Don't be shellfish...Share on FacebookTweet about this on TwitterShare on Google+

We at Razzball realize that exporting our views across the country has damaging consequences on the blogosphere. To help make amends, we are reaching out to leading team blogs and featuring their locally blogged answers to pressing 2013 fantasy baseball questions regarding their team. We feel this approach will be fresher, more sustainable, and require less energy consumption (for us anyway). The 2013 Brewers Fantasy Baseball Preview comes courtesy Kyle Lobner from Brew Crew Ball.

1) With Corey Hart on his way to knee surgery, Mat Gamel was going to assume 1B but now is out another season with knee surgery.  What will the Brewers do now with Corey Hart still out until at least May and will his replacement have an impact on the fantasy world?

Gamel has played in parts of five major league seasons and has never really shown what the Brewers were hoping for from him, hitting just .229/.305/.367 over 106 career games. It was not a sure thing that he’d hit enough to stick at first base anyway, even enough to hold the position until Corey Hart is back in May.  The Brewers have all but confirmed that by talking to veteran alternatives like Lyle Overbay even before Gamel got hurt.  Whoever the replacement is, I don’t see much production out of them until Hart is back.

2) Everyone loves a discount in fantasy leagues at talent-thin positions and we have a Jean Segura fantasy sleeper call out on the young shortstop.  Is it too early to expect much from this 22 year old SS and what do you project for Segura for 2013?

Jean Segura was everything the Brewers could possibly have hoped for in 2012 when they called up a 22-year-old shortstop who had played exactly one game above AA. With that said, his .264/.321/.331 line as a Brewer with seven steals in 44 games was closer to “stopgap” than “sensation.” Segura should continue to grow and develop at the major league level, has great speed and is solid defensively, but it’s probably a little early to start looking at him as a candidate to be a consistent offensive producer.

3) Carlos Gomez had a breakout second half last year, hitting 14 of his 19 HRs and stealing 26 of his 37 bases after the break.  And yet, everywhere I look he’s an afterthought come draft day showing there are plenty of skeptics as to whether or not he’s arrived.  What’s your opinion of his 2012?  Will it carry forward into this year and what are your projections for him in 2013?

Carlos Gomez finally had the season everyone thought he was capable of in his sixth major league attempt in 2012 with solid power, 37 steals in 43 attempts, a >.300 OBP for the first time and his usual excellent defense. If Gomez can keep performing at this level he’s probably an All Star candidate and he’s in line for a massive payday this winter.

The problem is that it’s tough to tell if Gomez has turned the corner, or simply had an aberration year in the middle of a career where his lack of plate discipline has made him difficult to pencil into the lineup at times. Gomez is still only 27 so it’s possible he’s simply reaching his prime, but it’s not a given that he’ll continue to perform at this level.

Even if Gomez does falter, though, the Brewers don’t have many veteran options to take his place. Rookie Logan Schafer is likely the only current threat to his playing time in the organization.

4) Everyone knows about Yovani Gallardo but the other 4 names in that starting rotation look pretty enticing for fantasy purposes as well.  Who are you most excited to see pitch this year for the Brewers and which one do you think will be the biggest fantasy value on draft day in 2013?

This starting rotation has the opportunity to be “pretty exciting” as you said, but right now they’re also lacking in both depth and experience. Marco Estrada is likely to be the #2 starter and has never started a full season in the majors. Wily Peralta is the Brewers’ top prospect and looked great in September, but struggled in AAA for a big chunk of last season. Chris Narveson is coming back from major shoulder surgery. Mike Fiers looked great for a few months but faded badly down the stretch in 2012, and Mark Rogers is a former #1 pick who may have the best stuff but has been hampered by injuries and control issues throughout his career.

If the Brewers can find a solid starting five among that list of question marks, this could be a very good team. There’s also a good chance, though, that those question marks will be the reason the Brewers DON’T succeed.

Beyond Yovani Gallardo, the most likely-to-produce Brewer pitcher in 2013 is probably Estrada. He came from the bullpen to post a 3.64 ERA with over nine strikeouts per nine and less than two walks in 2012, his first full-time opportunity to start in the majors. Wily Peralta and Mark Rogers could also be special if used, but neither is a lock to make the rotation.

5) The Brewers decide to jump on the Microbrew trend and make beers named after key Milwaukee players for 2013.  What’s the most likely/delicious brew from the ideas the Brewers PR are bouncing around from below?
A) LowenBraun – Tastes so good, you’ll never wanna let it out of your custody.
B) Aoki Extra Dry – Drink it and you’ll be singing it’s praises…off-key at a the closest Karaoke joint.
C) Old Ramirawaulkee – It doesn’t get any more better than Aramis.
D) Pabstford Blue Ribbon – You get the award for best facial hair.
E) Rickie Lite – Same rich taste, now with 20% less games played.

I think anything with Ryan Braun’s name/picture on it will sell in Milwaukee, so I’ll go with A.

From Around The Web

  1. jjj says:
    (link)

    Just finished an auction draft 13 team 2 C, CI, MI 5 OF 2 UT, 10 P draft ($520 allowed) what do you think??

    C Wilin Rosario 58 25 75 3 .252
    C Rob Brantly 38 4 49 1 .292
    1B Lance Berkman 64 19 77 3 .279
    2B Michael Young 76 7 70 2 .272
    SS Starlin Castro 92 16 83 25 .310
    3B Adrian Beltre 82 28 103 2 .281
    MI Erick Aybar 92 9 62 24 .292
    CI Ike Davis 76 34 102 0 .259
    OF Andrew McCutchen 102 30 107 27 .295
    OF Justin Upton 100 28 104 19 .284
    OF Hunter Pence 81 24 95 7 .284
    OF Shane Victorino 92 14 66 29 .272
    OF Drew Stubbs 54 14 55 31 .244
    UTIL David Ortiz 82 28 98 0 .279
    UTIL Nick Swisher 72 24 85 2 .261
    UTIL
    Total 1353 341 1397 218 .268
    Goal 838 211 804 163 .270
    % Goal 161% 162% 174% 134% 99%
    POS W K ERA WHIP SV
    SP Madison Bumgarner 16 195 3.28 1.08 0
    SP Mike Minor 11 181 3.87 1.22 0
    SP Aroldis Chapman 12 170 2.90 1.10 0
    SP Homer Bailey 16 188 3.57 1.20 0
    SP Doug Fister 13 145 3.49 1.17 0
    SP Josh Beckett 15 165 3.44 1.25 0
    SP Brandon Beachy 8 84 3.47 1.23 0
    RP Brandon League 1 49 3.89 1.28 17
    RP Jason Grilli 2 54 2.34 1.12 30
    RP Ryan Madson 2 54 3.90 1.24 30
    P
    P
    P
    Total 112 1473 3.45 1.18 77
    Goal 100 1330 3.44 1.24 92
    % Goal 112% 111% 100% 105% 84%

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Really like your team but did your goals seem like something for a smaller league than you have inset to. Still, I’d take that team in your league size any day. Nice work!

  2. Cole says:
    (link)

    I know that when we are drafting Segura, we are doing so as a SS SAGNOF , but I think his hitting tool is far more developed than he is given credit for by most major sites. His OBP in the minors was .367 over 6 years in the minors, including a .358 clip last year at AA. I agree with Grey’s projection of .282. I don’t think we can count on him for more than 8 HR, but is only a bit of luck on his HR/Fly ball rate from being a top 10 SS this year.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Agree, Segura is a good SS to target on all of what you said

  3. Jack Full of Hate says:
    (link)

    Just did my first RCL, as a professional i would like your opinion. I used no notes nor particular strategy. Just the knowledge i have gained since 2006, my first ever FB season.

    C Salvador Perez

    1B Adrian Gonzalez

    2B Dustin Pedroia

    3B Pablo Sandoval

    SS Danny Espinosa

    2B/SS Alcides Escobar

    1B/3B Ryan Howard

    OF Giancarlo Stanton

    OF B.J. Upton

    OF Andre Ethier

    OF Nick Markakis

    OF Denard Span

    UTIL Lance Berkman

    Bench David Ortiz

    Bench Chris Carter

    P Max Scherzer,

    P Jordan Zimmermann

    P Jeff Samardzija

    P A.J. Burnett

    P Josh Beckett

    P Brandon League

    P Kyuji Fujikawa

    P Bruce Rondon

    P Shaun Marcum

    Bench Ted Lilly,

    probably going to drop Lilly for another offensive bench player

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Overall not a bad looking team, though a few of your guys wouldn’t land on my roster (Berkman/Howard). I’m big on a deep pitching bench vs hitting but thats a personal preference. Think it’s a good way to start, you’ll eventually probably need to go steals/saves shopping but SAGNOF so it’s all good. Nice work!

      • Jack Full of Hate says:
        (link)

        @Sky: I always play sagnof with just average steals on draft day. never been too big on pitching because i always find some good talent in the FA. I always say you can’t find HR and RBI in FA pool. got Berkman in the 16th, which is past my throw away point, and Rudy makes a good argument for him, anyone batting in the 3 or 4 hole in Tex can play for me. Howard i took in the 8th, he’s my bounce back guy, got to gamble when everyone reads the same site. I honestly was surprised how many pitchers went off the board by the 8th round. I like getting markakis in the 17th and beckett in the 18th. and in honor of you I got Carter in the 24th

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          Oh I know re: Howard/Berkman. That’s why I was just saying not a fan.

          I agree about HRs and RBIs being harder to come by, that’s why I’m so excited about Carter, just like I was last year about Chris Davis and to a lesser extent LaRoche.

          I think you’re right about pitching you just have a different approach to it than I do. My draft strategy is to pretty much ignore 2B early and only maybe take Starlin if he’s around late enough. Outside that, SS can take a hike as well. Want to have a really strong 3 OF and two good 1B before the 10th is done and preferably 2 starters. That’s my approach going into my RCL this year.

          • Jack Full of Hate says:
            (link)

            @Sky: I have my next RCL draft in 7 minutes and i have the first pick

            • Sky

              Sky says:
              (link)

              Nice place to be. My first is on Tuesday. I’ve requested pseudo time off at 3PM. Basically closing my door at 3 and hope no emergency comes up.

              • Jack Full of Hate says:
                (link)

                @Sky: I can’t believe i got miggy, Goldy, and A jones with my first 3 picks. I’m not sure this group has razz regulars

              • Jack Full of Hate says:
                (link)

                @Sky: @Sky: I can’t believe i got miggy, Goldy, and A jones with my first 3 picks. I’m not sure this group has razz regulars

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
                  (link)

                  Yikes, no kidding. That’s a nice crop to start with.

                  • Jack Full of Hate says:
                    (link)

                    @Sky: followed by choo, greinke, matt Moore, Ike Davis

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
                      (link)

                      Other than my concerns with Grienke, youre totally nailing names I’d be all over in the draft right now

                  • Jack Full of Hate says:
                    (link)

                    @Sky: now peavy, andrus, Szmardja, and Chris davis as my 3rd OF

                    I have this hunch that andrus might step it up thsi year, he’s a Boras client and knows they are going to trade him, he might play his ass off

                    My staff is awesome!

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
                      (link)

                      That’s really cheap for Andrus. If he goes that low, forget what I said about Starlin low or bust, that’s nice! Davis slightly worries me due to strike out rate leading to a lower AVG. Peavy is either a steal or a worry, I’m out on him this year. Overall, impressive start!

                  • Jack Full of Hate says:
                    (link)

                    @Sky: I figure with my early picks i can take chances on Peavy and Davis. They fell real far. just grabbed G. Holland and roasrio

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
                      (link)

                      Nice! I’m glad to see Rosario not going too high. Gives me hope. Holland should be a solid closer this year.

  4. Dakota says:
    (link)

    I’ve got the #2 pick in a keeper league. The team with the first pick is taking Miggy. Trout is a keeper from last year so he’s not an option.

    I am torn about Braun. He’s a no brainer at #2 if it weren’t for all the PED speculation. You can’t win a league with your 1st round pick, but you can certainly lose it, and that’s what would likely happen if Braun gets hit with a suspension. Should I take the risk with Braun, or play it safe and go with a sure thing like R Cano?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Cano was mentioned in the same rumor…I’m going Braun there. Remember when Miggy was caught drunk driving and was slipping in drafts? Yeah, I don’t think making moves based on rumors and speculation is such a good idea.

  5. Thorbs says:
    (link)

    Thoughts on Hunter Morris possibly filling that 1B position?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      He was sent down on the 14th. Harts not out that long right now so anything they do is with a temporary mindset.

  6. Brady says:
    (link)

    What do you think of my staff?

    SP- Scherzer, J Zimmerman, Samardjiza, Niese, M Harvey, Fiers, Ryu
    RP-Soriano, Rivera, Cishek, Broxton

    Thanks!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Overall I like it. Not a huge Ryu fan but if Fiers/Ryu a SP6/7, hard to complain. Nice work!

  7. PhillyYorker says:
    (link)

    Yikes! Quick decision ahead. Estrada or Matt Harvey?

    Picked up Gomez. Wanted Aoki in worst way but no room for him. Only if he’s there as a FA after draft, which I doubt.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      I’m surprised they’re going near each other. I’ve been an Estrada fan since last year. He’d be the one I want but again surprised you can’t get both

  8. Jack Full of Hate says:
    (link)

    Utley or Uggla?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Don’t fully trust either but it’s Uggla for me

      • Jack Full of Hate says:
        (link)

        @Sky: didn’t get either

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          Blessing in disguise. 2B is a hole this year, might as well aim for late upside

          • Jack Full of Hate says:
            (link)

            @Sky: I just took Infante in my 3rd to last pick

  9. Jack Full of Hate says:
    (link)

    Rosario
    Goldschmidt
    Infante
    Andrus
    Hardy
    I. Davis
    Jones
    Choo
    C.Davis
    Fowler
    Bonifacio
    Berkman

    Bench
    Marte
    Cain
    Carpenter

    Greinke
    Moore
    Peavy
    Szmardja
    G. Holland
    Wilhelmsem
    AJ Burnett
    Beckett
    Friers

      • Jon F says:
        (link)

        @Jack Full of Hate: This Saturday I’ll draft first for the first-time ever. I’ll go Braun for the 5 cats and the next day it’ll be announced that suspensions are forthcoming.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Well other than our previous convos about not being big on bench hitters vs pitchers, I like the team. When did Gyorko go? Curious about how he’ll go in RCLs this year

      • Jack Full of Hate says:
        (link)

        @Sky: of the two MI darlings of grey, rutledge went 122 and 140, the 122 is the smarter league

        Gyorko went 229 in the smart league and 191 in the not so smart league

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          Well that gives me hope with my draft tomorrow RE: Gyorko. It’s sounding like Headley won’t be ready opening day. If it stretches into a DL stint, Gyorko might get dual eligibility in ESPN leagues and really bone over people who picked him up as their 2B in yahoo leagues.

          • Jack Full of Hate says:
            (link)

            @Sky: are his talents 3B worthy….offensively speaking

            • Sky

              Sky says:
              (link)

              He has 20+ HR power capability so maybe, but not a huge value there other than daily move opportunities/injuries. Yahoo has him as the 22nd best 3B available, nestled in between Michael Young and Marco Scutaro. If he does what he’s supposed to, I’d think he’s a top 20 3B but near the lower end.

Comments are closed.