last year i reached heavily for sandoval, hanson (to an extent), and votto and was rewarded heavily. if he’s typically going in the 7th round and my mind says he’s 5th round talent, i’ll draft him in the 5th round. it’s more about players i want than what his ADP is.

Does anyone know if there’s a database out there with “stolen bases allowed” or something like that for pitchers? I know Chris Young is the king of this but who else can i take advantage of?

Click on “Leaders” at the top to get previous years’ stats, then click on “pitchers” then click “Advanced”. That’ll take you here:
http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&lg=all&qual=y&type=1&season=2009&month=0

or click on “Projections” instead of Leaders to get projections for 2010.

@Rabbit: Fangraphs has it.

@DrEasy: Yup.

@GopherDay: Those rounds make a little more sense.

@mikeyc: 164 is crazy. I’d wait until the 10th or 11th round there. Lind, Jones and Ethier…

@maddogrusso: Oswalt’s a good boring guy. Those other guys are just boring. That staff is a bit too heavy on upside.

@LastingsMilledge: I have a top 20 closer list to look at. And all of the closers will be coming on Thursday. I really don’t have too many preferences. Dotel, Bell, Aardsma, Soriano… They’re all good.

Round 1
(1) dkmode_54 – Albert Pujols (StL – 1B)
(2) the_house34 – Hanley Ramírez (Fla – SS)
(3) Alex – Álex Rodríguez (NYY – 3B)
(4) Brian H – Ryan Braun (Mil – OF)
(5) scott – Chase Utley (Phi – 2B)
(6) BLee – Joe Mauer (Min – C)
(7) tribe – Miguel Cabrera (Det – 1B)
(8) Pronk – Tim Lincecum (SF – SP)
(9) TA – Mark Teixeira (NYY – 1B)
(10) mike – Ryan Howard (Phi – 1B)
(11) John – Matt Kemp (LAD – OF)
(12) C.J. – Prince Fielder (Mil – 1B)

Round 2
(1) C.J. – Matt Holliday (StL – OF)
(2) John – Evan Longoria (TB – 3B)
(3) mike – David Wright (NYM – 3B)
(4) TA – Roy Halladay (Phi – SP)
(5) Pronk – Ian Kinsler (Tex – 2B)
(6) tribe – Carl Crawford (TB – OF)
(7) BLee – Troy Tulowitzki (Col – SS)
(8) scott – Joey Votto (Cin – 1B)
(9) Brian H – José Reyes (NYM – SS)
(10) Alex – Justin Upton (Ari – OF)
(11) the_house34 – Adrián González (SD – 1B)
(12) dkmode_54 – Grady Sizemore (Cle – OF)

Round 3
(1) dkmode_54 – Pablo Sandoval (SF – 1B,3B)
(2) the_house34 – Kevin Youkilis (Bos – 1B,3B)
(3) Alex – Jacoby Ellsbury (Bos – OF)
(4) Brian H – Zack Greinke (KC – SP)
(5) scott – Mark Reynolds (Ari – 1B,3B)
(6) BLee – Ryan Zimmerman (Was – 3B)
(7) tribe – CC Sabathia (NYY – SP)
(8) Pronk – Félix Hernández (Sea – SP)
(9) TA – Chris Carpenter (StL – SP)
(10) mike – Jimmy Rollins (Phi – SS)
(11) John – Justin Morneau (Min – 1B)
(12) C.J. – Derek Jeter (NYY – SS)

Round 4
(1) C.J. – Robinson Canó (NYY – 2B)
(2) John – Brandon Phillips (Cin – 2B)
(3) mike – Ichiro Suzuki (Sea – OF)
(4) TA – Curtis Granderson (NYY – OF)
(5) Pronk – Kendry Morales (LAA – 1B)
(6) tribe – Brian McCann (Atl – C)
(7) BLee – Dan Haren (Ari – SP)
(8) scott – Johan Santana (NYM – SP)
(9) Brian H – Víctor Martínez (Bos – C,1B)
(10) Alex – Dustin Pedroia (Bos – 2B)
(11) the_house34 – Brian Roberts (Bal – 2B)
(12) dkmode_54 – Ben Zobrist (TB – 2B,SS,OF)

My team: (Could you take a quick look at it?) I didn’t really study up on it, but here it is.

1. Matt Kemp (LAD – OF)
2. Evan Longoria (TB – 3B)
3. Justin Morneau (Min – 1B)
4. Brandon Phillips (Cin – 2B)
5. Jayson Werth (Phi – OF)
6. Josh Hamilton (Tex – OF)
7. Cole Hamels (Phi – SP)
8. Nelson Cruz (Tex – OF)
9. Matt Wieters (Bal – C)
10. A.J. Burnett (NYY – SP)
11. Carlos Mármol (ChC – RP)
12. Ian Stewart (Col – 2B,3B)
13. David Aardsma (Sea – RP)
14. Kevin Slowey (Min – SP)
15. Johnny Cueto (Cin – SP)
16. Mike González (Bal – RP)
17. Michael Wuertz (Oak – RP)
18. Joba Chamberlain (NYY – SP)
19. Alcides Escobar (Mil – SS)
20. Phil Hughes (NYY – SP,RP)
21. Ervin Santana (LAA – SP)
22. Nick Blackburn (Min – SP)
23. Matt Lindstrom (Hou – RP)

When you see a player’s projection (Utility), you need to also look at the risk associated with that projection (Probability). It’s the combination of both (Expectation) that leads to the player’s ranking.

@royce!: Doesn’t look too bad. Even looks decent after you checked out. Well, except for the last two picks.

@mikeyc: Prince and Longoria sounds solid. Reyes at 48 is silly.

jose reyes being ranked 48 is amazing! i will glady take at any point in the fourth round!

My first mock (I skipped out after round 17- the ole ball n chain got home from work):

1. Matt Kemp (LAD – OF)
2. Ian Kinsler (Tex – 2B)
3. Jimmy Rollins (Phi – SS)
4. Kendry Morales (LAA – 1B)
5. Curtis Granderson (NYY – OF)
6. Adam Dunn (Was – 1B,OF)
7. Ricky Nolasco (Fla – SP)
8. Cole Hamels (Phi – SP)
9. Gordon Beckham (CWS – 3B)
10. Heath Bell (SD – RP)
11. Ian Stewart (Col – 2B,3B)
12. Roy Oswalt (Hou – SP)
13. A.J. Burnett (NYY – SP)
14. Francisco Cordero (Cin – RP)
15. Miguel Montero (Ari – C)
16. David Price (TB – SP)
17. Johnny Cueto (Cin – SP)
18. Nolan Reimold (Bal – OF)
19. Garrett Jones (Pit – 1B,OF)
20. Kevin Gregg (Tor – RP)
21. Drew Stubbs (Cin – OF)
22. Dan Wheeler (TB – RP)
23. Jeff Francoeur (NYM – OF)

I don’t think this team is ideal, but it was interesting to see where people were getting drafted. Robot Jones could be a really big steal for teams that somehow miss out on an elite 1B. Anyhow, good times!

Andrus remains at 111 and Borbon a WHOPPING two picks later at 113.

Whose the lucky fella to be featured in that delicious upside/sagnof sandwich at 112 you ask?

A very bland John Danks

I’m disappointed about Julio Borbon and Longoria/Tulo being so high, but otherwise this looks highly exploitable. Where are Ian Kinsler, Joey Votto and Ryan Zimmerman ranked?