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Rookie pitchers give you a roofie.  Rookie hitters give you agita.  So why do we keep going back for more like a guest on Montel?  It’s sorta like the old joke that Woody Allen quotes in Annie Hall.  We need the eggs.  Besides said eggs, if a rookie somehow/someway breaks out, he’ll help you win your championship.  If you draft properly in the first 7 to 10 rounds, your team will be competitive, but so should other teams.  It’s what you do after those rounds that makes the difference.  You’re not winning your league with Miggy in the first round, but you could with Zack Cozart in the 20th.  As wonky as that sounds, it’s true.  If you click on the player’s name, you’ll find whole posts and projections for each guy.  It’s like Santa woke up drunk in March.  Anyway, here’s some rookies to target for 2012 fantasy baseball:

Zack Cozart- Let’s see, I’ve written a rookie outlook post on Cozart, a sleeper post, he was in the shortstops to target, I mentioned him in numerous other posts…. What else do I have to say?  Nothing.  But the other day when the question of Daniel Murphy or Cozart came up, Rudy said Murphy, which is Rudy going with boring stability.  Then frequent commenter, Simply Fred, chimed in, “Cozart is ALL (Fred’s caps, not mine) about upside. Yes, he could be in the minors. Or he could break out and give you real production that you can’t get off the FA list.  Murphy is ranked #285 by Grey, 75/12/60/.275/5.  Those are numbers you can get any day/all day just rotating guys from the FA.  He has enough of a proven record that he has very little upside.  He’s had two MCL injuries in the last two years (didn’t even play in 2010), so he has considerable downside, as well.  In this instance, Cozart is the play for true upside potential.  Murphy has next to no value. What, you can’t find 12 HRs and 5 SBs by running matchups on a daily basis for that position?”  What Fred’s saying there (that I agree with), do you gamble a nickel to make back seven cents tops or do you gamble a nickel to make back a dollar?  You go for the dollar when your investment is so low.  In very deep leagues, there’s a stronger case to be made for Murphy when the next best case MI is Clint Barmes or someone dreadful.

Anthony Rizzo – At some point in the very near future, the Cubs are gonna go all rookie nookie on their fans.  It may not be April 1st (fooled ya!), it may not be June 1st (Carlos Zambrano’s Birthday!), it may not even be July 1st (though I think it will be by July 1st).  In deep daily and dynasty leagues, I could even see a scenario where you draft LaHair and Rizzo and wear a pink jacket and change your name to Stockard Channing.  Okay, maybe not so much the end part.

Jesus Montero – A weird thing happened on the way to Opening Day.  I was pretty sure everyone and their momma’s astrologer was crazy about Montero.  Then he went and got himself traded to fantasy baseball Siberia and no one wants him and his no catcher eligibility.  Guys and four girl readers, I still have his projections down for 55/17/70/.285 and he’ll be a catcher by the 2nd week of the season.  In most leagues, you don’t keep the last man you draft so take some schmohawk catcher and leave Montero on your bench for two weeks.  Or play Montero at utility for two weeks.  Minus a steal or two, he’s not that different than, say, Markakis.

Tyler Pastornicky – Like Cozart, Pastornicky has an everyday job locked in.  Unlike Cozart, he doesn’t have ten-plus homer power.  Could little Pastornicky make a deal with the devil and hit .300, I suppose, but it seems more likely that he’s gonna struggle to hit .250.  He’ll be a great flyer in NL-Only leagues, but he’s a but too risky for mixed league radars.  Of course, if he hits .350 in the month of April, that’ll all change.

Devin Mesoraco – Going for Mesoraco, his bat could be Jesus Montero in a better ballpark.  Going against him, Dusty.  Dusty said recently, “He’s one of two (catchers, not toothpicks).  Eventually, he’s going to be No. 1.  There are certain guys who work better with Hanigan than Mesoraco.  Now someone warm up Bailey, he only threw 150 pitches yesterday.”  It would shock me if Mesoraco gets more ABs than Hanigan, but that doesn’t mean he can’t get 300 ABs and hit 16 homers.  Think about Napoli when he was under the tyrannical rule of the Sciosciapath.

Bryce Harper – He’s already gone off to the minors, but he’ll be back like Matthew Lillard in Scream, but not like Lillard in The Descendants.  I like Clooney, I love Alexander Payne movies, how did I not like this movie?  This has confused me.  It’s one of the bigger letdowns I’ve had at the movies in recent years.  Big Momma’s House III, My Son’s Also A Crossdresser, however, did not disappoint.

Brett Jackson -  He’ll be back by July, maybe as early as June 1st when Alfonso Soriano, Marlon Byrd and DeJesus — or the portmanteau, Alf DeByrd — finally shows its creaky joints.

Mike Trout – Just throwing him in here for keepers/dynasty leagues, I really don’t think we see him in any large capacity this year.

Matt Moore – He’ll probably win the Cy Young and be the first rookie inducted into the Hall of Fame, bypassing that whole five years after retirement mishegoss.  Or at least most fantasy baseballers (<–my mom’s term) will have you believe that.  No one seems at all concerned by Moore.  I’m gonna on a limb and say he’s going to be great in spurts, but not overall for the whole year.  What’s really odd about this whole thing is no one seems to think Moore will stumble at all.  I mean, no one.  Try to find a negative word about Moore anywhere on the Internet.  TINSTAAPP –> There Is No Such Thing As A Pitching Prospect.

120 Responses

  1. AJ says:
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    Nolan Arenado once the Rockies realize that Casey Blake is Casey Blake.

    • Wilsonian says:
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      @AJ, True. I don’t think he provides a butt load of counting stats this year, but he could be good enough to shoot up the ranks in a Lawrie kinda way next year. Great call for deep keepers and dynasty leagues.

  2. Moscowitz says:
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    Man I laughed so hard….those posts including dusty and his pitchers are just epic. Thanks man, forget the rest, jjust cover the reds :D

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Moscowitz, Thanks!

  3. Ned Shakeshaft says:
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    I’ll make a template to save the readership some time:

    What? No (name) ___________ _________ ? Don’t you know he’s a lock for (quantity) ______ (statistical category) ___________ ?

    This site (action involving mouth) _______________ .

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ned Shakeshaft, Hehe

  4. jsp2014 says:
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    Love it when Grey breaks out the Yiddish.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @jsp2014, Oy

  5. polo says:
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    Madlibs!

    What? No Lloyd Dobbler? Don’t you know he’s a lock for 69 Tebows? This site tokes that charlie sheen.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @polo, Ha!

  6. thatonekid343 says:
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    Another good article, Grey…Thoughts on this trade? 12-tm, H2H, 7×7 (OPS, TB & QS, L) — I get: Longo, Zimmermann, Melky | I give: Panda, Gallardo, D. Gordon

    Here’s my team:
    C. Buster Posey
    1B. Joey Votto
    2B. Dan Uggla
    3B. Pablo Sandoval
    SS. Jimmy Rollins
    OF. Stanton, Pence, Jennings
    UTIL. D. Gordon
    BN. Bourjos, Rios

    P. Anibal, Beachy
    SP. Gallardo, Bumgarner
    RP. Street, Motte
    BN. Chacin, Jansen, Ervin Santana

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @thatonekid343, Sounds solid…

  7. VinWins

    VinWins says:
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    Last few RCL spots need to be filled for draft at 8:45 ET tonight.

    Email me for an invite:

    vinreich@zoho.com

  8. Paulie Allnuts

    Paulie Allnuts says:
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    Went out and drafted Mesoraco in the 21st round last night, so hoping that the Unsociable Sociapath either has an “unfortunate accident” or sees the light.

    And now my buddy Fred engaging in Mets Hate Speech. And Grey endorsing it. Murph’s gonna have a break-out year! Amazin!

    Grey, didn’t see Lillard in any of those movies, so missed the analogy. How does that translate for him getting to the Bigs?

    • Wilsonian says:
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      @Paulie Allnuts, Didn’t see The Descendants, but in Scream he says “I’ll be right baaaack” – which is a line you’re not supposed to say in horror movies because that means you’ll be getting the ax. I’m a little ashamed of myself that I know so much about Scream… But I’m assuming Grey doesn’t think Harper’s stay in the roadside automotive service will be too long.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Paulie Allnuts, Ha!

  9. Paulie Allnuts

    Paulie Allnuts says:
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    “Him” being Bryce Harper, of course, and not Lillard

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Paulie Allnuts, It doesn’t, I don’t think.

  10. LadyScorpio says:
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    Good article, Grey. Your articles are always good. Thanks for doing what you do and doing it well. I never miss reading your blog during baseball season. Too good to miss.

    Btw, I inquired in 1 of the forums (I forgot which 1) about my squad for this year, but neglected to give enough info about my league. I’m in a 10 team roto league (I’m the only female). Please let me know what you think of my team’s chances to win the gold.

    C – Avila
    1B -Votto
    2B – Kendrick
    SS – Aybar
    3B – Beltre
    OF – Stanton
    OF – Hamilton
    OF – Holliday
    U – Morse
    BN – J. Montero
    BN – Cozart
    SP – Bumgarner
    SP – Darvish
    RP – Walden
    RP – Francisco
    P – G. Holland
    P – Jansen
    P – McCarthy
    BN – Beachy
    BN – D. Hudson
    BN – Sale
    BN – liriano

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @LadyScorpio, Thanks! The hitting looks solid, the pitching could be okay, but is a little riskier… You need Darvish to perform… Could happen…

  11. mauledbypandas says:
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    Had my last draft.. went heavy on hitting, maybe too heavy

    Wilson Ramos, Wsh C
    Eric Hosmer, KC 1B
    Ian Kinsler, Tex 2B
    Evan Longoria, TB 3B
    Elvis Andrus, Tex SS
    Michael Young, Tex CI
    Howard Kendrick, LAA MI
    Billy Butler, KC UTIL
    Desmond Jennings, TB OF
    Jay Bruce, Cin OF
    Jason Heyward, Atl OF
    Shin-Soo Choo, Cle OF
    Logan Morrison, Mia OF
    Jhoulys Chacin, Col SP
    Derek Holland, Tex SP
    Stephen Strasburg, Wsh SP
    Shaun Marcum, Mil SP
    Tommy Milone, Oak SP
    Vance Worley, Phi SP
    Carlos Marmol, ChC RP
    Joe Nathan, Tex RP
    Frank Francisco, NYM RP
    Jim Johnson, Bal RP
    Brett Myers, Hou RP
    Greg Holland, KC RP

    Think my pitching will hold up? Hitting should be strong enough.

    • mauledbypandas says:
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      @mauledbypandas, forgot to mention. its a 7×7 with QS, K/9 and OPS/OBP

      • mauledbypandas says:
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        @mauledbypandas, 12 teams! wow i need coffee

    • Chunk says:
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      @mauledbypandas, Hitting looks awesome, pitching will be ok. Just be active on the wire early on, never know who this year’s beachy will be.

      Last year first pitcher I drafted was Bret Anderson in the 10th (16 team league.) Still finished in 2nd. There’s always hope when it comes to pitching.

      And poor me a cup, will you? Black.

      • mauledbypandas says:
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        @Chunk, thanks for the analysis. I’m hoping Milone will be this year’s Beachy. Possibly Oswalt though if he signs soon. Big disappointment with Anderson last year. I had him as well. I didn’t really intend to go quite so heavy on hitting, but people like Choo, Jennings, Butler, Heyward kept slipping. I trust that I can find pitchers better than hitters later in the season. Ended up with 6 possible closers as well, which is pretty amazing. SAGNOF!!

  12. The Ghost of Doc Ellis says:
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    My team is light on power and heavy on steals. Drop Desmond for Cozart? Scary, I know…thanks!

    • Moscowitz says:
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      @The Ghost of Doc Ellis, you expect cozart to upgrade your teams power stats?!

      • The Ghost of Doc Ellis says:
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        @Moscowitz, Ha! I knew that’d get me in trouble. I was just talking about Cozart over Desmond. I’ve had Desmond the past couple of years and while he’s consistent he’s also kind of blech. I was wondering if it’d be worth it to pick up Cozart and give a slight boost to power.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @The Ghost of Doc Ellis, Hold for now…

      • The Ghost of Doc Ellis says:
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        @Grey, Cool, thanks!

  13. barker says:
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    12 team league 4 pick bunch of extra stats ( use net sb and sv ) obp k bb 2b 3b and extra pitching hlds cg sho QS
    3 sp slots 3 relief slots 3 p spots 2 util

    whatcha think o wise one

    1. (4) Joey Votto 1B
    2. (21) Hanley Ramírez SS
    3. (28) Ian Kinsler 2B
    4. (45) Matt Holliday OF
    5. (52) David Wright 3B
    6. (69) B.J. Upton OF
    7. (76) Yovani Gallardo SP
    8. (93) Howie Kendrick 1B,2B,OF
    9. (100) Madison Bumgarner SP
    10. (117) Miguel Montero C
    11. (124) Jason Heyward OF
    12. (141) Billy Butler 1B
    13. (148) Shaun Marcum SP
    14. (165) Cory Luebke SP,RP
    15. (172) Jordan Walden RP
    16. (189) Sergio Santos RP
    17. (196) Jhoulys Chacin SP
    18. (213) Kenley Jansen RP
    19. (220) Francisco Liriano SP
    20. (237) Brett Myers SP
    21. (244) Matt Capps RP
    22. (261) Brennan Boesch OF
    23. (268) Scott Downs RP
    24. (285) Jim Johnson RP

    love the content and rankings so far — thanks so much

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @barker, Thanks! I think the team’s pitching is strong, and your hitting is solid though you are lacking a bit of upside… Hopefully Wright’s healthy…

  14. coco krispie says:
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    Grey or anyone, is there a good iphone app out there that manages multiple yahoo teams? and also gives alerts with breaking news (closer changes,etc.)?

    • Wilsonian says:
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      @coco krispie, I haven’t found one yet. Hell, Yahoo hasn’t even updated their own app for 2012 (at least for iOS, Android’s has updated). I’d like to know if there is one out there, too.

    • beardcrabs says:
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      @coco krispie, fantasy monster… it lets you access your yahoo and espn leagues on one app…

  15. Howard says:
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    @Grey Got an offer of CC for Holliday but would have to replace Holliday with Cespedes/Boesch. Do the deal? My pitching is pretty good with Lester, Hudson, Moore, Ubaldo, Darvish, Lewis. Is there such a thing a too MUCH pitching?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Howard, Hold

  16. 3FingersBrown says:
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    @Grey, Nice post. If I were Danny Murphy, I’d cry one lone tear. To be fair, his Yahoo position eligibility is pretty sweet and with the fences brought in at Metco, we might see a few more apples popping out of the hat. Then again, with the sort of luck the Mets have, he might contract flesh eating virus.

    FYI I think Yonder Alonso deserves a mention. Kid’s got skills, even though he plays in the land that HR’s forgot. 1B isn’t so deep this year, so I think he can be pretty useful. See Ned, I didn’t say Razzball (action involving mouth) _____________

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @3FingersBrown, Thanks! Ha! Yeah, Alonso’s okay, just hate Petco for hitters…

  17. Jim says:
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    Took S Marshall round 20th closer off board, that seem about right?

    • Chunk says:
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      @Jim, sounds about right. probably finishes the season better than 20th among rps

  18. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:
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    I blame the completely improbable plot point that someone would ever cheat on Clooney… he’s just so talented and dreamy. But actually, I haven’t seen The Descendants yet (no spoilers), so I don’t have an opinion on the movie… but I have been screaming that no one would ever cheat on Clooney since the first trailer was shown (and I’m starting to get a sore throat).

    • Dave says:
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      @Awesomus Maximus,

      Why are you so passionate about whether or not someone would ever cheat on George Clooney? It’s a bit unnerving.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Awesomus Maximus, But he’s detached?!

  19. ajk says:
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    now that oswalt is getting interest from the angels and Cards, where would you pick him (if at all) in a very deep 20 team mixed league

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @ajk, I wouldn’t yet…

  20. Adam says:
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    Grey – great post. In a 10 team (25 man roster), first year keeper league where would you target these guys?

    Cozart – round 15-16?
    Rizzo – round 22-23?
    Montero – round 11-12?
    Pastornicky – round 26-27?
    Mesoraco – round 21-22?
    Harper – round 15-16?
    Jackson – round 24-25?
    Trout – round 14-15?
    Moore – round 8-9?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Adam, Thanks! Those numbers sound about right except Mesoraco, more like 22nd… Assuming you have room on your bench for Trout, Rizzo and others who aren’t up yet…

  21. Chunk says:
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    Pick a side, please!

    Uggla and Kendrys

    for

    Altuve and J. Upton

    Thanks

    • Sweeney says:
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      @Chunk, Upton and Altuve. Depends on your need for speed though.

      • Chunk says:
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        @Sweeney, thanks and agreed. Initially I was on the upton side all the way, but as I stare at it longer it’s starting to look more even.

        I think it comes down to projected at bats for Kendrys. If he was guaranteed 450 then man, I dunno

        • Dave says:
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          @Chunk,

          Gotta play it safe here and go with the Upton side I think.

          Who knows what the Sciosciapath is gonna do with a DH only candidate, 2 years removed from relevance. I can see Trumbo and Abreu stealing plenty of ABs, and that’s before taking into account Morales’ re-injury risk.

    • chata says:
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      @Chunk,

      uggla side .
      not even close .

  22. ChuckieHacks says:
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    DLing Carpenter. Who to pick up – Stauffer, Lynn or Henderson Alvarez?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @ChuckieHacks, Stauffer

  23. Steve Stevenson says:
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    H2H, which bat do you like best for the Japan series–Smoak, Carp, Suzuki or Seth Smith? Limited moves, 1 roster spot to play with. Could keep Suzuki through week 1 while waiting for Jesus to get C eligibility, otherwise I’d have to drop the bat for another C next week.

    Also, 12-team roto draft, I’d normally grab a top 1B (Votto, A. Gonzalez) where I’m picking in rd 1, but this year a LOT of top OF are being kept, such that the best available by the time my 2nd rd pick rolls around would probably be someone like Pence. Given that, would you go J. Upton in rd 1 and grab a Teixeira or Hosmer later, or stick with a 1B in rd 1 and hope that mid-tier OF are available in the middle rounds?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Steve Stevenson, Carp… Sure, Upton’s fine as long as you get Tex…

  24. The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
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    re: Brett Jackson: – Cubs announced that they’re opened to trading Byrd yesterday

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @The Talented Mr. Dope Man, Nice

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @The Talented Mr. Dope Man, BTW, of course they are… Emoticon…

  25. MikeZ says:
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    12 team 5×5 league with no bench — I have to drop one pitcher before the Japan game tomorrow. Who would you drop: Bud Norris or Greg Holland?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @MikeZ, Norris

  26. joe from point pleasant says:
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    The Rays annouced that Jeff Niemann has won the 5th starter battle in Tampa.

    Last year he showed signs of breaking out, with three games of 10+ strikeouts, two of which were against Boston.

    He pitches in the AL Central you say? Yea, that is tough, but he was amazing vs the Central in 8 starts last year.

    5-1 with a 2.85 era, and 41 k’s in 47.1 ip (7.8 k/9) with only 34 hits and 13 walks good for a whip of 0.99

    That being said, what are your thoughts on Niemann now that he’s won the 5th starter job in Tampa?

    • L-Boogie says:
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      @joe from point pleasant, I wouldn’t say he pitches in the AL Central.

      • Bombo Rivera says:
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        @L-Boogie, ESPN suffers from a Central coast bias.

        • VinWins

          VinWins says:
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          @Bombo Rivera, Ha!

      • Dave says:
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        @L-Boogie,

        Couldn’t have worded it any more perfectly Boogie! Just a typo by Bombo but that was really funny.

        • joe from point pleasant says:
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          LOL, I meant AL East, I’m a Reds fan, so i’m used to saying central, my misake.

          • L-Boogie says:
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            @joe from point pleasant, No biggy. Typos like i before e are easily ignored. But mistakes like hyping up a pitchers performance against the dreaded AL Central? Well, I just couldn’t resist.

            And I’m a big Reds fan too. At least this year. Votto, Bruce and Heisey on my fantasy team.

  27. Peter says:
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    Boesch or Hunter?

    The hype around Boesch is pressuring me to pick him up. As of now, Hunter is my bench option.

    12 Team League (non-keeper) (H2H)

    C – Jesus Montero (14)
    1B – Eric Hosmer (12)
    2B – Dan Uggla (5)
    3B – Alex Rodriguez (4)
    SS – Hanley Ramirez (2)
    OF – Carlos Gonzalez (1)
    OF – Shin Soo Choo (6)
    OF – Desmond Jennings (8)
    UT – Adam Lind (15)
    BN – Tori Hunter (19)
    BN – Mike Aviles (Picked off waiver)

    SP – Jered Weaver (3)
    SP – Yu Darvish (7)
    P – Brandon Beachy (9)
    P – Ubaldo Jimenez (10)
    P – Cory Luebke (11)
    CL – Sergio Santos (13)
    CL – Chris Perez (18)
    BN – Brandon McCarthy (17)
    BN – Jake Peavy (20)

    • BobbyVCard says:
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      @Peter, Boesch > Aviles

  28. ashtonkorver says:
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    Does it make sense to hold on to Cozart if I’m already rocking Dee Gordon on the ole roster? I was thinking of dropping Cozy for Fowler or David Hernandez. Yeah, neah

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @ashtonkorver, Nah

  29. BobbyVCard says:
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    I need to get rid of Brian Fuentes. Who’s the better add, Addison Reed, Edwin Jackson, or Daniel Bard?
    My team is hurting for saves, with Matt Thornton and Pestano as my only RP’s.

    • AL KOHOLIC says:
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      @BobbyVCard, reed,he wont be getting any real soon though,unless your only closer is stinking,can you grab lidge for a few cheap saves maybe

  30. Dad says:
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    @Grey/Anone: I’m in my first keeper league (16-teams) and I need to choose 5 keepers from:

    Longoria
    Elvis Andrus
    Greinke
    B Phillips
    Bumgarner
    Adam Jones
    Heyward
    Napoli
    Ryan Howard
    Strasburg
    Ian Kennedy

    These are listed by Grey’s rankings, but I’m not sure if there is any strategy (considering I don’t know who’s keeping who until the draft starts) aside just keeping your top 5 via the rankings/gut.

    3 position players/2 pitchers?
    Just best 5 talent?
    The Napoli and first base situation (Howard) are throwing me off. I can obviously stash Howard on the DL as soon as it lets me, but it’s a deep 16-team league with way too many bench spots.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Dad, Longoria, Andrus, Greinke, Phillips, Napoli… I’d grab another 1st baseman if possible and have Napoli catch…

    • Chris says:
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      @Dad,

      Would help to know how long you can keep these guys, or if there’s any picks lost depending on who you keep.

      But assuming you can keep these players indefinitely, at no draft pick cost, my list would be….

      Longoria
      Andrus
      Napoli
      Greinke
      Strasburg

      Suppose you can sub in Phillips for Napoli if you wish, but I’d rather go with Napoli of the 2. Phillips has been on a slow (but mild) decline for a while now, whereas Napoli is coming off a really dominant season. And I just prefer Greinke and Stras to Bumgarner.

      • Chris says:
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        @Chris,

        Though I would definitely defer to Grey’s picks if there is any doubt!

  31. CL says:
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    Soooo… you are or are NOT a fan of me just trading Dom Brown away for Gerrit Cole in my dynasty league?! I’m happy… plus the other guy just outright dumped Dom the other day.

  32. Adam says:
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    Grey can you give my team a looksy and let me know what you thinky?

    12 team H2H 5×5…had 11th pick.

    C- Jesus Montero ( Soto Caddying until he gains elig)
    1b- Votto
    2b- Uggla
    ss-Aybar
    3b- Longoria
    0f-Morse
    0f-Heyward
    0f-Gardner
    util-Lind
    util- Moustakas (a weak spot…probably need to work the wire for something better here)

    SP- Grienke
    SP- MadBum
    Sp- Garza
    Sp- Hudson
    Sp-Cahill
    Sp- Worley
    Sp- Peavy
    Sp-Baker
    RP- S. Santos
    RP- B. Myers
    RP- Jansen
    RP- Pestano

    I went a little pitcher heavy earlier than I normally would or than you would suggest but it was just how the draft unfolded. I was sitting in the 6th and really didn’t want Desmond Jennings when I already had an avg. killer like Uggla and so I decided to take the value of MadBum in that spot. As a result my OF isn’t super sexy but If Heyward can bounce back it could be solid.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Adam, You’re too pitcher heavy… Your team is light on power and average and heavy on speed… League is very shallow though, so you can fix things in-season…

      • Adam says:
        (link)

        @Grey,

        Thanks Grey. That’s what I felt too. I’ll likely be looking to deal a pitcher for a power bat at some point.

  33. Howie Met Your Mother says:
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    @Grey/Anyone:

    I’m in a weird 9×7, 12 team H2H league. The extra 2 pitching categories are HRs allowed and K/9. The extra 4 hitting categories are singles, doubles, triples and OBP.

    Can you take a quick look over this roster and point out any glaring weaknesses?

    C: Soto
    1B: Votto
    2B: Ackley (love his potential to contribute in doubles/triples)
    SS: Castro
    3B: Longoria
    OF: Pence
    OF: Bruce
    OF: Heyward
    UTL: Lawrie (HAD to get him when he slipped to late 6th round).
    BENCH: Ike Davis, Fowler (for steals/triples), K. Johnson

    SP: Wainwright
    SP: Latos
    SP: Zimermann
    SP: Romero
    SP: Cueto
    SP: Cahill
    SP: Vogelsong
    RP: S. Santos
    RP: Guerra
    RP: Marshall
    RP: Thornton
    RP: D. Robertson

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Howie Met Your Mother, Your team looks okay, I don’t love Ackley or Wainwright, but I could be wrong, I guess… Pitching looks a little wonky to me though…

  34. Ryan says:
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    I am in a 20 team h2h dynasty league. I just got offered kemp anibal Sanchez and Moreland for fielder bourjos lester. Do I consider this deal?

    c jp arencibia
    1b miguel cabrera
    2b neil walker
    ss yunel escobar
    3b evan longoria
    inf prince fielder
    lf carl crawford
    cf peter bourjos
    rf justin upton
    of carlos lee
    util vernon wells
    bn ryan lavernway
    Bn miguel Sano
    Bn mat gamel
    sp clayton kershaw
    sp cliff lee
    sp ubaldo jiminez
    sp jon lester
    rp jason motte
    rp matt throton
    rp matt reynolds
    rp matt capps
    p scott downs
    p brad peacock
    bn aaron harang
    bn scott downs
    bn garrett richards
    bn blake beaven
    bn brian matusz

    • Wilsonian says:
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      @Ryan, Although when you see Kemp, you think you gotta jump at it, but you’re losing 2 of the 3 swaps. Fielder is obviously better than Moreland. Lester is better than Anibal. And Kemp is better than Bourjos. That’s tough, I’d probably say no. But I’ll leave it up to Grey for the call.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ryan, Take Kemp…

  35. zzzzzz says:
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    What is Rizzo’s max potential (not this year)? 30+ HR guy with good avg?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @zzzzzz, Give or take, yeah…

  36. Anthony says:
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    @GREY:

    12 Man league H2h – DRAFTED 3rd. What do you think of this team:

    C. Avila
    1b. Pujols
    2b. Michael Young
    3b. Pablo Sandoval
    SS. Emilio Bonifacio
    OF. Curtis Granderson
    OF. Adam Jones
    OF. Carlos Beltran
    Util. Jemile Weeks
    BN. Brennan Boesch
    BN. Carlos Lee

    SP. Dan Haren
    SP. Shields
    SP. Sanchez
    P. Cueto
    P. Fister
    P. Scott Baker
    RP. Heath Bell
    RP. Jim Johnson
    RP. Frank Francisco

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Anthony, I think your team looks a bit wonky in the outfield, but not terrible… I like the hitting better than the pitching, but Weeks shouldn’t play there over Boesch or other power…

  37. ben says:
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    grey,
    just finished an auction draft in an 11 team league with K/BB. ended up with a solid pitching staff:
    Hamels
    Latos
    Beachy
    Tommy Hanson
    Daniel Hudson
    Shaun Marcum
    Mike Minor
    Sergio Santos
    Kenley Jansen
    Greg Holland
    Vinnie Pestano
    Koji Uehara

    I share your love of middle relievers with nice strikeout rates. But as a result, Santos is my only closer right now. Do you think I should trade one of my starters for a mid tier closer? I know the value wouldn’t necessarily be great but because I have so many starters I was thinking of trading Hanson or Marcum for someone like Walden or Betancourt. Let me know what you think thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @ben, Don’t trade for a closer.

  38. Iron Mike says:
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    First time commenter. Been following the site all spring, love it.

    I got the first pick tonight in a 14-team first year keeper draft. I really did not want the first pick at all. Who should I take? No Prince for Braun. More depth at OF. Suggestions please?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Iron Mike, Thanks! Miggy…

  39. LobBall says:
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    My last 4 draft choices (and thus ending up on my bench) in a 10 team deep Roto are:

    Bay
    LaHair
    Headley
    B. Harper

    Should I switch out any or all of these guys for these still available players? (position not important):

    Moreland
    Thames
    Gamel
    D. Brown
    Helton

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @LobBall, Thames, Gamel over Bay, Headley…

  40. Steve 2.0 says:
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    Grey, got two trade questions for you. Someone offered me Daniel Hudson for Jimenez and Espinosa. I feel like I should do it, what about you?

    I’m okay with Aybar, but somehow I’m pushing for Hanley. How much would you give up for him? A package around Lincecum + Hosmer/Aramis? Or should I keep Lince? Thanks!

    C: Brian McCann (Atl – C)
    1B: Pablo Sandoval (SF – 1B,3B)
    2B: Howie Kendrick (LAA – 1B,2B,LF)
    3B: Aramis Ramirez (Mil – 3B)
    SS: Erick Aybar (LAA – SS)
    CI: Eric Hosmer (KC – 1B)
    MI: Danny Espinosa (Was – 2B)
    LF: Logan Morrison (Mia – LF)
    CF: Matt Kemp (LAD – CF)
    RF: Justin Upton (Ari – RF)
    OF: Adam Jones (Bal – CF)
    Util: Vernon Wells (LAA – LF,CF,RF)
    BN: Brandon Belt (SF – 1B,LF)
    BN: Lorenzo Cain (KC – OF)
    BN: Aaron Hill (Ari – 2B)

    SP: Tim Lincecum (SF – SP)
    SP: Madison Bumgarner (SF – SP)
    RP: Brian Wilson (SF – RP)
    RP: Jose Valverde (Det – RP)
    P: Mat Latos (Cin – SP)
    P: Anibal Sanchez (Mia – SP)
    P: Ubaldo Jimenez (Cle – SP)
    P: Huston Street (SD – RP)
    BN: Derek Holland (Tex – SP)
    BN: Henry Rodriguez (Was – RP)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Steve 2.0, Take Hudson… Keep Lincecum…

  41. TheNewGuy says:
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    On the lookout for a big 1B bopper and have pitching to deal. Hows Hanley and Cain for A-Gonz and Victorino sound. Tad optimistic?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @TheNewGuy, Sounds fair…

    • chata says:
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      @TheNewGuy,

      i’m keeping a-gon

  42. xopchipili says:
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    Jack Cust cut by the Stros. Could we have seen Cust Kayin for the last time? A sad day in Razztown.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @xopchipili, Aw…

  43. TualatinTwoStep says:
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    Grey – with Chisenhall sent down today, who do I roll with at 3B in my 12 team dynasty league until HanRam gets eligibility at third and I can slide Dee Gordon in at short: Ian Stewart, Mat Gamel, Casey McGehee, Chone Figgins, Chris Davis, Mike Aviles, Danny Valencia? I was leaning Stewart.

    Also with my depth issues at 3B what do you think of a Michael Pineda/Danny Espinosa for Moosetacos and Bourjos deal for me? The guy who has Moosetacos has 2 other solid 3B’s and he wants Pineda and has Utley at 2B. I’d still have Greinke, MadBum, D Hudson and Morrow as my top 4 SP’s and would use a Rickie Weeks/Aaron Hill combo at 2nd. I tried to get him to take Weeks but he hates the guy, lol.

    Thanks man!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @TualatinTwoStep, Dammit! I had him in a league… Stewart’s fine… Don’t love that trade…

      • TualatinTwoStep says:
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        @Grey, yeah I had Chis in a couple leagues, super lame. If you cant beat out Jack Hananananahanahan for a job you probably just suck.

        So you think I should hold Pineda?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          @TualatinTwoStep, Not really, but that trade isn’t great…

  44. Wake Up says:
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    Big Momma’s House…is that the one where the black guy dresses like the older, fatter woman? Or the Robin Williams one where he does coke and watches kids, on coke, and talks fast, on coke? Oh, those are so much fun! They should do an in-depth look at how they get the black guy to look like a older, fatter woman! Oh we would all watch and we would all have so much fun! How do they do that? And how do none of the characters realize that it’s not really a older, fatter woman at all, it’s a black guy!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Wake Up, It’s the 2nd one…

  45. L-Boogie says:
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    Had my big $$$ league draft last night. 12 team, 5×5 roto. I started Razzin it up right after my draft last year so this is my first draft in this league since. Tell me how I did in my “rookie year”.

    C Doumit (17)
    C Pierzynski (23)
    1B Votto (1)
    2B Kinsler (2)
    3B Sandoval (4)
    SS Aybar (11)
    MI Johnson (14)
    CI Lind (12)
    OF McCutchen (3)
    OF Bruce (5)
    OF Victorino (7)
    OF Duda (15)
    OF Rasmus (19)
    DH Fowler (18)

    Bench Heisey (25)

    P Bumgarner (6)
    P Garza (7)
    P G Gonzalez (8)
    P Marcum (13)
    P J Sanchez (20)
    P Axford (9)
    P Motte (16)

    Bench G Holland (24)
    Bench B Myers (21)
    Bench Peavy (26)
    Bench Volquez (22)

    My team would be much better in a 0 catcher league. Took closers way too early (partner insisted). I’m also a smidge speed heavy and power hungry.

    1) Other than that, how’s it looking? Best team ever, right?

    2) Drop Myers for undrafted Thornton?

    3) Drop Peavy and/or Volquez for upside of Lynn, Milone, and/or Henderson Alvarez?

    Thanks dude.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @L-Boogie, Hold Myers… Volquez for Lynn… Team looks really solid, nice hitting and pitching, not much to complain about…

      • L-Boogie says:
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        @Grey, Thanks man. You shouldn’t find much to complain about considering I based my picks on your rankings (smiley emoti-dookickey thingy).

  46. joel says:
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    Grey: in my 12 team h2h league, my sps are cliff lee, bumgartner, derek holland, sherzer, norris and Danks. MY RPs are a shambles, with santos, sean marshall (I had Madson go down), brett myers and Lidge. I’ve been offered Yu Darvish and Broxton for Bumgartner. What do you think?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @joel, Hold

  47. Grey

    Grey says:
    (link)

    ****THERE’S A NEW POST FOR FOLLOWUPS.****

  48. DjlanceRauch says:
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    Need a 2b/ss. Light on steals. Should I pick up Espinosa, or take a flier on Cozart?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Espinosa

  49. K76154 says:
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    I have Angel Pagan in FA and considering to drop Aaron Hill, Mat Gamel, or Mike Aviles for him. Should I drop any of them for Pagan? Or just leave Pagan in FA? The stats categories are R RBI SB TB AVG OBP. Since it has OBP, Aviles may be a liability in this league, but his multi position eligibility and being in Boston is very valuable.

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