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Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America
2012 (21) | 2011 (24) | 2010 (29) | 2009 (8) | 2008 (16)

2012 Affiliate Records
MLB: [94-68] NL West
AAA: [74-70] Pacific Coast League – Fresno
AA: [70-71] Eastern League – Richmond
A+: [75-65] California State League – San Jose
A: [69-70] South Atlantic League – Augusta
A(ss):  [32-44] Northwest League — Salem-Keiser

Arizona Fall League PlayersScottsdale Scorpions
Ryan Bradley (LHP); Jacob Dunnington (RHP); Chris Gloor (LHP); Heath Hembree (RHP); Dan Runzler (LHP); Ricky Oropesa (1B); Joe Panik (SS); Gary Brown (OF)

Graduated Prospects
Hector Sanchez (C); Brett Pill (Util)

The Run Down
I can’t help but think that this system would look a whole shizzload better if it still included Zack Wheeler.  Sorry, Giants fans, but that Wheeler-for-Beltran swap was for naught, and more than a year removed from it, I’m sure you’re all wishing that Gary Brown had been the guy sent to the Mets.  I feel your pain, San Francisco.  But then y’all went and won the World Friggen Series, and all wounds have been healed.  Still, though, this farm system isn’t tremendous.  Brown has crashed back down to Earth, and there doesn’t seem to be much high-impact talent beneath him.  Big years in 2013 from guys like Kyle Crick and Chris Stratton will fill that void, but until then, the Giants will have to rely on their big league roster… which happens to be quite good, actually.

Top Ten Prospects
1.  Gary Brown, OF:
  After a truly dominant year in the California League in 2011, Brown’s prospect stock couldn’t have been much higher.  In his first full season as a pro, he posted a line at .336/.407/.519, with 14 homers and 53 stolen bases.  Suffice to say, he’d set a high bar for himself — quite a few prospect outlooks had Brown arriving in San Fran sometime in 2012.  Oh, but what a difference a year can make.  The speedy 24-year-old out of Cal State Fullerton regressed considerably in a full year at Double-A, finishing the year at .275/.347/.385, with 7 HR and 32 SB (18 CS).  A year ago, Brown was a borderline can’t-miss guy, destined to settle into the Giants’ leadoff role for the foreseeable future.  Now, that’s not such a sure thing.  But one rough year does not ruin a prospect — the tools are still within him.  And if he can rediscover his 2011 ways in PCL play this coming year, Brown will resurface as an elite, top-tier prospect for the Giants and for fantasy owners alike.  ETA:  Late 2013

2.  Kyle Crick, RHP:  With his big frame and his power arsenal, Crick toyed with the Low-A hitters of the South Atlantic League, finishing the year with a 2.51 ERA and a K/9 at 10.3.  Expect the ERA to inflate a bit in 2013 as he takes on the hitter-friendly California League, but it might not be long before he reaches the upper levels and is knocking on the big league door.  ETA:  Late 2014

3.  Joe Panik, SS:  Most baseball folks see Panik ending up at second base by the time he arrives in San Fran, but outside of fall league play, the Giants have been steady with him at short.  He’s put up solid numbers at the plate during both of his minor league stops, and he should spend 2013 in Double-A.  No matter where he ends up in the middle infield, though, Panik projects like a solid fantasy option — a guy who’ll go .300/.350/.400 with 10-12 homers and 15 or so stolen bases.  ETA:  Late 2014

4. Clayton Blackburn, RHP:  This 6-3, 220, 19-year-0ld has done nothing but dominate since arriving in pro ball.  His 2012 line in a full year at Augusta:  2.54 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and a 7.94 K/BB.  Tremendous command has allowed him to post such gaudy figures in the lower levels, but he’ll be challenged in 2013 in the California League, and even more so as he pushes through to Double- and Triple-A.  It’ll be interesting to see if he can keep up the impressive production as he moves forward.  Still, Blackburn looks like a safe bet to at least reach the bigs as a solid #3 or #4 type arm.  ETA:  2015

5.  Chris Stratton, RHP:  The Giants took Stratton out of Mississippi State with the 20th overall pick in June, and gave him a short-season assignment with their Northwest League affiliate.  Though the sample is limited, Stratton pitched well in his pro debut, and his scouting reports are very strong.  Continued success over a more substantial body of work in 2013 will vault him up near the top of this list.  ETA:  2015

6.  Eric Surkamp, LHP:  Surkamp was in the mix for a starting gig in San Fran last spring, before Tommy John surgery ended his year.  The 25-year-old is a finesse thrower who relies on plus command and a plus-plus changeup to overcome his lack of velocity.  He’ll be among to the first guys to get a look if the the Giants have a need in their rotation at any point in 2013.  ETA:  2013

7.  Francisco Peguero, OF:  Peguero was once touted highly for his toolsy profile, but he’s never really panned out.  Still, he posted some decent numbers at Triple-A last year, and even earned a short stint with the big club.  His approach has always been his downfall — the guy chases at all sorts of pitches out of the zone.  On top of that, his power stroke hasn’t developed as he’s matured physically, which was an aspect of his games that scouts were sure would progress nicely.  As is, Peguero looks like a fourth outfielder to me, but he surely has the talent to surpass that projection.  ETA:  2013

8.  Heath Hembree, RHP:  Hembree is a Minor League Baseball closer.  That’s an ok thing to be if you’ve got the stuff of Craig Kimbrel or Jason Motte, but he isn’t quite at that level.  He posted some exciting numbers in 2011, but he saw his ERA double in 2013 at Triple-A, and I’m just not so sure that he’s the sure-thing closer that baseball folks had once tabbed him as.  ETA:  2013

9.  Ricky Oropesa, 1B:  Defensive limitations will restrict Oropesa to 1B, so there’s not much room for error if he can’t put up the type of numbers we’ve come to expect from big league first basemen.  He hit 16 homers in his first full season of pro ball, and scouts see the raw power blossoming further as he matures.  First base prospects are always a little riskier because there’s so much pressure on the bat, but Oropesa has a chance develop into a nice major league 1B.  ETA:  2015

10.  Adam Duvall, 3B:  Duvall was one of a handful minor leaguers to collect 30 or more homers in 2012, and there’s no doubt that his power stroke is for real.  But what about his other tools, you ask.  Well, there are none.  He’s a fringy prospect, only staying afloat on the merit of his raw power.  At 24 years old, he’ll need to add some depth to his game soon, or fizzle as nothing more than a MiLB masher.  ETA:  2015

15 Responses

  1. Gumby says:
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    Where do you see Tommy Joseph fitting in with the Giants future plans ?

    • Gumby says:
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      @Gumby: Heh…. nevermind… just remembered he’s in Philly now. Carry on. nothing to see here

      • Scott Evans

        Scott Evans says:
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        Yes indeed… still read that link if you’d like a couple brief thoughts on him.

  2. me says:
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    It’s hard to look at Hembree’s 2012 and not wonder if his production was connected to the elbow strain he dealt with most of the year. I actually think Jason Motte may be a good comparison. 2013 should answer this question. Although, even if he goes back to the “sure-thing closer” projection, #8 in the organization still seems like a reasonable ranking.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      All valid points. I actually think I may have over-ranked him a bit here — I try to put a fantasy spin on these prospect ranks, so a guy with real potential to earn saves always benefits, regardless of tools profile. Needs to add life to that fastball in 2013 if he’s to reach Jason Motte status, but then again, Motte’s heater wasn’t so refined at that point in his career either.

  3. mooseknuckles says:
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    Hamilton an Angel. How can they afford him after last years Pujols and Wilson deals.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Holy Jebus. And I hear they’re trying to acquire RA Dickey… I guess LA baseball teams aren’t really buying into all this fiscal cliff jibber jabber.

      • mooseknuckles says:
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        @<a href="#comment-18819@Scott Evans: i am in a keeper league h2h and can keep 2 minors. We assign contracts based on the round they were drafted in. Its between Kolten Wong 1 year, Zach Wheeler 1, Adeinny Hecavaria 1 (less than 150 at bats so he counts) or Francisco Lindor 4. Lindor has the best contract but i am impatient and want immediate impact. Plus i always seem to be able to find stud minors on the wire later. I was thing Hechavaria only because it sounds like the Marlins will play him right away. Cant decide between the last 3 but I am leaning toward Wong. What would you do?

        • Scott Evans

          Scott Evans says:
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          I understand your impatience re: Lindor, so that leaves Wheeler, Wong & Hech. I think Wheeler is your must-keep guy… he should pitch plenty in the bigs this year. Between the other two, Hech has a direct line on playing time, which is certainly worth something, but I don’t really see him as a viable fantasy option unless you’re in a crazy deep format. Wong offers much better upside with the bat & he’s really not too far off. St Louis could use him if Furcal isn’t healthy & Descalso is needed at short, or they could decide that Wong is a better option at 2B than Descalso altogether. I say Wheeler & Wong.

  4. Big AL says:
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    Hey Grey your phone is ringing. It’s Doozy again on line one. Holy crapola Hamilton signed a 5 year deal with the Angels. There like a stealth friggin bomber. You don,t see it coming, but you damn well know something big just dropped outa the sky.
    No big deal just Albert and Josh batting in the same line-up that now could produce 5 count em 5, 30 home run hitters in the same line-up.Throw in the Houston AAA team that joins the A.L. West and you got a potential for some big,and I mean big scoring games in that park.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      They’ll be lighting up the scoreboard in just about any ballpark, but that lineup will certainly be a spectacle in Houston. Count on big games, for sure.

      • Big AL says:
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        @Scott Evans: @Scott Evans: Wait till they get back to Texas. They won’t like the Josh and Albert show there either.Talk about a home run park. Houston better reinforce there score board it’s gonna take a beating from A.L.West teams.

  5. HWB says:
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    Oh mighty Grey, did I make the right move?

    I an NL-Only league where we keep a total of 15 (max 10 active, max 7 rookies), did I make the right move, value-wise? We can keep at this price for two years and then extend for n5 where n=years of contract (max 2). So Segura would be 5-5-15-15.

    The deal: Headley 13
    for
    Adam Eaton (5), Segura (5), Wandy R (5), Jimmy Rollins (20)

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      If I’m following your keeper settings, seems like Headley will bring best value at just 13 through 2014, but looking long-term, Eaton & Segura could be bargains. Still, I think the Headley end of this deal is the safest option. JRoll, Segura, etc is riskier, but brings better upside. I’d hang onto Headley, but it’s close.

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