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We at Razzball realize that exporting our views across the country has damaging consequences on the blogosphere. To help make amends, we are reaching out to leading team blogs and featuring their locally blogged answers to pressing 2010 fantasy baseball questions regarding their team. We feel this approach will be fresher, more sustainable, and require less energy consumption (for us anyway). The 2010 Braves Fantasy Baseball Preview comes courtesy of Braves Journal.

1) The Braves expected 1st baseman is Troy Glaus, but I think they might have signed him to make Prado look fast and to make Chipper look resilient to injury.  Do you think Glaus can make it through the season?  If so, what kind of numbers can we expect from him?

Obviously he can, but I wouldn’t expect him to avoid the IR the whole time.  I don’t think that the Braves do either, hence the signing of Eric Hinske.  I think Glaus will play about 125 games and hit 25-30 homers, and probably bat about .250 but with enough walks to get him into the .350 OBP range.

2) I’m going on two years of excitement for Jason Heyward.  Do we finally see him this year?  If so, when and what kind of predictions do you see for him?

Given the current Braves outfield, which has basically one player (Nate McLouth) who’s really a major league regular, plus one good part-timer (Diaz) and one born bench player (the Melkysaurus), it would be stunning if Heyward didn’t play at some point.  Right now, it’s 50-50 he starts the season in the majors.  It could change if the Braves sign Johnny Damon.

If Heyward plays, I wouldn’t be too optimistic, as he’s still very young.  I’d say .270/.330/.420.

3) Between the majors and minors, Tommy Hanson threw 194 innings last year after throwing 138 IP in 2008.  Does that innings bump worry you?  Can he stay healthy in 2010?

Everything worries me.  The jump isn’t quite as big as the stats indicate since he pitched in the AFL in 2008.  I think he’ll stay mostly healthy, but probably go through a dead-arm period.

4)  Tim Hudson will throw 175 innings of sub-3.50 ERA ball in 2010.  True or false and why.

If I had to guess, yes on the former, no on the latter.  I think he’ll have two or three spectacularly awful starts that will skew his ERA. He was throwing at a higher velocity last year, but with occasional wildness, and I doubt it’s all out of his system yet.

5)  With Chipper, Yunel and now Melky, the Braves have some of the best first names in baseball. McLouth, McCann and Dye-as are decent enough last names.  Derek Lowe, Billy Wagner and Tommy Hanson work when you say the whole name.  But what do we do with Jair Jurrjens?  I call him Jar-Jar, but meesa tinks that’s dated.  There’s got to be a better nickname.  Right?

I’ve never gotten a handle on his name either.  The best I can come up with is something involving Jurgens shampoo (I have a friend who calls him Jurgens).

61 Responses

  1. Steve says:
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    Don’t overlook the Hinske signing. It virtually guarantees the Braves a trip to the World Series.

  2. Grimlock says:
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    Grey, if Jurrjens surprises all of the pundits and puts up something resembling a repeat performance in 2010 (which I think is possible – two years running he has outperformed his FIP – some guys are just better at inducing weak contact), you are legally required to refer to him as Ja Rule.

    Or he could be Ja Rule on his good days and Ja Fail (?!) on his bad days. I dunno…work with it.

  3. big o says:
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    air-jair ??

  4. Eddy says:
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    Hey Grey, in a Hits instead of average league does Ichiro become a first rounder?

  5. E K says:
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    You mention “if” the Braves sign Damon it could delay Heywards pro debut. But you fail to mention they traded for Melkey. Doesn’t that factor in to things???

  6. E K says:
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    Never mind…..I didn’t pick up on “the Melkysaurus”.

  7. JonNY says:
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    I need help deciding my 3rd keeper. I’ve already got Pujols and Fielder. Who should I pick between Reynolds, Justin Upton, Jeter and Greinke? any advice is appreciated!

  8. Clyde Prompto says:
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    Howdy, Grey. On a scale of sniffles to Swine Flu, how sick am I for being more than a little intrigued by the newly formed Dave Duncan/Rich Hill combo?

  9. Scott says:
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    Haha, 30 homers in 125 games. We’ll see. Maybe 20.

  10. GopherDay says:
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    @Grey: Assuming Heyward makes the team out of Spring training, what round would you draft him in 12 team league? And if he doesn’t make the team?

  11. Bob says:
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    @Grey: I know you haven’t finished publishing your 80 top starters list, but I was browsing over at the self-proclaimed World Wide Leader (sorry, but it’s a slow morning around here), and noticed a list of 10 possible bounce-back starters. It seems to me, with the possible exception of Dave Bush (who will never be on any of my teams), that some of them might be interesting if they dropped far enough. Of course, some of them will be among your Top 80, and I can read about them as you reveal, but the common thread is that they’re all former top pitchers (or post-hypes) who have had injury problems.

    Last year, I did well picking up Carpenter and to some extent, Bedard, late in drafts. Not so well with Smoltz. But since I wasn’t really counting on them anyway, it worked okay. So, do you think some of them should populate my benches in 12 team mixed leagues?

    1. Francisco Liriano, Twins
    2. Brandon Webb, Diamondbacks
    3. Ben Sheets, Athletics
    4. Daisuke Matsuzaka, Red Sox
    5. Justin Duchscherer, Athletics
    6. Chris Young, Padres
    7. Chris Volstad, Marlins
    8. Brett Myers, Astros
    9. Jeremy Bonderman, Tigers
    10. Dave Bush, Brewers*

  12. Quintero says:
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    @Steve: Sir, you are a smart man! Psyche!

  13. Eddy says:
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    @GopherDay:

    I think Heyward REALLY has to
    impress in order to garner much attention in the fantasy world. He’s not even being drafted in mocks now, so unless he dazzles everyone, the same will probably happen come draft day.
    @Bob:
    Liriano is the guy Im the most curious about. His DR pitching right now is completely insane.

  14. Tony says:
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    @Eddy: i think by draft day he’ll be going in drafts and mocks… he just doens’t go now i’d say because the average joe doesn’t know about him… of course ESPN publishing articles, etc will unveil him to the average joe….

    He goes in mocks when there’s someone with some knowledge.

  15. Clyde Prompto says:
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    @Grey re: Hill- Yeah, that’s what I thought. What can I say, I always fall for a big breaking ball. You can call me Chris Davis.
    In a Braves related note, I’ve noticed in all of my mocks so far that Billy Wagner is going well after most other closers. I thought he looked good for the BoSox last year, is it crazy to think he might wind up being the most valuable Brave as it relates to his draft position?

  16. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @GopherDay: Somewhere in the final three rounds.

    @Bob: 1 and maybe 7. More to come on lots of those guys.

    @Clyde Prompto: No, Wagner should be fine for a closer.

  17. GopherDay says:
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    @Grey: OK, hopefully there won’t be all of the “wieter hype” and he starts going in the 12-14th rounds…

  18. Mac says:
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    Upon further reflection, I think that the chances of Heyward starting the season on the roster are higher — call it 75-25. I hadn’t really appreciated, until I started work on previewing the outfield, how thin they were after dumping Church. It’s hard to see a roster put together from present parts that doesn’t include Heyward.

  19. matthole says:
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    @Grey: which rds would pedroia and phillips have to fall for you to draft them?

  20. brett says:
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    @Mac: Thanks for taking the time! If Heyward does make the roster they’d have to give him regular at bats, right? Can you see a situation in which he’d get buried in the depth chart and stuck coming in off the bench? (I’m thinking Travis Snider in Toronto last year, and i’d hate to see it happen to Heyward.)

  21. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @matthole: You make it sound like I don’t like them. They’re around the third to fourth round.

  22. big o says:
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    @Grey:
    re : razzball leagues :

    a) are they all 10 -teamers ?
    b) what’s the cost ??
    c) can you link me to the rules ???
    d) when does sign-up begin ????

    e) thanking you , in advance .

  23. Steve says:
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    @big o: 12 teams. Free. Stock standard ESPN rules. CI, MI, 5 x OF. 1 catcher. Will open late February. Check links top left for more info.

  24. Steve says:
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    5 x 5 scoring btw.

  25. big o says:
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    @Steve:
    to be clear :
    not the commentors’ league ,
    but the , negative / suicide / bizarro / or whatever it’s called , razzball league , where bad is good .

    a review of last year’s standings suggest that these were 10 – teamers .

  26. Steve says:
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    Ignore everything I just said.

  27. big o says:
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    @Grey: @Steve:
    i am assuming that the scoring is inverted , and that team roster size is the same as the regular leagues .
    what i’m needing to know are : innings pitched requirements ,
    minimum AB’s etc .
    and , what the heck is the opposite of the saves category ??

    again ,
    thank you .

  28. PookieBear says:
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    6×5 (+OPS), 10 team, 7 keepers

    keep Ethier or Manny?

  29. big o says:
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    @Grey:
    re : question # 2
    if this condition persists for 2 years and 8 hours ,
    consult your physician .

  30. GopherDay says:
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    @big o: Blown saves

  31. big o says:
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    @GopherDay:
    chasing blown saves has to be difficult .
    not sure that spending a summer chasing those would be very soul-satisfying.
    un-sagnof !

  32. sean says:
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    @Grey: can you please explain to me the difference between Kinsler (who folks seem to “love”) and Phillips (who folks seem to draft begrudgingly). Phillips seems to me like the clear pick of the two because he comes at a two-round discount and they are basically clones.

  33. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:
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    @sean:

    Kinsler +30 R, +7 HR, +12 SB, -15 R

  34. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:
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    Mora to Rockies.

  35. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:
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    @Grey: Yeah, a Latin 38 doesn’t seem like much of an insurance policy.

  36. matthole says:
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    sleeper??: Brewers outfielder Corey Hart lost 22 pounds this winter.
    Hart has never had a problem with weight management, but getting in excellent shape certainly isn’t going to hurt his performance. The 27-year-old hit .260/.335/.418 with 12 home runs in 472 at-bats last season. He said he lost the weight with an “insanity” workout plan.

  37. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @matthole: Don’t see how that is going to stop him from swinging at pitches outside the strike zone.

  38. sean says:
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    @Simply Fred:

    Grey’s earlier commentary: Is he that different than Brandon Phillips? They’re both six-feet tall, weigh around 200 lbs, injured more times than I’d like and their birthdays are six days apart. Maybe they’re one player pulling The Alex P. Keaton When He Had Two Dates For The Prom And He Had To Keep Switching His Tie trick.

    Razzball projections:
    Kinsler: 110/29/80/.270/34
    Phillips: 80/22/95/.275/22

    I’m inclined to agree with Grey that these guys are clones (save for Phillips’ defense which is a huge asset in real baseball). They both play in hitters’ parks.

    I actually think that Phillips is more in line to exceed projections because of being sandwiched in between potentially monster seasons of Votto and Bruce. 30/35 is a bit bullish on Kinsler, who has yet to show that he can handle a whole season, mentally or physically.

    That said, in the second round, I’d much rather be taking Holliday, Wright, Sizemore, or others instead of Kinsler in the second and I’ll be looking to nab Phillips in the late third or even the fourth where I’ve seen him sliding…

    I can make up the 5/5 later on in the draft. I’ve got issues with picking MIs not named Hanley or Chase in the first two rounds.

    Just looking for the affirming head nod from the mustache.

  39. GopherDay says:
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    I have a slight man crush on Phillips. I was sitting right behind the Red’s dug out at an Astros game, and Phillips threw me his batting gloves. Right after stealing a base for my fantasy team, I might add…

  40. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:
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    @sean: Agree with much you say. I don’t trust Kinsler (likely to fade 2nd half for sure) and won’t be drafting him either. Phillips could indeed break out big time. I am targeting Stewart at 2B, so still hoping to get another bigger bat (than Phillips) late 3rd or 4th. Just was pointing out, given some significant Razz projection advantages for Kinsler why “some” would be enamored with him. Hopefully, explains it, not justifies it.

  41. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @sean: Yeah, you got the nod.

  42. brett says:
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    I’m a fan of Kinsler. He was a borderline 1st rounder last year, and would be up there again if not for his 2009 avg (which was on the low side of his range). And I’ll be punting SS in almost every draft this year so having a sure thing at 2B is important.

    That being said, Phillips is a good pick two rounds later but you’re taking a gamble that he’ll still be there. The drop off comes pretty quickly after that. I like Stewart but I liked him a lot last year too and that didn’t work out so hot. I don’t want to depend too heavily on Stewart unless i have a good shortstop to balance the risk.

  43. Tony says:
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    holy cow mocks are filling up like 3-4 hours ahead of time….

    baseball fever is among us…

  44. nate marcum says:
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    Join the mock at 4cst….I am in it…

  45. Real Tom says:
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    Grey, Melvin Mora just signed with the Rockies. What are the chances he ruins all of your fantasy teams by taking Stewart’s ABs?

  46. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:
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    @brett: Kinsler will give you everything you want that first half. I’d just be wookin’ for even value in return about the break.

  47. Real Tom says:
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    Also, hearing that Melvin Mora got signed is like hearing that your cousin ran into Ralph Macchio at the mall.

    “What!? That dude’s still alive?”

  48. brett says:
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    @Simply Fred: In a perfect world, i might have Kinsler and Stewart on my team, wait for Stewart to break out and deal Kinsler to fill any holes i might have. Tried this last year, actually, but Stewart didn’t hold up his end of the bargain.

  49. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Real Tom: I think he’s just a utility man, but if Stewart’s terrible and Mora hits it could be an issue. No different than Reynolds last year with Chad Tracy.

  50. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:
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    @brett: Stewart is far from a sure thing, but the fall from where he will go is less.

    Am punting SS as well. You going one of A. Escobar, E. Cabrera, I. Desmond?

  51. brett says:
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    Tentatively, i’m going for Andrus, A. Escobar, or both. I like hedging my bets by having a couple guys who could work out (unless of course i have the #2 pick or Tulo falls to me at the right time).

    But this is something i’ll think about late into Spring Training. I’ll be pretty swamped in February so i’ll have to re-evaluate in March.

  52. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:
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    @brett: Yeah, I left Andrus out because I thought he would be going considerably before the others. We’ll have to check with March Grey.

  53. Tony says:
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    @nate marcum: had to go with the 8pm mock, all the ones were filled when i was checking earlier… nuts… got a couple mins til it starts and 8 of 12 are present… its good actually doing one where people show up!

  54. big o says:
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    @Grey:
    thanks for the link to the fantasy razzball info .
    will look for the sign-up to this year’s version .

    @ ALL :

    if someone were smart enough to set up a draft date/time and run a new league with the following parameters , i would gladly join :

    12 teams
    5×5 vanilla … one catcher
    1250 innings limit
    cost $50
    prizes :
    1st non-grey person …. $100
    2nd non-grey person …. $50
    top Grey – person …. $450

    i believe this would be a nice way to give back to our “community” .

    any interest ??
    come on guys , let’s convince him to do this .

  55. brett says:
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    @big o: Great idea. Would even be able to get around the legal issues (i think) by calling it a $50 donation to Razzball. I’d play.

  56. big o says:
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    ok guys , that’s 2 .

    this is a no-brainer and should fill up quickly .

    what we need is someone smart enough to actually set-up and run a league .

  57. matthole says:
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    @big o: id play

  58. big o says:
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    @brett: @matthole:
    3 of us .
    4 counting grey-type person .

    can one of you take this to the forum ,
    so we don’t lose this thread .

    p.s. i’ll pay site fees (provided it’s not cbs … i hear they’re exorbitant) .

    STILL NEED A COMMISH
    ferris ??

  59. Nick says:
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    It’s kind of depressing, but I was watching the new Star Wars while reading the Jar-Jar reference…

    At least I’m getting some fantasy help…

    And I incriminate myself that much more

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