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We at Razzball realize that exporting our views across the country has damaging consequences on the blogosphere. To help make amends, we are reaching out to leading team blogs and featuring their locally blogged answers to pressing 2013 fantasy baseball questions regarding their team. We feel this approach will be fresher, more sustainable, and require less energy consumption (for us anyway). The 2013 Padres Fantasy Baseball Preview comes courtesy of JBox & Dex from Gas Lamp Ball.

1) We thought we saw Cameron Maybin budding into a superstar in 2011 but his 2012 saw a regression in nearly every category.  So which Maybin do we see in 2013 and do you see him as a sleeper discount for the 2013 season?

Cam is really tough to say. Maybin doesn’t strike anyone as the type to get a contract and run, but following his extension, 2012 could’ve been an issue of him trying to do too much. With Nick Hundley producing zero offense and Carlos Quentin hurt for part of last season, the hope for Padres fans is that Maybin was just trying too hard. On the defensive side of the plate, one could speculate that he was working some overtime to try to cover all of the gaps in Petco Park. That may be less of an issue with the new moved in fences. If Chase Headley continues to be hot with the bat in 2013, and assuming Maybin settles into himself, his comfort level could definitely be there in 2013 and would be an excellent sleeper candidate to return to form.

2) Andrew Cashner’s starter role got off to a grand opening when he gave up 2 earned runs over 6.1 innings and struck out 9 Astros in June of last year.  Sadly, his injury history caught up with him as he left his next start and was not the same even when he came back in September.  So is Cashner just doomed or what?  Oh and more to the point, does Cashner regain his starting role and is he someone to watch in Spring Training if he does?

Andrew Cashner is marked by the Padres as a starter, no question. When he first arrived with the club, the criticism was always that we moved a top first base prospect in Anthony Rizzo for a relief pitcher, but we’d always heard from Padres insiders that the club viewed him as starting pitcher material, which was seen as the primary reason for his being sent down mid-2012 (to get proper time in a minor league rotation). Unfortunately for Padres fans, the latest injury to Andrew Cashner wasn’t due to mechanics, but apparently a hunting accident. Cashner will be out for a few weeks and likely won’t make a Spring Training appearance. When he comes back, he’ll be working his way back to starter (perhaps via the bullpen of course), but he’ll have to prove himself as the Padres are apparently not happy with what they’re possibly viewing as more of an attitude problem as opposed to just being unlucky.

3) Chase Headley finally put together a really strong season in 2012, belting 31 HRs, stealing 17 bags while hitting .286.  Many are predicting a pullback from Headley this year.  In your opinion, does Headley pull back a lot, a little or does he meet/exceed his 2012 campaign in 2013?

It’s tough to say. Personally, I was ready to give up on Chase Headley “star” prospects at the start of last season, but was happily proven wrong in the last two months of the year. And that’s probably key as to how much of a pullback you might expect. Basically, two-thirds of all his production occurred over the last one third of the season. If every month in 2012 was like August/September/October in 2012, then we were watching a .318 BA, 60 HR player at Petco Park. Padres fans would happily regress a little bit from that if it means we’re still looking at a .300 hitter with 30 to 40 home run potential. And with the injury to start the year, he’s a painfully obvious buy low candidate after the All Star Break.

4) Even with the unfortunate loss of Rymer Liriano to TJ surgery this year, the Padres minor league roster is packed with up and coming players.  Give us a few guys you’re looking forward to seeing in the big leagues in 2013 and which one you think will have the biggest fantasy impact this year.

With the potential for a full season, catcher Yasmani Grandal would’ve likely had the biggest fantasy impact, but his PED suspension cut that short quickly. The guy who Padres fans are probably looking forward to most, and who could have some fantasy impact, is Jedd Gyorko. With Headley and Forsythe going down, Jedd Gyorko is a guy that will see big league time this season and contribute regularly. His bat is ready but his original position, third base, is the one position on the Padres where he’s blocked. He’s been working out at second and, assuming his defense is translating adequately, he may actually be more valuable at that role. From a fantasy perspective he could qualify at 2B/3B and the Padres definitely want to see him as a big leaguer, so he has that going for him.  Our stud prospects have been a bit snake-bitten, though; Casey Kelly should’ve end up in the rotation and a pitcher at Petco Park is a pitcher to be aware of. Kelly has proper skills beyond that, so he would’ve been good on a roster as well were it not for the TJ surgery.
5) It’s after the All-Star Break and with a mixture of youth and determination, the Padres are in the NL West playoff hunt.  What are the biggest stories leading this surge?
A) Yasmani Grandal is back and raking for the team after completing his 50 game suspension
B) Jason Marquis finally moves back to France to reclaim his royal heritage, leaving room for Boxberger to take a spot in the rotation and shine
C) Quentin stays healthy and hits 30+ HRs for the first time in 5 years
D) San Diego is so happy with how he’s playing, they name one of their roads ‘Huston Street’.  A week later, both Huston and the street are closed for repairs
E) Everth steals 50 bases
Ha, I think we’re gonna have to go with F) for all of the above.  Gonna need a lot right to tumble our way to be challenging for the NL West crown.

58 Responses

  1. Hawk says:
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    Andrew Cashner question:

    10 team mixed league, 5×5 keeper. We start 7 SP, I have CC, Latos, Gallardo Samardzjia, Estrada, Hughes and Cashner as my starters.

    Latest news (today) says Cashner may not be a starter to begin the season. Really kills his value in my league

    Should I pick up any of the following guys available on waivers for Cashner?

    Wade Miley, Matt Harrison, Ryan Dempster, Jason Vargas, Edwin Jackson, James Macdonald, Miguel Gonzalez

    Any other deeper picks I should look at?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      In a 10 team mixed, I’d think there were better options out there than that. Kinda surprised. I’d use it just to play matchups. Can give Miley a ride to see what holds over. Any chance Arrieta is out there? Great K potential, ERA vs xFIP says he was unlucky last year. Peacock maybe. Put Luebke in your DL spot if you don’t already have it filled and keep up with Cashner over the start of the year.

      • Tio says:
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        @Sky:

        No reason to jump on Arrieta until we see something. A 6.37 ERA will scare managers away in all but the deepest leagues or AL only.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          No reason to jump on any of the other guys he listed either…at least Arrieta has upside.

    • Wallpaper Paterson says:
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      @Hawk: I would get Vargas. I just do not like Cashner. His delivery is too violent. I do not envision him staying healthy every year. In other words, I do not see him consistently starting 32 games every year.

      • Sky

        Sky says:
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        Difference in draft approach for me there. I do not look to solidify my staff at the end of drafts. I’m looking for upside. Vargas’ numbers can and will be replicated by stream able options over the course of a year. I’d rather take a shot with a guy who may only start 10-15 and give me great stats than take someone who’ll give me mediocre ones over the course of 35 games.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Ha! Actually, I think the NL West is much more wide open than people are drawing it up to be. Dodgers still have issues, think the Pads actually have a chance; of course, I still think the Giants take it so there’s that.

      • Jay

        jaywrong says:
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        @Sky: Yes, I think the Padres will compete this year. But I’m supposed to say that.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          @jaywrong: You should, it’s the right answer. Once they finally have Cashner and Luebke in that rotation, it’s not a bad one at all. Dodgers are overrated.

    • royce! says:
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      @Keter Pings: Wow, that’s amazing…Though I do like the Gyorko pick. As the responses in the podcast showed, there’s not really anyone super-hyped that looks like a lock for enough ABs to make a case for ROY. I was hoping someone there would mention Gyorko, but as a Padres fan, I’m used to being overlooked…[sad trombone]

      • Sky

        Sky says:
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        I’m surprised Gyorko wasn’t mentioned as well. I said Arenado because of his home ballpark and his status as the 3B there seems very imminent. I think he just lost the job out of ST but would be surprised if we don’t see him by May.

      • Jay

        jaywrong says:
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        @royce!: Uh… I picked Gyorko as my ROY pick.

        Sadly, it looks like I got overlooked…

      • Jay

        jaywrong says:
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        @royce!: AND picked Will Venable as the out of nowhere player.

        I’m here to Padres represent… err, in a non-biased way.

        Sure…

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          @jaywrong: Ha, totally unbiased. That’s why I picked Brendan Ryan! * (*I did not pick Brendan Ryan)

          • Jay

            jaywrong says:
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            @Sky: Brenden Ryan is good for 20 bombs this year.

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              @jaywrong: I’m looking forward to that. They’ll all be at home, of course. No easy away shots.

  2. Tio says:
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    What a homer…And isn’t this article a bit old? The Cashner link was from January.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Yeah, our editor didn’t realize the logjam we had on these. Been poking them out of the draft tree over the last few weeks.

  3. Jack Full of Hate says:
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    Dotel or Al Al, i think Leyland likes them older

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      He does but if I’m gonna go after a closer that doesn’t have the ‘#1 closer’ tag already assigned, I go upside: Al Al for me.

      • Jack Full of Hate says:
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        @Sky: is coke a dark horse? I know he’s a lefty but I read last week about how much they love him and they think he is good against both righties and lefties. Fuentes did it as a lefty

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          I think it’s a shituation and I really don’t think he’s going to pick a closer any time soon. There’s like 5+ guys he said would be in the rotation. Coke is as much of a dark horse as Smyly and I like Smyly more. In the end, I think AlAl is the best guy for the role given the skillset and the upside factor.

          • Jack Full of Hate says:
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            @Sky: I know how it look on paper but sometimes I have to question whats inside those rolled papers leyland smokes

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              Ha! Seriously, the reality is there IS no closer right now. The arms involved will prove or disprove themselves. It’s a headache to be involved with, that’s why I say Al Al. At least you’ll get some K’s out of it if the experiment fails.

              • Jack Full of Hate says:
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                @Sky: true, and the others will be waiver wire fodder, This is going to turn out like the nationals last year to start the season….one big clusterf**k

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
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                  @Jack Full of Hate: Yup, exactly. It’s not something I want to get all that involved with but if I have to, might as well get some side benefits from it.

                  • Jack Full of Hate says:
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                    @Sky: Is that like having a stripper be your FB but never your girlfriend?

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      @Jack Full of Hate: That sounds way more sexy than Al Al will ever be. But yes.

  4. Jay

    jaywrong says:
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    Padres day here on Razzy!

    Yonder Greydar+this= Happy Homer.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      There’s no such thing as a Padre HR!

      I keed, we’re all Friars, all the time…today…

  5. Jeff says:
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    I have a $22 Everth Carbrera in my 4×4 NL only league. Is he too expensive to keep? I don’t have any SB guys entering our auction draft and would feel more comfy knowing he’s on my roster…but $22 is super expensive for a crap AVG and no power. Thoughts?

    • ToMammaSoUggla says:
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      @Jeff:
      I think you’re right, too expensive for what he is. And I think you know it.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Yeah, that’s not a keeper price even for NL only. Steals are the easiest thing to come by over the course of the season. Don’t keep him.

      • Jeff says:
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        Great, thx!!

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          No worries and good luck!

  6. Jeff says:
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    Who is this Tyson Ross guy? Just named as 5th starter instead of Cashner? Is he worth a $1 end gamer in NL only league?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Yeah, he’s not bad. He was a reasonable start as a MediOAKer, he’ll be fine as a Hodge Padre. At his best, he’s a high 3 ERA with a barely 7K/9 kinda guy but home starts could be useful.

      • Jay

        jaywrong says:
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        @Sky: If his arm doesn’t fall off.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          @jaywrong: If anyone’s arm is gonna fall off, it’s Cashner and with the velocity behind it, he’ll land it in the SD bay.

  7. Jack Full of Hate says:
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    just finished my last RCl in Prezzi’s league

    Perez
    Gonzo
    Infante
    Panda
    Elvis
    Rutledge
    Frazier
    Dread
    Bautista
    Choo
    Revere
    Cuddyear
    Berkman

    Bench – Cain, Reynolds

    Zimmerman
    Moore
    Szmardja
    Whilhelmson
    Perkins
    Balfour
    Minor
    Burnett
    McCarthy
    Al Al

    thoughts?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Jack Full of Hate: Not too hip on Zimmermann being my SP1 but I like the upside of Moore/Smardz/Minor. Most of my critiques outside of that are gonna come down to personal preference vs a good/bad analysis. I’m not big on Berkman and I’m not a big A-Gonz believer this year so 1B worries me for you. It’s one of those positions I view with very few targets and I view it as very rocky this year. Like your OF, looks like you possibly took OF/1B/OF/OF which is definitely my strategy to end the 1st 4 rounds with and then a pitcher this year or just go 4 OF all out. Overall, your SPs look like they could be a work in progress this year. If Moore takes that next step forward, that staff is gonna be solid. Overall, not a bad team, just not a team of guys I’d be pursuing/drafting.

      • Jack Full of Hate says:
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        @Sky: I actually went OF,OF, 1B, 3B, OF. I had a hard time with the gonzo or goldy issue, went with gonzo this time. I know he is locked in at the 4 hole and I like that. Berkman was hard to pass up in the 19th, same as Cuddyear in the 18th. they went a little too pitcher crazy early so I took the offense they left out there and figured I can patch this staff throughout the year. I like the staff it has lots of 2′s and 3′s

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          @Jack Full of Hate: Ah, ok then. Yeah, 3B I’m ignoring this year down to the Mous area and beyond. I’m surprised Panda went that high.

          I agree you have a lot of 2s and 3s, I think my main issue is that your SP1 is really an SP2 and the only one that I’d call ‘solid’. Any of those three could go sour, just a very high upside/low floor situation. In the end, it sounds like the draft pool influenced how you drafted. My SP1 has come in the 5th round of both my RCL drafts and overall – Bumgarner in one and Gio in the other – and I’m happy with how things are turning out.

          I understand about A-Gonz but as you know from my previous convos, I don’t care about lineup spot, just about what a guy can/can’t do. I’m not a huge believer in all things Dodger this year and Adrian is a part of that. Only hit 19 HRs last year, the guy scares me.

          I don’t argue the Berkman went late. Where you’re grabbing Berkman, I’m grabbing Chris Carter (have him in all three of my leagues this year). It’s more a matter of ‘who do you believe in’ than it is good/bad pick at that point. Cuddy and Span I’ve seen go way later than they should in drafts this year. Forgotten guys for whatever reason. Have shares of both and like them both where I got them in drafts.

          • Jack Full of Hate says:
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            I took choo instead of greinke or Gio, mad was gone by my 5th pick. I could of gone bruce, Craig, Greinke instead of gonzo, panda, choo

            carter went too early and I just missed on span. The draft got smarter later

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              Ah yes and so it goes.

              It’s all about preference. I’m really ignoring 3B this year early. Just too many decent ones late that are worth waiting for. When did Frazier go?

              • Jack Full of Hate says:
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                @Sky: 9th, I was being spiteful to Prezzi. i actually should of gone bruce, craig, greinke. I don’t know why I drafted panda. The B,C,and G would had been a hue upside group

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
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                  @Jack Full of Hate: Yeah, I just think there’s too much talent at 3B this year to dive in too early.

                  I like Craig, just think he’s a tad overpriced. Given his injury history, he shouldn’t be near Butler but more near Ike Davis. But in any case, you have a good team and with some things bouncing your way on pitching, a great team.

  8. TheNewGuy says:
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    Hunting accident? Yet another crazy injury to add to the list then…

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @TheNewGuy: Boy seems pretty snake-bitten to say the least.

  9. Frank Lynch says:
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    Whats up!! Like I said this is my first baseball draft. In a H2H points league, when is the best time to pick a SP ? Also do you, besides outfield, pick A players for each position before doubling on a position? Or don’t matter cause if a really good player comes before I’m done with positions is available I should snag em?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Frank Lynch: Hey Lynch, question’s a bit open ended because I don’t know what your roster settings are. I’m not sure why you’d double a position so it’s hard to answer this without know that. In general, I’d want to wait on SP until the 5 round but would be ok with 4th if the right value fell to me. In most drafts this year, I’m starting with 3 OF, 1 1B and 1 SP after the first 5 rounds. If a 1B I want doesn’t fall to me, I have gone for a 4th OF but I play in 5OF leagues.

      I’ll be able to help you better if I know your roster settings.

  10. Gear says:
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    I was wondering if you had any thoughts on the Kyle Blanks and how he did this spring season?

  11. JoeC says:
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    Yes, the Padres are so good that they can afford to get their collective underwear in a knot if one of their players gets lippy. Nice.

    Enjoy another decade of losing, Padres fans!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      And this is why you don’t have nice friends…

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