Comments on: 2009 Diamondbacks Fantasy Baseball Preview

By: Grey

Grey — Mon, 09 Mar 2009 00:55:24 +0000

@Tom: The problem is people have jumped him in the PT battle after his horrid 2008. So now I'd expect no more than 20 HRs from Tracy and maybe 400 ABs.

By: Tom

Tom — Mon, 09 Mar 2009 00:33:07 +0000

I always have trouble predicting anything with the D-Backs. They have so much upside all across the board, but they could just as easily be garbage. I’m staying away from some of them (Young, Drew), but Upton, Tracy, Jackson, and Lopez (love his eligibility) seem to have decent upside for their draft position. Will Tracy ever get some of that power back?

By: Grey

Grey — Sun, 08 Mar 2009 06:28:10 +0000

@Emporers Monkey: Chone and Zips are probably my favorite ones. Fair amount of stock.

By: Emporers Monkey

Emporers Monkey — Sun, 08 Mar 2009 05:34:52 +0000

@Ashley: Votto has been going 3 to 4 rounds later in most of the mock and actual drafts that I have done thus far. I think he hits at least 30HR with over 100RBI this year and an BA that hovers around .300, great value pick.

@Grey: How much stock do you put in the CHONE projections? They all seem fairly low, as if every players stats from last year were reduced by 10% or so.

By: Grey

Grey — Sat, 07 Mar 2009 22:55:06 +0000

@Ashley: Votto’s ahead of Davis:

(http://razzball.com/top-100-for-2009-fantasy-baseball/)

I like him more for reasons stated by James and yourself. Less risky, Davis has a bit more power upside.

By: James

James — Sat, 07 Mar 2009 22:36:17 +0000

@Ashley – I think it’s a risk/reward deal between Davis and Votto. Davis has more potential, but Votto has done well for a full season, and is less risky.

By: Ashley

Ashley — Sat, 07 Mar 2009 22:18:44 +0000

Joey Votto killed the ball today… 4/5, homerun against some quality pitching. My draft is tomorrow and his performance today against USA is probably going to cause me to draft him over Chris Davis if they’re both available.

I’m sure they’re both a coin-flip, right? Votto probably a higher average, Davis with a little more power potential?

Do you have a preference?

And just so that this comment isn’t completely irrelevant to the post… I hate big guys who don’t hit for power (Conor Jackson). I picked him up last year after a strong April, and he (along with the rest of the D-Backs offense) was pretty mediocre for the rest of the year. So I’m not a believer until I actually see something.

Scherzer though, I really really really like. Hopefully I can draft him at a reasonable price.

By: sean

sean — Sat, 07 Mar 2009 21:20:10 +0000

@grey: Agreed. Krispie is a tough player to project. He’s only 26 years old (27 in September). Last year he hit a ton of doubles, but his fly ball rate is already high and he plays in a homer-friendly park, so I’m not sure that the ’08 2Bs will be HRs in 2009. He’s never going to hit for average, so the real boost in his fantasy value will have to come on the basepaths. It’s just hard for me to get through my head that a four category guy is a four category guy regardless of which four they may be.

By: Kevin

Kevin — Sat, 07 Mar 2009 17:57:25 +0000

Mad Max needs to develop a consistent third pitch and then he can really take off.

By: Eric W

Eric W — Sat, 07 Mar 2009 17:48:11 +0000

@Grey: Ya but I am a bigger fan of anyone who owns a shagin wagon and wants to put a 50 Ft wave pool in his back yard.

By: Fman99

Fman99 — Sat, 07 Mar 2009 17:40:04 +0000

Derrek Lee isn’t white? What?

I love Qualls this year. He will be my #2 closer on multiple teams.

By: Rudy Gamble

Rudy Gamble — Sat, 07 Mar 2009 17:04:40 +0000

@Colin: Based on current projections (http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/files/oracle/discussion/2009_zips_projections_arizona_diamondbacks/), getting to 24 is ‘optimistic’ (est. 15% chance). He also strikes out a TON (#4 K rate last year…more than Ryan Howard! – http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=400&type=1&season=2008&month=0) so his average won’t likely top .265. Definitely has upside worth betting on…just don’t bet too much…

By: Grey

Grey — Sat, 07 Mar 2009 16:02:23 +0000

@Colin: Yup, reasonable:

(http://razzball.com/top-60-outfielders-for-2009-fantasy-baseball/)

By: Colin

Colin — Sat, 07 Mar 2009 15:59:00 +0000

Grey what’s your projection of Upton this year? I know he’s only 21, but his talent is immense. I say he flirts with 30 homers (27 or so) this year with over 90 ribbies. Reasonable?

By: Grey

Grey — Sat, 07 Mar 2009 15:58:19 +0000

@Eric W: You're a fan of the hustle, huh? @sean: You're getting two players that are intersecting near each other on a chart of production with one player going up and one going down. Krispie is capable of 30/30 and his average could get better. Mike Cameron may get 20/15/.250. But, if you look at their probables rather than their capables, there's really not that big of a difference.

By: sean

sean — Sat, 07 Mar 2009 15:49:41 +0000

Why am I drafting 25/20/.250 (Razz 100, ADP 106) in the 8th round when I could have Mike Cameron 22/18/.250 (Razz 209, ADP 321) for free? Is the upside really worth the risk?

By: Eric W

Eric W — Sat, 07 Mar 2009 06:41:56 +0000

30+ bags for Krispie sign me up but I would be surprised to see 20+. And Eric Byrnes may be the coolest player in baseball.