                Plus, 19/68 in 384 ABs is no Giancarlo, but it’s not chopped liver either. I think he’ll be a nice, veteran piece and, bonus, he won’t get in fights with fans in the stands (and that’s your Milton Bradley reference for the day!).

                I’m not sure if Seager can do more than he did last year. I would actually expect a bit of regression there. Saunders, however, is just a hugormous human being and will crush that baseball dead. I expect a big year from the Canadian Hulk.

                Ackley worries me a bit. One would hope that last year was mainly due to the rookie wiggles and injury. He needs to be an OBP machine and set-up the guys lower in the lineup.

                Montero needs to improve, but he recovered nicely I thought after a rough mid-season patch (and this is from a guy who owned him last year, so I know of what I speak!). I have faith that he can put up a 20/75 season.

                Couple that with the other bats with hats in the lineup and I think you have a solid offensive team. And we didn’t even mention the Old Jason Bay seasoning! I didn’t go into the pitching because I didn’t think I needed to. It’ll be solid and it’s nice to know that there’s some aces in the hole for later in the season. Tijuan Walker, I’m looking at your sexy face!

                If we’re gonna get all predicty, here’s the splooge of my guruness:

                AL LEAST
                1. Toronto (Can’t help it! They got the BATS, yo!)
                WC: Rays by the Bays

                AL CENTRALIA
                1. Le Tigres (boring pick, but really, who gonna beat ‘em? The Sox of White? Nah. Weak lineup.)

                AL WESTIES IS THE BESTIES
                1. Angelos (Hate Jered Weaver and his stupid face, but team is too powerful!)
                WC: Marginers!

                NL BEAST
                1. Bravos! (Yes, it’s an upset! The Upton Brothers road show dominates and Beachy returns just in time to buy Hudson a toupee!)
                WC: Natty Nats

                NL CENTRAL
                1. Cardinals (How can you bet against these fools? They always seem to be in the mix.)
                WC: Reds

                NL JERRY WEST
                1. The Artful Dodgers (Even with HamRam on the shelf, they still have more than enough to dominate this division. One NL West Championship bought!)

                I’ll record these picks so we can compare penis sizes… uh, I mean *our results* at the inaugural Razzball Convention (Grey/Rudy, make this happen!).

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
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                  Go look at those Home/Road splits on Ibanez there. They moved the walls in 4 feet, not to Yankee Stadium :) Trust, me as a Mariners fan whose seen him come and go twice on our team, I know he’s a good team mate but his numbers at this point are extremely situational.

                  Yeah, I like Saunders for deeper leagues, fantasy-wise but I think he’s David Murphy without the home-cooking. Good OF but I don’t see a huge year. I think you’re spot on with Seager. More HRs that are doubles are gonna make him look a little less valuable but still, 16/12 with a .260-.270 average is attainable.

                  I also agree on Ackley but I do think overall, Morse/Kendry(s) will have a positive effect there. I mean, Ackley was manning 1B at one point. Putting guys like him in a 3 spot is just plain mean. It makes them try to be something they’re not. I’m with Jaywrong and think there’s a good bounceback in the works there.

                  I agree Montero is very capable of doing just that. Really hope he doesn’t don the tools of ignorance much this season, though. Not just due to the defense but for health reasons.

                  Oh jeez, Bay? With Raul in the mix, I’m starting to think you’re into sugar daddies! Dude might not even make opening day roster.

                  Ha, to quote Snafu Larry: PUT IT ON THE BOARD! I’ll take it. Will be interesting to see the end result.

  7. Mike says:
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    Shelby Miller is he or isn’t he starting for St. Louis.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Mike: Still up in the air. If I’m the one guessing, I say the year starts with Joe Kelly and once he’s proven to be Joe Kelly, they bring back up Miller.

    • Robby D says:
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      @Mike: Kelly pitched better all Spring and by rights should have “won” the spot, but they want Miller so bad they gave them both one more start and Miller pitched much better in that start, which means the management wants Miller really badly because of his upside, even though Kelly is probably the safe starter at that point. Plus Kelly is better suited for a move to the pen and spot starts than Miller is, so I think it’s 80-90% Miller gets the 5th spot with Kelly getting one as soon as they realize they resigned Westbrook and he’s not the early-2000’s Westbrook, but the current day Westbrook.

      • Robby D says:
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        @Robby D: Re-signed Westbrook. I was a little Freudian because they should have resigned Westbrook and sent him packing.

        • JoeC says:
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          @Robby D: I’m kind of surprised, in all of Anglo-Saxon history, that there is no “Battle of Westbrook”. At least this is what the Internets tells me.

          Disappointing.

  8. Jack Full of Hate says:
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    Im over ranting and raving in the phillies article and your on to Pittsburgh. I need to check the home page more often

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Just hit you back. I’m currently at a bar enjoying Bracketology 101. So far, the bracket looks decent and so does the beer. Peace out!

      • Jack Full of Hate says:
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        @Sky: Lucky! enjoy your suds

  9. Jack Full of Hate says:
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    Now that we have established we are FSSM’s (Fantasy Sports Soul Mates) which is better than BFF’s because we are not obligated to buy each other birthday gifts, I’m a virgo, the next step is to probably talk some sports. As I told Jay Wrong yesterday, I am working on my razzball dolls…uhm action figures. Yours is coming along nicely and has one of the hands always giving the bird. Ok, I need to stay on sports. Damn, you jack, sports not toys…role playing equipment….collectibles….”stop hitting yourself”

    Ok I’m better now. I have this hunch that Matt Harvey is going to look amazing for the first half and be a post all-star break meltdown this year. Is that crazy talk? I always like my starters in year 3, I try to avoid year 2, but he didn’t pitch a lot like Lynn lat year. Not sure where to place him. When it comes to starters it is rare to find that guy that never lets down. They all have that adjustment year. First season it’s all giddiness and adrenaline, second year is tough to call. I wouldn’t touch Lynn this year, and never wanted him last year. My other thought I had last night was is there a site to get pitch counts? i would be curious to know if some guys have similar innings and great variation in pitches thrown. Damn, i’m kinda hung over today

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Jack Full of Hate: Ha! It’s true. I rarely talk to my BFF but I’m constantly talking to all my FSSMs.

      Can’t hate your thought process on Harvey. It really depends where he falls if I’m interested. I really am with you in not being overly interested in guys who are in their rookie or sophomore year who are pitchers but here’s my ‘but’. My third year pithers are usually the ones no one wants like Niese was for me last year. I definitely think there’s validity to it but that’s how I approach it: I aim for the forgotten ones but do not avoid sophomores with upside because of it.

      Harvey seems to be going in SP3/4 territory. I’m completely fine with taking him there for the upside depending on what staff I already have established at that point. If he does falter second half, there’ll be a decent arm to replace him I’m sure. If I need more stability, I’ll go with a Fister/Niese type in that area (speaking of sleepers, Fister is a pretty unique blend of upside and stability but I’m having a hard time landing him in mocks/drafts).

      I’m with you but overall there are a lot of arms for various reasons I’m not interested in. I’m drafting no White Sox pitchers this year. No discount on Peavy/Sale means no upside from where you have to draft them. As I’m sure you know, I’ve circled Cobb & Gee for 17th round plus targets. SP5/6 of pretty much any team I draft this year. Speaking of Gee: guess what year this really is for him? Yup and he had nearly an 8K per 9 last year before getting hurt. There’s your SP3 diamond for 2013.

      I don’t about the pitch counts. Sorry, I’m sure there’s something out there but I’m completely out of the loop on what it would be.

      • Jack Full of Hate says:
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        @Sky: I love the forgotten, made a living off that for years. the correction year is what I use to call it. They fall 3+ rounds from where they should be drafted. Have not been able to land Cobb or Gee yet. Always getting drafted around where i would want them. I’m also doing my no paperwork challenge this year, no notes, war room, any draft day enhancers, just soaking up razz for all its twisted glory and marinating on the info. has not served me well at end of drafts, but i also think i have a better memory than i do. really gone down hill since i went on Diabetes pills and blood pressure meds. Ok, thats too much info, I’m still in the courting process. i try to never go AL unless its top tier or on a high wins club.

        do you have any tips for an auction draft? i have my first ever tomorrow with Awesomeous Maximums and my buddy the birdman. i am starting with rizzo, frazier and machado at $4 a pop. I took over the team in august from an absent owner. I made a lot of deals to get rizzo and frazier. macho man from FA. This may be for not cause AM is starting with trout, haarper and cespedes for $4 a piece…I berated his leaguemates for allowing that to happen. It was a keeper auction league where you can’t keep your 3 most expensive players and harper and trout went undrafted….no excuse for that….the hate is rising!

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Yeah, looking back at my draft from my keeper league last year, Niese in the 22nd, Peavy in the 27th; there’s risk there but if you know what you’re looking for there’s tons of upside value swinging at the old ‘always broken’ guys or the unproven 3rd year pitchers with nothing going for them based on the surface stats. I do avoid AL when I can help overall but I really don’t think the AL East is as scary as people are making it out to be. Yanks & Sox aren’t as dangerous as people are drawing them up to be and Toronto still needs to prove they can and will do what they should. It also depends on needs. For example, Anibal Sanchez/Niese are ranked close to eachother in ESPN leagues. If I need stability, I go Niese there. But if I need K-upside, Anibal is my boy…or girl.

          Wow, RE: Trout/Harper/Cespedes. How big is this keeper league, exactly? I’d have you start with Grey’s piece here:

          http://razzball.com/fantasy-baseball-auction-draft-fake-cash-values-rule-everything-around-me/

          It covers a lot of what I’d say and I’m not just being lazy about that. I think the one thing I’d add is league set up can really change/determine your auction strategy. Last year I played in one that didn’t have a bench and was a weekly league, which is crazy. Welp, I spent bigger on hitters than I would’ve normally done. Reason? Because if I don’t have a bench, I want the strongest hitting lineup possible. I can stream pitchers, it’s much more difficult to stream hitters. This was it from last year:

          http://razzball.com/the-2012-battle-of-the-fantasy-gods-draft-results/

          I was #1 in the league by mid-season but too much went wrong injury wise to keep afloat. Was really leaning on Beachy pretty hard as my ace so when he went down, the team started to crumble.

          Overall, I love auction because you get to target your guys. Just make sure you have a price set where you’re willing/unwilling to go with them and if you overspend there, realize you might have to give up on another player/area of your wants.

          • Jack Full of Hate says:
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            @Sky: its a 6×6 stats

            R, HR, RBI, SB, K, OPS

            era, whip, QS, SV, K, K/BB,

            thoughts

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              How deep? 12 team? RCL style rosters? Without that, here’s a general overview of how I’d approach:

              Ignore the K’s for hitters. Dumb stat, have it in my keeper and it has never been an issue for me. Aim for power hitters. You know how easy it is to find someone who doesn’t strikeout or speed off waivers/late in the draft.

              Do a dig over the K:BB ratio pitchers. I lowered it to 120 IP minimum:

              http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&lg=all&qual=120&type=1&season=2012&month=0&season1=2012&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=5,d

              We have the same pitching stats plus one other in my keeper…can’t remember it right now. It’s why I want Estrada/Fister on most of my teams this year but especially in a K:BB league. QS equals the playing field so don’t do the typical wins chase with your SP5/6 that people tend to do. I’d also want Bumgarner as my ace in that type of set up if he’s not kept (probably is, I’m guessing). Overall, target guys with a minimum of like a 2.75:1 ratio. I wouldn’t pursue a Wily type in this league setting, they can easily screw you over in that department. Also keep in mind that even if a guy isn’t closing, if he pitches a lot of middle relief and has good K:BB ratio as well as a high K rate, he’s still a valuable arm to ride.

              I’d also look at the K:BB ratio of your closers and be mindful of it but you don’t have to base who you’re going to take around it. Just know that Fernando Rodney had nearly the same ratio as Jason Motte last year yet the price gap might be quite different on draft day.

              Hope that helps and good luck with auction tomorrow!

              • Jack Full of Hate says:
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                @Sky: I played QS for years, its something i actually get. K/BB I played once and did well. I believe ted Lilly was a K/BB stud that year. My plan is to go heavy bat and see what kind of pitching patchwork i can do throughout the season, i can stream QS guys all day. Will go most likely four starters at draft with flexibility. I like the no limit games on offense, might try to boost that up early so I can pitching adjust the last three months. There are a lot of trades in this league. Of course i might have killed it by lashing these guys last year for letting someone acquire the keepers he did….friggin amateurs.

  10. Jack Full of Hate says:
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    2nd base option ellis, johnson, beckham or infante?

    i have bone face and need to wait till he gets 2B eligible. also looks like there might be a platoon going on in Toronto for the time being

    • Infante best short term fill-in. Other guys have more upside, infante likely delivers most value

      • Jack Full of Hate says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: what about weeks or solano, if either could get top of the order they may be worth a flyer. weeks has a 4:1 walks/ K’s in spring which is unlike him and he is winning the A’s job as of now

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