dont zzzzzzz on Billy Butler…will he hit .300 again?..no but i like .290 and his 20 homers late

What happened to Cory Hart?

Is it indicative of a recreational “lets-see-how-this-feels” use? Or could he be using it to mask the pain from a lingering injury?

Tell me I’m being overly paranoid.

A guy who hits 40 HR while stealing zero bases is worth less than a 20-20 guy because steals are rarer than HR.

If A-Gonz played 2B, 3B or SS it would be a different story, then he would be more valuable, but 1B is soooooo deep.

My choices are between (draft round in parentheses): Chase Utley (1), Roy Halladay (7), Grady Sizemore (11), Jason Bay (11), Chris Carpenter (11), Jayson Werth (13). This is a snake draft, and I pick last in the 1st round, first in the 2nd, and so on. Also, if you have multiple keepers from the same draft round, the second keeper is taken a round later (so I could take Sizemore in 11 and Carp in 12).

So, thoughts?

@Jim: I’d try and move him for a 1B or move Utley for one.

@Neil: It’s more of a wont for a 1st baseman and his consistency of numbers. He’s now had 4 straight years of 155 games or more and he’s 27 years old.

But A-Gonz is always way overvalued, largely because of the ballpark and terrible supporting cast (which limits his runs/RBI). Last year he went:

.277, 40 HR, 90 runs (with a 17% BB% and .407 OBP), 99 RBI, no speed. That made him #75 on the ESPN player rater. A-Gonz would be a monster on a real team, but on the Padres, he will give you Adam Dunn numbers plus 30 points of AVG. Not second round value, not by a long shot.

Help a guy out. Long story, but I have both Kinsler and Utley. The schmohawks in my league don’t value Kinsler as much as I do so I stole him late in the second round last year of a keeper league I joined. My league does not use MI position, so Kinsler was my utility guy all year with Utley at 2nd. Do I keep him at utility next year or do I try to move him for a first baseman, which I need. Carrying both 2B kills me on RBI and OPS.

Thanks
Jim

Suckers.

WHIP the most stable, by a good margin, then Ks; ERA quite eratic (didn’t bother to track Ws).

Besides that I personally have my doubts that he’ll hit 20 HRs, his career best before ’09 was 13. In ’08 with a career high in ABs he hit 9 homers. If Mauer has a year like he did in ’08 you’re basically getting Robinson Cano minus 15 hrs.

@sean: Great upside, huge injury risk. Same old, same old.

Also, are Wright + Howard = strawberry hill + chili dog? I deduce from the context that you recommend this combination, but that sounds retched. Retched enough that I have to try it.

Lastly, does anyone know what stat (of HR, R, SB, RBI and AVG) is most subject to luck? My gut says AVG, but I can’t find any articles addressing the question.